I took a look at the numbers from streak analyzer and you have to look a little deeper into the numbers. The cut-off for teams that made the play-offs is a run differential of -20 in the first 6 games. In other words, every single team that made the playoffs had a run differential of -20 or less. The Twins, with a current run differential of -14 are on the side of "there's still a chance." However, there are some really ugly numbers when run differential is sorted.. For instance, Cleveland in 1914, sported a run differential of -8 in the first 6 games and still managed to go 51-102. Pittsburgh, in 2006, was -10 in the first six games and wound up 67-95. (copied the output from Streak Analyzer into a text file and imported into a spreadsheet after formatting the text file. Sort!)