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Mike Sixel

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Everything posted by Mike Sixel

  1. Mike Sixel
    This is a great post. I just don't agree on a couple points: 1. They are never outbidding the top teams for a Jon Lester type, imo. The only way they get an ace is to draft or trade for one. 2. Even with Dozier, they aren't likely to be all that good in 2018, unless it all breaks right. Me? I don't like setting my corporate strategy under the assumption that 12-20 things all break 100% correctly. It just doesn't seem prudent. 3. Dozier is a FA in 2 years.....he's worth A LOT more now, than 12-18 months from now. I think the return is significantly different now than when he has 1 year or less of time left under his deal. I also don't think it likely he is as good next year as this year, since, you know, he was one of the best players in baseball last year. 4. Again, that was a great, great post. We just have not reached exactly the same conclusions, nor would we take exactly the same path. Hard to say which of us is more correct (as I think we are both partly correct, frankly).
  2. Mike Sixel
    No, most sports fans are casual fans....they root and watch winners. So, even if they are competitive, they are still "casual" in the sense that if the team starts losing again, they will bail for other fun things to do. Which, frankly, they should. That is one of the incentives in business, put out a good product, or lose money.....
  3. Mike Sixel
    In fairness, imo, Ramos won't play much, if at all, the first half of next year. He may never catch again. He may catch again, but may not. This team needs a catcher, not a DH/catcher. I get the Ramos love, but it comes with considerable risk. The Rays decided they could take that risk. Frankly, given the Red Sox and Yankees and TOR (for another year or two) teams, about all the Rays can do is take risks. If they play the odds, they have no chance to win, as the odds are stacked against them greatly.
  4. Mike Sixel
    The data is clear, winning is what sells tickets. Dozier isn't selling tickets. You can find this information on line, but it is winning that sells tickets.
  5. Mike Sixel
    That's nice, maybe all those attempts to get laws and regulations changed are not real.....maybe they are becoming the Carnegie family, but I have my doubts.
  6. Mike Sixel
    In fairness, the Koch brothers want to pollute the world at will, all so they can make more money. No amount of trying to buy your way into heaven with donations can fix that, imo.
  7. Mike Sixel
    How do they get better with the same roster? Btw....Park is 29..... The needs are pretty obvious... They are the worst pitching staff in baseball, maybe second after the Padres. So, you won't trade Doxier.... How do they get better?
  8. Mike Sixel
    Question does not equal decide... It is question... Geebus
  9. Mike Sixel
    Why would Mauer do that? You'd have to sweeten the pot a lot....also, why would the Twins want to do that? His salary is irrelevant this year (no FAs out there) and probably next year also.
  10. Mike Sixel
    Dozier, ESAN and any AA pitcher not named Gonsalves. Alvarez, De Leon, Bellinger That is an insane return if Alvarez pans out, but he's high risk. It factors in De Leon as more of a 3/4 than a 2/3....if people think De Leon is a legit 2, then you cant get both him and Alvarez I don't think. The Twins get legit SP prospects, and their 1B/DH (RF?) for the next 6 years in exchange for a SP and 2B that won't be here in 1 or 2 years, and a AA SP prospect not as good as either guy they get back.
  11. Mike Sixel
    Based on the massive success the prospects are having in MN the last few years? I'd question EVERY thing this organization does right now, given it's total system failure.
  12. Mike Sixel
    Most fans, from what we know about attendance and tv viewership, don't care about Dozier or most any other player, they care about winning. There is almost no path to long term winning in keeping Dozier, that's just the reality of this awful team. De Leon and Bellinger is more than the Whities just got for Sale, no chance Dozier returns that much. Those are two top 25 players.....it isn't happening. If it does, all praise for our new over lords.
  13. Mike Sixel
    Heck, looking at what I just typed, if you like Moncada more than Buxton, and Bellinger and Sano are equal, and De Leon = Berrios.....they look a lot like the Twins.....which might be good or bad...
  14. Mike Sixel
    Quintana is around for 4 more years, me? I keep him, and see what I have this year in the players I just got and others......four years is a long time. That said, if you can get De Leon and Bellinger for him, plus 1 lottery ticket, I seriosly consdier it. You'd have 1b/RF and 3B/CF/LF locked up in Bellinger and Moncada (some think he should be a CF and Bellinger could play a corner OF spot), and would have De Leon (a three maybe) and a few SP prospects in the minors..... I probably deal Abreu, if he has value, at this point. Eaton is around for 3 years......I probably deal him, if I can get a legit SP prospect and a flyer for him. Put Moncada in CF, Bellinger in RF or LF (or even 1B), put De Leon at SP and then see what else you have from Abreu and Eaton.....
  15. Mike Sixel
    Yes, because even if he's good next year, there will still be questions. And no, I don't think he will be THIS good again. two times as many games, think about that...think about that value, it's not even close.
  16. Mike Sixel
    I'd rather keep Santana, I think.....OTOH, Pomeranz is under control for 1 more year than ESAN, and for much less money....OTTH, they do need a veteran SP, imo, to mentor the younger pitchers....and Gibson isn't that guy.
  17. Mike Sixel
    That poll was taken the day it was announced, a day that no one mentioned the subsidies, or that many jobs were still moving.....but, hey, if most republicans don't actually believe in free trade....I'm not surprised, frankly.
  18. Mike Sixel
    Yes, two years of greatness >>>>>> 1 year of greatness. Way more important.
  19. Mike Sixel
    He'll only have 1 year of control then, and he'll be a year older, it is about those things also.
  20. Mike Sixel
    Let's say you magically get rid of Mauer, what ace do you get, and how? Because, there are no aces in FA this year....there aren't even Kyle Gibson's maybe.
  21. Mike Sixel
    Hence my question.....how do you go from the worst run prevention team in baseball, and an ok offensive team, to very good in two years, if you can't sign a FA and you don't trade your best players....
  22. Mike Sixel
    That's very context dependent.....how old is the team, how do the minors look, are you close to your payroll cap, how does the rest of your division look? On the last, the AL Central is terrible outside CLE, so that says keep trying. But, I think the rest of it screams rebuild to me. They don't have a ton of minor league stuff, and they are VERY top heavy, a few stars, and some terrible players. IF there were any FAs this year, and IF they had money, and IF they could go from terrible to average in a few spots, it might work. But, they aren't competing for a WC probably, not with TX, Hou, NYY, TOR, and BOS all looking good again next year....and the year after.
  23. Mike Sixel
    Let's say you keep Dozier (which I can understand why you want it....)....how do the Twins get better in the next 2 years while he's here?
  24. Mike Sixel
    so they should have kept him, and not made the playoffs again? Seems like a bad strategy to me. At some point, you realize you aren't good, and trade your stars to rebuild (I know as a Twins' fan, that seems odd.......). So, getting the number 1 prospect in the game, that's not a good start on the rebuild? Not sure I understand, and whether you like it or not, he's pretty much number 1 or 2 or 4....not 20, not 100....
  25. Mike Sixel
    Based on them both being the top prospect in all of the minors?
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