Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account
  • Twins News & Analysis

    Three Trade Targets That Fit The Twins Style


    Cody Pirkl

    The trade market will be here before we know it and some teams are already getting some rumors swirling. The Twins have some needs as we know, and there may be some targets that fit their style.

    Image courtesy of Joe Camporeale | 2020 Sep 26

    Twins Video

     

    The lineup is solid and an addition probably isn’t 100% necessary. The bullpen is probably in need of two solid arms at the very least. The question is whether the Twins see it necessary to add to the rotation. With arms shuffling in and out with injury and none of their top prospects in AAA looking like options as late-season additions, it’s possible the front office finds themselves searching for help. The Tyler Mahle’s and Luis Castillo’s of the world are fun to dream on, but the Twins have a type.

    We’ve typically seen them target arms that need fixing as we saw with Kenta Maeda and Chris Paddack. The prices are lower and despite injuries to both, they’ve shown that they can be trusted to fix talented arms that haven’t reached their full potential for whatever reason. There are a few such pitchers that could be available this summer.

    German Marquez
    Could this finally be the year? The Rockies could have gotten a haul for Marquez at one point if they had only accepted that their best-case scenario was fourth in their own division with no shot at a wild card. Present-day not much has changed in that regard and perhaps their tune has changed. Since the 2019 and 2020 seasons, Marquez’s performance has dropped off precipitously despite being just 27 and now the Rockies will likely have to accept a much more modest return in trade if they ship off their former ace.

    Part of his issue is plain bad luck this season as Marquez has posted a 6.09 ERA with better peripherals despite pitching in Coors. His home runs have spiked and his strikeouts have dried up. With a year and a half of control left, the Twins could swoop in and save Marquez from the thin air of Colorado. His once-vaunted mid-90s fastball and disgusting slider are getting clubbed this season and just a few tweaks paired with a better park could revitalize Marquez. It’s unclear whether the Rockies intend to continue trying to contend, but the Twins have plenty to choose from at all levels of their system for a trade return.

    Kyle Hendricks
    “The Professor” as he’s known in Chicago has had a storied career on the North Side, helping the Cubs break their World Series drought in 2016 and serving as their ace for several years. The back end of the four-year deal Hendricks was given has not gone according to plan, as he’s posted middling numbers at best in 2021 and to begin 2022. The Cubs have a lot of question marks in their near future and they may finally be open to talking trade in regard to their 32-year-old soft tosser who has a year and a half left under contract.

    Hendricks' average fastball has settled in around 87 mph at this point which sounds scary, but the right-hander has never averaged even 90 on the heater as he’s dominated lineups with command and poise. It’s certainly walking a tightrope with such little velocity, but Hendricks has done it before and nothing in his stuff screams that he can’t do it again. He’s recently changed to a changeup-heavy approach, his best pitch which has led to a few better outings lately. Perhaps the Twins have their own ideas to fix, but given Hendricks’ 4.95 ERA so far this season, the Twins would be paying far from the ace starting pitcher price.

    Trevor Rogers
    Perhaps the riskiest target, Rogers has legitimate ace upside and has very recently shown it in the MLB. During the minor league shutdown, Rogers gained significant velocity on his fastball which has held ever since, contributing to his 2.64 ERA in 133 innings in 2021. So far this season, however, Rogers has been a completely different pitcher, posting 5.87 ERA and seeing his K rate drop from 28.5% to 18.7%. At 24 years old with four and a half years of control remaining, this could be the highest upside gamble the Twins could make.

    Rogers’ decline is puzzling, as his plus-plus changeup has underperformed and the rest of his repertoire has followed suit. His release point has steadily dropped ever so slightly since his debut which could be one issue the Twins could look to clean up. The Twins and Marlins have long been discussed as a great trade fit, as the Twins need young pitching and the Marlins need some young MLB-ready bats to support their already fantastic rotation. Make no mistake, this would be a blockbuster, likely involving someone like Jose Miranda and several other painful pieces leaving Minnesota. Still, Rogers might be just a small tweak away from a return to form, an outcome that would likely make him the undisputed #1 pitcher in the Twins rotation. That’s a possibility that’s hard to ignore.

    It’s possible this is the year the Twins go and get a ready-made ace. Personally, I’d hold off on such ideas until we actually see it. Instead, there are several pitchers that could be on the market that fit the Twins mold of acquiring talented arms in need of a tweak or two. Do you think any of these names are likelier than others? Do you have any names that aren’t on this list? Let us know below.

     

    Follow Twins Daily For Minnesota Twins News & Analysis

    Recent Twins Articles

    Recent Twins Videos

    Twins Top Prospects

    Marek Houston

    Cedar Rapids Kernels - A+, SS
    The 22-year-old went 2-for-5 on Friday night, his fourth straight multi-hit game. Heading into the week, he was hitting .246/.328/.404 (.732). Four games later, he is hitting .303/.361/.447 (.808).

    User Feedback

    Recommended Comments



    Featured Comments

    On 6/18/2022 at 10:04 PM, Old fox said:


    I to don’t like the 3 suggestions. I would consider both of the following trades.

    It could be a 3 team trade Marlins-“A”-Twins.
    Miami gets the “A” centerfielder + player.

    Oakland get a pitcher + player from Miami.

    Oakland get Celestino + Martin + Sands + player from the Twins.

    Twins get Montas & Blackburn.

    Then, work a trade with the Pirates for relief pitchers Bednar & Stratton to the Twins for #8 Steer, #9 Waller, #14 Sabato, #17 Strotman + player. 
    I agree this would thin out the prospects but with current recent promotions to the big team with limit success and maintaining 8 of 10 top prospects. And a younger set of prospects on the lower end of the prospects for the lack of experience. 

    Here's the issue with trade ideas like this (and why I'm writing about names that aren't very appealing): The front office has never shown any hint that they'd do something like this. There are other teams with better farm systems and more money who will want guys like Montas, Bednar, etc. and the Twins have to win a bidding war against them. This is why they do things like trade for Kenta Maeda and change his pitch sequencing. It's the only way they can win without emptying their farm system.

    A trade deadline that brings in Frankie Montas and Bednar/Stratton probably costs somebody like Kirilloff, Larnach, Arraez etc. in addition to a bunch of other players at the top of our prospect lists. Regardless of whether or not you think they should do that, do you think they will? 

    On 6/19/2022 at 10:49 AM, Major League Ready said:

    The last thing they should do is trade away promising young position players for a #3 SP.  They already have great SP depth and more on the way over the next couple years so I just don't see much value in a #3 to this team.  Another top of the rotation guy is another matter especially in the playoffs.   

    If Trevor Rogers goes back to last year's level (he still has the same velo, spin rate, and pedigree) he's without a doubt our #1 starting pitcher. The only measurable difference between 2021 and 2022 is a slight drop in release point, he doesn't look broken or injured or missing spider tac or anything along those lines. 

    As I've pointed out, we can keep calling for somebody like Tyler Mahle or Frankie Montas, but when the Dodgers or other big market teams with more reckless tendencies decide they want these guys, the Twins will be the first out of the mix based on everything we've seen the front office do since they were hired.

    Nothing wrong with wanting these ready made aces, I just personally don't find it worthwhile to put a whole lot of thought into the idea because I just don't see it happening.

    8 minutes ago, Cody Pirkl said:

    If Trevor Rogers goes back to last year's level (he still has the same velo, spin rate, and pedigree) he's without a doubt our #1 starting pitcher. The only measurable difference between 2021 and 2022 is a slight drop in release point, he doesn't look broken or injured or missing spider tac or anything along those lines. 

    As I've pointed out, we can keep calling for somebody like Tyler Mahle or Frankie Montas, but when the Dodgers or other big market teams with more reckless tendencies decide they want these guys, the Twins will be the first out of the mix based on everything we've seen the front office do since they were hired.

    Nothing wrong with wanting these ready made aces, I just personally don't find it worthwhile to put a whole lot of thought into the idea because I just don't see it happening.

    I understand your thinking on Rogers,   I just don't understand why Miami would sell low on him when they have 4 and a half  more years of control.   Are there rumors they want to move him?  Like I said, I don't disagree he could bounce back but why would they move him without getting a return that assumes he returns to ace status almost immediately?  

    Few other names that aren't so much reclamation projects but pitchers who could become available or have been named as available who could probably help the rotation and not cost a huge prospect package.

    David Price- has been the bullpen and not what he was but could be used in the postseason with a ton of experience in the postseason

    Jose Quintana- Should be a cheap get (doesn't move the needle much)

    Noah Syndergaard- If the Angels keeps sliding he could be a nice pitcher to snag for the postseason push and if he is successful hopefully enjoys his time and resign this winter. 

    Blake Snell/Mike Clevinger- Padres won't fall out of the race because of all of their arms but because of injuries could the Twins entice them to move off of one of their arms for a bat? Kepler or Urshella maybe in exchange for one of the arms? Snell coming back from injury and so maybe more likely of the 2 but Clevinger is a FA this winter as well. 

    46 minutes ago, Major League Ready said:

    I understand your thinking on Rogers,   I just don't understand why Miami would sell low on him when they have 4 and a half  more years of control.   Are there rumors they want to move him?  Like I said, I don't disagree he could bounce back but why would they move him without getting a return that assumes he returns to ace status almost immediately?  

    They haven't been rumored to be shopping him but keep in mind, they weren't really shopping Zac Gallen a few years ago until they found out they could get someone they loved in Jazz Chisholm. The Twins have a good amount of near MLB hitting prospects which the Marlins need and I've been watching them for a few years now wondering when they'd part with some of their pitching to make a more well rounded team.

    Maybe Rogers is off the table, or maybe they're willing to cash in on a struggling pitcher who's value is still riding high off of last year.

    I wouldn't call a deal like this likely because it never is when it comes to a challenge trade involving all young players being exchanged but I do think this is a rare fit that would really help both sides.

     




    Create an account or sign in to comment

    You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

    Create an account

    Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

    Register a new account

    Sign in

    Already have an account? Sign in here.

    Sign In Now

×
×
  • Create New...