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    Opportunity Cost


    Cody Christie

    For Twins fans, the last couple of weeks have brought one piece of good news after another. Derek Falvey and Thad Levine have built on last year’s playoff team by overhauling the pitching staff. Two new starters and multiple relievers have been added to help fix Minnesota’s biggest weakness. Add in the signing of Logan Morrison to bolster the offense and it’s been an almost perfect offseason.

    That being said, there has been some collateral damage throughout this process. Players who were poised to break camp with the team will be starting in the minors or ending up on another roster. Who has been impacted the most by the current roster’s construction?

    Image courtesy of Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

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    Starting Pitcher Effect

    Ervin Santana is going to start the year on the disabled list but there was still other arms vying for a role in the rotation. Jose Berrios and Kyle Gibson seemed like locks and both players should still be in the rotation on Opening Day. Beyond those two players, the rest of the rotation has been impacted by the additions of Jake Odorizzi and Lance Lynn.

    Adalberto Mejia was penciled into the back-end of the rotation as spring training began. However, he now seems destined for Rochester to join a stacked rotation with many of the team’s top pitching prospects. Phil Hughes also had a chance at a rotation role. With the current roster, it seems like he will be shifted to the bullpen. Anibal Sanchez saw his Twins tenure come to an end on Sunday even if it was a long-shot for him to make the rotation.

    Pre Off-Season Rotation: Ervin Santana, Jose Berrios, Kyle Gibson, Adalberto Mejia, Phil Hughes

    Current Rotation: Ervin Santana, Jose Berrios, Lance Lynn, Jake Odorizzi, Kyle Gibson

    Relief Pitcher Effect

    Minnesota’s bullpen had some bright spots last season but there were still some question marks as the offseason began. There was very little late-inning experience and it was hard to know who would be called upon for some of the biggest outs in the game. Adding pieces like Fernando Rodney, Addison Reed and Zach Duke might have shifted the bullpen into one of the team’s strengths.

    Some less experienced players are going to find themselves in the minors to start the year. Tyler Kinely was selected in the Rule 5 Draft but the bullpen is already crowded. The Twins could work out a deal with Miami to keep him in the minors. Hughes is going to have to take the place of another arm. Names like Alan Busenitz, John Curtiss and Gabriel Moya are going to have to continue to prove themselves in the minors as they wait for their opportunity.

    Pre Off-Season Bullpen: Trevor Hildenberger, Ryan Pressly, Taylor Rogers, Tyler Duffey, Alan Busenitz, John Curtiss, Jake Reed

    Current Bullpen: Fernando Rodney, Addison Reed, Trevor Hildenberger, Ryan Pressly, Zack Duke, Taylor Rogers, Phil Hughes

    Designated Hitter Effect

    Even after having offseason surgery, Miguel Sano will continue to get time on the defensive side of the ball. There may be a time in his career where he is relegated to a designated hitter role. Over the last two seasons, Joe Mauer has averaged 23 starts at DH. Other names like Kennys Vargas and Robbie Grossman entered camp with a chance to earn some time as the designated hitter. Logan Morrison’s signing changed some of those plans.

    Kennys Vargas seems like the odd-man out in the new DH equation. His lack of defensive position makes him more replaceable than someone like Robbie Grossman. Minnesota can put Grossman on the bench and have him serve in a fourth outfielder role. Vargas seems redundant with more proven hitters like Morrison, Sano and Mauer ahead of him on the DH depth chart.

    Pre Off-Season DH Options: Robbie Grossman, Kennys Vargas, Miguel Sano, Joe Mauer

    Current DH Options: Logan Morrison, Robbie Grossman, Miguel Sano, Joe Mauer

    Who has been impacted the most by the moves of this off-season? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.

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    Yeah. I suspect the front office had to go to ownership hat in hand to sign Lynn but I doubt Sanchez was even in the discussion.

    Unless adding Lynn was going to top the agreed-on budget cap, I can imagine DSP or JP saying, "put your hat back on and get outta here. Why are you even bothering me? One year? This is what I pay you to decide." :)

     

    Unless adding Lynn was going to top the agreed-on budget cap, I can imagine DSP or JP saying, "put your hat back on and get outta here. Why are you even bothering me? One year? This is what I pay you to decide." :)

    Yeah, my point is that I doubt they had clearance for Lynn in the original budget. They even talked about being done with moves before that point, which indicates they didn't have much space left to spend.

     

    Not ever has he averaged 6 innings a game.   That is not a number 3.  Swinging strike number is average. WHIP is way above average. They see it and don't swing at it and get a walk or the eventually see one and get a hit. As he will turn 25 there would be a lot of development in a short period of time,

    Arrieta, Wacha, Tanaka... none of them average 6 innings. Arrieta only 5.5. I'd consider all of those guy's 2's or 3's.  League average for S/M % was 9.8% so he was above average. WHIP was high, yes but he had a below average HR/9 of 1.19 which means a slightly higher whip than average will play.... Also it was his rookie season, not many players come out and dominate rookie year. And to remind you I'm not saying he's a number 3 RIGHT NOW. Saying he could be with development.

     

    Arrieta, Wacha, Tanaka... none of them average 6 innings. Arrieta only 5.5. I'd consider all of those guy's 2's or 3's.  League average for S/M % was 9.8% so he was above average. WHIP was high, yes but he had a below average HR/9 of 1.19 which means a slightly higher whip than average will play.... Also it was his rookie season, not many players come out and dominate rookie year. And to remind you I'm not saying he's a number 3 RIGHT NOW. Saying he could be with development.

    Yup Arrietta had a bad season for him. That may have cost him a lot of money. He still got a great contract based on the prior years. 

    Swing and miss numbers are nice. Contact was the problem.  An .850 ops against is not very good considering he had a slightly below average hr/9. League average  ops was around .750

    Some pitchers with command develop late. The issue is quality of pitches besides a slider.

     

    Arrieta, Wacha, Tanaka... none of them average 6 innings. Arrieta only 5.5. I'd consider all of those guy's 2's or 3's.  League average for S/M % was 9.8% so he was above average. WHIP was high, yes but he had a below average HR/9 of 1.19 which means a slightly higher whip than average will play.... Also it was his rookie season, not many players come out and dominate rookie year. And to remind you I'm not saying he's a number 3 RIGHT NOW. Saying he could be with development.

    Bob Hemelin could have  had a great career, but did not. Could be is far far different than is.  Swing and miss 9.8%,  is nice an ops for the other team was .822 was .750 overall.   He is better than Slegers but you never know, Slegers could develop into a number 3




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