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biggentleben

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Everything posted by biggentleben

  1. biggentleben
    The value in rentals in the past was that even if they didn't resign with you, you got two picks for them. Now a team trading for a rental gets no picks at all, because they cannot offer a qualifying offer if he's not on the team to start the season. So a rental player under the new CBA is very, very devalued in trades.
  2. biggentleben
    His motion and delivery is such that if he is off a bit, he's off a ton, and it's not pretty. Most assume because of this that he'll end up a reliever long-term. Nice arm, but he's not the type of guy in that system of arms that you'd target and expect to develop. The odd thing with the Rangers system is that they've gotten some breathtaking arms like Ramirez and Martin Perez, and both have really not developed into what was once hoped based on their talent level.
  3. biggentleben
    Span would make a lot more sense for the Braves, at least because he's basically a lite version of what they'd be replacing - leadoff guy, excellent defense.
  4. biggentleben
    No way that Delgado or Teheran are part of any deal for Liriano. The Braves are VERY tight on funds, so it is highly doubtful they could afford to take on all of Liriano without some cash coming back in the deal. The Braves do have a good chunk of funds available for 2013 and beyond, but they also have one of the youngest rosters in all of MLB, so they will likely be doing some extending of current options before opening their checkbook in the offseason. Span would make a lot of sense in the offseason as a trade, and the Braves may even be looking to move a guy like Hanson in the right deal (if the Twins were looking more toward a front-end starter). For right now, Span is a tough sell midseason unless it's a very nice deal for the Braves in some way, shape, or form.
  5. biggentleben
    This is where terminology gets in the way (and I apologize if someone else has already made this, but I responded after enough comments with incorrect terminology were confusing folks). "Arbitration" to free agents is gone. Period. There is a qualifying offer now, which is basically accepted or denied, and that offer must be "at least" the amount of the average of the 125 highest paid players. It's a flat offer, not an arbitration-type offer. The player has an actual one-year contract offer in place. If the player accepts, he can play just for that contract, or he can negotiate further for a long-term deal with just that team. If he denies, he's open season for anyone, including his previous team. The big thing everyone needs to be aware of is that any upcoming free agent will get MUCH, MUCH less in trade offers because no longer will a team be able to acquire a player mid-season and get a compensatory pick. The player must be on the team for the entire season in order to get any compensation pick, so a guy like Liriano that will be a free agent this year will get much, much less in trade than a guy like Garza who still has a full year of contract/arbitration left for a team to control and then get a pick.
  6. biggentleben
    Albert Pujols is a top one from neither of the two teams I follow most closely. One Brave that I've been following up to his recent promotion to the majors is Andrelton Simmons. He's as close to Ozzie as I've ever seen defensively, and he's got sneaky power in his bat as well. He's already a top 10 shortstop in WAR this year and he's only been up for about a month.
  7. biggentleben
    He's the pitching version of Jeff Francoeur.
  8. biggentleben
    The Wolves have a second rounder, just not their own. It's #58, so it'd be taking a flyer on a high-upside guy or getting a bench filler, but picks that low have turned in solid careers in the past, so it's not impossible.
  9. biggentleben
    Of those who have thrown more than 25 innings this year, Scott Diamond ranks 1st in ERA, 4th in FIP, and 3rd in xFIP Drew Butera has a lower FIP pitching this year than Scott Diamond.
  10. biggentleben
    Josh Willingham's 2012 ISO of .271 is more than Ben Revere, Jamey Carroll, Drew Butera, and Alexi Casilla COMBINED (0.56, 0.46, 0.93, 0.72 respectively)
  11. biggentleben
    Alexi Casilla, Drew Butera, and Darin Mastroianni have all produced more WAR than Justin Morneau in 2012
  12. biggentleben
    A pitcher who can't put up a t least a 7.5 k/9 in the minors is HOPING to be a #4 guy. Low BABIP does not a great pitcher make. His FIP in AAA is 3.51, and he's 25, so he's beyond a real "prospect" status. He could be an okay #4-5 guy, but that's it.
  13. biggentleben
    Cloyd is a #4 type. Basically a Nick Blackburn type. Why would the Twins trade for what they have a ton of already?
  14. biggentleben
    While the Braves are nowhere near a "deep-pocket" organization, and haven't been for nearly a decade, I can certainly answer any questions you may have.
  15. biggentleben
    Simon is a great guy. I submitted an article I wrote for BYTO regarding September record and playoff success, and he emailed me back and forth a bit before talking about it for a chunk of one of the podcasts. I've emailed him on some baseball statistical oddities ever since, and he's chatted with me a few times via email about some findings. I do wish there was less Keith Law on that podcast, though.
  16. biggentleben
    I'm primarily a Braves fan, but I live in the Twins area and have most of my life, so I know the Twins quite well.
  17. biggentleben
    So where is the "Boof!" shirt?
  18. biggentleben
    AL teams with a DH have as many or more pitchers for bullpen substitutions now. There is no movement in baseball to make DH universally accepted or dropped. The players union won't let it be completely dropped, and the owners don't want any more "veteran" positions, which is basically what a DH is. There will be one more team with DH starting next year with the Astros move to the AL, but that's as much DH movement as I'd wager you'll see in the next 10-20 years, minimum.
  19. biggentleben
    Don't you dare take away The Boss! He'll likely resign, though. He's vested in the area enough that he took less money two years ago to stay in Atlanta.
  20. biggentleben
    I had no issue with Livan on the Braves. Livan was used poorly by Fredi Gonzalez, and Frank Wren just took him away so the temptation wasn't there anymore. He's still a useful long man/swingman, but he should not be brought in ever with runners on base as he simply doesn't have the stuff for a situation like that.
  21. biggentleben
    It's a huge deal for Mets fans, so I can understand the team making every $ they can off of it.
  22. biggentleben
    They do have a 7-day DL for concussions and roster allowances for bereavement and paternity now. I think a lot of that is just the way teams manage injuries. The tough part is no two teams are the same in how they treat medical issues on their team.
  23. biggentleben
    Teams have no need for more players. They simply need to use those players better.
  24. biggentleben
    My username has changed here, but gopherben was mine before for tracking purposes and such.
  25. biggentleben
    Part of that is exactly why a site like this exists. We live in a 24-hour news cycle. Hard to imagine, but outside of the local paper just 20-30 years ago, no one may have even realized Torii Hunter was about to be a free agent. The growth of ESPN and competing sports reporting on other 24-hour news channels along with the explosion of the internet and all it can provide for instant news and analysis means we get fed news stories constant, so a player who is about to be a free agent is asked incessantly about where he may go until the day he signs a new contract. You can only say "no comment" so many times.
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