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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    We're still trying to track down what happened to them after the war. I know his brother stayed local - I found his grave yesterday - but the builder of the house moved about 50 miles north and died in 2001. It's really weird. I can find census records from 1900-1940 but absolutely nothing after the war. And that means I can't find the names of his children.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    That's amazing, Mike. I'm nowhere near that point but I hope the next time I see a T-Mobile coming, I'll have $5-7k ready to jump on it. I don't know if I'm ready for a large leap like I made with Netflix - 100% gains in a month - but I was dead-set on T-Mobile in 2013 and that has turned into 125% gains. I just *knew* they were doing all the right things.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    It has crossed my mind more than once. If only our main living area didn't have rounded ceilings... no way can I replicate that work with sheet rock.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    We're still figuring that out. We have to leave something, for sure. My wife is arguing we should pack up the 1946 info and our 2016 info and put it back up there. I'm arguing we should frame all the 1946 stuff, put a note on it that it's part of the house, and then put our 2016 stuff in the ceiling.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, vermin. And the story will continue. As it turns out, almost all of his family lived in the area and two of them are buried three blocks from my home. I'm still investigating a lot of stuff, as it's been unreasonably difficult to find information post-war, though all pre-war stuff is readily available for some reason.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    No Japanese gold, though I considered tearing up the rest of the house just to make sure.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    This is just the first part of the blog, there are more photos and information to come. http://candypig.net/locations/north-america/ballad-tom-shaft-part/
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Dave just created a 24 hour long game thread in the middle of December. http://www.reactiongifs.us/wp-content/uploads/2013/03/slow_clap_citizen_kane.gif
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Damn. I really should have invested in Wells Fargo after the scandal. They're up 30-ish percent since their drop. On the upside, Polaris is working out well for me since I picked up more stock when it plummeted to $72. Now sitting at $86.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    There's a good chance that will happen but it's promising the Dodgers are in the conversation, as they're the best fit for the trade. They need Dozier and they have what the Twins need.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    Fair enough. Change "Hicks was never that highly regarded as a prospect" to "Hicks hadn't been that highly regarded as a prospect for three seasons before his MLB promotion". By the time he graduated to MLB, scouts were a mixed bag on Aaron Hicks. The fact that a few major publications didn't even rank him in 2012 tell you how much his luster had faded.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    Which is why I mentioned he had a bunch of good write-ups after his first full post-draft season. After that, it was a mixed bag. By the time he was "ready" for MLB, his stock had dropped a fair amount. BA didn't even rank him in 2012 and put him at 72 the year he was promoted.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    A prospect failing does not mean the scouting reports are wrong. Some guys advance when they face MLB pitching, some don't. There are thousands of prospects more highly regarded than Hicks who didn't pan out. It's the nature of projecting young players and where they will land. Never mind that Hicks was never that highly regarded as a prospect. He had many nice write-ups after his first full post-draft season but was in the bottom half of top 100 prospect lists after that point (if he made the list at all). If a guy is the 75th best prospect in baseball, that means he's the third best prospect on any given team's prospect list given equal distribution of prospects. That's good but hardly awesome.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    The scouting reports weren't really wrong about Hicks, though. He scuffled badly when he came into the league but he scuffled at everything so it's not as if defense was some isolated issue with the guy. The past two years, he has been an above average defender in most (if not all) metrics.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    TROLPO's IP address was unique. He was either TROLPO and that it's or he was running the TROLPO account through a proxy. I looked into it at the time and there was no way to track down his real identity.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    Yarnivek. Yes.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Was MNRob the manager of Country Kitchen? Or was that someone else? edit: it wasn't Rob. I almost feel bad about the way people piled on the Country Kitchen guy after his cat died, though that story was kinda ****ing hilarious given the context (and I love cats).
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm sure Dave has many of his tweets to porn stars and studios archived locally for quick reference.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    I have no idea what this tweet is about, but I love it. https://twitter.com/StatFreak101/status/802618771676332032
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Don't fall into the rabbit hole that is: http://www.atlasobscura.com/ It's one of my favorite sites. Just amazing.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    I didn't mind the ASG controlling who has home field advantage in the WS. Every other system is equally as flawed in a game as disparate as baseball and its separate leagues. Really, I just don't care that much. Giving home field advantage to the team with the best record has its own set of issues, namely that the NL is generally an inferior league as a whole (and will continue to be so until the DH rule is normalized across both leagues).
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    While I agree the Twins OF is far from a sure thing, it's not difficult to acquire corner outfielders on the free agent market. Pitching, on the other hand...
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't see how defense could fluctuate as wildly as offense, especially when broken into single games. But the measurements, those are absolutely in question.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    It poisons the well for those of us who know better, though. First, defense is far more stable than offense. Dozier might hit three bombs in a night and drive in seven runs and then not hit another homer for three weeks. But Byron Buxton, while he may flub the occasional play, is not going to be 10mph slower while running down a flyball on any given night. And defense can't be influenced by the opposing pitcher, who can and will routinely shut down an offense. Second, there's the huge gap in data points. A starter, if healthy, only starts 32-ish games a season so we're already suffering from sufficient data points. Second, runs are much more rare than defensive putouts (something to the magnitude of 6-7x more rare per game than defensive putouts). He could have just as easily made the argument without making such an obviously flawed comparison. Defense doesn't slump but offense does on a very regular basis. If Posnanski can find me the defensive equivalent of a pitcher being on the receiving end of his offense posting a ten spot in five innings, I'd love to see it (and a single ten run outing is worth .33 run support over a full, healthy pitching season).
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    I like where Posnanski is going with this but the argument that because run support can fluctuate for pitchers, so can defensive runs saved/lost is asinine and he knows it. The problem with using team defensive runs is that it doesn't go granular enough... As Posnanski mentions, is the pitcher a flyball guy? A groundball guy? How does his defensive alignment compare? If you use overall team numbers, you can skew things out of proportion. Let's say the Twins had this alignment: Buxton, Rosario, Hicks in the outfield. Vargas, Polanco, Escobar, Sano in the infield. Put Phil Hughes out there. He loves that defense. Put Kyle Gibson out there. He hates that defense. Yet that defensive alignment, with some proper luck, might be above average overall so both Hughes and Gibson are dinged the equal amount because overall defense=good. Obviously, one of those pitchers should be dinged for that alignment while the other should be given a medal for ever making it out of the fifth inning. But Posnanski's comparison of runs scored - a trait that can fluctuate wildly based on a single game - is still really ****ing stupid. I expect better of him. It's lazy.
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