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    Is it Time for a Roster Reshuffle?


    Cody Christie

    Minnesota has hit a little bit of a slump. After being swept by the Tampa Bay Rays, the New York Yankees made quick work of the Twins on Monday night. Outside of Jose Berrios, Minnesota’s starters have struggled and the bullpen has been taxed. It might be time to think about reshuffling the roster. New faces might infuse some life into the club at this early juncture in the season.

    What candidates are poised for promotion? Who hasn’t performed up to expectations so far this year?

    Image courtesy of Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports

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    Pitching Problems

    Minnesota’s pitchers have the seventh worse ERA in the American League, which puts them in the middle of the pack. With the help of Jose Berrios, Twins starters have the fifth best ERA in the AL. However, Twins starters have pitched the fewest innings of any AL starting staff but weather played a role in this total as well.

    A revamped bullpen was supposed to help the Twins stay in playoff contention. So far this year, only the Royals and the White Sox have a higher bullpen ERA. Minnesota has the fifth highest BB/9 and K/9 totals in the American League. New additions Fernando Rodney (4.05 ERA), Zack Duke (7.94 ERA) and Tyler Kinley (24.30 ERA) have struggled in multiple appearances.

    RHP Alan Busenitz was optioned to Rochester following Monday’s debacle in the Bronx. LHP Gabriel Moya has also joined Rochester this week. In four appearances (4 innings), Busenitz allowed three runs on eight hits with seven strikeouts and two walks. Moya made five appearances and allowed six runs on six hits including three home runs.

    Tyler Kinley was a Rule 5 Draft pick but he has mostly been used in mop-up duty so far this year. Even in these low-leverage situations, he has surrendered nine runs in 3 1/3 innings. The Twins might not be able to hide him in the bullpen for much longer. Trevor Hildenberger was great at the end of last season but he has struggled in 2018. Through 9 2/3 innings, he has surrendered five earned runs and has a six to four strikeout to walk ratio.

    Reevaluating Rochester

    Tyler Duffey was announced as the roster replacement for Busenitz. Duffey made four appearances at Triple-A and he was asked to pitch more than one inning in every outing. He pitched three innings or more in three of his four appearances. Duffey hasn’t allowed an earned run so far this season and he has 14 strikeouts in 11 innings. Opponents are hitting .086/.108/.114 so he should be a welcome addition to the bullpen.

    Two other promotion candidates are John Curtiss and Aaron Slegers. Curtiss has put together a strong track record in the minor leagues with plenty of late-inning experience. Last season between Chattanooga and Rochester, he had a 1.28 ERA with 68 strikeouts in 49.1 innings. This year he’s allowed three runs in seven innings with 12 strikeouts. Slegers has been utilized as a starter for Rochester this season. He’s made three starts (18.0 innings) and allowed four earned runs.

    If the Twins are going to add another bullpen arm, Curtiss seems the most likely candidate. Phil Hughes might be a candidate to move to the bullpen and Slegers could fill his spot at the back of the rotation. Slegers could slide into a long relief role because Minnesota is probably going to stick with their current starting staff.

    Prepping for Prospects

    Some of the team’s top prospects might also be getting closer to making their big league debuts. Fernando Romero has been impressive so far this season at Rochester. In three appearances (two starts), he has a 1.69 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP. Stephen Gonsalves continues to thrive for Chattanooga. In 15.1 innings, he has allowed three earned runs (two home runs) with a 0.98 WHIP. Both players are on the 40-man roster so that makes a call-up a little easier.

    For position players, Zack Granite made multiple appearances with the Twins last season. So far with Rochester, he’s gone 5-for-31 and added eight walks. Unfortunately, he was placed on the disabled list this past weekend with a right shoulder contusion. Nick Gordon has been hitting well at Chattanooga to start the season. Through the team’s first 17 games, he is batting .375/.382/.578 with seven extra-base hits and a 10 to 2 strikeout to walk ratio.

    Jorge Polanco’s suspension might have opened a window for Gordon. He isn’t on the team’s 40-man roster so that complicates his call-up situation. That being said, Gordon should debut at some point in 2018 and he could be a boost to the lineup.

    How would you reshuffle the lineup? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.

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    Right now I’d either send Lance Lynn to AAA or if I can’t do that put him in the bullpen and call up Aaron Slegers to fill that rotation spot. At least gambling on Slegers out preforming Lynn would seem like a sure bet. Lynn needs his head screwed on right, as of now he is our biggest liability in the rotation. We simply cannot send him out only to see his ERA balloon any further. As for replacing Hughes, we’ll have to see what he can do. If he stinks for a few starts perhaps we can replace him with Lynn (provided Lynn actually improves out of the Twins rotation). After that it’s a toss-up between Romero and Gonsalves if Lynn and Hughes (or Gibson) can’t figure out how to pitch effectively.

    Sano gets on base more than either of them, before this year, and likely by the end of the year.

    I don’t think Sano will post a better obp than Kepler this year, or frankly any year going forward. Max looks extremely confident and comfortable at the plate. Not so much a dig on Sano. I just think Kepler will break out this year in a big way and not look back.

     

    8 strikeouts. The only Twin with fewer is Mitch Garver with 7. He has the same number as LaMarre and Adrianza. He actually has a pretty low BABIP of .265. But that is in line with his career mark. I think the next step for him will be learning the ability to use all fields and get that BABIP closer to .300.

     

    17 hits. 10 for extra bases. He is locked in and raking in a big way.

     

    Right now I’d either send Lance Lynn to AAA or if I can’t do that put him in the bullpen and call up Aaron Slegers to fill that rotation spot. At least gambling on Slegers out preforming Lynn would seem like a sure bet. Lynn needs his head screwed on right, as of now he is our biggest liability in the rotation. We simply cannot send him out only to see his ERA balloon any further. As for replacing Hughes, we’ll have to see what he can do. If he stinks for a few starts perhaps we can replace him with Lynn (provided Lynn actually improves out of the Twins rotation). After that it’s a toss-up between Romero and Gonsalves if Lynn and Hughes (or Gibson) can’t figure out how to pitch effectively.

    Look, I really want some roster shake-up too, but Slegers is a AAAA talent who barely projects to be a #5 pitcher in the rotation. If Lynn is going anywhere, it's to the DL with a mysterious injury. For as bad as he's looked, I wouldn't put him behind Hughes yet... Phil has at least two seasons of poor pitching to his name, Lynn has 4 starts.

     

    I am ready for  Romero to join the starting rotation yesterday. I would rather see him develop and take some lumps in the major leagues than continue to wach Lance Lynn or Phil Hughes waste opportunity's for start's. Neither of those two guys is worth keeping in the rotation. I don't think I can stomach to many more Lance Lynn or Phil Hughes short starts, it is like deja vu from last year.

     

    It's kind of the Twin MO though throughout the years. Sign washed up vets and let them get their head beat in for half a season before making a change. I am always of the belief if you are going to sign FAs, sign high end guys and forget about guys like Lance Lynn. IMO, there are 2-3 guys in our system right now that could do as good or better than he has for the league minimum, with no feelings of "having" to keep them in the rotation because you have a decent wad of money invested in them.

    \

     

    And Gordon should have been here when the suspension was put in.  Why wait?

     

    Because the starting shortstop is hitting .303/.351/.561 with a .381 wOBA and a 139 wRC+ and the starting second baseman .264/.340/.448 with a  .347 wOBA and a 116 wRC+ in the majors.

     

    Unless you want him to play in a corner OF position, right now they are better players than him occupying the positions he can play.

     

    That's why.




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