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jokin

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Everything posted by jokin

  1. jokin
    How about small jackrabbits who came close, but no cigar, to qualifying for Honorable Mention? I know Tanner English was on the DL for most of the month.... but he was back by the end of the month...and in 31 PAs he slashed .296/.387/.481/.869. Manuel Guzman in GCL slashed .338/.430/.426/.857... in 80 PAs he had 2-2B, 2-3B, 11 BB, 7 SB. Switch hitter and plays 2B/SS. I would like to hear a little more about him to see if he might be a legit prospect or not.
  2. jokin
    BullsEye! (Ed Ames would be proud). http://www.tvacres.com/images/weapon_tomahawk_ames.jpg
  3. jokin
    No problem, Doc.It's all good.
  4. jokin
    Yep. For the record, I concur, Meyer has made the case without the Big Unit comp. But now the latest straw being grasped in holding Meyer back was the rise in BB/9 rate. The pitcher's physical similarities- the resulting command and control issues that accompany 6'9-10" guys, plus both having the ability to throw 100 MPH deep into games make the comp for this stage of their development an apt refutation of that concern. (Nothing else in the comp has been implied about Meyer being a HOF pitcher like Johnson).
  5. jokin
    The numbers I derived are simple and straighforward. For now, as Nick pointed out in posting Meyer's game log, he is pretty much strictly a 6-inning pitcher. Thus, 2014 BB/9 4.42 X .667 = 2.95 walks per appearance @ 6 innings. 2013 BB/9 3.73 X .667 = 2.49 walks per appearance @ 6 innings. That's .46 more walks per game, .92 more walks per two games. Pretty inconsequential for a power pitching/ground ball pitcher, your concern for his BB/9 uptick is somewhat out of proportion to the "problem". And...taxing the pen has been an issue all season, nothing new to see here, and the guys Meyer would replace are having their own struggles pitching more than 5 innings, let alone 6 innings. We're somewhat in agreement on Meyer pitching out of the pen, except it should have already happened months ago- at this point, I think he would best benefit developmentally by getting 5-6 major league starts and then get shut down. Again, based on viewing him in person on Sunday and the seemingly effortless 91 pitches thrown vs. Louisville, he will not derive any further benefit from pitching more AAA innings.
  6. jokin
    Multiple reports have been posted about the new change up and his struggles with consistency with the pitch. Plus, I got to see the pitch first hand on Sunday, my eyewitness viewing confirmed that he hasn't mastered full control of the pitch yet.
  7. jokin
    I love you Doc, but you mischaracterized what I said.... that's not what I wrote, this is what was stated: Can anyone disagree that May's stuff is more pedestrian than Meyer's? You and I agree on the assessment of May, and you stated May's ceiling potential quite well. I've been a backer of May's potential for durability from Day One. And I've really been impressed with his cerebral approach in his quest to becoming a true "pitcher". I rated him at 50-50 to eventually becoming a middle-end, #3-type major league starter last season. I think that the odds have now gone up in that regard, and there's now a little light at the end of the tunnel for him in reaching his ceiling, which may be a little higher. A credit to him and the coaching staff, to be sure. But Meyer and Stewart have the chance to be true aces (and possibly Berrios, as well), there is a qualitative difference between them and May.
  8. jokin
    Aneurysm in his throwing arm, which involved surgery and rest.
  9. jokin
    I'm all in favor of using kid gloves for a potential future ace. But, assuming he stays on the same routine, how does Meyer more greatly risk injury by pitching his remaining innings with the Twins instead of Rochester?
  10. jokin
    Great get, Steve. The evidence continues to pile up. And after watching him on Sunday, Meyer is not too far from winning a third award from BA for "Best Knee-Buckling Change-up".
  11. jokin
    I don't often laugh out loud browsing the threads. Mission accomplished, Hosken!
  12. jokin
    We disagree about the facts that were presented, which is fine. To me an extra walk every other game isn't a big worry when you've got a guy striking out more than one batter an inning, and has the rare ability to specifically "get" the strikeout of his choosing when the situation calls for it. Randy Johnson's minor league walk rates were bad, and they jumped for his first four years in the majors, yet, because he was the type of power pitcher that Meyer also projects to be, he was able to keep his ERA/FIP rates below league average. Besides this important comp data, the factual circumstances for why Meyer's BB rate increased this season is primarily due to mastering the new change up- an issue that will gradually fade away over time.....can't stress the point enough, when the pitch was working on Sunday, it was devastating).
  13. jokin
    It would nice to see him up with Ft Myers in the next week or so, finish strong, and get tapped for the AFL. He's got Burdi breathing down his neck for a Twins bullpen slot, perhaps in late 2015. A little healthy competition is not a good thing, in this case it would be a great thing.
  14. jokin
    As has been demonstrated in a companion thread with statistical information to back it up, the walk concern is vastly overblown for a High K-rate power-pitcher with a high GB% who also produces a high percentage of weakly hit balls in play. As I stated after seeing him pitch in person, he's certainly not a finished product, but if the Twins are acting under the premise on waiting for something close to perfection in the control department, it's going to be a long time coming. Randy Johnson had 4 straight years with the Mariners until he was nearly 30 with horrendous BB/9 rates, before it finally clicked for him. Meyer has had much better minor league BB/9 rates than Johnson, so he's actually well ahead of the Big Unit in that regard.
  15. jokin
    I remember the thread well. Despite the fact that Meyer was dominant throughout Spring Training and into early May at the time in question- ( it was the rerun of Gibson's early season in 2013, only a whole lot better)-..... In the thread I (sadly) predicted that the Twins would most likely not call Meyer up until May 2015- not because I have a crystal ball- but because they had just purchased so many alternative options in the offseason (Nolasco, Hughes, Pelfrey, Johnson, Pino), it was pretty obvious that Meyer's 2013 shoulder fragility and the financial considerations for starting Meyer's clock had precluded him from their 2014 plans. (Rob Antony's comments at the time clinched it for me...he mentioned what a huge hurdle it was going to be for Meyer- despite coming off of his consecutive double-digit strikeout games on April 23 and 28- between the low-pressure AAA environment and MLB).
  16. jokin
    Bingo. And that little nugget of non-correlation is the dagger in the heart to the overstated concern about the number of walks. It's a completely different worry for the typical Twins pitcher, management obviously needs to adjust their expectations and philosophies for the talent differential. For example, getting May's BB/9 number down this season with his more pedestrian stuff made a lot of sense, for Meyer, not so much. Lots of Ks, BBs, GBs and weakly hit balls in play means few baserunners in scoring position, more double plays and stranded runners, all of which should eventually translate to very good FIP/xFIP/ERA results. For the record, Meyer ranks first in the IL in K/9, K%, KL%, LD% at 13.4%, second in IFB% at 11.6% and KS% at 15.5% , while he's 5th in GB% at 46.1%. Seems like a pretty good combination for major league success, BB's nothwithstanding.
  17. jokin
    Nope, Edgar Ibarra was demoted to New Britain. No wonder, he was really struggling on Sunday.
  18. jokin
    Ahh, good get, I see that the Wings just placed HIcks on the website roster in the last hour or so. Yesterday was an off day for New Britain, so there's no reason why Hicks shouldn't be in the Wings lineup tonight in Louisville, I believe they were carrying 14 pitchers (counting Milone), so presumably Hamburger got back on his shuttle between AAA and AA. Former White Sox starter, strikeout specialist righty, Dylan Axelrod, is starting for Louisville. He lost out in the numbers game in Chicago and Cincy picked him up.in a cash transaction a couple weeks ago. I can't remember, does Hicks still hit left-handed?
  19. jokin
    And LEN3 didn't know as of this morning at 7 AM. The Twins are really keeping this move under the radar. This did actually happen, right?
  20. jokin
    Wait a minute here....I thought I read from many on Twins Daily that Span's value had completely collapsed after the trade?
  21. jokin
    The problem was not well on the way to being corrected two years ago. The Twins had just drafted Berrios and Bard, still no Meyer or May on the roster. Virtually everyone in the system two years ago (except Gibson) has busted, is on the DL, or is still an uncertan prospect, at best. With so much uncertainty about pitching arms, the Twins still need to be stocking the shelves w/ high-upside arms. As we have seen this year with the arm, shoulder and calf problems from May, Meyer, Berrios and Stewart, like most teams, the Twins are only a couple of TJ/Rotator cuff surgeries away from being closer to bereft yet again of pitching prospects.
  22. jokin
    Just to put things in perspective here, take a look at these numbers: 7.9--7.1--8.2--5.7--4.5 vs. these #s: 3.1--3.7--4.4 These are the BB/9 numbers for ages 21-25 for Randy Johnson vs. ages 22-24 for Alex Meyer- in the minor league phase of their careers. Johnson's minor league K/BB rate was 1.40, by contrast, Meyer's K/BB rate is nearly double that of Johnson @ 2.78. Now take a look at these numbers: 5.38 4.92 6.79 6.16 These are the BB/9 results for Randy Johnson's first 4 full-time years in the Major Leagues. Johnson's K/BB rate through his first 4 seasons was 1.54. After seeing Alex Meyer in person on Sunday, I'm more convinced than ever that the walk rates are an overblown concern, approaching red herring status. Meyer's stuff is so overpowering and unhittable, the streak of wildness is more a feature of his intimidating ways than a detriment to his overall effectiveness. Like Johnson before him, there's no reason to think that he can't improve his command and control over time....if anything, the numbers indicate that Meyer appears to have a head start over Johnson in this area.
  23. jokin
    Beane is proud of building his teams primarily via trade, not from within.
  24. jokin
    3 years of team control
  25. jokin
    As GMs go, there's BB, and there's the rest. Baseball America hates him, but look at what he has put together without dumping salary year after year for "prospects"
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