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The_Phantom

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Everything posted by The_Phantom

  1. The_Phantom
    More substantiated proof. Also, a second strike.
  2. The_Phantom
    Hawk Harrelson is saying Molitor is a great baseball guy so Levine and Falvey are idiots for firing him. And "if they were so smart they'd be on wall street". As far as I'm concerned, if there was any doubt whether that was the right move (there wasn't any) Harrelson getting up in arms about it is the final seal of approval that it was right. That guy's baseball knowledge is a vortex of nothingness.
  3. The_Phantom
    Hey good work on that research. I don't think those numbers are terribly important though. Straight up "record in close games" is probably a better tool, but really even that is not perfect. When you massively overtax your bullpen and always take your starter out at 100 pitches no matter what, even when the pen is taxed... and so your pen gives up 6 runs. That ruins "close games" AND it affects the pyth. W/L calculation. Pyth is pretty much just if you are scoring more runs than your opponent overall. It's an interesting thought. Because a W/L better than your Pyth could very well mean that you are winning all your close games and only losing when you get blown out. But that's one of those things that in practice probably just isn't as clean cut as that.
  4. The_Phantom
    But Betts is the best of that group, and he was left in to face him to get to 100.
  5. The_Phantom
    Big shock, the batter that berrios crosses the magic number is his last. Lol we could just put a buzzer in an earpiece and when the 100th pitch is thrown the player can just walk out. No reason for a mound visit. Autopilot manager.
  6. The_Phantom
    It's hard for me to agree that he's got a high baseball IQ when every game, no matter what the situation, he goes on auto-pilot and pulls the starter at 100 pitches. There's no thinking to it. If a pitcher gets to 100 pitches during an AB (or 99), that's it for their day. If he's got a high baseball IQ, he really needs to learn how to use it. Because it comes across as daft and not knowing how baseball actually works to always pull a pitcher out based on a magic number. Additionally, remember when he completely butchered a double switch... Also, the time that he let Odorizzi hit. And then pulled him before the next inning started...
  7. The_Phantom
    This isn’t a complicated issue at all. Molitor strictly adheres to the magic 100 pitch count notion, even if a starter is at something like 5.2 IP and only allowed one run. He very, very rarely stretches the starters beyond that. Whatever batter faces the 100th pitch, that’s the last batter the starter sees. So our bullpen, especially Reed, is horrendously overtaxed.
  8. The_Phantom
    list of good times to bunt on the road: Literally never.
  9. The_Phantom
    That's because Molitor has NO clue what he is doing. Simple as that. 8 walkoffs isn't a fluke, its poor in game management. Bunting at the wrong time, changing pitchers at the wrong time, etc
  10. The_Phantom
    The thing is, it IS overhyped but you still can’t have a useless player in there. Rodney giving up a bunch of runs in the 8th would have been awful too. Have a good bullpen and there’s not a reason to pay a premium for which inning they pitch in. Rodney isn’t a good reliever, closer or otherwise
  11. The_Phantom
    Molitor, Lomo, and Rodney should all wake up to pink slips in the morning. This is 2016 all over again in the sense that they are going to dig themselves into a big enough hole that they cant climb out. Toronto always kills us too.
  12. The_Phantom
    Yeah. He's making a fantastic showing in spring training. But so did Park and he ended up back in Korea after a poor year in the minors. It's nice to have optimism that he's turned the corner, but we also need to keep expectations in check, especially with that absurdly high Babip.
  13. The_Phantom
    If that were remotely true, literally 100% of sexual assault cases would result in a conviction. The alleged victim's testimony is never evidence.
  14. The_Phantom
    I don't believe that to be the case. I believe MLB's policies are likely far less stringent than a court of law where someone is, legally, innocent until proven guilty. Considering that another player was just suspended for apparently having a yelling match with his wife, it sounds like MLB found nothing to hang a case on. Which, again, doesn't mean nothing happened, it just means that they didn't even have enough to have reasonable suspicion that it did happen as she said. Perhaps more briefly, in a court of law reasonable doubt is enough to acquit. In a case like this, reasonable suspicion is surely enough to suspend.
  15. The_Phantom
    Probably because it was a cesspool of Mauer bashing and nothing else. But let's keep this thread on topic.
  16. The_Phantom
    It still is circular because there is a laundry list of reasons the MVP voting hasn't always been reliable. I mean the notion that "you can't be MVP if your team doesn't make the playoffs" is just now dying. I could probably say even more recently than this, but with absolute certainty I will say that if 2016's stats happened in 2006, Mike Trout wouldn't be a 2x MVP. Mookie Betts would have, without question, won the MVP instead. Baseball writers also sometimes vote for their home team guy even if it doesn't make a lick of sense (though off the topic of my head i don't know any specific examples where that one has actually changed the outcome of a vote). To determine elite status i'd really rather look at how often they led the league or were at least top 10 in their league, rather than what flawed voters of the past had to say. But anyone with 3,000 strikeouts, let alone nearly 4,000 strikeouts, gets in my hall. Which i know you argued with longevity but I don't see any reason longevity is a negative. And honestly a good chunk of the guys in the 3000 strikeout club have a lower k/9 rate anyway.
  17. The_Phantom
    I have issues in getting behind the idea of basing HOF vote off of Cy Young and MVP vote totals. You're effectively saying "you don't deserve votes now because you didn't get votes then". It's kind of a circular argument. I especially have issues with it right now, when most of the players that are up for vote are really being judged with different criteria than they were in their playing days. Up until a few years ago the best way to get cy young votes was to get to 20 wins. Now, most writers barely look at the win column because we've realized how team dependent it is. So since you're looking at two different sets of data/criteria, it doesn't make much sense to me to judge it based on how they were voted for previously. That same argument can somewhat apply to all-star selections. There's also the fact that he was a much better second-half player. Which All-star game tallies aren't going to account for. Career 3.12 ERA in the second half is very very good. The strikeout/9 point is a very interesting one but like you pointed out there is a lot to be gained for longevity. PS not trying to derail the thread away from santana, just wanted to point out that I thought blyleven was snubbed for years.
  18. The_Phantom
    Personally I don't get why people think Blyleven is borderline at all. He's top 40 bWAR of all time, including position players. He's also top 20 (16th) in starting pitcher JAWS, 11 points higher than the average hall of famer. His strikeout totals are insane. The only traditional knock against him was that he came up 13 wins shy of 300, but pitching wins are now widely considered an outdated stat as far as overall importance. I think he was getting snubbed for years.
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