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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    No, it wasn't. The Royals are bad, Shields is pitching useless innings, and Myers has started off his career OPSing close to .800. Oh yeah, and the Royals offense is abysmal. I forgot to mention that part. It was a bad gamble by a man who was more worried about losing his job than securing long-term success for his franchise. I don't see how anyone considers this a "good gamble". The Royals offense had shown no indication that they were on the cusp of anything and Moore traded away a top five prospect who, not so surprisingly, is having a fine rookie season in Tampa. You make sure your house is in order and then you make a push to put the team over the top. Otherwise, you end up exactly where the Royals are right now, and that's in third place with an awful offense and without the piece that may have pushed you closer to contention for seven years. Aggressiveness for the sake of aggressiveness is not a solid game plan for a small market franchise. If everything works out with a prospect core, nothing is stopping Moore from making a similar trade in 2014 or 2015 when all of those prospects are still pre-arb but have actually played enough games to know what pieces are needed to build a contender.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Does that giant pop-up appear when you roll over the ad? All you have to do is roll over the ad space and you get that enormous video box? We'll contact the ad service again.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    He only gets credit if he overpays. I think most here would admit that Ryan is generally pretty good at building bullpens. Definitely not one of his flaws.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    It's impossible not to like Perkins.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Actually, I'd say the exact opposite. One thing Smith did pretty well was manage the farm system and draft. He picked up Arcia (pretty sure, anyway), Sano, Gibson, and Rosario. Smith's problem is that he bungled nearly every. single. move. that involved the MLB franchise, the lone exception being the Gomez/Hardy trade. Here were some of his bigger hits: 1. Santana for a Depleted Metro Card 2. Garza for The Jewish Defense League 3. Hardy for an Autographed Box Set of The Wire 4. Nishioka for a Crate of Hello Kitty Plushies (also, 20 bajillion Yen)
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Even if it failed, I'm sure his legacy would be looked at more positively. Instead of thinking, "God, that trade was dumb... All we got was a decent reliever for a top 100 guy struggling through a down season", we'd be thinking "Well, he gave it a legitimate shot. It failed, but he tried."
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    Well, it's not unreasonable speculation. Something drove him out of the chair... My vote probably goes for "burn out" but not wanting to deal with the Hunter/Santana/Mauer situation may have been involved in the decision... After all, he left Smith in a really bad situation without a lot of good choices. He really should have done something a little more proactive than allowing a mess to accumulate and then saying "all yours".
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    I think it's pretty hard to say that's why TR quit with certainty but it certainly isn't out of the realm of possibility given his actions since returning to the position. I just can't figure out why he's being so bloody cheap. Of course, he might go after a bunch of international prospects and change our minds but with every passing day I'm increasingly skeptical of that happening.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Try not responding at all if you are done with the conversation. It's hard to not take a response of "okay" as condescending and snotty as a response to a four paragraph rebuttal to an argument. My apologies if it was not meant as such but when interpreted through simple text, the rebuttal seems quite sarcastic.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    If Hosmer had a 125 OPS+ and Moustakas had a 130 OPS+ in 2012, the Shields move is a good one. You have established production in the lineup and to win, you need pitching to push your team to the front of the pack. It's the logical move in such a situation. But not when Hosmer and Moustakas posted a 92 and 83 OPS+ in 2012. That's letting the cart lead the horse. You don't even know if you need pitching at that point... You might need both given the production received from those two guys in 2012. So what kind of net gain are you really getting by trading one for the other?
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    That's the third time you've posted this identical condescending response to one of my posts. Stop.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    Nope, entirely different. Free agency requires nothing but money. If you have an excess of money in the short term, there is no good reason not to spend it if it makes the team better.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    One spot short of having five players in the top 40. Not bad, indeed.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    When did Hosmer and Moustakas have success? Neither posted an OPS+ of even 100 last season. I believe Moustakas had a nice rookie season in 2011 but neither were any good last year. Span for Meyer is a completely different situation. It was the right move because it fits in with the entire Twins game plan... And that plan involves a return to competitiveness in the next 24 months and keeping that window open for a full 5-6 years after that point. Maybe Meyer flames out... It happens. He's a prospect. Which, again, is my point. When you're returning to competitiveness, you want more prospects you control for 6+ years, not less. The more prospects you have, the more wiggle room you have in case of the inevitable prospect failure. If it takes a couple of extra years to get a prospect on track (like, say, Kyle Gibson), the rest of your prospects are under control for six years, not two, and you still have a good shot at recovering from that setback. The goal is to keep the window open as long as possible so that you can adapt to situations as they arise, not to corner yourself into a risky game plan, and that's exactly what Moore did and thus far, it has blown up in his face. Sure, the Royals can trade Shields. They'll get a decent return for him, too. But it won't be the #4 prospect in all of baseball. It won't be Wil Myers.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    What is the harm in waiting until they actually are performing before making a move? Lots of risk to push that timeline forward, as the Royals did last offseason. Given that the core of their players are under control for 3-5 more years, there's not much risk in waiting it out for a year or two longer and gauging what you need instead of aggressively picking up players and crossing your fingers. Given how Shields is throwing useless innings right now, I think it's painfully obvious that it wasn't the right move. If Moore rolled the dice, Moustakas and Hosmer suffered freak injuries, well that's different. That's a calculated risk and sometimes, you just run into crap luck. But this wasn't crap luck. This was over-aggressiveness, plain and simple.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    If Myers starts the season in Kansas City, we don't know if he's hitting .735... But that's not really my point. My point is simply this: Chance of Success + 3 hitting prospects > Chance of Success + 2 hitting prospects On top of your chance of success increasing with more prospects, you have a 3-4 year window to "choose your battles". You have a much longer period of time to look at your franchise and decide when the time to strike is right. If you try to aggressively push that timeline forward before any prospects emerge, you may shut that window entirely. If you have a good young hitter like Myers, you can always get a guy like Shields in return for him... Maybe not quite as good as Shields but you can get a very good pitcher in return. What happens if Hosmer and Moustakas break out in 2015, the year after Shields leaves for FA? It's very possible that it plays out like that... Look at Carlos Gomez. The Royals may waste two years of Shields, 6/7 years of Myers, all to finish second or third in the AL Central in consecutive seasons.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Huntington had nothing to do with the Pirates' past failures.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    Their offense wouldn't be struggling as much if they had Myers in the lineup. That's my point. It was a bad risk to gamble on a jump forward from a prospect core while you trade away a key component that gives you wiggle room should one of the other prospects fail. Sure, Shields is pitching great. That's fantastic. Too bad that he's gone in 14 months and they gave away seven years of a guy to throw all those wasted innings on the way to a 78 win season.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    If I was Dayton Moore, I'd spend large portions of my day yearning to have Wil Myers back in the system. They gave up seven years of Myers for a guy who, while pitching well for them, is gone after next season. They have effectively wasted 50% of Shields' performance already and may have closed their window of contention entirely. That's the problem with trading prospects before the team is ready. Yeah, they could have traded either Hosmer or Moustakas but that brings us right back to my earlier point... If you think you have enough prospects, you don't. One or more of them will fail. In this case, those two who are struggling are the ones the Royals happened to keep. A prudent GM would have stayed the course, waited for the emergence of Hosmer, Moustakas, and/or Myers and then they would have made a move. I said that immediately after the Shields trade happened and it's playing out exactly how I saw it happening. And that's the difference between a guy like Moore and a guy like Huntington, who easily could have been caught up in the desire to win in 2012 and traded away the farm... Immediately before the Pirates collapsed. Instead, he stayed his course, make some smart pick-ups in the offseason, and now the Pirates look to contend for a long time, not 1-2 years if everything pans out perfectly for them. Because of Huntington's prudence, the Pirates can weather a bad break or two and stay afloat whereas the Royals are showing that impatience can lead to disaster (it wouldn't surprise me one bit to see the Royals in full "rebuild mode" again in 3-4 years because of this Shields trade).
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    It's way too easy to end up in a Kansas City situation if you start trading prospects for MLB talent before your team is ready to compete. How much do you think that front office wants Wil Myers back right now?
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    +1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 I'd rather see Glynn get the job. I'd rather see the Twins hire almost anyone internally over Ozzie. I'd rather see them keep Gardenhire.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    It's possible that the front office sees something they don't like in Gonzalez. It's possible that the front office wants to spend that money on the FA market this offseason. It's also possible, and more likely, that Ryan just doesn't want to spend the money at all. I don't understand the hesitation to pursue these international free agents. If anything, it seems like the one place where Ryan would feel comfortable spending money.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    You never know which guys are going to bomb out so no matter the number of players, you're still dealing with the same odds of failure. Have three guys, trade one... Ends up, he's the one who actually succeeds in MLB. Prospect deals just don't happen very often and it's even more difficult to pry away impact pitching out of a team's farm system unless you're giving up MLB talent in return (ie. Denard Span). Think of it this way... You're the GM of a mid-market team that has a good amount of pitching in the farm system. Why would you ever trade that away? Everybody knows that pitching is the lifeblood of succeeding in baseball. Why shoot yourself in the foot like that unless you're getting back a piece that is going to help immediately (in other words, "win now" mode)? If you wouldn't do a trade because it sounds stupid, chances are most GMs around baseball feel the same way about said trade.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    I'd rather see the Twins keep their prospects and pursue Johnson or Hughes if they think they'll be competitive. I might feel differently if the Twins had an excess of prospects at one position but they don't... Sure, the outfield is crowded but once you factor in some of those guys bombing out of the majors, it's not so packed.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    We're in contact with the ad company. It's a new service and that is causing the problem. We're just waiting for a response.
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