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    Extension Time?


    Cody Christie

    Miguel Sano and Byron Buxton are coming off their worst seasons as professionals. Kyle Gibson is one year away from free agency. Other players like Eddie Rosario and Jose Berrios broke out at the the major league level last year.

    Does it make sense for the Twins to start working on extensions with some of their core players?

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    Over the weekend, fans at TwinsFest were given the opportunity to ask general manager Thad Levine about multiple topics. One of the most intriguing answers was about the Twins looking to sign their younger pieces to long-term deals.

    “Without getting into names, we’re actively having some conversations behind the scenes and we as a club would like nothing more than to be able to announce one, two, three of those types of extensions at some point here in spring training,” Levine said.

    Here are some of the potential options for long-term contracts.

    Byron Buxton, CF

    Arbitration Eligible: 2020

    Free Agent: 2023

    Buxton is coming off one of the lowest points in his young career. The front office decided not to make him a September call-up and in turn, the team picked up an extra year of control over the former top prospect. Minnesota already gave him a hefty off-season raise to try and make up for the September smite. Another way to smooth the waters could be to give him some financial stability and buy out some of his free agent years. If he has a bounce-back year, next off-season his value could be even higher.

    Miguel Sano, 3B

    Arbitration Eligible: 2020

    Free Agent: 2022

    Sano has been dealing with on and off the field issues over the last calendar year. He was accused of assault, ran over a police officer, and wound up being sent all the way back down to High-A last year. There’s obviously some room to grow and adding veteran Nelson Cruz to the roster could help Sano reach his former all-star ability. He will reach free agency a year earlier than Buxton so it might be more pressing to sign the slugger to a longer-term deal. Minnesota is building a power line-up this year and Sano could be the biggest power bat for the team.

    Jose Berrios, SP

    Arbitration Eligible: 2020

    Free Agent: 2023

    Last year, Berrios made the All-Star Game for the first time and he was one of the team’s most valuable pitchers. His value might be at an all-time high so it could be in the club’s best interest to wait a year and see how he performs in 2019. He has yet to reach the 200-inning mark in any big-league season. However, he is one of the hardest working players in the system and he seems to fit the mold of the new front office. Minnesota is always short on starting pitching so it might be nice to have Berrios locked into the rotation for the great part of the next decade, even if he can’t be the team’s ace for that entire time.

    Eddie Rosario, OF

    Arbitration Eligible: 2020

    Free Agent: 2022

    Rosario was arguably the team’s best hitter last season and he can provide value on the defensive side of the ball as well. Minnesota has other outfield options working their way towards Target Field as also. The front office will need to decide if Rosario is part of the club’s long-term plans. He’s coming off his best big-league season; so, like Berrios, it might not be the best time to give him an extension. He’s also the oldest player on this list and he will be a free agent at age 29. It might be better to go through the year-to-year arbitration process for a player like him.

    Kyle Gibson, SP

    Free Agent: 2020

    Next season could be Gibson’s last in a Twins uniform. His major league career has been full of ups and downs. He was the team’s best starter back in 2015 when he posted a 3.84 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 194.2 innings. Last year at age-30, he had an even better season with a 3.62 ERA and a 179 to 79 strikeout to walk ratio. Is Gibson finally finding himself at baseball’s highest level or is the club going to rely on some of the younger talent in the organization?

    Other players in consideration would have to be Jorge Polanco and Max Kepler. Who should be a priority for the team to sign to an extension? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.

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    I think Berrios is the most obvious candidate, for all the reasons mentioned above. The analysis of Gibson and Rosario in previous posts describes the pros and cons of that, and I can go either way. I have two main thoughts: (1) I would differentiate Buxton from Sano. Buxton has been injury prone and maybe hasn't been as able to learn what he needs to learn about hitting a baseball, but he's a world-class defender and a willing (if sometimes stubborn) worker. I'd take a chance on extending him, because even if his hitting is mediocre he still contributes, and if he learns how to handle pitching he's a near all-star. And I think he'll work hard. Sano concerns me more. Can he ever have a body that will work? And what position can he play? You can't extend him on the basis of him being a full-time DH, but are you sure he can play in the field? I would like to see if he can maintain a good weight, show some positional flexibility, show that he can be more than a one-dimensional slugger before I'd pay him. I'd risk having to overpay later.

    (2) the other point I'd make is, it can be worth signing guys even if you don't necessarily want to keep them forever. The cost certainty makes players more tradeable, as long as you haven't wildly overpaid. I think that applies to Rosario in particular, maybe Polanco. Sign them up, and then if everything breaks right with prospects and you want to trade either or both, you have a contract that can be dealt.

    He can’t contribute if he is hitting so poorly that he isn’t in the lineup. Frankly, other than 6 weeks of 2017, that describes the entirety of his career.

    Berrios is extremely close to one year younger than Nola, and they had comparable age 24 seasons. Nola was better, but it wasn't by that much.  Berrios also logged several more innings.

     

    If the Twins can get a comparable contract and age 25 season out of Berrios, we will have something to cheer about.




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