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    5 Reasons To Be Excited About 2016


    Nick Nelson

    With the calendar flipping to a new year, we're suddenly less than two months away from the Minnesota Twins' first spring training game.

    It's been a mostly quiet offseason for the front office, but their one big splash is among five reasons that fans should be downright giddy for this 2016 season to get started.

    It's going to be a fun one.

    Image courtesy of Kim Klement, USA Today

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    1) Byung Ho Park arrives

    Even though the Tsuyoshi Nishioka move didn't work out, there was no denying that his arrival brought a distinct twist of added excitement. Bringing over an established star from another league across the world carries an intoxicating combination of unpredictability and intrigue, not to mention many extra media throngs covering the team.

    There are plenty of reasons to believe that Park is in line for a much more successful transition to the majors. Finding out how his prodigious 50-homer power transfers from KBO to MLB will be a primary storyline this season from the moment the team reports to Ft. Myers.

    2) Miguel Sano settles in

    Sano was called up on July 2nd last year, and his at-bats quickly became appointment viewing. In 2016 he'll be locked in from the start of the season, and we'll see what kind of numbers he can put up over the course of a full big-league campaign.

    I'm sure I speak for a lot of fans when I say I'm more apprehensive than enthused about the experiment of trying Sano in the outfield defensively, but at the plate, there's not much reason to think he can't put up monster numbers that border on MVP caliber, especially if Park proves to be a decent threat behind him.

    3) Jose Berrios debuts

    By the end of last year, it was fairly obvious that Berrios was ready for a shot in the majors, but the Twins ultimately opted against calling him up and their reasons for doing so were valid. In 2016, there will be no holding him back as long as he's healthy. It seems likely that Berrios will open the season back in Triple-A (the Twins stand to gain an extra year of service time by waiting until at least late April to promote him), but he'll be first in line as a replacement and he might force the issue if he picks up where he left off at Rochester performance-wise.

    Berrios is the best and most electric pitching prospect Minnesota has had since Francisco Liriano, and he certainly stands out amongst a mix of starting pitchers that are generally more capable than special.

    4. Byron Buxton breaks through

    Terry Ryan's decision to trade Aaron Hicks in November was seemingly an indication that he believes in Buxton's impending readiness, in spite of the top prospect looking rather overwhelmed during his rookie debut. He could open the season in Rochester but it's hard to imagine he'll be there long.

    Historically, Buxton has often experienced a bit of a learning curve when reaching a new level before making adjustments and dominating. We'll see if he can follow that trend at the highest level. Once he turns the corner at the plate, he's going to be an absolute blast to watch on a daily basis, changing games routinely with his dynamic speed and elite athleticism.

    5. The rotation comes together

    In 2015, Twins starters ranked 16th in the majors in ERA, which might not sound all that impressive until you consider that they'd been dead last in each of the prior two seasons, and 29th in 2012. They accomplished this jump despite: Ricky Nolasco missing most of the year due to injury, Phil Hughes devolving from the club's best starter in 2014 to its worst, Ervin Santana losing half the year to a suspension, and Berrios throwing zero pitches in the majors.

    As long as the rotation can stay healthy through spring training, the Twins will enter the 2016 season feeling as confident in their starting pitching as they have in a long while, and perhaps more so than any team in the division other than Cleveland.

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    Honestly, I think if Nolasco shows he can pitch at all in spring training he'll be traded. The Twins won't get much other than out from under some of his contract, but that is good enough. The rotation will probably be: Santana, Gibson, Hughes, Duffey and Milone - with Berrios being the first called up. Rotations never make it through an entire year healthy, so all it will take is one player missing a start and Berrios will get his opportunity. Besides you never know what you're going to get from Hughes or Duffey. Will Hughes be the guy from 2014 or 2015 - hopefully 2014. Duffey showed a lot of promise in the 10 starts he made last year, but that doesn't mean he's going to have the same success in 2016. Berrios will get his chance this season and if he takes that opportunity and runs with it I don't believe the Twins would send him back down. He threw 166 innings last season between AA and AAA, so he should be able to make it through the entire MLB season.

     

     

    I agree that if Nolasco is healthy in spring training that Ryan WILL trade him to someone.  The question is how much salary will they have to cover.  Unfortunately, i have to agree on Milone over May.  As much as Trevor deserves a full season of starts it looks like Molitor has his heart set on May being a RP which is a bloody shame if you ask me.  I'm not so sure Berrios debuts before fall.  In my opinion there are too many guys in front of him for that to happen unless injuries decimate the rotation.  

     

     

    Edited by laloesch

     

    The problem is that Nick thinks that it is starting slow in every level, thus business as usual, while I think that he has a fatal flaw (he cannot hit breaking stuff) which needs to be fixed to be a star.

     

    Does this make more sense?

    And, yes, I think that he had a single dominating season.  That's it.  Dominating is the difference between a Barry Bonds and a Bobby Bonilla.

     

    No. That is not Buxton's issue and resolution.   Buxton cannot hit a good breaking ball.  Period.

    And "dominating"?   One season with > .900 OPS .  .990 OPS in Cedar Rapids.  FWIW Vargas had 2 seasons with > .900 OPS (and another one with .895)   And Sano never had a season with OPS less than .870.  Maybe need to reconsider what "dominating" means, really...

     

    Unless Buxton can hit the curve or let it go, he will be a Vince Coleman type of player with fewer steals (because these days people don't steal.)

     

    Agreed Buxton is a TOTAL sucker for off-speed breaking ball pitches.  Unless he develops an eye for recognizing those offerings he's going to continue to flail at those pitches and will not develop into the five tool savior everyone thinks he will.  Sure he might steal some bases and make fantastic defensive plays in the outfield, but he will not be much more than a 4th outfielder at most.  

     

    Sano on the other hand can knock the living snot out of the ball but has blown up to 270 lbs and is now expected to roam the outfield like a gazelle even though he's realistically 40-50 pounds overweight (which is a lot even for a man his size).

    Rosario or Buxton are going to have to cover a TON of ground in CF.

     

     

    Will be very interesting watching these two develop.

    Edited by laloesch



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