Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

Brock Beauchamp

Site Manager
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    32,399

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    328

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm sorry to pick on you but this is a pretty tired argument. Yes, Nick Gordon could have a piano fall on him tomorrow. He could have his leg bitten off by a shark. He could suffer a career-ending injury via soda machine. With that out of the way, a reasonable floor is futility guy. I have no problems projecting a guy who looks to have few flaws (but few stellar assets as well) to a part-time MLB role at some point in the future. Maybe he sticks for one year. Maybe he sticks for a dozen like Jamey Carroll. The only problems I have with use the "floor" is when respected sites like FanGraphs give a guy like Alexis Tapia a "floor" of "Kevin Jepsen". Wait, what? So his floor is "above average reliever" even though he hasn't really pitched above A ball? No, man, no. That's just ridiculous. But using "floor" as a substitute for "reasonably negative projection that doesn't involve something disastrous happening" is a perfectly fine way to use the word in the context of baseball prospects.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, I'm not sold Gordon can post an .800 OPS at any level, though it's not entirely out of the realm of possibility.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    I agree, not cut and dry but I believe Gordon still has the advantage, as he doesn't have any glaring flaws in his game. Polanco has gone from "question marks about defense" to "not likely to be an MLB shortstop" in the past couple of years and Vielma can't hit a lick at any level. Those are big hurdles to overcome. Gordon, while unspectacular thus far, has no such issues.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Absolutely... But we're talking about a lanky 19 year old kid with ~750 PAs who drastically improved as the season progressed. There's some upside in Gordon, only time will tell how much.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Sure, I understand that... But it's possible, maybe even likely, that Gordon improves as much or more than the other guys in the system. It's possible he becomes a very good defensive SS who posts a .750 OPS in the majors. In today's game, that's a top five shortstop.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Possibly... but each of those players require pretty drastic improvement in some facet of their game where Gordon merely has to keep doing what he's been doing to reach the majors in some capacity. I think you're undervaluing the "acceptable at everything" aspect of Gordon, especially from a guy at shortstop.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    I mostly agree but Gordon makes the majors barring injury. Given his "entirely adequate" skillset, he has a floor of futility guy. He's not exceptional at anything - at least it appears that way - but he's not bad at anything, either (unlike Polanco and Vielma). That guy makes the majors almost every time. In essence, he'd be Levi Michael with defensive ability. If Michael could play short, he's probably with another team in the majors as a backup infielder going into Opening Day.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    My problem is that's the kind of thinking that led to the stunted development of Carlos Gomez and possibly Aaron Hicks. Gomez, as we later saw in Milwaukee, had the same raw talent Buxton has today. Don't screw that up by forcing the issue if it's not the best thing for the player. If Buxton looks like he won't embarrass himself, yeah, he should be in Minnesota. If he's flailing away at breaking pitches like Bugs Bunny, do what's right for the kid and that's a demotion back to Rochester so he can work on development without the glare of The Show pressuring him to perform.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    I think that's (mostly) fair. Gordon has fewer flaws than Polanco (defense) and Vielma (offense) but Palacios is interesting, for sure. I know little about the kid, though. Gordon is more of a sure thing than the first two guys, though... He's kind of a mix of the best traits of each (Polanco's acceptable bat and Vielma's very good defense).
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    I absolutely do not want to see Santana as the Opening Day centerfielder but the ball is in Buxton's court. If he doesn't perform in spring and/or look ready to face MLB pitching, then the team has to send him back to Rochester for his own good. I do not want to see Carlos Gomez version 3.0. Do what's right for the player, not what fans want to see. The Twins have done that with two talented centerfielders in the past decade, we shouldn't encourage them to do it a third time.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    Hard to say much about risk/reward when we're just two years past the draft. Not every player develops at the same rate and Gordon might take additional time to get there, time will tell. IMO, as far as #5 picks go, he was a relatively low ceiling guy. And that's okay if his bat pans out because, by all accounts, the defense is there to be a fixture at short for a long time. For me, the most important thing is how Gordon adjusted to A ball pitching last season. He went from a first half .250 .325 .301 line to a second half .302 .347 .416 line. Sure, he's not hitting many homers but his doubles went from eight in the first half to 15 in the second half. When talking about a 19 year old player with a slight frame, that's a very positive sign the homers will come at some point, even if he'll never be a power hitter. 2016 will be telling. If Gordon rips 25+ doubles in Ft Myers and hits zero home runs, that shouldn't be cause for concern. When it comes to a 20 year old guy in Ft Myers - a notorious pitcher's league - we should be looking at gap power, not home run power.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    He's quick but not in the class of his brother. Few players are. Most people believe Nick can swipe 20-ish bags at the MLB level.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Absolutely. I'm just having a bit of fun.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    And if they help the Twins contend in 2016 and 2017, that's just fine. Contending teams shouldn't think too hard about what a player might bring in trade and whether he's "devaluing" in trade value if he's actually contributing on the field. It's one of my pet peeves on sports forums. Sometimes, the smart move is to worry solely about the on-field product and not think about possible trade value. It's why I'm okay with the Twins letting Plouffe walk after the 2017 season if that's the smart play (ie. he's worth his yearly salary in production and helps the Twins win baseball games).
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    It will be interesting to monitor the four year competition between Nolasco and Garza and their quest for the "Overpaid Waste of Space" championship. Initially, Nolasco had a big lead after Garza posted a respectable 1.4 WAR in 2014 but Matt stormed back into the discussion with a horrific -1.7 WAR last season. Current standings: Nolasco: -0.8 rWAR Garza: -0.3 rWAR I suspect this one will go down to the wire.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't necessarily disagree but I think making the decision today is a mistake. Give Polanco another year, let Dozier help the 2016 Twins win ballgames, and then reevaluate next November. There's no reason to force a decision today, as it will significantly hurt the current MLB squad and its ability to compete in 2016.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Maybe 2018-2020. Maybe. But what you're arguing right now is that a guy whose MiLB career OPS is .752 will perform better than a guy whose 2015 MLB OPS was .751. That's... Unlikely, to be generous. Outlandish, to be more realistic.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    "Sell high" shouldn't be uttered by a team that is attempting to compete for a postseason berth and has no viable replacement at the position. Sheesh, you guys. This isn't a video game. There's no way Polanco even comes close to replacing Dozier's production in 2016. Are the Twins trying to win baseball games or an award for the best farm system in baseball?
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    Definitely. Any team that wins over 90 games has some luck on its side but overall, many of the 2000s teams were snakebit. They managed to win 90+ games multiple times and lost an elite player in two of those seasons. In particular, the 2010 season still irks me. Man, that team could have been something else. They were stacked top to bottom in the lineup, lost their best hitter, and still won 94 games. What were they with a healthy Morneau? A 97-98 win team? It's hard to see that team get swept by the Yankees with Justin on it. Hell, the same thing goes for the 2006 squad. Is there any way the Twins fail to make it out of the ALDS with Santana and Liriano pitching twice?
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Absolutely. The stuff MacPhail did right shouldn't be overlooked.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    While I agree that Meyer can still turn into a big asset out of the bullpen, your bolded statement is... No. Just no. A shutdown starter is several magnitude more valuable than a shutdown reliever.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep, I remember the team breaking camp with those guys. Pretty funny in hindsight. And to be fair about Bartlett/Kubel, Ryan wasn't in charge of the team at that time. They were horrible decisions but can't really be pinned on Ryan (and are a great example why I'm leery of Antony ever sitting in the GM chair).
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    Thankfully, I think a modern comp is hard to find because front offices are too smart to give a 1991 Jack Morris the equivalent of $20m today. I think the 2014 Bartolo Colon contract is a good example of what usually happens when you give an old pitcher too much money. He didn't kill the Mets but was below average (just as Morris was five out of his final seven seasons).
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    I've mentioned several times that Ryan didn't do enough on the trade front, particularly in midseason (and he didn't have much free agent money in the 2000s)... But did the 91 team even make a trade at the deadline? I don't believe they did. My point is addressing the free agent situation leading into 1991, specifically the lauded Morris acquisition. MacPhail threw what easily could have been bad money (maybe even likely to be bad money) at Morris but got lucky so people hold it up as some kind of gold standard. Coupled with the much more solid Davis pickup and a huge dose of luck, the team won it all. Inversely, Ryan threw bad money at Hunter in 2015 (but threw very good money at Rogers in 2003) and has been panned for it by a huge segment of the fanbase. Am no way am I absolving Ryan for some of those lackluster 2000s trade deadlines but it's only fair to judge both men and their actions by the same standard.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Sure, the 91 team tried to win. So did most of the 2000s teams... But the 91 team had a lot of luck on its side while the 2000s teams... Not so much. The Morris/Rogers comparison illustrates that better than anything else, I think. Could some of the 2000s teams have done more to win? Yeah, maybe, especially midseason... But if luck ain't on your side, you're pretty much screwed. Remove one of Morris, Puckett, Mack, Davis, or Erickson from the 91 squad and they do not win the World Series. Add a healthy Liriano or Morneau and who knows what happens to the 2006/2010 squads. Hell, add a dead cat bounce (maybe a 120 OPS+) Torii Hunter to the 2015 squad and maybe they go all the way, as unlikely as that seems today. Acquisition X was a good idea because it worked. Acquisition Y was a failure because it didn't work, even though it was more statistically likely to succeed than Acquisition X. Not trying to take anything way from MacPhail or give Ryan undue credit, just trying to be fair here. Results-based judgment only works in hindsight.
×
×
  • Create New...