I usually trust the numbers and the averages to tell me what's likely to happen over the course of a season, but I can't get past these facts: The Twins sucked for four years. They brought in a clubhouse leader and veteran who shook things up and brought some chemistry to the table and they had a winning season. That guy left and they went right back to being awful. I don't think it's a coincidence. Mauer, Plouffe, and Dozier are not leaders. Everybody else is more-or-less a rookie. This team is spineless and gutless and doesn't have a single person who can get in people's faces or fire people up or call a clubhouse meeting or even throw a freaking dance party. Again, I'm a numbers guy, but all that stuff is important.