iTwins

As long as Pelfrey isn't the best arm the Twins sign this winter, I'm fine with bringing him back. He's a perfectly serviceable back of the rotation guy. At the right price, go for it - just don't back off of Garza, Arroyo, Nolasco et. all because you signed Pelfrey.

I'll second (third?) John's post. There's too many players just like Kubel on the Twins roster right now. I'd rather see the opportunities go to Arcia and (eventually) Rosario. I enjoyed Kubel while he was a Twin, but I don't see the fit for this team.

Doumit, Willingham, Collabello, Arcia - the Twins already have a roster full of players with his skillset. Arcia still has upside and the potential to develop into a more balanced (consistent) hitter - I'd rather he get the at-bats. I wouldn't mind Kubel as a bench bat/DH fill in if the Twins had room, but without one of the above players being traded, I don't see the fit.

Exactly. Last year felt like anytime the Twins were mentioned, they were just "in the market" and weren't ever connected to anyone. Just the fact that there are now names being connected to them is an improvement. Now it feels like they're in the market AND they brought a list. Hopefully, they remembered their wallet.

I think signing Baker would be a move that makes sense for both parties. The Twins need all of the quality arms they can get, and when healthy, Baker is certainly a quality arm. Baker needs to sign with someone that will give him opportunities to start (so he can rebuild his value) and the Twins wide open rotation can give him that opportunity. I'd love to see Baker on a two year contract, but wouldn't balk at a one year deal if that's what it takes to bring him back.

I've been a reader of this site since its infancy. I stop by everyday (sometimes multiple times in a day) and read just about every forum post and article that goes up. I even write my own blog posts on the Twins - I just don't post them here, partially because I didn't want to be "pounced on" for having an opinion / post that differs from the consensus. I love the debate that occurs within the comments. I agree with others that the negativity can be a bit off-putting and can keep me from wading into a topic. I do understand and appreciate the negativity, however, as I think it shows the passion of the fanbase. We all want the Twins to win - while we have different ideas of how we'll get there and who will be able to achieve these goals - at the end of the day, it's all the same goal. Those discussions are interesting to read and are important to "air out", in my opinion. My two cents for this offseason: While I'd love to see Tanaka signed by the Twins, the Yankees reportedly being in the market for him makes me believe the Twins simply have zero chance of signing the potential ace. I hope I'm wrong on that account, but I'm not holding my breath. I'd like the Twins to persue Phil Hughes. His home/road splits intrigue me and I think he could become a very reliable pitcher if he's simply removed from that matchbox sized Yankee Stadium. Target Field's spacious OF has to be good for someone - right? I'd also take a chance on Josh Johnson. Yes, his injuries are a concern and there is a chance his contract could end up being money down the drain, but when he's healthy, there are few pitchers better than him - certainly no one in the Twins rotation now is as good as a healthy Josh Johnson. Finally, I'd re-sign Mike Pelfrey. (I cannot believe I'm saying this, his slow pace and inconsistent performance drove me NUTS last season). He seems due to have a better season after recovering from TJ surgery - hopefully he could be a bit of an innings eater / veteran presence at the back end of the rotation for the Twins. Thanks for this thread - it was a good idea! I'll try to "lurk less-post more" in the future - maybe I'll even post some of my blog stuff here...

Kohl Stewart is interesting, simply because of his great potential. The Twins need pitching, but I don't know if I'd take the risk of drafting a high school pitcher (who will hit the majors in 2017 if we're lucky) just because the 2013-2014 Twins need starters. I'd go with Bryant. Take the bat and hope you have too many talented hitters and not enough positions to play them. That's a good problem to have.

Some guys are just done in by their mechanics. Seems like Zumaya simply puts more stress on his arm than his body can handle. Unfortunately, this news was almost expected given his history. Here's hoping the Twins make another move to replace Zumaya. (All of this assuming the worst of course).

This really put a blow to my optimism for this season. I was really hopeful Morneau would be back to his old self this year. Instead, he sounds like he's resigned to his fate - an early retirement. Hopefully the Twins are proactive in this situation and find a replacement 'just in case'.

I do the exact same thing. Unfortunately I simply didn't have a hat to counter 2011's bad mojo.

I subscribed to MLB TV for the first time last year and I'll being paying for it again this season. I was very impressed with the quality of the feed (HD or at least very close to HD) and the ability to listen to the games on my phone while at work (via the At Bat app - now included with the premium version) makes this well worth the price.

As much as it pains me, I voted for the Tigers to win the division - but I don't see them running away with it. I don't think their defense is good enough to make them elite and I don't see the Twins being nearly as bad as they were last year. A healthier Twins team, a competitive Royals squad and a good Indians team will keep this division tight.

I have a sinking feeling that they'll be carrying 3 catchers into the regular season. Mauer and Doumit will likely rotate between C/1B/DH given the situation, meaning Butera will have to be held around out of simple necessity.

I'm hoping that Nishi's first year was simply the result of trying to adjust and being in way over his head. That being said, I don't think he's shown any inkling of being major league ready. Ideally, the Twins will let him develop in AAA for at least the first half of the year, just to see if he has what it takes to be a major league player. Right now, he just looks like a bad investment.

[FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3] Kyle Gibson was lights out last night as he held the Mariners scoreless over six innings of work. He scattered 7 hits, but only walked one batter while striking out three to turn in his 8[SUP]th[/SUP] dominate performance on the year, improving his overall record to 8 wins, 7 losses. The problem is, there doesn’t seem to be any middle ground when it comes to Gibson’s starts. Either he’s lights out, like he was last night in Seattle (6.0IP, 7H, 0ER, 1BB, 3K) or he’s knocked out, like his outing against the Yankees on July 4[SUP]th[/SUP] (2.0 IP, 6H, 5ER, 1BB, 0K). One or two starts with such a variance wouldn’t mean much. Starters have bad outings, even staff ace Phil Hughes has thrown a clunker or two this season. Gibson, however, isn’t just having "one or two" all or nothing starts. Seemingly every start is defined by the all or nothing principal. Take a look at the splits: [TABLE] [TR] [TH]Split [/TH] [TH]G [/TH] [TH]PA [/TH] [TH]AB [/TH] [TH]R [/TH] [TH]H [/TH] [TH]2B [/TH] [TH]3B [/TH] [TH]HR [/TH] [TH]SB [/TH] [TH]CS [/TH] [TH]BB [/TH] [TH]SO [/TH] [TH]SO/W [/TH] [TH]BA [/TH] [TH]OBP [/TH] [TH]SLG [/TH] [TH]OPS [/TH] [TH]TB [/TH] [TH]GDP [/TH] [TH]HBP [/TH] [TH]SH [/TH] [TH]SF [/TH] [TH]IBB [/TH] [TH]ROE [/TH] [TH]BAbip [/TH] [TH]tOPS+ [/TH] [TH]sOPS+ [/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]in Wins [/TD] [TD]8 [/TD] [TD]216 [/TD] [TD]198 [/TD] [TD]5 [/TD] [TD]41 [/TD] [TD]5 [/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]1 [/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]1 [/TD] [TD]17 [/TD] [TD]28 [/TD] [TD]1.65 [/TD] [TD].207 [/TD] [TD].270 [/TD] [TD].247 [/TD] [TD].517 [/TD] [TD]49 [/TD] [TD]8 [/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]1 [/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]3 [/TD] [TD].237 [/TD] [TD]58 [/TD] [TD]85 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]in Losses [/TD] [TD]7 [/TD] [TD]136 [/TD] [TD]124 [/TD] [TD]40 [/TD] [TD]47 [/TD] [TD]11 [/TD] [TD]2 [/TD] [TD]5 [/TD] [TD]1 [/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]9 [/TD] [TD]12 [/TD] [TD]1.33 [/TD] [TD].379 [/TD] [TD].419 [/TD] [TD].621 [/TD] [TD]1.040 [/TD] [TD]77 [/TD] [TD]5 [/TD] [TD]1 [/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]2 [/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]2 [/TD] [TD].385 [/TD] [TD]213 [/TD] [TD]125 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]in No Dec. [/TD] [TD]3 [/TD] [TD]71 [/TD] [TD]68 [/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]10 [/TD] [TD]3 [/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]2 [/TD] [TD]1 [/TD] [TD]3 [/TD] [TD]13 [/TD] [TD]4.33 [/TD] [TD].147 [/TD] [TD].183 [/TD] [TD].191 [/TD] [TD].374 [/TD] [TD]13 [/TD] [TD]2 [/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]1 [/TD] [TD].182 [/TD] [TD]14 [/TD] [TD]9 [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] 　 That’s a startling difference. He’s essentially allowing opposing batters to hit 170 points better in average in losses while seeing opponent’s OPS double (!) Obviously, in a loss, starters are going to post worse numbers than they do in wins, but they splits are not typically this wide or dramatic. Initially it looked like Gibson’s struggles were attributable to home / road splits. In his home starts since the beginning of the season, Gibson has had only two "clunkers" [B]Home Starts: [/B] [TABLE] [TR] [TD][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]Date [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 31%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]Innings [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 45%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]Earned Runs [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="width: 23%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]4/11 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 31%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]6.1 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 45%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]1 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="width: 23%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]4/17 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 31%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]8.0 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 45%"][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="width: 23%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]4/30 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 31%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]6.2 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 45%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]5 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="width: 23%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]5/16 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 31%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]7.0 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 45%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]1 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="width: 23%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]5/28 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 31%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]6.0 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 45%"][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="width: 23%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]6/7 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 31%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]7.0 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 45%"][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="width: 23%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]7/4 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 31%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]2.0 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 45%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]5 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3] While his road starts have been a bit rougher: [B] Road Starts: [/B][/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [TABLE] [TR] [TD][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]Date [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 38%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]Innings [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 34%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]Earned Runs [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="width: 29%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]4/5 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 38%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]5.0 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 34%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]1 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="width: 29%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]4/22 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 38%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]3.0 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 34%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]7 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="width: 29%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]5/5 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 38%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]7.0 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 34%"][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="width: 29%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]5/10 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 38%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]2.0 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 34%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]6 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="width: 29%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]5/23 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 38%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]5.0 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 34%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]5 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="width: 29%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]6/2 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 38%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]6.0 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 34%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]4 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="width: 29%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]6/13 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 38%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]7.0 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 34%"][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="width: 29%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]6/18 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 38%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]7.0 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 34%"][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="width: 29%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]6/24 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 38%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]2.0 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 34%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]7 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="width: 29%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]6/29 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 38%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]8.0 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 34%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]2 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="width: 29%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]7/9 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 38%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]6.0 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 34%"][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="width: 29%"]　 [/TD] [TD="width: 38%"]　 [/TD] [TD="width: 34%"]　 [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3] 　 Early in the season, the solution seemed simple. For whatever reason, Kyle Gibson struggled away from Target Field. However, Gibson’s last few starts have made that assessment a bit inaccurate. He’s turned in quality outings in Texas, Boston and Detroit while his last "dud" start came at home. It’s clearly not as simple as home / road struggles. So, let’s dig a bit deeper. Maybe this is all just a matter of pitch selection? [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [TABLE] [TR] [TD][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]Date [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]Opp [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]FB% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]FBv [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]SL% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]SLv [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]CB% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]CBv [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]CH% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]CHv [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="width: 12%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]7/9/2014 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]@SEA [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3] [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3] [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3] [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3] [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3] [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3] [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3] [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3] [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="width: 12%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]7/4/2014 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]NYY [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]57.70% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]90.9 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]23.10% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]83.7 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]3.90% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]79 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]15.40% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]83.3 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="width: 12%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]6/29/2014 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]@TEX [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]67.40% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]92.2 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]24.20% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]85.5 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]2.10% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]80.5 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]6.30% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]84.5 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="width: 12%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]6/24/2014 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]@LAA [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]62.00% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]92.6 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]20.00% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]85 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]2.00% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]82 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 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10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]78.3 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]12.70% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]82.5 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="width: 12%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]6/7/2014 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]HOU [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]65.10% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]89.9 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]18.90% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]83.8 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]2.80% 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10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]2.60% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]79 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]3.90% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]83.3 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="width: 12%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]5/28/2014 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]TEX [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]67.30% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]91.5 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]20.60% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]84.7 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10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]85.5 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]9.70% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]81 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]12.50% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]83.8 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="width: 12%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]5/16/2014 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]SEA [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]68.80% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]90.9 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]12.50% 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10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]33.30% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]84.6 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3] [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3] [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]10.40% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]83.2 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="width: 12%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]5/5/2014 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]@CLE [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]69.00% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]90.5 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]7.00% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]85.6 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]7.00% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]79.4 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]17.00% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]82.7 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="width: 12%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]4/30/2014 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]LAD [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]64.40% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]91 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]19.80% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]82.4 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]3.00% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]79 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]12.90% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]83.2 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="width: 12%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]4/22/2014 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]@TBR [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]68.60% 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10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]80.00% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]90.9 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]11.40% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]83.7 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3] [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3] [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]8.60% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]82.9 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="width: 12%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]4/11/2014 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]KCR [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]67.00% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]91.3 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]19.00% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]83.2 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]3.00% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]78.7 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]11.00% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]83 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="width: 12%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]4/5/2014 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]@CLE [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]69.10% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]90.4 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]13.40% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]82 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3] [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3] [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]17.50% [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [TD="width: 10%"][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]81.8 [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3] That big block of data does have some interesting points. Mainly, in wins, Gibson is using his fastball between 60%-70% while in losses the fastball usage resides closer to 51%-57% of the time. Why is Gibson shying away from his fastball in losses? It looks like he’s struggling to locate the pitch. Here’s Gibson’s Pitch F/X data from his 7/4 start against the Yankees: [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][CENTER][attachment=7461:5183.attach] [/CENTER] 　 Look at the gray squares, which indicate Gibson’s sinker. As you can see, Gibson struggled to locate his sinker leaving many balls out of the zone. That caused him to fall behind to batters and then come into the zone with a different pitch (since his sinker control was off) – thus resulting in a fireworks performance courtesy of the Yankee bats. The trend repeats in his 6/24 start against the Angels. [CENTER][attachment=7462:5184.attach] [/CENTER] 　 Again, there’s little consistency in the location of his sinker and not surprisingly, the results are very similar to the start against the Yankees. Finally, look at the Pitch F/X data from his 6/29 start against Texas and the start yesterday against Seattle. 　 [CENTER][attachment=7463:5185.attach] [attachment=7464:5186.attach] [/CENTER] [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=3]A majority of his sinkers are low in the zone and are grouped nicely. Greater control yielded a better result. Admittedly, that’s a lot of data to comb over to simply reach the conclusion that Gibson is better when he can control his pitches. That policy applies to every starter in the league (outside of maybe Sam Deduno who in fact may be better when he has no idea where the ball is going). What’s startling is just how dramatic the results are when Gibson is struggling with control and when he’s on. Every starter will battle control issues from time to time and even the best starters get knocked around a bit, but I don’t know that I’ve ever scene a player as all or nothing as Kyle Gibson. Hopefully, Gibson can improve on these results as he continues to learn and grow. He’ll need to learn how to pitch when his best stuff just isn’t with him – even Kevin Correia and Ricky Nolasco can turn in quality outings when their command is evading them. It seems like Gibson’s struggles may simple be because he hasn’t figured out how to work with what he has on any given night. Hopefully as he pitches further into the season, he’ll figure things out and we’ll stop seeing so many "boom or busts" starts from the Twins’ righty. [/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] View full article