nicksaviking
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Everything posted by nicksaviking
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The Twins rarely miss the JUCO or college Juniors and all of those guys have already signed this year. It's the HS kids drafted late that's always a different animal. -
I mean, all things being equal, obviously I'd like to sign either of those two players. Teams rarely sign those late round HS bonus grabs, but the ones that do sign, do any of them ever work out? Serious question, I can't think of any, but obviously I don't know the draft background of every MLB player.
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That contract could be accurate, but that bolded part is absolutely wrong. Verlander was the best free agent pitcher last year, and he was only a free agent in name because he had his mind made up to two locations by the time the season was over. Bassitt and Eovaldi were a bit younger than Gray, but similar, but there are better pitchers this off season than all of them, if Gray can't get that third year, the Twins QO pick probably comes in comp round B. Not saying Gray won't but it's certainly a possibility.
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I'm not in favor or trading Gray, but I don't think he's a workhorse, he pitches fewer innings per start than Ryan, Lopez and Ober. And for good reason, he does start to wear down earlier in games. He hasn't gone 7 innings since April. It's also not exactly a 1st round pick they get, it comes after the first round, something like pick 33-40. But that's only if Gray signs for 50M+. Say teams shy away from his age and he only gets 2 years at 20M each, than the Twins pick would come AFTER the second round. That said, if the Twins traded Gray and got a controllable young starter in return that could be plugged into the 5th spot into the rotation right now, I'd listen.
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How was his floor Cincinnati? He was a consensus top five pick, no agent in his right mind would set his floor as anything lower than where he was taken. And we have no idea what the contract talks are, the Twins are trying to save money, obviously, so we don't even know if he'd be passing on 7M. They may have been pushing for him to take less all this time.
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They probably won't sign, but there's no way they'd have already taken 150K if there was a chance they could sign for more than that by waiting.
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I don't know why we'd blame Boras. The Twins likely wanted to pay Walker as little as possible to try to sign the remaining HS kids and Walker's camp likely wanted Walker to get paid as closely to the other four elite top picks as possible. Which, obviously is Boras' job and the right thing to do.
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- mlb draft 2023
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The Orioles have a good youth movement, but they look like one of those teams that is just winning with enthusiasm. Their best hitter is Ryan O'Hearn somehow. I think they'll get walloped in the post season; they better hope they get that bye. As for Atlanta, yeah, they're clearly the league's best team and should win it all. Which almost certainly means they won't. Speaking nothing of the Twins playoff chances, but looking at the schedule, the Twins and Rangers play August 24th. Currently the Twins are the doormat playoff team, but I'm betting when that series rolls around, whichever team wins that series will be in the drivers seat for the #2 seed.
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Rumor: Andrew McCutchen May Not Be On Trade Market
nicksaviking replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
He's only started 7 games in the OF this year, and in the off season the Twins sure seemed intent on fielding a decent defensive outfield group. If the Twins were to finally put Buxton on the IL, I think they could use that DH spot better by rotating guys through it rather than locking it up once again. -
Considering a Trade for Ryan Mountcastle
nicksaviking replied to Matt Braun's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Yeah, this is the deal with me. Mountcastle, Cron and most of the other fairly blasé names we keep hearing aren't exactly offensive juggernauts. We're not likely getting .800+ OPS guys in trades, which I know sounds like it's demanding a lot, but the young internal options have been pulling it off. Julien, Jeffers, Kirilloff, Wallner and Lewis all have been able to reach that kind of production. Miranda and Larnach whiffed, relatively speaking, but that's a 71% success rate so far. Obviously that rate could go either way by the end of the season, but I'd rather stick with what's working. Can other internal options hit like them? Maybe not, but the best part about the guys already in the system is, that the team can keep trying new ones until they find the parts that click. We don't get that option by trading for someone. For all intents and purposes, they're stuck on the roster and all we can do is cross our fingers. As unlikely as it sounds, when it comes to a modest free agent or the field (the field being the guys already in the organization) the odds are much more likely that someone from the field will be more useful. -
Considering a Trade for Ryan Mountcastle
nicksaviking replied to Matt Braun's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Sorry, but this sounds like a trade just for the sake of trading. I don't see him as an upgrade to Kirilloff, nor to whomever Kirilloff would bump upon a move from 1B. Probably more importantly, this team doesn't need another league strikeout crown contender. The only offensive trades they should be making, are ones that are clearly and enthusiastically an upgrade to what is in the starting lineup now. Go big or stay put. -
Right, the Twins can’t trade for what they actually need. Don’t trade just for the sake of trading.
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Both teams say 'NO' and hang up emphatically. The only question is, if neither team made the call, how were they talking to each other in the first place?!?
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- alex kirilloff
- paul goldschmidt
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The Cardinals have said Walker is unavailable. As to the other names, I just don't see much point in getting more hitters who's peak potential is that of an average hitter. This team's problem is not having middle of the order bats, they need top tier, .850+ OPS, well rounded hitters. And I don't think this team is able to get any of those, and even if they could, my guess is still that ownership will not give them a chance to mess up another big time trade.
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No, I'd start by booting the veteran outfielders first. Truly, I don't dislike Castro, just the situation the Twins have put themselves in. But I don't care about the division title. My goal is to build a sustainable World Series contender, and I don't think this organization has had an honest to goodness contender since 2006. Obviously Castro here and now is the safer choice for the division title though and I don't fault anyone else for prioritizing that at the moment. Going with the youth is my own preference.
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Throughout the entire history of this game, AAA players coming up and being ready-made studs has been the exception, not the rule. Most players need to come up and take their lumps before they show if they're going to be any good.
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Any of them could and we won't know until they start giving them a shot.
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Yeah, I'm used to having a utility player on the team, but for the foreseeable future, I want to see them giving as many MLB ABs as possible to these guys, Sure, some could use time in AAA, but others could audition right now. They have enough players with flexibility to make that happen even without a traditional utility player. It's not ideal, but the clock is ticking. If Brian Dozier or Luis Arraez had been coming up as non-elite prospects right now, would we have ever known what they could have become? There just seems like too many mouths to feed at the moment and most aren't getting fed. I'd also be more than happy to compromise on the matter and wait to do anything until Lewis comes back. Then with Correa's backup on the roster, Castro could be optioned and the search for the future could commence in force.
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I'd start by looking at every St. Paul Saint with an OPS over .800.
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WAR isn't the omnipotent data point you think it is. It values defense way too highly. I most certainly can say that offense is more important than defense. It's also harder to find, so we should be looking for that first.
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Sure, I'll give you a list. This team needs to give as many ABs as possible to the following to see which one's sink or swim: Julien, Lewis, Miranda, Prato, Williams, Martin, Helman, Lee, Severino, Gray, Soularie and Isola. All of those guys have higher upside than Castro and play infield. The way this team is running things, they'll never have a chance to give half of them a legit audition. Clear the deck, start doing it now.
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How's my argument null and void when I said elite defense is a luxury and basically all of his WAR is tied up in the defense side? This team desperately needs offense and their only hope for fixing that is in AAA and AA.
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Normally I wouldn't mind him as a utility player, but with Correa glued to one infield position long term and literally a dozen infield-capable young players between the majors, AAA and AA who should currently be in consideration for the roles, I'd like to clear the stage for open auditions ASAP.
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Those things are bonuses, not essential. Offense is essential and until the Twins can figure out how to put a lineup of quality hitters together, elite defense and stealing bases should take a back seat.
