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jokin

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Everything posted by jokin

  1. jokin
    Regarding Houston, you found one pick with an injury and ignored their other top picks doing quite well. With Aiken, the 'Stros were playing a dangerous game involving trying to get 3 top prospects to sign on the cheap, a separate issue to the talent level debate in the top 5 picks. (And they get the #2 overall pick next year for losing Aiken, plus their own top pick). Every team has issues, but there are track records. There are teams who develop prospects faster and to higher levels of success sooner. Regarding control issues, what you said isn't exactly true. The science of preventative injury training methodology and quicker reaction-time to symptom presentation can control injury levels in the aggregate (Twins can't do much about Buxton, but Sano's situation could possibly have been handled better). Controlling for player's weaknesses is what minor league training is all about. Obviously, you can't make a pint-size bat into a Louisville Slugger, or a rag arm thrower into a strikeout machine, but the Twins have demonstrated that their "average prospect" takes longer to reach the majors and often looks less prepared overall than other team's players who are called up sooner.
  2. jokin
    Debatable. The comparative peripheral stats and Pino's incredibly lucky peripherals (BABIP and LOB%) and advanced age and little future with the Twins suggest Meyer was the superior choice.
  3. jokin
    Thanks for bringing this one up again, Nick. The power and danger of exposing one's shortcomings on social media, plus the disrespect towards his customer fan base, was on full display in all its glory and personal ignominy for all to see. One of a string of embarrassing managements gaffes last spring.
  4. jokin
    Along with what JB said....I appreciate your post and have seen similar examples over my own experience. The part where this all goes awry is when a team ends up using this "veteranness" and "versatility" as desperate justification for an increasingly obvious bad decision. Witness the ongoing Bartlett debacle in ST, wherein the team finally trotted out this year's most preposterous statement about Bartie's new role as "team chemist" and back-up CFer.
  5. jokin
    I disagree. It's pretty easy to get high-end talent in the draft, you don't have to look too far when you're drafting in the top five picks year after year. OTOH, it is incumbent on the Twins, as in the case of the Cardinals and Rays, for example, to not "hope" they can perform, but to properly develop that talent and quickly get it to the major league club.
  6. jokin
    From the Strib this morning:
  7. jokin
    I supported both of the trades, but having said that.....Great storyline about Span and Revere, but not necessarily true..... in terms of fWAR: Denard Span fWAR in: 2012 w/ Twins: 3.5 2013 w/ Nats: 3.5 (league leader in Triples w/ 11). 2014 w/ Nats: 2.1 in fWAR and 2.3 bWAR, which extrapolates full-season out to somewhere +/- close to 3.5 WAR once again. Span had a career-high 46 XBH in 2012, 43 XBH in 2013, extrapolating out in 2014 over 162 games, and using his current 35 XBH, Span is due for 57 XBH. Revere missed nearly half the season last year, he was one of the 5 hottest batters in multiple major categories over the previous 2.5 months before he sustained a season-ending injury. His OPS+ went up with Philadelphia in 2013 from 89 to 93. His batting slash-line is almost identical over 2012, 2013, 2014. The big difference in terms of fWAR is the "collapse" in his defensive ranking*, which really represents more a position change than anything resembling a collapse. *(Curiously, Span's drop in bWAR in 2013 was also due primarily to a BRef downgrading of Span's defense, while meanwhile, under fWAR, Span's defensive value actually increased in 2013 with Washington).
  8. jokin
    Aaron Sanchez makes a successful debut with Toronto tonight. 2 IP, 0 ER, 0 HIts, O BB, 2 K. Meyer could have started out with this role out of ST, according to Gardy, and worked on the other things you mentioned while gaining the valuable major league experience at age 24, that Sanchez will now be getting at age 22.
  9. jokin
    It's getting awfully hard to imagine that the braintrust still sees something for Big Unit 2.0 to work on.
  10. jokin
    Well, the concern about Meyer's wildness was certainly eased tonight. 6 IP, 0 ER, 0 BB, 8 K and only 5 singles. Efficient 86 pitches, with 7 ground outs to 2 fly outs. I'm not sure what more needs to be asked from him at this level- he's now over 101 innings, not many left to work with.
  11. jokin
    I generally agree with your post, but you understated his improvements, he's been simply terrific since May 9, with a 1.97 ERA and K/9 of 10.05, and unlike some of the other promotees, his success hasn't been luck-related. As you said, he's bulldogging big innings in AAA. 60.1 in 35 games, vs. 28 IP in 23 games for Tonkin. Pressly is likely to get similar opportunities with the Twins, there are bound to be starter-short-performance-opportunities galore.
  12. jokin
    I think both May and Meyer have demonstrated a specific level of competence relative to their almost-all-much-older AAA peers, enough that they would have benefited by working on those specific items at the major league level.
  13. jokin
    Pino's suggest a large amount of luck, especially as his "good" stats are padded by the fact that 7 of his 15 appearances in Rochester were in relief. Johnson has had a slightly smaller amount of luck. But the biggest suggestion about each is the fact that they are career AA/AAA minor league journeyman nearly at or over the wrong side of 30, one way or another, what they are producing this year is not likely too sustainable at the major league level, whereas in the case of the two 24 year old alternatives, much more likely that they will only get better.
  14. jokin
    By which, the enclosed statistics suggest he should be getting a good chunk of his limited innings at a higher level than AAA.
  15. jokin
    Rochester SP GB% Johnson 47.7% Meyer 45.3% Darnell 45.2% May 35.9% Pino 33.1 % (4th worst in IL) Rochester FB% Johnson 22.6% Meyer 25.9 % Darnell 27.7% May 34.1% Pino 39.0% (Worst in IL)
  16. jokin
    Rochester SP LD% Pino 12.8% (ranks # 3 in IL) Meyer 13.4% (ranks # 4 in IL) Darnell 16.5% Johnson 18.0% May 19.1% Infield FB% Pino 12.2% (ranks # 2 in IL) Meyer 11.3% (ranks #3 in IL) May 8.6% Johnson 6.7% Darnell 5.3%
  17. jokin
    Rochester SP Strike% May 63.9% Pino 63.9% Meyer 62.2% Darnell 61.7% Johnson 61.2% Meyer 10.1% K/9 (leads the International League) Meyer 26.2% K% (leads the International League) http://minorleaguecentral.com/leaderboard?lid[]=117&y=2014&split=200&amod=%3C=&age=99&time=60&q=&ymod==&dyear=99&rmod==&round=99&type=pitcher&type=pitcher&table=8
  18. jokin
    So...not much faith in the impact of the "Darnell effect"? Does that mean Twins fans should ignore Darnell for entertainment purposes, as well?
  19. jokin
    I did, and I also knew that Logan Darnell would be starting this coming Saturday, because...consistency, or something .:shoot::s-instagib:
  20. jokin
    Well, Meyer is scheduled in Roc. but this: Swarzak will start tomorrow. Gibson has lower back stiffness.
  21. jokin
    I'm specifically talking more about planning out the transition to Target Field in 09 and 10, when the team was a pitcher or two short from having a more legit shot at the World Series, but after those two disappointing season-finishes, it's curious that the team didn't specifically address the issue going into 2011. (Jorge De la Rosa would have been a low-cost & risk/high return bet). And college pitchers historically, and almost by definition, are rarely ever about a lot of upside, much more the case it's what you see is what you get.
  22. jokin
    On this we disagree. IMO, Meyer would benefit from learning on the job, working with his pre-determined limited innings, primarily out of the pen, against the best, with his top-flite stuff, and developing that stuff with the best coaching to focus on improving his control and third pitch. Michael Wacha threw 150 combined innings in 2013 for the Cards (initially starting out in the pen) and the AAA team, it worked for him.
  23. jokin
    Which in turn, enhances his value to certain prospective teams with a good potential longer-term fit, when they are comparing all potential available RPs.
  24. jokin
    With the myriad marketing studies done in this market and others that got a new stadium over the previous decade, I think it's safe to say they had a very good idea of the nature of the increased revenue streams coming their way, plus the enormous increase in the value of the franchise. And when you make an 8 year commitment to the face of the Twins, it seems incumbent on ownership to assure that he's surrounded with players capable of continuing the level of competitiveness, not depending to a great degree by putting your top picks on a couple of consecutive flyers on back-end-potential college pitchers.
  25. jokin
    I will still fault the Twins. Being in "win now" should have meant acquiring one or more additional proven major league starters- this is a more realistic way to solve the impending dearth in starting pitching. The new stadium was being built when Gibson and Wmmers were drafted, a couple long-term FA SP signings should have been within an expanded budget based on the expectations of the soon-expanded revenues.
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