Very true. The thing is that the OP picked a logical point - 1/4 of the season. But yes, the end result could change dramatically one way or another. e.g. take 2011, 40 games in they were 13-27 (on pace for 109 losses); by 81 games in, they were at 35-46 (on pace for 92 losses); after 120 games, they were at 53-67 (90-91 loss pace) and, of course, they finished at 63-99. I guess we'll see if they played "above their heads" a little earlier in the season or if the current streak is more indicative of what they can do. I'm sure there will be a number of peaks and valleys throughout the course of the season. I don't think any of us can project with true accuracy -- the guys they brought over from the NL may find more (or less) success as the season goes on; injuries and weariness may or may not take their toll; some of the younger guys may hit their strides; trades may be made, etc. It's pretty much all just a guess.