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savvyspy

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Everything posted by savvyspy

  1. savvyspy
    Playing an actual replacement level outfielder in RF instead of Sano would insure #2 is correct. I don't think that outfielder needs to be named Torii Hunter. This disaster has nothing to do with Hunter and everything to do with a front office that is unable or unwilling to do its job correctly.
  2. savvyspy
    Robbie Grossman........ Did the team announce that on the deck of the USS Missouri? I fully expect the white flag to be flying over Target Field tonight against the Jays.
  3. savvyspy
    I'd rather see the team contracted than have Rob Antony as GM just to avoid the frustration. Negotiating contracts is maybe priority #30 for this organization right now. Antony is a horrible choice for this team both in fit and the fact that he's a complete Terry Ryan yes man. Jack Goin would probably be the most interesting internal choice. I would have to think he would at least bring the team's approach 25 years into the current century. I still think the best route would be completely cleaning house and bringing in a new regime to start from scratch. Go the Timberwolves route.
  4. savvyspy
    Its not on Meyer. If we take what you said as truth (I am willing to) then he's a reliever and should have been strictly a reliever for some time. Success with only 2 pitches as a starter is difficult. When he only has control of one then that idea is out the door. Move him to the bullpen and see if he can figure it out. Just have a plan and stick to it. Its the organization's job to develop players. Part of that is putting people in a position to succeed. The Twins can't even figure out what positions their top prospects play and their field staff doesn't seem to be on the same page either. Its a complete mess.
  5. savvyspy
    Right.... Kirby Puckett is a career outfielder that at his heaviest was MAYBE 225 lbs. He was 180 lbs as a rookie. BMI is no more relevant than his blood type. Puckett was a Hall of Fame outfielder his entire career. Sano is a 280 lbs DH/3B who has never played in the outfield before this season. Comparing Puckett and Sano is like comparing Apples and the Number 7.
  6. savvyspy
    Why do we not know if a 26 year old "prospect" is a starter or reliever by this point?? This again points to the Twins front office having no plan for these guys. The GM and manager don't even seem like they are on the same page with these guys.
  7. savvyspy
    Tom Kelly would have quit before letting a GM make him put a 280lbs DH in Right Field.
  8. savvyspy
    Yes. Exactly what I said. Mauer needs to start and play everyday.
  9. savvyspy
    Honestly this is exactly what can happen when your GM manages a baseball team with no understanding of what wins baseball games and hope. A smart baseball mind would have looked at last year and said, this was a good year but one where the team clearly over-performed for about 6 weeks in May. Take that stretch out and we were not a very good baseball team. Instead Ryan seems to do the opposite. He filled none of the obvious holes like bullpen, didn't plan at all for the fact that his closer was a disaster for 2 straight 2nd halves, and made one of the most asinine decisions in the history of the game to move the organizations best prospect to the OF because he could be bothered to trade an league average 3rd baseman. The "total system failure" was engineered by one person, Terry Ryan. Molitor's issues seem to be he is pressing for answers and is constantly changing everything. He just needs to calm down and and decide what line up he's going to go with and just ride them for a couple of weeks. That lineup yesterday was a disgrace. Molitor may need to sit Mauer and Dozier down and say, guys we need you in the lineup everyday. We need our best players on the field every game to even have a chance. I put less than 10% of this mess on the players. This organization has no mission, purpose, or plan. Jim Pohlad sounded like a baffoon in that interview. He isn't going to lead in any meaningful way the direction of this organization. Terry Ryan is a dinosaur. The game isn't played the way he thinks anymore. Every decision he makes sets the team back even further. Molitor I think could be a decent manager but not when he's in panic mode. Organizations need leadership and this team is getting none of it for the Twins this season.
  10. savvyspy
    I am confident Buxton will figure things out with a little more seasoning. It takes time to adjust to the majors. Had the rest of the team not been equally as awful you could have probably hid him on the roster for a while longer. Now with Mauer, Park, Sano, and even Dozier starting to warm up at the plate, Buxton's offensive output would have just been gravy and they could afford to keep him with the big club a while longer. I have no issue seeing him in the minors for a bit longer. He'll be back to give it a shot again soon.
  11. savvyspy
    This would be a disappointing development had the FO managed the roster better going into the year. Now that they are a complete dumpster fire, just let them play through it. Murphy's history shows he is better than this. They don't have catching options anywhere in the system so its not like having him work through his issues at the major league level is hindering his development.
  12. savvyspy
    This team makes a giant tire fire look like the St Louis Cardinals front office
  13. savvyspy
    There isn't anyone with an IQ above 30 that would suggest Sano at 245lbs was in the same zip code of reality. Cabrera is an awful comparison. He hasn't played an inning in the outfield since 2005 which not so coincidentally is when he went from 230lbs to 255-260lbs he is now. Sano has never been in the majors below 260 lbs and is probably 275lbs now. This is very simple. There are ZERO players to play outfield at Sano's size LAST YEAR let alone 15lbs heavier which he is this year. You can imagine a case where you can try to shift the blame away from Ryan but you need to use false comparisons and rely on Sano doing something that no one has ever effectively done before. You might see asking a player to do that as part of Terry Ryan's genius but I view it has a very predicable failure that a clueless front office is now trying to CYA by using the EXACT same criticism of the player that they did with David Ortiz.
  14. savvyspy
    An actual GM would have noted his closer basically needed to be shut down in the 2nd half of the season 2 years in a row and noticed a pattern and planned for it in the off season. An actual GM would have seen said pitcher in camp throwing 88-90mph and gone to Plan B before the season started. Our GM instead did nothing but sit on his hands. Oh and give quotes to the local beat writer than the drastic drop in velocity was unconcerning because "outs are more important than MPH on the fastball" That is exhibit 8 billion on why this front office is basically St Paul Saints West. No offense to the Saints.
  15. savvyspy
    This isn't your beer league softball league. Playing a position at the professional level takes years of experience. There have been exactly ZERO cases of anyone in the history of the game playing outfield at 270 lbs or more with any level of competence. Sano NEVER played one inning in the outfield at any professional level. You can't just say, well he's athletic so what the heck. Players that have never played a position at a size and build that history tells you never should be attempted given its common sense track record does not fit any scenario where "players on the field have a part in the teams success" should be offered as a defense of it. Its like saying the Wild should move Dubnick to center because they have a need and "hey he's an athletic guy". That obvious and very predictable failure is on whomever suggested such a ridiculous idea not on the player forced to go along with it. In this case, this train wreck is 100% on Terry Ryan and no one else. He basically has too many DHs on the roster and since for whatever reason Plouffe and Mauer, who are 1000x more suited to play outfield, can't be asked to attempt it, they moved a guy with no experience and at least 30 lbs heavier than the largest outfielders generally are to move out there with VERY predictable results.
  16. savvyspy
    Not sure this is a sound understanding of how calculating risk works. This is like saying a 2 pack a day chain smoker and a marathon runner both have a risk of getting lung cancer. While technically true it vastly underestimates the risk factors for the smoker. Sano playing outfield at his size with zero experience presents many more risk factors that could lead to injury (like diving for balls that land 10 feet in front of him) than a more experienced outfielder. This being said, injury is a secondary reason Sano shouldn't be playing outfield. The primary one being he is horrendous out there (through no fault of his own) and it does the rest of the team a disservice by having to cover for a complete liability because this front office can't manage a roster at a professional level.
  17. savvyspy
    I think Quentin has a chance to make the team. Sano will have to be yanked out of the lineup almost every game for defensive reasons and Molitor is going to need a bat for the late innings after he's forced to pull his cleanup hitter. They will start the season with Sano, Rosario, and Buxton with Quentin and hopefully Arcia. Mastroianni has a decent minor league deal so he's probably the first guy called up even before Kepler in my opinion. Honestly they have a number of good options right now in the outfield. I wish they weren't trying to stash Sano but my guess is that sorts itself out in the first 2 months of the year. Ryan seems to have found a way to make the bullpen worse than last year which is kind of impressive considering how many options he had to make it better. They could have almost complete turnover over the season. I only trust Jepsen and May at this point. The closer is a question mark and the rest of them are replacement level on a good day. I would start with Pressly, Fien, and Tonkin (since he's out of options) and maybe Abad although he's looked pretty average. O'Rourke is useless. Hopefully we see a number of prospects by June or July.
  18. savvyspy
    I think the Sano discussion should center around what other organization would put their best hitter in a position they have never played and has looked awful so far so that the manager has to take his best bat out of the lineup in the 7th inning so they don't hemorrhage more runs defensively. It should then transition to cover the wisdom of making the defense significantly worse on purpose when you already have one of the worst rotations in the majors. Nothing this team is doing with this roster this season even hints Terry Ryan knows anything about how baseball games are won.
  19. savvyspy
    I expect major league teams to start finished products. Its embarrassing that people have lowered the bar to this point. Like another 5 or 6 games makes this any less of a predictable dumpster fire. This isn't D-league softball.
  20. savvyspy
    It is really surprising to see people here completely discount the impact of defense on successful teams. All of the people suggested in this thread including Dave Parker, Puig, Pena, and Carlos Lee were all smaller than Sano some by a lot but more importantly all had experience playing the outfield prior to doing it in the majors. Sano is trying to do this for the first time at the major league level. People should also remember that the closest comp to Sano size wise (Carlos Lee) was an absolute DISASTER defensively by any metric but even he had experience playing the position prior to playing it in the majors. All the other justifications like RF in Target Field is small, someone else in CF can cover more ground, or my favorite "he's pretty athletic" are really nothing more than hope. Successful GMs don't construct rosters for successful teams banking on hope. This move of Sano to the outfield is going to be most likely a complete disaster and at best a really bad idea that will negatively impact the team's defense. A very predictable result given any reasonable analysis of it. The bigger question is going to be what Ryan and the Twins are going to do once it becomes obvious this was a really bad decision and you can't ignore the dumpster fire anymore?
  21. savvyspy
    The fact that this team hasn't won a playoff game in over 10 years, a playoff series in almost 15, and a World Series in 25 but basically is run almost the exact same way by the same type (if not the exact same) people through that entire span tell you all you need to know about this front office. There isn't anything this team does that successful organizations are looking to from an innovation standpoint. Ryan and the entire front office seem like nice people but from a results standpoint they have been complete failures on almost every front. They are dinosaurs whose time has passed them by. From drafting, free agency, roster construction, giving ridiculous contracts to marginal players, lack of interest in analytics, that they won't even entertain platooning players, complete disregard for defense, and finally, their arrogance that this failed outdated approach will somehow work in the future if they just keep doing it. Any success this team has is done in spite of their front office not because of it. Frankly, Molitor should have been manager of the year last season. He took a 65 win roster and almost made it a playoff team when his top players (Perkins and Dozier) really struggled down the stretch. Any hope I have for this year lies SOLELY with my confidence in Molitor and the natural talent of Sano overcoming anything this team is trying to do to change his swing and foolishly putting him in the outfield where he's never played before.
  22. savvyspy
    Our existing options are just as bad as these listed. The front office has masterfully left itself no options which they will turn around and tell everyone "there are no viable options" to improve the bullpen. There really isn't any point in getting upset or even discussing it at this point. Their bullpen is going to be horrendous. They might as well just go with their internal options and get on with it.
  23. savvyspy
    I think it ends up being Rosario, Santana, Buxton, and Sano out of spring training. There will be enough warning signs that the Sano experiment is a horrible idea but the Twins are definitely elite in their stubborness and they will go with it. By mid-May the train will have left the tracks and they are going to be forced into moving Sano back to 3rd/DH and Plouffe will probably get some reps out in RF. This will force the next domino to fall as there aren't enough ABs for their top players and Plouffe gets dealt for a song at the deadline. Kepler is called up the next day. By the end of the season Sano will be the full time third baseman and the outfield will be Rosario, Santana, Kepler, and Buxton. It should be a fun year if all of the young guys are up and playing.
  24. savvyspy
    The fact that a professional front office thinks putting a 275lbs DH/Corner infielder type in the outfield having never played there on any level speaks volumes to where the Twins stack up against the league. This isn't D-league softball. You put Sano in the outfield for an entire season and you better be prepared to score at least 30 more runs just to break even. I've seem comps like Dave Parker and Willie Stargell and neither player was nearly as big as Sano. Stargell may have been big for the era but he was 6'2 and MAYBE 220 lbs. Parker was about the same. Again, big for the era but not even close to Sano. He's 6'5 and conservatively 270lbs. Throw in that both Parker and Stargell actually played the outfield versus Sano who never has and hopefully people start to see what a horrible idea this is.
  25. savvyspy
    What does the lineup look like when Sano in right predictably blows up in the teams face? Does he go back to 3rd? 1st? DH? I think this is the biggest issue facing the lineup. If Santana, Buxton, and Rosario are your OF, where do they play Sano? There is absolutely no evidence Sano, at his size and not having played the position, will be anything but a complete liability in the outfield. That isn't going to work for an entire season. The lineup should be pretty decent if they figure out where to put everyone. Pitching is a completely different story........
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