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    Twins Daily 2020 Top Prospects: #9 Brent Rooker


    Nick Nelson

    The Minnesota Twins are not short on slugging talents presently, but that doesn't negate the excitement of having a truly prodigious power hitter, fresh off crushing at the highest level of the minors, ready to join the big-league ranks.

    Brent Rooker has left little doubt that he can hit. All he needs now is an opportunity.

    Image courtesy of Seth Stohs (Graphic by Brock Beauchamp)

    Twins Video

    Position: LF

    Age: 25 (DOB: 11/1/1995)

    2019 Stats (AAA): 274 PA, .281/.398/.535, 14 HR, 47 RBI

    ETA: 2020

    2019 Ranking: 6

    National Top 100 Rankings

    BA: NA | MLB: NA | ATH: NA | BP: NA

    What's To Like

    Power-hitting has been commoditized to a large degree in the modern MLB environment. Players who can straight-up mash, but don't excel in any defensive capacity, are not the coveted assets they once were. But that's not to say they aren't valued: Just take a look at Miguel Sano and his freshly minted $30 million contract extension.

    And what Rooker can do is MASH. The Mississippi State product was widely considered one of the best hitters in the country when taken 35th overall by Minnesota in the 2017 draft, becoming the second player drafted under the Falvine Regime after they went with Royce Lewis No. 1 overall.

    Rooker has backed up his prestigious offensive rep since entering pro ball, slashing .267/.357/.505 with 54 home runs through 259 total games. In 2019 he put up a .928 OPS at Triple-A, with a jaw-dropping .319/.463/.572 line in 41 games after June 1st. Sounds like a guy who's about major-league ready. In fact, he might've gotten there last summer if a groin injury hadn't derailed him in mid-July.

    When he was on-stage as a guest at the recent Twins Daily Winter Meltdown, Kent Hrbek made an interesting a comment about the ferocity of uppercut swings that are now commonplace: "There's a lot of [retired] guys that talk about that nowadays, that there could've been a lot more home runs hit if you just sit and try to launch all day long. I mean you take a swing like they take swings off of guys now, you'd get the ball on the side of the head the next time up."

    Rooker pretty much epitomizes what Hrbek was describing. He swings very hard and aims to put it in the air. His immense power is legitimately eye-catching; the ball just rockets off his bat, and tends to go very far, very fast.

    While the continuance of his slugging success was a positive last year, the most promising development was his sharpening patience at the plate. Rooker walked 12.8% of the time, enabling him to reach base at a nearly .400 clip in Triple-A. He made enormous improvements with his discipline over the course of the year.

    What's Left To Work On

    The tough thing with Rooker's profile is that it leaves so little margin for error. He needs to maintain as an offensive force at the highest level to be a long-term regular in the majors. Defensively he's rather limited, whether in left field or at first base, and his best future fit seems to be as a designated hitter.

    That's all well and good if he keeps on producing like he has, since Minnesota's DH spot is presently unspoken for after this year, but there is reason to wonder if he can translate his dominance to the highest level.

    Namely, it's the strikeouts.

    As a result of his relentlessly aggressive cuts, Rooker whiffs quite a bit. His 34.7% K-rate last year was ninth-highest in the International League (min. 200 PA), and would've been seventh-highest in the majors (two spots behind the previously mentioned Sano, another notorious hard-swinger). Rooker's .281 batting average for the Red Wings in 2019 was buoyed by a blatantly unsustainable .417 BABIP.

    The lack of contact, if it continues, could make it tough for Rooker to find stable footing in the big leagues. Sano is one of the few productive hitters in that realm, though Joey Gallo is another notable example.

    But, again, Rooker's studious nature and proven adaptiveness offer valid reason to hope he can cut down the strikeouts. He did lower his K-rate to 29% in his final 25 games for Rochester last year, after posting an egregious 38% rate his first 40.

    What's Next

    The Twins have been very successful – so far – with their top draft picks in recent years. Rooker is sort of a victim to this success. He's basically been the player they hoped he would be, but Minnesota also looks to have struck gold on fellow first-rounders and corner guys Alex Kirilloff (2016) and Trevor Larnach (2018), who project as more well-rounded big-leaguers and have fewer question marks.

    Rooker is a step ahead of the others in development, having conquered Triple-A, but that doesn't help him much now, with nothing currently resembling a short-term opening on the MLB radar. That can of course change in a hurry when the current DH occupant is a 39-year-old with a balky wrist, and indeed, a Nelson Cruz absence is probably the most likely avenue for Rooker to reach the majors in short order. An injury to Sano or Eddie Rosario could also create an opening, to the extent the Twins are willing to tolerate Rooker's defense.

    Until such an opportunity presents itself, Rooker will head back to Triple-A, where he will likely keep on mashing.

    Twins Daily 2020 Top 20 Prospects

    Honorable Mentions

    20. Jose Miranda, 3B/2B

    19. Cole Sands, RHP

    18. Travis Blankenhorn, 2B/LF

    17. Misael Urbina, OF

    16. Edwar Colina, RP

    15. Matt Canterino, RHP

    14. Matt Wallner, OF

    13. Wander Javier, SS

    12. Gilberto Celestino, OF

    11. Lewis Thorpe, LHP

    10. Blayne Enlow, RHP

    9. Brent Rooker, OF

    Stop by Monday for prospect #8!

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    Marek Houston

    Cedar Rapids Kernels - A+, SS
    The 22-year-old went 2-for-5 on Friday night, his fourth straight multi-hit game. Heading into the week, he was hitting .246/.328/.404 (.732). Four games later, he is hitting .303/.361/.447 (.808).

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    Rooker started rookie ball at age 22, so he never really had the chance to do so. But I do remember that being part of the reason why he was a late 1st round pick and not a higher selection.

    The old saying was draft a college player because they are almost ready to step into the lineup and that is how it should be.

     

     

    I wouldn't worry about his age. He's not old. He's had a full season in AAA. Now it's just about opportunity. He raked for the last 2/3 of the AAA season and probably would have come up last year if he wasn't hurt. Age-to-level does matter in prospect rankings, but as Garver and Dozier and so many others have shown in the past, it isn't at all a be-all-end-all. 

    Seth, you are the expert for minor league prospects so give us your perspective.  With Sano, Kepler, Rosario, Cave, Ward already having MLB time.Considering Kiriloff, Raley, Larnach ahead of him, Wallner, Urbina, Baddoo behind him what is his real chance of making the team in the next two years?  

     

    Based on his fielding, hitting, and positions doesn't he look more like a trade candidate?  I know about late bloomers, but in reality they are not that prolific. 

    His performance last year was similar to 2018 in the context of the pitchers he faced. Batters against the pitchers he faced put up and OPS of .800 resulting in a DRC+ of 123. Even Nick Gordon had a DRC+ of 107 last year. Rooker had a 117 in 2018. BABIP last year was .417.

     

    The OPS last year looks great and encouraging. Taken in the context of the group of pitchers he faced and his BABIP leaves me wondering if there is much hope here. What would his DRC+ need to be at the major league level with his defensive limitations? I think he would need to be in the same 117-123 neighborhood or he will have a career somewhere in the range of Austin to Cron.

     

    Seth, you are the expert for minor league prospects so give us your perspective.  With Sano, Kepler, Rosario, Cave, Ward already having MLB time.Considering Kiriloff, Raley, Larnach ahead of him, Wallner, Urbina, Baddoo behind him what is his real chance of making the team in the next two years?  

     

    Based on his fielding, hitting, and positions doesn't he look more like a trade candidate?  I know about late bloomers, but in reality they are not that prolific. 

     

    Opportunity isn't, or shouldn't be part of prospect rankings. Rooker's 2020 path to the big leagues is probably an early-season injury to Rosario, Kepler, Sano or maybe Donaldson, or Cruz. 

     

    So yeah, a trade is certainly a reasonable thing. 

     

    But none of that affects his prospect status. 




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