TwinsTerritory
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I wouldn't be opposed to adding Morales. I've seen different estimates for his next contract that vary from 2/24 up to 4/48. I'm not sure I'd want to go 4 years for him with the possibility that Mauer and Sano might end up having to play 1B/DH.
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I guess a lot depends on what they do with Mauer. I personally think he will continue to catch a majority of the time the next few years. Based on their current lineup and what appears to be coming from the minors, I guess I'd be most interested in upgrading at SS and 1B. I'm not a fan of Peralta or Drew and I think that Florimon is actually serviceable as a #9 hitter and solid defender. An upgrade at 1B would seem to make the most sense, but not a lot available there either. I think Napoli resigns with the Red Sox, which would leave Hart or Loney. I guess a 1 year deal plus incentives to Hart might make the most sense if they look to add a bat.
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Yeah, probably not any particularly strong analytical point, more of a gut feeling when it comes to Gallardo. I've watched a bunch of his starts over the past few years and while he would clearly be an upgrade over what the Twins are running out on the mound I really like Bailey more.
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Yovani Gallardo would also be an option, although it worries me that he has thrown a lot of innings for someone his age.
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I didn't realize that Boras is his agent, so you're probably correct although I would argue that 5 years/$85 million is a pretty healthy offer considering that it would be buying out an arbitration year. I definitely wouldn't trade away top 10 prospects w/o an extension in place. If Bailey isn't an option, I'd look to other younger (below 30) pitchers which I know would be hard to find. I don't think we can give up enough to get Price (Sano or Buxton would probably be necessary), although with the new TV money kicking in, I do think we could afford to give him a big extension. I know Brett Anderson was mentioned, but there is a big injury history there. Maybe John Lester or Johnny Cueto would be options if we gave up enough?? As far as Hughes goes, I think he would be a great fit for the Twins philosophy and ballpark. Things might go well and he might be willing to sign a longer deal, or perhaps we could trade him midseason. The Cubs have done a nice job of trading pitchers to stockpile prospects.
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If he can get 3/$33, he may very well take it. My thinking was that at age 27, he might be inclined to take a one year deal, hope to have a better year in a less homer-friendly ballpark, and try to get a 4-5 year contract (at a much higher yearly salary) next year at 28 years old. I guess it comes down to his belief in himself and his willingness to take a risk with a 1-year deal. My $9 million dollar figure might be low. I'd be willing to offer $8-10 million with incentives that would allow him to earn up to $12 million.
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I really think he'll take a 1 year deal and try to raise his value to hit it big next year. I'm not a big fan of going 3 years. Maybe 1 year deal with some incentives and a player/team option for 2015. Think Liriano's deal, but more money.
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After reading the offseason handbook, here is my plan. I'm sure Terry Ryan will follow it! Off-Season Moves 1. 40 Man Roster Remove: Albers, Hermsen, Fryer, Ramirez Add: Polanco, Kepler, Vargas, Oliveros, Wimmers, Darnell 2. Offer arbitration to Duensing, Plouffe, and Swarzak. 3. Trade Eddie Rosario and Aaron Hicks to the Reds for Homer Bailey. Sign Bailey to a 5 year/$85 million contract. 4. Sign Phil Hughes to a 1 year/$9 million contract. Opening Day Roster C: Mauer (23M), Pinto (0.5M) 1B: Parmalee (0.5M), Collabello (0.5M) 2B: Dozier (0.5M) SS: Florimon (0.5M), Escobar (0.5M) 3B: Plouffe (2M) LF: Willingham (7M) CF: Pressley (0.5M) Mastroianni (0.5M) RF: Arcia (0.5M) DH: Doumit (3.5M) SP: Bailey (17M) SP: Hughes (9M) SP: Gibson (0.5M) SP: Deduno (0.5M) SP: Correia (5M) RP: Perkins (3.75M) RP: Burton (3.25M) RP: Fien (0.5M) RP: Duensing (2.5M) RP: Thielbar (0.5M) RP: Pressley (0.5M) RP: Swarzak (1.3M) Total Payroll: $84.3M In Season Moves 1. Sano called up in June 2. Trade Burton, Doumit, and Willingham in July 3. Buxton, Meyer, and May called up in September