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tvagle

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Everything posted by tvagle

  1. So...we help pay for and build a new park...Pohlad's take in $51M more in revenue first year at Target Field 1st year of Mauer's big deal is only time 50% payroll threshold has been breached (or remotely approached) They used to get by on $96M after Player Payroll...the last few years it's been $140M I thought recycling rain water and LED lights were supposed to save overhead? And that's not even taking into account the $50M from Bam-BamTech sale to Mickey & Minnie Anyway...Here's a link to another payroll tool Make a copy of it start typing in Lance Lynn and select his name an the out-of-touch with the current market MLBTR projection will fill in 42$14M per (bet Lance would take that in a heartbeat) If you want to enter your own numbers, enter the full number ($14000000 for 14M) and the totals will add up correctly
  2. Here's a look at Twins Payroll...Just shy of $124M with LoMo added...Sanchez $2.5M...and Grossman over Granite for last bench role Clearer view and you can Make a Copy of the Twins Payroll Tool here
  3. Couldn't find (ok, maybe I didn't look very hard (or at all)...someone will have to explain to me how to actually find what your searching for on TD as my experience is that it's great for catching up on 5 year old posts) what was I going to post....yes... Couldn't find the Predict a Twins Starting Pitcher Signing topic so I'll post this here instead... The next big Twins SP signing will be June 4th immediately following the start of the Rule 27 draft (or whatever arcane name/number there is for the Amateur Draft) and the pitcher will be whoever is still not signed by then, contract will be 1 year (actually the rest of the season) for a pro-rated portion of $15M Call it the TR Morales Maneuver This will be followed by a Falvine Flip on July 30th sending the TR Morales Maneuver player to the Yankme's for RHP's Ben Heller and Giovanny Gallegos both of who were 15-0 for Tampa Tarpons (don't get those 3rd consonants mixed up) and Trenton Thunder The boys will use the Falvine Flip along with a mysterious "We Take Care of Our Own" message on the clubhouse whiteboard to rally and secure the 2nd Wild Card...you know the rest
  4. Just thinking on this fine Friday morning...Is JT a better trade candidate, does he have more value if he's not a 40-man guy? Saves the acquiring team from having to run the risk he gets nabbed when they DFA him?? I didn't say it was good thinking...just thinking
  5. This puts the payroll at $115.5M as is (not counting Sanchez just yet)...how much more do you think the Twins can/will add? Cobb/Lynn at $15M per = $130M payroll? or are they done??
  6. Using the standard uPoD (under Promise over Deliver) metric: For those of you not familiar with uPoD it has long been used as a trend analysis tool for everything from dinner choices (Chili's with the wife uPoD +50) to business ventures/proposals (Apple's 1984 commercial claim...Joe Namath's prediction uPoD +100) or financial promises (local sports team's claim to budget 50% of revenue for payroll uPoD +/-100 depending on who calculates the result) An average uPoD score is 0...which is equivalent of doing absolutely nothing and promising not to do anything...kind of like the Cincinnati Reds) The Twins SP moves this offseason to date come in at -1000 uPoD
  7. Going back to 2000 here are just a few of the fellas that have started a game for the Twins (Not all, but a large majority were FA acquisitions) How many can you name?
  8. There's still a chance for picking this guy up
  9. This may be a bit of a stretch, but it is still the off season so why not a little extra hyperbole on why the Rays would consider trading Honeywell From KLaw's top 100 review on #15 Brent Honeywell 'He's a different sort of character and was even suspended briefly in late August by the team (not the league) for undisclosed reasons, although the Rays universally praise his competitiveness and work ethic." Here's the reach...there is a precedence for a top 10 ranked prospect being dealt very early in his career Trevor Bauer dealt when he was the #5 ranked mlb prospect for a Swedish 1st Baseman (Lars Anderson) and future Twin Killer Didi G...so there could be a similar situation with a player KLaw begins his report with "Honeywell is "the screwball guy" in both senses of the term"...Rays grow tired of the act and look to move him May be a toilet paper thin correlation...and with 3 days before the 1st workout it's good to have positive negative thoughts going into the season!
  10. Been working so far...seems plausible
  11. Appreciate the discussion on 3 Options, my first intention was to not have to read more D-word posts..Mission Accomplished Maybe a better way to posit this would be to say: Would you rather trade for 4 years of Archer or 6 of someone like Honeywell and what would each take to get? I'm reading it'd take more for Honeywell than for Archer? There's a strong Phil Hughes Odor-with-izzi...might have a year or two of success and then those flyballs start carrying further and further...I agree let's roll with the youngsters instead Would only take Span back if Kepler was sent and it reduced the prospect haul needed...Maybin/Cargo's might be more productive for less than Span in this market If Kepler and Romero get the talks going for Archer, Falvine have to bring that one home no?
  12. One could only imagine based on the reaction to Darvish...if not gonna sign FA then bring in Trader Jack McKeon and fix things that need fixing
  13. Why would the Cubs sign an old guy to a 6 year contract...Because they can Maybe Sano and Kepler are everything they could ever want...worst thing that happens is they say no It's more productive than rehashing missed opportunities What do you think it would take?
  14. This! I offer up 3 options in the Darvish Contingency thread somewhere near the end of page 7 this was Option 3: Twins Get: Archer, Honeywell, Span Rays Get: Sano, Kepler, Gordon, Littel/Slegers/Lottery Ticket Sign: (MLBTR projection NUNEZ: 2/$7M AAV MOUSTAKAS:5/$17M AAV) Nunez 2018 PAYROLL: $130.5M or Moustakas 2018 PAYROLL: $140.5M Both of these appear to be an overpay in current market and would expect both to sign for much less
  15. How about this for a contingency plan or two or three To start I’m in the “Lewis is Untouchable” camp. I think the Twins should reconnect with the Rays and work out a Garza-Delmonzie type of deal in reverse…Twins get pitching Rays get everyday players Option 1 Twins Get: Honeywell, Span Rays Get: Kepler, Romero Sign: Alex Cobb (MLBTR projection COBB: 4/$12M AAV) 2018 PAYROLL: $129.9M Option 2 Twins Get: Odorizzi, Honeywell, Span Rays Get: Kepler, Romero, Littel/Slegers/Lottery Ticket As shown by the limited addition for Odorizzi I’m not high on him 2018 PAYROLL: $124.2M Option 3 Twins Get: Archer, Honeywell, Span Rays Get: Sano, Kepler, Gordon, Littel/Slegers/Lottery Ticket Sign: (MLBTR projection NUNEZ: 2/$7M AAV MOUSTAKAS:5/$17M AAV) Nunez 2018 PAYROLL: $130.5M or Moustakas 2018 PAYROLL: $140.5M Both of these appear to be an overpay in current market and would expect both to sign for much less All three options include an upgrade in 2018 rotation to varying degrees, future rotations depend on young hurlers Honeywell and Gonslaves 6 years of Honeywell and Gonsalves 4 years of Archer Lots of young guy risk in the rotation...sending Sano could haunt...without landing the "D word" Archer poses best upgrade to top of the rotation (IMO) make a move on him or small increments this year with 2019 rotation adds might be best we can hope for
  16. Was thinking this as well...might even keep Hughes on board if the prospect ransom wasn't too large
  17. Archer, Cobb, JDM...would rid ourselves of Grossman's OBP in favor of a bargain price on Dyson, Maybin or either CarGo (I know it's a lot of wishin' and hopin')
  18. Kepler, Gordon, Romero framework for Archer Take Yu dollars and swoop in on JDM Sign Cobb or Lynn...will post affect on Payroll shortly
  19. I see what you did or didn't do here...I also would never disclose that this may push the Twins to Do Anything Realistic Via Incremental Salary Hikes to augment the Starting Rotation
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