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Kwak

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Everything posted by Kwak

  1. Kwak
    The Twins overvalue Revere so the likelihood of him being traded is low. The guy has yet to hit a HR in the majors, a "saturday night special" for an arm, and is difficult to walk. I really can't see anyone offering much for that.
  2. Kwak
    This is called "rolling the dice", but then so is the draft. I believe that this trade indicates a change in philosophy from PtoC. Likely he will look like an early Garza with FBs that often beget foul balls rather than outs. He will need to improve his off-speed stuff, but that is generally said of most pitchers at his level. Mechanics? Unless you have actually seen him pitch (ex. Liriano) I would take someone else's opinion with a grain of salt. Blaming mechanics for a "gopher ball"?--isn't that the expected reason for said "cookie" anyway? It does appear as if 2013 may have fewer wins than 2013 but many have posted that: a) Willingham had a career year (so sell high!); Mauer wasn't injured; c) the bullpen was basically solid and d) Morneau had a much more productive year than 2011. Unless there is a substanial influx of major league talent by April we should expect "a step back". Let's give this Myers guy a chance before we "Hoey" him.
  3. Kwak
    Perhaps this "thread" exists because Pavano's agent is trying to build a market for his client. If this is real it signifies that there is no effort to actually make this team competively interesting (I don't even mean a challenger) for 2013 and calls into question if there is a short term plan other than to slash payroll ala Miami.
  4. Kwak
    The ATL ship has set sail folks, and the Twins still haven't acquired any pitching.
  5. Kwak
    You might want to lighten up on Hendriks a bit. After all, the kid had a whopping three years of full season pro baseball prior to the 2012 season. Three. Freaking. Seasons. Hendriks and DeVries had very similar 2012 seasons. DeVries had slightly better peripherals, they both got killed by the long ball, and they posted nearly identical xFips of 4.75 and 4.72 respectively. The HUGE difference is that Hendriks, who turns 24 in February, is four years younger than DeVries and was more successful in the minors. And there's a reason why Hendriks is on the 40 and Sam 'Slayer of Mascots' Deduno isn't. You just don't last in the major if you're just as likely to walk a batter as strike them out. He may suddenly discover control before his time runs out, but I wouldn't bet on it for a guy who turns 30 next summer. And apparently neither are the Twins, or for that matter, every other team in baseball. There sure is a reason--hendricks pitches "the Twins way", and Deduno doesn't! The Twins require a guy to "pound the strike zone, and trust in 'stuff'." Hence, Blackburn, Slowey etal. BTW, I didn't criticize Hendriks--I merely pointed out facts--his major league experience was dreadful (1-12). That has to rattle a guy! I didn't say "deep six him", I am saying he shouldn't be penciled into the rotation.
  6. Kwak
    Back to Hendriks: I fail to see what the rest of you see in Hendriks. Struggle would be a euphemism to describe his 2012 ML experience. I did not see any "out" pitch in his "reportaire" and his fastball is ordinary. The Twins have had many of their pitchers dominate at Rochester only to fail in Minneapolis--and so far he is but another. Recall that Blackburn was dominant in Rochester after his demotion last year so I can not justify him as a "given" in the rotation. However, I noticed something in DeVries and Deduno that I didn't see all that often in other Twins' pitchers--guts. They fought! Rarely did they just give up and pour down the middle. They stayed with "their stuff" and tried to throw quality strikes. Sure they walked some--but contrast their results with that of Blackburn, Manship, or the rest of the PtoC guys. Most of the pitchers I observed in the playoffs this year used the same strategy--they were just a good deal better than Deduno/DeVries. I've seen enough of those who just give in and pound down the middle and hope for the best.
  7. Kwak
    Plouffe was literally handed a major league job because the Twins were afraid they would lose him if optioned. Probably so. They carried this guy (just like they did with Butera in '11) with a disgusting BAVG (wasn't it in the 110's) before he had his miracle. We know that if Plouffe gets lazy in his throwing motion the ball will sail away, his range (and well as his experience at 3B) is rather limited, and he hits in STREAKS (Caps intended). Since there are team needs far higher than 3B whatever competition he sees will be limited. Consider how long of a leash Valencia received at 3B before he was spat out--Plouffe will receive an even longer leash--but Ryan put him (and Gardenhire) on notice that Plouffe's name is not engraved in the lineup.
  8. Kwak
    Perhaps when BOS realized that a Mauer wasn't in the cards that an offer was made for Ross?
  9. Kwak
    This is what results when Plan A (sign Baker) doesn't work.
  10. Kwak
    I don't think BOS would ever offer enough to make it worth the Twins while--and if they did, they would have weakened themselves so badly that Mauer would refuse without a "sweetener" for himself.
  11. Kwak
    Darn right! $4MM is likely less than what is the final offer that he signs. I think he signs for at least as much as Baker.
  12. Kwak
    I totally agree, Ryan wouldn't have offered Baker a contract if he wasn't convinced he was worth the risk. I think the offer got "shopped" and Baker signed with the Cubs. I also don't think that Baker will be held to some predetermined innings limit. IIRC, Liriano pitched nearly 200 innings at all levels of baseball in 2008.
  13. Kwak
    Even two such signings seem like a relative rarity. And it seems like an absurdly optimistic scenario for the Twins relative to their history. There's still plenty of time for Ryan to prove that wrong, but the deals handed out to Guthrie, Baker, and Feldman make that possibility appear even less likely. I think Ryan only said "three new starting pitchers"--he didn't qualify/embellish the statement with "legit", or "established", etc. He could accomplish said task through trades for high minor league guy(s) and promote them to the rotation, "over-the-hill" veterans, "spot starters", or use theRule 5 draft.
  14. Kwak
    TR should have spent the last 3 months getting his ducks in a row and picking off the low-hanging fruit in the month of November to show the league and the fanbase the seriousness of his intent. As another poster just said, this club needs both quantity and quality. A couple of legit, albeit lower-impact major leaguers should already be on the 2013 roster via trade or FA. That Baker signed elsewhere implies either of the following to me: a) Ryan has seriously underestimated the price of starting pitching or every pitcher that receives "a final offer from the Twins "will immediately shop it" and sign elsewhere for slightly more, thus forcing the Twins to make "a blow-away" offer in order to sign a pitcher.
  15. Kwak
    The same should be said of the Twins. The biggest differences between the Cubs and the Twins are: the Cubs are a high revenue team and they have (are!) shown a desire to rebuild and seriously compete. $5MM for the Cubs is peanuts, as opposed to the Twins.
  16. Kwak
    Umm, no. It started when Guzman declared free agency and recieved an offer (much) higher than the Twins were willing to pay. There was a guy fron the Jays (Castro) who started in '05, and maybe early '06, eventually Bartlett (after his promotion). The beat proceeded when Bartlett was traded, and continues today. Ryan was the GM when Guzman left, and money was the main issue.
  17. Kwak
    Sanibel will get a better offer than that elsewhere. The Twins would need to make a "blow-away" offer to induce him to sign--and based on experience and Ryan's comment about this year's free agent market--I am certain that offer won't be made. I also don't think Minnesota will be trading to get a SS prospect. If a prospect is the desired end result--he will be a pitcher. Ryan has pretty much handed the SS job to Florimon. Recall Ryan's comment about "three new pitchers", he really walked far out on a skinny branch, so I am convinced he won't be looking at other positions until those three guys materialize.
  18. Kwak
    No, just no. Read the numerous posts (elsewhere) on extended contracts for payers in teir declining years. Then consider that Doumit duplicates Morneau's performance at about 35% of the figure you stated. To say Parmalee can't do this or that flys in the face of why teams draft and develop new players. That $9-$10MM figure stated should be used to improve the rotation--not reward a fallen star.
  19. Kwak
    A curious question because free agency is like an auction and the bidding involves cash (after tax), probability of winning, location, and security. The Twins are in a very weak position in the bidding for top players and don't have much use for "a fallen star", Morneau would fit in either of these categories. His best offer (in Morneau's judgement) is difficult, he is a bit of an enigma. A shorter duration might fetch him more cash and a higher probability of winning than a longer contract on some teams. The premise is "right now"--so Texas might offer him a chunk for a one year contract but less per annum if longer, Toronto might go for two years at a lower annual salary, Chicago maybe two years and Seattle might offer 4 years but at a bit lower annual salary than all. Which offer Morneau accepts is but a pure guess--it's not like Morneau ever has to work another day in his life.
  20. Kwak
    After the embarassment from Baker, I can certainly see Ryan moving hard for Myers. Offer 1 year for a bit more than Baker, then toss in te incentives--and forget an option year. Best case scenario, Myers signs, pitches 200 innings and has an ERA in the low 4's. Absolutely nothing wrong with offering a two-year contract for more of that. It is a virtual certainty that if the Twins sign three new guys to start for 2013--one of them will be a bust. 33/34 year olds are not garbage, and there will be a need for placeholders until the entire pitching staff is rebuilt from Rookie League all the way though the Twins. There is plenty of optimim with the success of several new guys last season--but few will actually make it! This rebuild will take years and there will be disappointments.
  21. Kwak
    Trading Perkins means listening to the howls of Gardenhire--"I need a closer!" This may result in another contract for Capps.
  22. Kwak
    It's one thing to say "go after him", but how hard after him? Put down something of a "no higher than" price. Use Baker as a price guide. Apparently the Twins "lost out" on Baker due to an insistence on an option year at a "management friendly" price.
  23. Kwak
    I can't see the Reds trading that much talent for the Twins mentioned. Including Carroll--sand to the Sahara, pee in the lake, etc.
  24. Kwak
    Just curious--how does one track that down to find out? Not a defense of any poster/opinion.
  25. Kwak
    Today's leftovers, tommorrow's garbage.
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