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Mike Sixel

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Everything posted by Mike Sixel

  1. Market price is market price.....and sure, you overpay when you are one guy away, but the Twins do not do that either. No one is saying " spend for spends sake"....no one. Please do not insult us with that straw man.
  2. Well, Haren just went 13 million for 1 year.
  3. How does it handcuff them? They will mostly be guys with very low pay in 3 years...how does it handcuff them?
  4. I agree the Orioles were lucky, but it is not about what we think. It is about whether they think they are close, and I think they think that. And Meyer and Gausman are nearly identical prospects.
  5. I would put Sano in a package for Machado.....but that part of the deal is unrealistic. I do think you could get Gausman though. The Orioles can smell it right now....
  6. Morneau, Perkins, 7 million, Hermsenn, Rosario, something else for Machado and Gausman. People laughed when I suggested Span for Gausmann, but that is pretty much what they did in getting Meyer. This will not happen, but I would make the offer. And yes, I know Gausmann would need to be a ptbnl.
  7. Revere may or may not turn out to be a good player, bit the only reason to extend him would be to reduce the risk of losing him because he gets too expensive. This seems to be a low risk at this point, so there is no need to sign him right now. If he gets better, then is the time to think about it.
  8. If you never overpay for a player, how would you handicap the future by doing so?that is, if they will not sign a player this year for too many years, so as to have money available in the future, why would you expect them to spend it in the future? There is an established market for free agents, ans those dollars are not going down. Why do you care if they break even, or make a lot of money?
  9. If you buy a baseball team, you are entering this market. If you are unwilling to pay market prices, you should maybe leave the business. Why should we care if the Twins make good money or break even? Spend the money, or quit the game.
  10. I am shocked that Ryan might be backing off spending money. Never would have predicted that....still hoping.
  11. I want one really good pitcher, one average pitcher and 2 reclamation projects. I do not want all dumpster dives.....still hoping.
  12. either you are not reading what I am saying, I said it badly, or something else is going on. Because I never once said what you are saying I said. Sometimes I wonder if people are willing to listen to people they do not agree with at all. Because it sure does not feel that way a lot on this site.
  13. Not my first choice...for less money, maybe, but I do not think that is what you are asking.
  14. No, putting that money into real pitching would have though. Does no one think cutting cost had anything to do with those decisions? When he replaces guys with expensive guys, I will believe him when he says money is not an issue. You have the right to draw different conclusions from his actions than I do. I just have not, yet, seen actions that would lead me to believe him.
  15. Not what I said. I said signing Willingham was good deal. But I also said I will believe he is trying to make the team better, not just cheaper, when he competes with other teams for players, and signs them. When he increases the payroll, then I will believe him when he says money is not an issue. But he gave that money back to the owners last year....like I also said, still hoping.
  16. I agree the numbers will be much smaller, but since I have not spent the time on this the author has, that's just a guess. I also agree we need a ton more data for the confidence level to increase. None of that means the exercise is a bad one, or proves he is wrong.
  17. Jim, it does not miss other possibilities, but you have certainly offered other good ones, and are offering several tests that could be done to the data. That is how these things should work. Scientific inquiry and rebuttal at its best, if someone does the tests.
  18. Not for me. He was not outbidding anyone for Josh, and was a payroll cut. I want to see him replace a guy with guys a lot more expensive before I believe he will spend what it takes to win. Willingham was a great sign, but it was a budget cut that they then, shockingly pocketed....when he goes out and beats another team for a free agent, then I will believe he is trying to make the team better, not just cheaper. Ymmv.
  19. Better than any option they currently have, and would not cost much. I vote yes.
  20. He has a hypothesis. He then used observation to test the hypothesis. He used math to develop a theory and reach a conclusion. It is the definition of science. Does not mean his conclusion is correct, most theories are incorrect, but even that brings us closer to understanding.
  21. Since this is pretty much what I asked for.....no issues with the trade. But I will not trust him on free agents until he actually signs one he is competing for, for real money. Still hopeful....
  22. Brock, what if it is 10 runs a year? Or 20, instead of 50? And Seth doesn't believe it because he "knows" Butera is good on defense, even though there is zero statistical evidence to back that up. None. His catcher ERA is high, his framing rate is low, what does he actually do well? People used to "know" the earth was flat, and that the sun revolved around the earth too....until we started using science and numbers to figure things out. Were those early attempts precise? No. Did they lead us to the truth, yes, yes they did.
  23. That was awful. Horrible, brutal, awful.
  24. One of my favorites. Very active in the community. Seems like a great human being. I hope he is fully recovered this year. I think they'll deal him at the deadline if they are out of it....
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