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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. nicksaviking
    Extending players and signing players are two differnt things. As I said, the Twins are notorious for overpaying for their own guys and not paying for quality free agents, but to fill out postitions of need, the Twins need to sign free agents as well. The Twins have few legit vets to extend and many holes to fill, thus they need to spend more on free agency than they do on extensions, but history implies this is unlikely, probably not as unlikely as Blackburn posting a strong 2013, but unlikely none the less. And even at his best, no other club would have consider a guy like Pavano who can't maintain a 6.0 K/9 a top of the rotation arm, even if he did have 17 wins.
  2. nicksaviking
    Just wondering if Chris Colabello is too old to be considered a prospect or if he just doesn't quite make the top 30 because of his attributes. His winter numbers are inspiring.
  3. nicksaviking
    At the farm, the Twins might have the most athletic outfielders in all of baseball. So do we move the fences back once Hicks, Benson, Buxton, Kepler, Roberts and Arcia are up? Besides, RF isn't all that big and there is next to no foul territory. There probably should never be an arguement about bringing the fences in, especially to protect the poor defense that will be playing there for hopefully less than half a season. One could possible argue to lower the RF wall because it penalizes line drive hitters, but the dimensions should remain.
  4. nicksaviking
    Come on, really? Only Morneau and Willingham could command any extension of any significance and the farm would have to completely implode for there to be room for both of them. Regardless, the Twins always have overvalued the current players while undervalued available free agents. They can extend existing Twins all they want but we all know the problem is, and always has been, that they need top of the rotation arms. There is no one like that on this club to extend, they need to look externally for those arms. So increasing payroll on extensions likely doesn't get this club over the hump even if they do manage to blow another $14 million on Blackburn.
  5. nicksaviking
    Ryan and the front office have time and time again said they will not over pay for free agents. You think they are really going to start "overpaying" for guys? That's their singular excuse when it comes to lowballing free agents. The Twins only had the +100 million payroll because they got the new stadium and had to take care of their own guys, the Mauers, Morneaus, Cuddyers and Nathans. They didn't get that large payroll by signing expensive free agents. They never value free agents nearly as gererously as they do thier own guys. Payroll won't go up until they have to start giving new contracts to the new crop of guys and that won't be for over a half decade.
  6. nicksaviking
    So how's the old idiom go? Robbing Brian to pay Drew?
  7. nicksaviking
    I'm just curious Parker, did the pitch framing study take any consideration into who the pitcher was? I only ask because from a fans perspective, pitchers of superior experience and reputation tend to get a "framed" pitch called in their favor compared to a wet behind the ears or unreliable arms. I was just wondering if framing seems to work out better for guys like Andy Pettite as opposed to Francisco Liriano. It seems likely it would.
  8. nicksaviking
    And look at their eventual landing spot. Target Field thus far looks to be much more friendly to righties like Sano than it does to lefties like Rosario. A line drive hitter like Rosario is going to have difficulty with the RF porch, all he has to do is ask Justin Morneau.
  9. nicksaviking
    I'll take upside over durability every time. This club is so afraid of risk, but it often seems when it comes to pitchers, the only risk they recognize is injury. For some reason, they don't seem to consider poor production as a risk as evidenced by the low ceiling pitchers they like to snag. If they're actually considering giving a hefty multi-year deal to Saunders, why the hell didn't they trade a bag of peanuts for the right to pay Dan Haren $13.5 million in 2013?
  10. nicksaviking
    Another great breakdown, Drew better frame that article, his agent couldn't have done a better service for him. While it is a compelling case to retain Butera, it seems to me all the other 3rd catchers that are released yearly, are generally regarded as having no offense but "defensive prowess." There will proabably be a dozen guys like Butera waiting to catch on with a team over the next couple of months.
  11. nicksaviking
    Good stuff, Iowa's a swing state for baseball allegiances, it's nice for the Twins to get a little bit of a firmer grip on some of that cornfield territory.
  12. nicksaviking
    I wouldn't worry much about Morneau. He can't be playing too many games before the Canadians get bounced. What three round robin games? It's beeen awhile I forget the exact format.
  13. nicksaviking
    Yet they are cheap with other team's pitchers. Why is it that they are fine re-signing Pavano and extending Radke, Santana, Baker, Blackburn, Milton and Mays yet when there is no one to extend they won't put the same effort into the pitching staff? The "We look after our own" atmosphere is cute and cuddley but is prohibitive when solutions are needed from outside the organization. Butera's pay is only a drop in the bucket, but did they really need to pay him more than most people thought he'd get in arbitration? Did they even need to extend him a MLB contract at all? If the team lost him to another team, there will probably be about 30 other number 3 catchers available before the season starts. The Twins take the bird in the hand is better than two in the bush idiom way too seriously.
  14. nicksaviking
    Rosario and Barrios, wow, that is impressive. Rosario has been killing it in winterball. He can flat out hit.
  15. nicksaviking
    So according to SI: PRO Nice return on the trades CON The pitching additions were only rotation filler The middle infield is still a disaster Wow, I wish I had SI as my teacher back in high school. Who can complain about a grading curve where a 33% is a B-!
  16. nicksaviking
    1) Morneau is going to return to form....but on the road. .850+ OPS away from TF, .750- at home. Whether the dimensions are fair or not, there's something about that RF porch that does not mesh with his swing. 2) Perkins will perform well and get rave reviews. Debates will become heated come July when we argue about what kind of value a top ten closer should bring on the trade market and if a non-contender like the Twins can justify keeping him. 3) Plouffe starts off cold and loses playing time to the designated utility infielder but when an injury forces Plouffe back into the everyday line up in June, his bat wakes up and he hits his way into another 20 HR season while showing improved defense due to being more comfortable with his new assigment. 4) Liam Hendriks becomes the dark horse rotation leader being the only full-time member of the rotation to finish with a sub 4.00 ERA, sub 1.300 WHIP or a +7.0 K/9 while compiling a stunning 10-13 W/L record.
  17. nicksaviking
    If these two continue to produce and improve, I would not be comfortable with them spending an entire year without a promotion. If sticking at 3B and 2B means they absolutely need a full year with the Ft. Myers instructors than I'd fully support an entire season in the FSL. If not, then they need to advance based on their productivity.
  18. nicksaviking
    You don't want to push a guy who's not ready, but if he is proving himself, a quick advancement is not necessarily rushing a young player. Had the Twins been fortunate enough to have gotten their hands on Felix Hernandez or Clayton Kershaw, would those players still have reached the majors at the young ages of 19 and 20 years old? No one can say, but i suspect not.
  19. nicksaviking
    Nope, the Twins make nearly all HS players stay a full year at low A. Arcia got to skip out after half a season but he was a hitter. Berrios will get no higher than CR this year.
  20. nicksaviking
    Shouldn't the poll be, What is more dead, Te'o's fake girlfriend or the 2013 Twins playoff hopes? I tried to go the fake dead girlfriend route once, but when you're married people just assume you killed her and call the cops on you.
  21. nicksaviking
    Morse went to the Mariners in a three team trade in exchange for the return of AJ Cole along with another"good" prospect and a PTBNL. Top prospect Cole alone is a pretty good return for a defensively challenged rental player. Morse likely is more valued, but perhaps some value does still lie in Morneau after all.
  22. nicksaviking
    Yup, that's what I mean, if the Twins spent say $90 million this year, there would be even more outrage when payroll drops to $70 million after another 90 loss season. And then if the Twins by some unlikely happenstance DO get back to the $80 million range they have this year, they'll proudly tell the fans, "See, we kept payroll the same even though you guys didn't show up to the stadium. We're not so cheap after all!"
  23. nicksaviking
    I would like to think this would be factored into the decisions, but next year's free agent pitchers do not appear very strong at all. Josh Johnson and Adam Wainwright headline the class but there's a good chance they'll resign with their clubs. Matt Garza could end up being the best of the rest followed by some very questionable or very old arms. This year seemed to have a lot more depth. While I hope I'm wrong, I truely doubt the Twins will ever go into an offseason thinking they have $50 million to spend. I'd doubt they would spend more than $20 million on free agents. I half suspect this assumed low 2013 payroll is a way to set a low baseline to measure furture payrolls against.
  24. nicksaviking
    And other teams strikeout numbers are likely on the rise as evidenced by the fact that nearly all of the leftover free agents, including higher profile guys like Lohse and Saunders, are low K guys. Other teams aren't chasing these kind of pitchers, and certainly not willing to over pay for them any longer for a reason. Again, I realized Saunders is a decent pitcher, I just don't like my favorite team continuing on this antiquated pitching approach.
  25. nicksaviking
    He's yet to meet the Twins infield defense.
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