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diehardtwinsfan

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Everything posted by diehardtwinsfan

  1. Well, he's on pace to, so yes, I do... especially since hitters tend to get better as the season progresses.
  2. Hmm... Darnell pitched yesterday.
  3. In your original post, you did not distinguish, you simply pointed out that Twins' starters have a higher ERA from 75 pitches on. Truth be told though, I suspect you'll see something similar across the majors. Starting pitchers tend to tire as they go further in the game and hitters get better at timing them. Yes I suspect the Twins may have a higher ERA, but like others said, that has more to do with their talent than anything else. The other thing I think you are doing here is looking at this in hindsight. Gardy's job in managing the starting pitching is putting the team in the best position to win the game. The problem lies in that a pitcher might be cruising through X innings and then he suddenly hits a wall. Gardy's job is to see if that guy is getting tired and have an option ready and waiting. I didn't see the Deduno game you sighted, but I'd bet anything that Deduno got hit pretty hard that previous inning and escaped, or he was having troubles locating his spots (which Deduno in particular has issues with). Gardy did what he should do, kept him on a shorter leash. Last, I have to ask, in your first point, you suggested a 75 pitch limit. Now you are saying you want guys in longer. Is there a point to this? I agree you want your starters going 7 two or three games a week. That's a sign that you have a good staff. I don't see any of the pitchers on this staff being able to do that. Oh, and welcome aboard.
  4. from what I've read, he will need it tweaked, but yes, he's not the injury risk that others are.
  5. Truth be told, this was just a way to even out the Span/Meyer trade.
  6. I got lost at your first picture. What was this mailbag about again?
  7. Personally, I'm starting to tire of the sabermetric approach that says that BABIP is only a function of luck. If that was the case, you could throw me out there and be a 5th starter. The reality is that if that happened, I'd get hit around... hard. What you are seeing is that when all the top end talent consolidates in one place (MLB) that BABIP for hitters tends to distribute much more randomly. The stats don't catch the fact that people make adjustments all the time, and this thread is a perfect example of that. One of the big criticisms of Mauer is the fact that he hits into DPs and is not aggressive enough, letting very good pitches go by. That's exactly what he's attempted to change this year, and it's resulted in more Ks, less DPs, more power, and a higher BABIP. The question at hand will be how pitchers adjust.
  8. The radical idea is to have your shut down guy go 2 innings and give him the next day off... Never quite understood bringing a guy out for 1 hitter or for one inning. In 2004, Balfour was absolutely destroying the Yankees, and did so on a dozen pitches, yet he's removed the next inning... Gardy did this enough and ran into pitching problems forcing him to leave Nathan out far longer than he should have...
  9. Pinto went yard again... Wonder if he's going to get moved up to Rochester.
  10. Well, if you plan on carrying 15 pitchers total, you might be able to get away with this. But removing pitchers after 75 pitches is going to destroy your bull pen. I'm not a huge Gardy fan, but that type of strain on the pen will leave you with lots of injured relievers.
  11. It might make sense if next year's draft was going to be weaker, but from what I've heard, next year's is supposed to be a pretty strong draft.
  12. I highly doubt that Sano, Rosario, and Vargas start next year in Minnesota. I suspect all move up to AA after the all star game and will finish the season there with Rochester being their starting destination (assuming they perform well this year) for the 2014 season. All will likely find themselves in Minnesota for a cup of coffee at one point and will be sent down with things to work on unless they absolutely rake.
  13. Signing Sizemore replaces Thomas or Ramirez. It won't be blocking anyone as I suspect Morales is going to AA and Buxton is likely getting promoted shortly as well. As for Hicks. A .700 OPS out of a CF isn't terrible. I think it's pretty close to average, and it's certainly acceptable when you get GG defense from it as well. Given that he's been taking some pretty nice strides forward, I'd say they have to keep up with the experiment. If he stalls, then yes, let him finish the year in Rochester.. especially if Sizemore is getting the job done.
  14. I think this makes sense. His HRs are up a bit too. He's not going to hit 30, but double digits is pretty attainable. The question at hand is whether it's sustainable. Joe is good enough that he might be able to pull off a freakish BABIP...
  15. There are a few interesting names still on the board, but pretty much unsignable at this point. It's mostly org filler, but it would be nice to see them grab a tough sign and try to make it work...
  16. This... Makes me wish that Gray had fallen. He'd have fit right into this... Stewart will likely take a bit longer. To answer the original OP, for the most part he's right. Next fall for Sano and the following for Buxton is likely. I suspect both get promotions in a couple of weeks. Next year's team is going to be more the extended tryout for some of the guys. I fully expect Gibson, Hicks and Arcia to start in Minnesota for 2014 with Meyer and May eventually getting their call up after a stint in Rochester. Pinto will likely get a tryout for the #2 catcher. Rosario should remain pretty close to Sano in terms of his promotion schedule as well. The problem as I see it is at that they still need a SS, some pitching, and possibly a 1B or a stop gap outfielder.
  17. I liked those picks... would have liked one or two more prep kids... That said, if they do something like that in the 11th, I won't complain. I was hoping more for the Cerrano type, but truth be told, I doubt he signs... especially now when it's 100k + whatever extra slot/bonus money they can pony up.
  18. You'll know in a couple of years. Not my favorite pick, but given that they went with a HS pitcher in round 1, it makes sense to grab a faster moving guy in round 2.
  19. Seth made him number 1 a few years back...
  20. It would have been nice if the Twins had grabbed one or two more higher ceiling prep kids... would have thought they had the bonus money to snag someone.
  21. Hey, by any chance is Carlos Salazar still on the board? That's another high upside kid I'd love to see them nab.
  22. I figured he was off the board already... Love this pick.
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