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stringer bell

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Everything posted by stringer bell

  1. Bert relying on stats. Hart not a threat after multiple knee surgeries.
  2. Dozier shaking his arm when his uniform is brushed.
  3. Beyond that, he's a lousy umpire.
  4. While today is probably the day to start Colabello, right field is not the position to start him. I wrote earlier this week that I never want to see Colabello in the outfield, so I can't be happy about that.
  5. Right now, the Twins have a wealth of shortstop candidates. Conventional wisdom is that shortstops aren't platooned because working with the keystone partner is so important. Here is a short tutorial of the shortstop options and my best guess as to what will happen. I invite anyone else to comment and offer his opinion. Eduardo Escobar Escobar is starting most games right now and why not? He's hitting over .340 and he's pretty good in the field. News flash: he won't hit .340 and he's not going to get 50 doubles. When his bat cools, we'll see how manager Ron Gardenhire feels about playing him every day. For whatever reason, Escobar has been tabbed as a utility guy and he is a versatile player. Defensively, Escobar is a solid shortstop with good hands and a strong arm. He doesn't have great range. He has earned this shot and I think there's a chance he may succeed. Regardless, he has proven he is a capable utility player. Danny Santana Sanatana has the range Escobar lacks - it's the routine plays that are a challenge. Since his promotion, Santana has played short and center field and demonstrated his blazing speed and strong arm. So far, he has also hit the ball. Santana isn't going to hit .400 any more than Escobar will hit .340. In fact, if he gets a couple hundred plate appearances, it is doubtful he will be above average as a hitter, or at least that's what his minor league record suggests. In his very short trial with the Twins, he hasn't shown he's ready to be a regular major leaguer, but he also has shown he has major league tools. A trip back to Rochester is nearly certain. Maybe he can develop into a big league regular with quite a bit more sizzle than Escobar offers. Eduardo Nuñez He is the most established hitter of the group, but that isn't saying much. He currently has taken on the utility role that Escobar vacated. If Escobar slumps, I wouldn't be surprised if Nuñez gets a shot to prove that his poor defensive rep is overstated. I can't see Gardy going with one of the worst defensive shortstops for long, but then again we saw Plouffe and Nishi playing the position. Pedro Florimon The manager is reportedly already missing his magic glove, but Florimon just didn't hit at all this year, either with the Twins or not at AAA. (He has also already committed five errors in Rochester. Those minor league fields must be rough!) Florimon is 27 years old, and we likely saw his peak as a hitter in the first half of last year and that was barely passable. He needs to put up some kind of offense to justify his recall. Down the road there are others but they are years away. I hope someone separates himself. Some are predicting the Twins will draft a shortstop with their high first round pick. Maybe that will be the solution to the shortstop problem.
  6. Right now, the Twins have a wealth of shortstop candidates. Conventional wisdom is that shortstops aren't platooned because working with the keystone partner is so important. Here is my view on the shortstops and my best guess to what will happen. I invite anyone else to comment and offer their opinion. 1) Eduardo Escobar. Escobar is starting most games right now and why not? He's hitting over .340 and he's pretty good in the field. News flash. Eduardo Escobar won't hit .340 and he's not going to get 50 doubles. When his bat cools, we'll see how Gardy feels about playing Escobar every day. For whatever reason, Escobar has been tabbed as a utility guy and he is a versatile player. Defensively, he is a solid shortstop with good hands and a strong arm. He doesn't have great range. I think Escobar has earned this shot and I think there's a chance that he may succeed. Regardless, he has proven he is a capable utility player. 2) Danny Santana. He has the range that Escobar lacks. Routine plays are a challenge. Since his promotion, Santana has played short and center field and demonstrated his blazing speed and strong arm. So far, he has also hit the ball great. Santana isn't going to hit .400 any more than Escobar will hit .340. In fact, if he gets a couple hundred plate appearances, it is really doubtful he be above average as a hitter. In his very short trial with the Twins, he hasn't shown he's ready to be a regular major leaguer, but he also has shown he has major league tools. A trip back to Rochester is nearly certain. Maybe he can develop into a big league regular with quite a bit more sizzle than Escobar offers. 3) Eduardo Nuñez. He is the most established hitter of the group, but that isn't saying much. He currently has taken on the utility role that Escobar vacated. If EE slumps, I wouldn't be surprised if Nuñez gets a shot to prove that his bad defensive rep is an overstatement or not. I can't see Gardy going with one of the worst defensive shortstops for long, but then again we saw Plouffe and Nishi playing the position. 4) Pedro Florimon. The manager is reportedly already missing his magic glove, but Florimon just didn't hit in about 70 plate appearances with the Twins, and hasn't hit at all in AAA either (and has already committed 5 errors--those minor league fields must be rough!). I think Florimon's peak as a hitter was what he produced the first half of last year and that is barely passable. He needs to put up some kind of offense to justify his recall. Down the road, there are others, but they are years away. I hope someone separates himself. Some are predicting that the Twins will draft a shortstop with their high first round pick, maybe that will the solution to the shortstop problem.
  7. Back to the original topic: I would be very interested if someone has a breakdown of Hicks' swing from both sides and see if there is anything that stands out why he has clearly been a better right handed hitter. I am not an expert, but I just don't see anything that makes him that much worse as a left hander.
  8. I check espn and mlb.com every once in awhile for a non-Twins centric view of baseball and see what the outside thinks of the Twins. Recently, I checked a couple of player pages and they recorded this year's stats plus a Pecota projection for the balance of the season and then combined them for an overall projection. Most of the projections weren't too kind to the Twins--Dozier is projected to fall off to a .735 OPS for the season, the pitchers aren't tabbed to improve much and Hughes is seen as regressing to the mean. I am mystified how these projections are made. I checked Wikipedia and it says that the whole system was designed by Nate Silver, a pretty well-respected numbers guy (unless you're a Republican) and among things the article notes that the exact methodology is secret. Also, in checking the standings, the mlb.com site has a playoff projection. The Twins currently stand at 12.5%, how on earth can that be projected at this point in the season? In the East, first place Baltimore has the lowest playoff probability and the Yankees and Red Sox have the highest.
  9. Where will Rosario start out when he makes his return? I had been thinking he would go to New Britain, but I suppose he could start out with the Miracle. Also, I checked BBRef and it says that Eddie's outfield time was spent in center field. In the event of a continued Hicks meltdown and a delay for Buxton, is it possible that Eddie could play some center field for the Twins?
  10. It sounds like Hicks will have at least a week to show he's turned it around. Fuld had a setback Wednesday and is at least a week away from playing. He probably would need to tune up in Rochester for a couple more days before playing.
  11. Colabello is on the team because....he is an interpreter.
  12. Winnah! And the Twins are .500 after 40 games. The latest they've been .500 or better since the enchanted season of 2010.
  13. First of all, Happy Birthday! LST. Secondly, I am glad that you are able to play baseball at 63. I love to golf and this year I've been limited to 9 holes all year and I'm afraid that might be it for the season if not my career. Regarding Hicks--We are interpreting an anecdote into a whole pattern. It may well be that Hicks never is aware of who is pitching, but I doubt it. I have said that I think the team is setting the table to send him down and using this perception of lack of preparation rather than inability to hit. Maybe it is just the frustration--bad performance with little outward sign that he's trying to address the problem--that drove the brass to disclose the behind-the-scenes goings-on.
  14. Young has managed to fool a number of teams. He hasn't fooled many Twins hitters.
  15. Batting average splits tell us something, but a lot of the time, not everything. There are several guys who put up decent averages but have no extra-base pop against same-handed pitchers.
  16. If Hicks were to give up switch-hitting there is a real good chance that he will still have a severe platoon split and would be labeled a part-time player. I am not an expert, but I don't see anything fundamentally wrong with his left handed swing. I do see Hicks having problems with breaking balls and having the ball break away from him would make the problem worse.
  17. If he is successful tonight and his next Triple A start, I believe the "answer" with be Mike Pelfrey. I don't necessarily agree with that, but since he is on the DL, it would be the easy move to make.
  18. Two things about Hicks hitting exclusively righty. Somewhere between two-thirds and three-quarters of all pitchers throw right, so Hicks would be throwing away that advantage. Secondly, lefty hitters have the advantage of being closer to first, in part from where they stand but also because the momentum of a full swing points them at first base. That accounts for beating out hits and double play relays over the course of a season. I am no expert, but my analysis of Hicks is trouble with the breaking ball which would only be exacerbated by having the pitch breaking away from him. I believe it is confidence most of all that Hicks lacks and he just needs to master hitting at the right level. I think that level is AAA.
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