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    Trevor Plouffe Has Given The Twins A Great Problem


    Ted Schwerzler

    The year was 2011, and the Minnesota Twins had two players competing for one spot at the hot corner. One was a 19th round draft pick and coming off a season that had him in the running for Rookie of the Year honors. The other was a first- round draft pick who had just experienced his first cup of coffee. At the end of the year though, and into the future, it was the first round draft pick who would take over.

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    Trevor Plouffe grabbed the role from Danny Valencia, and he hasn't looked back.

    Of course knowing Plouffe's track record, there's little reason to suggest there haven't been bumps in the road. The 2012 season saw Plouffe play his first games at third for the Twins. In 95 games at third, Plouffe committed 17 errors, was worth -8 defensive runs saved, and owned an ugly -10.8 UZR (ultimate zone rating). While it's one thing to suggest that the only way to go from there was up, the heights at which Plouffe finds himself were not immediately apparent.

    In 2013, the Twins new third basemen made 13 errors in 120 games and owned a -7.4 UZR rating. Bringing his DRS to an even 0 was a step in the right direction however. Then the turnaround happened, and in a big way. Last season, despite making 14 errors, Plouffe owned a 6.7 UZR and was worth 6 DRS. Not only did he play the best third base of his career, but he did so across 127 games, also a career high. Even better, Plouffe hadn't made strides only in the field, but at the plate as well.

    Back in 2012, his first season at the hot corner, Plouffe used a scorching July to carry himself to a career high 24 home runs. While he has yet to match that output, 2013 and 2014 saw big advancements in other offensive areas. The California native carried a .254/.309/.392 slash line in 2013 with 14 HR and 52 RBIs. He backed that up a year later in 2014 by slashing .258/.328/.423 and launching 14 HR with a career high 80 RBIs. Plouffe also grew a greater patience and command at the dish by walking 53 times, nearly doubling his past career high.

    Following along the same trend that he has laid out the past two seasons,

    Plouffe has started 2015 on a similar note. Currently owning a .254/.336/.423 slash line with 5 HR and 18 RBIs, it looks like the production will continue. In 34 games at the hot corner, he's made just three errors while compiling an early 1.6 UZR.

    Not too long ago, Trevor Plouffe was seen as a player holding down a position until someone else came along. As uber-prospect Miguel Sano gained steam, it appeared that Plouffe was just keeping his eventual spot warm. Since, it's not the Sano has cooled, but that Plouffe has transformed himself in to one of the best third baggers in major league baseball. A guy who owned -0.4 and -0.9 fWAR in his first two seasons, Plouffe was worth a 3.6 fWAR last season, and has already jumped out to a 1.1 fWAR mark in 2015.

    At some point, the Twins will have to decide how to position players like Trevor Plouffe, Joe Mauer and Miguel Sano to make everyone fit. While that time isn't yet here, there's little reason to suggest that Plouffe hasn't given the Twins a great problem to have. Instead of just being a guy holding down a spot, he has become the guy on a team who looks poised to turn the corner. With a possible payday looming, Plouffe has no one but himself to thank for cashing in. The transformation has been fun to watch, and it may just be the beginning of it.

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    Does this player exist? Maybe Jonathan Lucroy? Teams that have these guys aren't trading them, especially not for a guy like Plouffe. Don't get me wrong, Plouffe is a nice player -- I wrote this exact article two weeks ago -- but he has more value to the Twins than on the open market. Might be a lot more.

    I'm not suggesting the Twins call the Brewers or San Francisco and offer to give them Plouffe for their catcher. There are 47 catchers on the baseball prospectus framing leaderboard with a positive value. A lot of them are young with some bat. Some teams have a catcher in the pipeline like the Twins have a 3B in the pipeline. Maybe there's a fit? I'm just suggesting a hypothetical that would be interesting and improve a pretty bad organizational weakness.

     

    As for, what is the value of Plouffe on the open market, teams are going to be privvy to Plouffe's improvements too. 2-2.5 WAR with 4 WAR upside and no contract? That is an attractive player.

    Edited by Willihammer

     

    I'm not suggesting the Twins call the Brewers or San Francisco and offer to give them Plouffe for their catcher. There are 47 catchers on the baseball prospectus framing leaderboard with a positive value. A lot of them are young with some bat. Some teams have a catcher in the pipeline like the Twins have a 3B in the pipeline. Maybe there's a fit? I'm just suggesting a hypothetical that would be interesting and improve a pretty bad organizational weakness.

    As for, what is the value of Plouffe on the open market, teams are going to be privvy to Plouffe's improvements too. 2-2.5 WAR with 4 WAR upside and no contract? That is an attractive player.

     

    No contract probably works against you in that case. I'm not completely against this, I just prefer they keep Plouffe because guys like him don't come around every day, and he can play someplace other than third. But more importantly for me, I think I'd move Sano off third.

     

    No contract probably works against you in that case. I'm not completely against this, I just prefer they keep Plouffe because guys like him don't come around every day, and he can play someplace other than third. But more importantly for me, I think I'd move Sano off third.

     

    The push to move Sano off of third is just totally inexplicable to me.  Keep him there until you have to move him and stop freaking out about MiLB errors and how big he is.

     

    The Twins should hold on to Plouffe until Sano forces the issue coming north and with the DH spot in the air there is plenty of reason to believe the two can co-exist.  But the Twins would be foolish not to listen to offers on Trevor, they just have to be very selective in what they accept for him.  

    No contract probably works against you in that case. I'm not completely against this, I just prefer they keep Plouffe because guys like him don't come around every day, and he can play someplace other than third. But more importantly for me, I think I'd move Sano off third.

    Well, the Twins haven't moved Sano off third yet. And I don't know why you'd move Plouffe off third since his improved glovework is half the reason for him being a top 10 3B now. And where would you move him to? That is the whole conundrum with hoarding all of Plouffe, Sano, Varags, Arcia, and Mauer (who has a NTC). At least one player would have to move off position which automatically squanders value right there.

     

    A trade could easily be the more efficient option IMO.

     

    At least one player would have to move off position which automatically squanders value right there.

    A trade could easily be the more efficient option IMO.

     

    Not to mention the "just move him somewhere else!" isn't exactly a great strategy in its own right for a host of reasons.

    if you can get fair value for Plouffe, sure. I just don't think that'll happen.

     

    And I agree, you don't move Sano off until you have to. But if you keep both, Plouffe is clearly the better option at the position defensively.

     

    And to the Vargas/Mauer/Arcia/Sano conundrum, Vargas isn't quite on their level in my opinion, and regardless, Sano plays over all of them except Mauer on a daily basis.




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