Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

Brad Swanson

Verified Member
  • Posts

    1,200
  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Tracker: Picks & Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by Brad Swanson

  1. I can't believe that October is upon us! The 2013 season went by so quickly. I am already enjoying playoff baseball and I thought that while I enjoy playoff baseball, I could answer a few questions that have been burning a hole in my inbox. As always, these are actual questions from actual readers of the Word documents that I use to compose my rough drafts. Download attachment: alamat-email1.jpg What is your outlook for the 2014 Twins? Brad S., St. Paul, MN Initially, I thought that 2014 would be that year when the team starts to get good. I kind of envisioned a 2001 Twins team of sorts, where they are better than they had been, but still not good enough to make the playoffs. My expectations have changed a bit, mostly because the Major League team was so bad in the second half of 2013. [PRBREAK][/PRBREAK] Originally posted at The Slow However, I do hold out hope that the 2014 Twins could win 75-81 games. A lot depends on what the Twins do in free agency and with trades this off-season. If they can make some smart trades and pick up a piece or two, I think a 10-15 game improvement is possible. The Twins were 36-45 after 81 games. That 72-win pace doesn't meet my 75-81 number, but it shows that for half of the season, the Twins weren't terrible, they were just bad. Of course, the second half did happen and they only won 30 more games, for a 60-win pace. With a healthy Joe Mauer (hopefully), natural development from rookies like Oswaldo Arcia, Josmil Pinto, Aaron Hicks and Kyle Gibson, and the Twins' solid bullpen, I think the team can be a lot better than they were in 2013. If the Front Office picks up a good starting pitcher, then I really do think that 81 wins is possible. Likely? No. Brad, you are my idle. I kneed to know, who are you rooting for in the playoffs? Brad S., St. Paul, MN I tend to root for fan bases instead of teams. I am a fan, not a team. So, I usually gravitate toward the teams with the most tortured fan base. Generally, I pull for the team with the longest championship drought. I do have some exceptions though: I can't openly root for New York, Boston, Chicago or Los Angeles. Those fan bases have too many other successful teams in other sports. So, the Red Sox and Dodgers are out. I don't care for the Tomahawk Chop, so the Braves are out. It's a political stance I suppose, but really I just find it annoying. The Cardinals won a World Series like five days ago, so they're out. Technically, the Tigers have the longest World Series drought of all the AL teams. They also have a player on their team who I am not fond of. He shall remain nameless, in case his family reads this. Let's just say, I've heard things. Unpleasant things. The Rays have never won a World Series, so they seem like the logical pick. However, their fans are kind of sucky and the team hasn't been around very long.That leaves the Pirates in the NL and Oakland in the AL. Pittsburgh fits because they have a tortured fan base. Although, it is worth mentioning that the Steelers and Penguins have been really good the past decade. A Pittsburgh-Oakland World Series would be an advertiser's nightmare, but I would eat it up. I love how rowdy the Oakland fans are. Plus, have you been to Oakland? Would you go back? Let's give them something to enjoy. I can only assume that some other idiot will ask you who you are rooting for in the playoffs, but I want to know who you think will win the 2013 World Series. Mostly so I can point out how wrong you were when it doesn't happen. Brad S's Mom, St. Paul, MN I'll start by eliminating teams for arbitrary reasons: Tigers - Miguel Cabrera is hurt Red Sox - Clam chowder is gross A's - Moneyball Pirates - Tired of plundering Cardinals - They're old? They're probably old. Braves - Tomahawk chop againThat leaves the Rays and the Dodgers. I like the Dodgers because they have Clayton Kershaw and I like the Rays because they are the smartest team in the history of civilization and they embrace math. If I was going to send my child to a school run by one of these teams, I'd pick the Rays. This isn't school! It's baseball, nerd! The Dodgers win because they know how to be cool. Yasiel Puig and whatnot. Do you know any talking pumas who also write about the Twins? Brad S., St. Paul, MN I actually did meet some talking pumas recently. In fact, I convinced each of them to write a Twins' 2013 season summary. Paul is an eternal optimist and you can read his review here. Peter says he's more realistic, but sometimes I think he's just negative. You can read his review here. If you enjoy their opinions, check in with my blog as I am working out twin 8 year, $184 million contracts for Paul and Peter to contribute regularly. The Twins outrighted Cole De Vries, Shairon Martis, Clete Thomas and Josh Roenicke from the 40-man roster earlier this week. Who will be joining them on the wrong side of the 40-man before the start of 2014? Brad S., St. Paul, MN Those four guys are a good start. You won't regret losing any of them, if another team is doing a bunch of drugs and decides to claim them. If I had to guess, I'd say that the following fellows will be joining them at some point in the near future: B.J. Hermsen, Eric Fryer, Doug Bernier, and Darin Mastroianni. It's not a huge list and it's probably incomplete. I think that if the Twins need roster spots, there are plenty of other guys who could be gone. Mike Pelfrey shouldn't be retained, but who knows? There are plenty of replaceable guys on this team, that's why they haven't eclipsed 66 wins since 2010. Are you surprised that Ron Gardenhire will manage the Twins in 2014? Brad S., St. Paul, MN Not in the least. The Twins organization is very loyal and I think we all know that at this point. In some ways, it's a heelish move. I think the general fan attitude was that a change was needed or "heads should roll" if you prefer ancient justice to tactful sentiments. It could be that the team made this decision to stick it to the fans. More likely, it seems that this was a move made out of loyalty. I guess that's fine. It's not the statement that I would try to make though. If I had been the GM, here's how I would have handled Gardy's extension. Step 1 - Announce that the team has a new manager, but that he prefers to work under a mask Step 2 - Introduce said manager at an elaborate press conference Step 3 - Invite a fan to shake hands with the new manager at the press conference Step 4 - After the handshake, crush the fan over the head with the Golden Septor Step 5 - Call for the new manager to unmask, revealing Ron Gardenhire, but with a shaved head and black goatee Step 6 - Mudhole stomp the fan for 3-5 minutes, with Rick Anderson helping stomp the mudhole Step 7 - Declare Gardenhire the "Macho King" Ron Gardenhire and proceed with the season as suchFor me, that's just a better way to do things. I hate to question the Front Office though. I'm a traditionalist. Thanks for all the questions! If you ever truly want to ask me a question, you can send me an email at this fancy new email address: kevinsloweywasframed@gmail.com. Or, you can send me spam like everyone else. Click here to view the article
  2. Weekend Recap Hey, two series wins in a row. The Twins out-slugged the slugging Rockies over the weekend, pulling to within six games of .500 with a ten-game homestand on the other end of the All-Star Break. They received a pretty balanced attack from their offense as just about every player contributed in some way. The offense has been so poor recently, perhaps this is a glimpse of what is to come in the second half. We can hope, right? Kevin Correia I'm starting to wonder if the Twins should hang on to Correia for the rest of the season. With Ricky Nolasco out indefinitely, Sam Deduno better suited for the bullpen, Yohan Pino and Kris Johnson mediocre at best and Mike Pelfrey donated to Derek Jeter, the Twins might need Correia for the remainder of the season. This is counter to basically everything I have written about Correia this season, but I can't argue with his results over the last two months. Since his poor start against Boston on May 14, Correia has made eleven very solid starts, posting a 3.22 ERA and averaging just over six innings per start. It's easy to dismiss a couple good starts, but eleven? Even if the Twins decide to promote Alex Meyer and Trevor May, they still have room for Correia. When you consider that Meyer might pass his innings limit by September, Correia may be needed even if Nolasco returns in August. I'm all for giving younger players opportunity, but I'm not convinced that Pino, Johnson or Logan Darnell can out-produce Correia for the remainder of 2014. Of course, my entire perspective changes if the Twins are offered a good prospect for Correia. Then, I'll finally get my Yohan Pino shirsey. Even with Correia's improved performance, I'm not sure that a team will offer a good prospect. Jared Burton Burton's ERA is down to 4.82. That's pretty good. Since May 1, Burton has an ERA of 3.49 and his strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.33. He hasn't been dominant like he was in 2012, but he's been steady like he was in 2013. I'm not on the "release Burton" bandwagon, as I think he might be the Twins' second most talented right-handed reliever on the roster. Releasing Burton would hurt the bullpen, so the Twins should hang on to him. I'd still like to see Michael Tonkin join the Twins very soon, but I don't feel Burton is the player to swap him out for. Josh Willingham In 2013 and 2014, Willingham has batted .209/.347/.381, good for a 102 OPS+. Willingham has been better in 2014, getting on base more and providing more power. His batting average is insanely low, but his BABIP is freakishly low too. His line drive rate is about four percentage points below his career-average and his ground ball rate is nearly nine percentage points below his average. Willingham's bad luck is going to become the Twins' bad luck if they are serious about trading him. It would be fantastic if Willingham could receive some positive baseball karma. He's been injured a lot recently, his luck stats are all going against him and he might get traded from a place that he really likes. Hopefully, he'll start to get some good luck, mash for a few weeks, get traded to a contender for a good prospect and then win a World Series. He seems like a legitimately good guy, so that would be the best-case scenario for all parties. Former Twin Update - Justin Morneau We failed. Morneau lost the Final Vote to Anthony Rizzo and will not be in the All-Star Game on Tuesday. As a result, I ripped up my tickets, baked them into a cherry pie and fed it to anyone in Minnesota who voted against Morneau. Congratulations! The better player defeated the better story. Whoopie! By the way, morons, you still got it wrong. If we were really going to take the best player, you got the wrong Anthony. Anthony Rendon has been better than Rizzo. Regardless, Morneau was cool enough to compete in the Home Run Derby and hopefully he wins. When he wins, I hope he melts down the trophy, bakes it into a cherry pie and feeds it to anyone in Minnesota who voted against him. Adieu Scott Diamond The Twins released Scott Diamond over the weekend, ending his Twins career. In a perfect world, he latches on with another team and puts together another MLB run. It's shocking how quickly his career fell apart. He was so good in 2012 but he couldn't sustain the one thing that he did at an elite level that season. When Diamond was able to Maddux everyone, he was great. When he was just simply "good" at limiting walks, he didn't have the same level of success. Alas, 2012 was fun and we'll always remember his flash of dominance. Random Top Five List - Fewest First Half Walks I am obsessed with Phil Hughes' ability to limit walks. While he has been getting hit around a bit lately, his elite walk rate should help him turn things around when the hits stop falling in. Here are the top five fewest walks in a first half in Twins' history (minimum 75 innings pitched): Carlos Silva - 2005 - 5 walksBrad Radke - 2005 - 10 walksBrad Radke - 2004 - 10 walksBob Tewksbury - 1998 - 11 walksPhil Hughes - 2014 - 11 walks2005 - "The Year of the No Walk." I have a way with words. Baseball Card from the Past Download attachment: 391_kirby_puckett.jpg This was my favorite baseball card as a kid. I started collecting around 1988, when I was five or six. I got the 1988 Topps complete set for Christmas and I opened it up and started sorting like a madman. The fact that there were two Kirby Puckett cards in the set blew my mind. I liked this card better because it was an All Star card. I always wanted to get this specific card signed, which sadly did not happen. However, I did accumulate about 25 copies of this card via trades, so at least I have a bunch of them somewhere. Futures Game Recap! Can Jose Berrios start the first game after the All-Star Break? Can he start every game? Seriously, that inning was impressive. It was one inning, but it was super impressive. Alex Meyer was impressive as well and he might actually be ready for the Majors in the near future. Before the 2013 season, the Twins had exactly zero impressive starting pitching prospects. Now, they have Meyer, Berrios, Kohl Stewart, Lewis Thorpe and Trevor May. Each seems likely to contribute and impress at some point in the future. This wasn't really a recap of the game, but the other players in the game aren't on my favorite team so I loathe them and hope their hair turns to snakes. That is, unless the Twins trade for one of them, then I hope for reverse hair snakes. Oh, Joey Gallo seems strong. All-Star Fan Fest Recap! My wife, daughter and I went to Fan Fest on Saturday. We arrived shortly before 7pm, right about when all the fun was beginning. It was an impressive display. There looked to be a lot of activities that a younger version of myself would have really enjoyed. There were batting cages, fielding drills, men writing their names on things, etc. My daughter isn't old enough to partake, although we did take her picture with the World's Largest Baseball. My wife also went 3 for 3 at trivia kiosks and won a couple prizes. She really wants me to give them away on the blog. Maybe in a few years when they hold absolutely zero value. Celebrity Softball Game Recap! Oh wait, I did not watch this. Parting Thoughts I am very excited for the All-Star Game on Tuesday. I feel fortunate to have the opportunity to attend in person. I have admitted in the past that the player intros are my favorite part, but if the game is exciting, I might enjoy the actual baseball just as much. Even if the game isn't exciting, I'll be very happy that I shelled out hard-earned dollars for tickets. It's the experience! I am also excited that the Twins enter the break having won 5 of 6. They might not make the playoffs in 2014, but they might play reasonably relevant games in September for the first time since 2010. It's funny how low my standards have fallen, but what can you do? Have a great week, everyone! Originally posted at Kevin Slowey was Framed! Click here to view the article
  3. Download attachment: Arcia_Oswaldo_HighFive_US_720.jpg SWEEP! SWEEP! SWEEP! SWEEP! SWEEP! SWEEP! SWEEP! SWEEP! SWEEP! SWEEP! Oswaldo Arcia On June 4, I declared my desire to legally adopt Arcia. Since that day, he is 4 for 46 with 18 strikeouts. I withdraw my application. Not because I don't want to adopt him, but because it seems to be affecting him adversely. He has been hit by three pitches since that day, likely from jealous pitchers. A 4:3 hit to HBP ratio either means a batter is struggling or has been breaking a ton of unwritten rules. Arcia has been struggling mightily. He was recently benched for Chris Parmelee and that didn't help things whatsoever. The Twins could certainly send Arcia back to Rochester. That's how they handled his slumps last year. However, I'd recommend keeping him in the lineup to give him the chance to work though his struggles. Arcia appears to be a pretty streaky hitter, but he's been consistently excellent in AAA. Knowing that, the Twins need to figure out if Arcia can adjust in-season against MLB pitching. I feel pretty confident that he'll be able to get it together if he's allowed to keep swinging through his slump. Kendrys Morales Speaking of slumps. Morales had just two hits last week. He scored and drove in one run apiece. I'm sure that if I betray myself and look at the Twins' Facebook page, there will be many calling him names and loathing that he was ever signed. Ah, but it's just a slump. In fact, Morales had just four hits from June 16, 2013 to June 22, 2013, proving that he just really hates that week. Morales didn't have a spring training and he's only played a handful of games. He posted a 123 OPS+ last year, despite that one-week stretch in mid-June. He's a good hitter, he'll hit. Glen Perkins Perkins blew the save on Friday, but managed to find the will to win. He was a little shaky on Saturday, but got the job done. I saw a few individuals questioning whether or not we should be worried about Perkins. Emphatically: no. Perkins currently has the highest strikeout rate and lowest walk rate of his career. His BABIP is thirty points higher than his career figure and his strand rate is nearly ten points lower. Perkins is dominant and there's simply no reason to worry about his performance in the least. STOP WORRYING! Former Twin Update - Kevin Slowey The end of an era! The Miami Marlins DFA'd Kevin Slowey to make room for some super prospect or something. I hate that we live in a world where talent trumps Slowey, but I guess I'll have to learn to live with it. Slowey did that cool thing he does where he put up a much better FIP than ERA. That's so Slowey. His 5.30 ERA wasn't cutting it for a surprisingly good Marlins team. Normally, this is where I'd advocate the Twins taking a look at him, but I don't have the strength for a fake fight right now. Random Top Five List 2014 AL Ground Ball Rate Leaders Dallas Keuchel - 63.7% Justin Masterson - 59.8% Jarred Cosart - 56.7% Kyle Gibson - 55.8% Sonny Gray - 55.0%Clearly, Gibson owns one elite skill. He has always had the ground ball reputation and it's manifesting in 2014. I'd love to see his strikeout rate jump a tad, but elite ground ball pitchers are able to have some level of success without a ton of strikeouts. However, Gibson's strikeout rate is significantly lower than those on this list and the guys who are in the 6th through 10th positions. Something to keep an eye on. Half-Hearted Mini-Rant - West Coast Baseball So the Twins are in Anaheim for some baseball this week and I am not pleased! What's with these 9 PM start times? Doesn't baseball know I have a job? Doesn't baseball know I can't stay up past 11pm or I'll be somewhat tired and irritable? Hey baseball, can we try to start these games at a reasonable hour? Hey lawmakers, why not get off your lazy keisters and do something about this problem? My solution? Eliminate time zones. If it's 7 PM here, it should be 7 PM everywhere. No one wants to do math to figure out when games start. No one likes to count. The sun won't cooperate? Forget the sun, let's blow it up! We'll be just fine without your heat and light, sun. Look, this is America, we can do anything! I refuse to believe that we can't engineer a better sun right here on our soil. And, we can work on it from 8-5 and it will be super easy to call our friends in Estonia after work because the times will be the same and we can all watch the Twins game together as a culture. This needs to happen. New Poll! Last month, I put up a poll and asked who would win the Twins' Cy Young Award in 2014. The results are striking, but not shocking: Phil Hughes - 63 votes Sam Deduno - 4 votes Kevin Corr...hahahahahahahahahaha - 3 votes Glen Perkins - 7 votes Kyle Gibson - 2 votes Ricky Nolasco - 2 votes Brian Dozier - 24 votesI appreciate the irreverence of those voting for Dozier. Hughes appears to be the runaway choice and he also appears to actually be running away with this fake award. Making fun of Correia seems to have inspired him and I'll gladly take full credit for that. I have added a new poll and if you respect the democratic process, you will vote. If you don't respect that process, you can still vote. The process respects you. Plugging My Way Last Friday, I pondered how things would be different if the Twins had drafted Mark Prior instead of Joe Mauer. It's interesting, to say the least. Here's the full text. If you just want the chain of events, here you go: Twins draft Prior Twins win 2003 World Series George Steinbrenner develops cyborg player technology MLB expands to 90,000 teams Prior retiresIt's all pretty logical. Parting Thoughts Watching the Twins beat the White Sox all weekend was very satisfying. Before the season started, I questioned how anyone could think that ratty White Sox team would be better than the Twins in 2014. They're closer than I thought (the Sox are a bit better than "ratty," I guess) but I still think the Twins are better. Oh, and that Adam Eaton is going to annoy the daylights out of me for about a decade. He's scrappy. Have a great week, everyone! Originally posted at Kevin Slowey was Framed! [/hr]Twins win and so do you. On Monday, get a half price large or extra-large pizza from PapaJohns.com by using the promo code 'TWINSWIN'. Click here to view the article
  4. Download attachment: mailbag_32.jpg Welcome to the third installment of my (fake) Minnesota Twins mailbag. In the past, I have used this space to answer the tough questions that no one seems to want to actually ask me. Today, I have a treat! Actual questions! Well, not all of them. See if you can spot the fakes. Which flavor ice cream is Anthony Swarzak? ~ @ERolfPleiss on Twitter Now, this is a question![PRBREAK][/PRBREAK] Well, he's certainly vanilla. That isn't a race-based statement, I just think he is kind of boring. However, he does sprinkle in some surprises here and there. He is also known to be a little strange and believes in Bigfoot. That's cool, but certainly not normal. He'd never be my first choice, but likely would not be my last choice either. That eliminates anything with coffee in it. Anthony Swarzak is a Take 5 McFlurry. It is vanilla-based and would be better with chocolate but the Kaisers at McDonalds won't make you one with chocolate ice cream. Again, not racial, I just prefer chocolate ice cream in all instances. Back to Swarzak ice cream. The Take 5 contains pretzels, caramel, peanuts and peanut butter. Each is delicious and together they form a winning combo. The addition of the Take 5 almost makes the vanilla ice cream tolerable. However, McDonalds is a corporation, so good luck getting a consistent amount of Take 5 in your McFlurry. Most times, you are left with a lot of vanilla ice cream. That's Anthony Swarzak, mostly vanilla ice cream, with some tasty treats every so often. Torii Hunter made some statements welcoming Aaron Hicks to the line of great Twins centerfielders and said he'd hit for power not just be a slap hitter. So who was Torii dissing most? ~ TwinVike61, Twins Daily member Torii Hunter seems to love nothing more than hearing Torii Hunter talk. In this instance, I believe he was aiming his comments at Ben Revere. I believe this to be true because Hunter is linked closely as some sort of mentor to Denard Span. I can't remember seeing the same thing with Revere and Hunter. Therefore, Revere is probably the slap hitter that Hunter refers to. In reality, Revere is a slap hitter with no power, so I guess Hunter is right. Hunter will almost certainly be on MLB Network when his playing career ends. I will almost certainly continue to not watch MLB Network with sound. If the Twins were forced into a situation where a position player was needed to pitch, who would they use and why? ~ Brad S, St. Paul, MN This question requires a lot of thought. First, I think the way the roster is constructed, we would only see a position player pitch if a game went to a lot of extra innings. There isn't a Drew Butera on the team that you would feed to a hungry team that has already scored 20 or so runs. Let's eliminate all the obvious names. No way the Twins risk Joe Mauer, Josh Willingham, Justin Morneau, Oswaldo Arcia, or Aaron Hicks. Each player is either too established or has too much upside. Hicks reportedly can hit 98 on the radar gun, but still, Jose Canseco. Anyone likely to start the game is unlikely to pitch, due to fatigue and whatnot. That takes out Chris Parmelee, Trevor Plouffe, Pedro Florimon and Brian Dozier, although throwing Florimon to the wolves wouldn't really mean much in the cosmos. Jamey Carroll is probably too old and Ryan Doumit only looks old, but is too frail. This leaves Eduardo Escobar and Wilkin Ramirez. Escobar has a pretty decent infield arm, so he might be the choice. However, I'd go with Ramirez for three reasons. First, he seems like a good guy. Second, he knows his spot on the team is tenuous at best, so he'll do what it takes to stay. Third, he's a pinch hitter/fifth outfielder and would be easy enough to replace (sorry Wilkin). So, my prediction is that if the Twins ever find themselves in the 18th inning of a game with no pitchers left to use, Wilkin Ramirez will take the mound and the remaining crowd of 56 will be super pumped. How many more days until Kevin Correia turns back into a pumpkin? Or would he be a totally different type of squash? ~ @ERolfPleiss When's his next start? Kidding! I actually delved quite deeply into Correia's stats earlier this week. To sum that piece up: I have no idea what statistical analysis is. However, three stats concern me. His strikeout rate and home run rates are very low and his strand rate is very high. The strikeout rate is too low for sustained success. The home run and strand rates are way out of line with his career numbers. Most 32-year-olds do not suddenly establish new baseline numbers. There are a few pieces of the equation that point toward Correia sustaining some level of this performance and not regressing all the way back to his pre-Twins days: Elite walk rate - he basically allows no runners via walk BABip isn't crazy low - he hasn't been lucky with non-home runs Relatively normal hit rate - guys get on base, just not via walkIf those numbers maintain, he can remain successful to some extent. If he starts walking batters, then things can change rapidly. Finally, to address what type of squash Correia is - he is a cucumber, because I didn't know that was a type of squash and I wanted to share that new knowledge. Will any player ever top Joe Nathan's Twins career saves record? ~ Brad S, St. Paul, MN Prolly not. The reality is that long-term, established closers are a luxury that teams with middling payrolls should simply not afford. Glen Perkins is a fine closer and will likely rack up a bunch of saves in the next few seasons. However, if he ever truly establishes himself as an elite closer, the Twins should trade him as soon as they can, considering a reasonable replacement is available. The Twins' philosophy in last June's draft was to select a boatload of college relievers, convert many to starters and collect the profit. However, some of those college relievers-turned starters will convert back to relief. A few could become elite relievers, capable of replacing current set-up men and closers. If this is the case, the Twins would then be able to trade their established players for other needs or prospects. In a perfect world, no reliever even approaches Nathan's record because Nathan himself probably should have been traded long before he reached the record that he now holds. Unpopular opinion perhaps, but think of what the Twins could have gotten for Nathan after a couple of those dominant seasons. If you do drugs, what do drugs do? ~ @ERolfPleiss l don't do drugs. Drugs make me sick. They're bad for your body. Up with hope, down with dope! That being said, drugs mimic the brain's natural chemicals. However, because these chemicals are no longer in the proper quantities or being released as the brain is used to, drugs tell your brain to take more drugs, which leads to addiction. Your brain doesn't get it because it used to like these chemicals, just not like this, man. Now the brain is all confused and disjointed and things start to go all haywire and wonky. Haywire + Wonky = bad. The message is clear: No!!!!!!!!! Drugs Please use three Twins player names as verbs. ~ Brad S, St. Paul, MN Fine, but you'll have to use context clues to determine what each verb means. Mikey Pelfed his steak. He ate it anyway. Even though he was really nervous, Joey really Mauered his spelling test. He celebrated with milk. Trev really Plouffed that ball. It almost went through his legs twice.Brad Swanson is the butternut squash of blog-guys. He really Pelfed this mailbag. If you have a better answer to any of these questions or future question for him to answer, please respond in the comments. 10Q. Click here to view the article
  5. The Twins revived a fun tradition and got swept by the Blue Jays late in the season. It wasn't the traditional stomping we're used to, but the same basic idea. The Twins have also lost a shocking 10 games in a row at home. Where's the home field advantage, Target Field? Maybe it's time to remove that Target dog from the batters' eye. It's very distracting. Punto's back? I got a random text from my mom earlier this week. All it said was "punto is back?!?" and I was confused. I then realized she meant "Pinto" and it all made sense. After a few texts back and forth, I was able to show my mom that Pinto and Punto are two different players. She was disappointed. Nick Punto was her favorite player. Josmil Pinto was my favorite player last week. It was really fun to see him get a lot of hits and earn more playing time. I'd start him every day until the end of the season and I'm at the point where I'd pencil him in to the everyday lineup in 2014. One week may not be enough time to get an accurate read, but I enjoy watching him hit and with this team, that's enough to make him a starter for me. Originally posted at Kevin Slowey was Framed! Kevin Correia The Blue Jays shelled Correia in the first inning on Saturday and the Twins weren't able to overcome the early deficit. It was annoying and it made me wish that I didn't have the knowledge that Correia would certainly be back in 2014. However, is it possible that Correia has been everything the Twins had hoped for? I made a chart that shows how his 2013 season compares with his 2009-2012 average season. Take a look: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 233] [/TD][TD]2013 2009-2012 (Avg) Wins 9 12 Innings 167.1 167 ERA 4.3 4.51 ERA+ 96 83 WHIP 1.41 1.362 K/9 5.1 5.7 BB/9 2.1 2.9 K/BB 2.41 1.99 HR/9 1.3 1.1 [/TABLE] He might be slightly better than he was the previous four seasons. He gets fewer strikeouts, but he's also walking fewer batters. His WHIP is higher, but his ERA is lower. He's almost a league-average pitcher, if you believe in ERA+. I'm not sure if the Correia signing was smart or not, but if the Twins wanted what Correia did from 2009-2012, they got it. Alex Presley When I analyzed the Justin Morneau trade last weekend, I referred to Presley as a Clete Thomas type and a potential DFA candidate at the end of the season. Clearly, the second part of that statement was borderline insane. The Twins wouldn't DFA the guy they got for Morneau. However, the first part seems incorrect too. Presley certainly looks like a better overall hitter. He makes more consistent contact and he appears to be more aggressive without racking up strikeouts. But, can we tether him to first base when he gets there? He's 19 for 34 in his career on stolen base attempts. Hopefully, the Twins can work with him on that element of his game, because he does seem to have good speed. In summary, the Twins now have four 4th outfielders. See if you can name them all! Madness. Plug Michael Sack at Two Men On took a crack at predicting the Twins' 2014 lineup. Check it out! His projected lineup might be a bit ambitious on the youngster level, but I love the idea of a lineup that consists of Joe Mauer, Byron Buxton, Oswaldo Arcia, Aaron Hicks, Miguel Sano and Josmil Pinto. Those are six players who I would be genuinely excited to see at the plate a few times each game. Heck, even Brian Dozier is fun to watch now. I'm not sure about the likelihood of his lineup, but it would be a whole lot of fun to watch that team try to win 70-75 games. The Next Big Thing? Speaking of Pinto: http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-kjdvFdx_jlM/Uizn-G49kCI/AAAAAAAAA9M/EE9z8iryYwM/s320/PintoKing.jpg Yep, I'm calling it. It's the circle of life. Fun Stat Kevin Correia's 96 ERA+ is not very exciting. However, only 20 Twins pitchers have surpassed that figure in the last 10 seasons, while throwing at least 167 innings. It's shocking. Here's the list: Johan Santana and his Merry Band of Pitching Men If Correia gets to 190 innings with that same ERA+, the list of guys to match his feat will be even smaller. Scary stuff. For comparison sake, the Red Sox have had just 26 pitchers pass this new Correia Threshold. So, is Correia better than we think or is the Twins' pitching situation not as dire as we think? Interesting question. Answer to a Hypothetical Facebook Question Q: Why would I waste my time on the Twins. The Vikings rule this town. A: I'm not going to bother to point out the lack of a question mark and the fact that you are posting on the Twins' Facebook page. Also, which town are you referring to? Bird Island? Instead, I will earnestly answer your question with five legitimate reasons. Christian Ponder is not on the Twins, thus everyone's ankles are safe. The Twins have a lot of talent coming through the pipeline and it's going to be exciting to watch them play over the years. Target Field is built. Brian Dozier's face isn't covered by a football helmet. Baseball > FootballWhat to watch for! Have you ever thought to yourself, "I wonder if a team of animals could beat a team of birds at baseball?" If so, you're gonna get your answer. I've put together a team of animals so powerful that those birds don't stand a chance. Oh, and watch out, both teams, because Torii Hunter has brought a couple of friends. http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-z1EjwtUCjaw/UizoaXkwenI/AAAAAAAAA9U/mmwrUd3Gk5k/s320/threehunters.jpg Parting Thought The Twins play the A's and the Rays this week, and that rhymes. It also showcases two teams who have built winning franchises despite financial and market problems. In fact, these might be the two worst markets in all MLB. Even so, if the playoffs started today, both teams would be there and the Twins would not. Worrying too much about the team's market and baseball economics will get you into the situation the Twins are in right now. Figuring out a way to work around financial and market issues is a part of baseball. Cities aren't going to randomly increase in size. Fan bases won't shift. Players aren't going to suddenly become cheaper. The Twins will always have to deal with being a middle market (not small, that's a fallacy). Hopefully, the wave of talent on the horizon will inspire management to be more creative in the other areas of the game. If not, they'll waste the prime years of Byron Buxton and Miguel Sano, like they did with Joe Mauer and Justin Morneau. Ugh, so sad, don't think about that. Just stop right now. Here's a guy in a silly hat: http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-RuPxBCDTCdg/UizoofJ7b_I/AAAAAAAAA9c/wkqc5sbqGLY/s320/silly+hat+guy.png Have a nice week, everyone! Click here to view the article
  6. Ligaments are stupid. The 12 people who follow me on Twitter already know that I feel this way. It's childish perhaps and it certainly ignores their important function in the human body, but I don't care; ligaments suck. A report came out this morning that super prospect and ultimate swagger-haver Miguel Sano needs Tommy John surgery, a surgery performed to replace the ulnar collateral ligament in an elbow. In this case, it's the right elbow of one of the more exciting prospects in recent Twins history. As I said, ligaments are stupid. [PRBREAK][/PRBREAK] Download attachment: ulnar-collateral-ligament.jpg Why can't they just be cool and stop fraying and ripping and tearing? For Sano, this means that he will almost certainly miss the entire season, a season that many felt would include his MLB debut. I had just written about Sano on Thursday and I listed him as the Twins' 5th most important player in 2014. I felt this way because of his massive power potential and the fact that he was nearly MLB-ready. Well, number 5 went down before the second Spring Training game. We're off to a great start in 2014, Twins fans! Originally posted at Kevin Slowey Was Framed. By the way, you can still read that post. Just replace all the 2014s with 2015s and add a sentence about Tommy John recovery. It's basically all the same, as this surgery shouldn't change anything I wrote, just his timeline. You'll be fine. Eat some breakfast, it's early. Wallowing aside, this isn't a huge deal in the long run. Sano will be just 21 in May and will resume his career just one year later. This shouldn't affect his power, it shouldn't affect his ability to hit and it shouldn't even affect his arm, should he make a full recovery. Basically, the Twins lose Sano for a year and Twins' fans lose what could have been one of the biggest events of the Twins' 2014 season - Sano's MLB debut. In some ways, the Twins were lucky with the timing, since Sano will miss this season prior to being added to the active roster. Basically, they will get to keep his entire pre-free agency career, instead of losing a full season of team control (Francisco Liriano, for example). In addition, they found out early in the season and Sano can have his surgery soon and be ready in time for Spring Training in 2015. There's also no reason to believe that the Twins can't rely on Sano for 2015 in the same way they had planned for 2014. Although it does put in doubt his ability to make the 2015 Opening Day roster, seemingly a lock prior to this surgery. Of course, if he had surgery back in November, he'd be four months into recovery... Therefore, I'm sure we'll see a lot of smarmy quotes about the Twins' medical staff and how inept they are. I have to say, I can't blame them in this instance. This whole elbow fracas started in November, when Sano was shut down while playing in the Arizona Fall League. At that time, he was diagnosed with just an elbow strain and that diagnosis was confirmed by renowned surgeon Dr. James Andrews. If Dr. Andrews doesn't suggest surgery, you know that a guy doesn't need surgery. You could be shopping at the same mall as Dr. Andrews, turn your back for just one second, and BANG, your ACL has been repaired. I've seen it a hundred times. Then, Mike Berardino reported in January that Sano was confident that he didn't need surgery. Sano said that his elbow felt pretty good and that he was throwing again. There was no reason to sound the alarm. Well, January optimism has officially given way to February and March sadness. Sano barely started Spring Training before being shut down with elbow soreness. He had an MRI yesterday and today he's gone for a year. Although, if he recovers quickly, he might be able to play some Winter ball. Who knows at this point, it all depends on how his surgery and recovery goes. Yesterday, I preached overreaction. Today, I want everyone to chill. Sano will miss all of 2014 and that's a huge bummer. However, he's still the same prospect he was earlier this week and he should resume what could be a monster career in fewer than 365 days. That's just a shade over 31 million seconds, so start counting if that makes you feel better! You can complain about the Twins' medical staff, but I don't think they can save a ligament that is hell-bent on tearing. You can be upset that the Twins season is ruined, but that's just not true. Basically, Sano will be out of our lives for a year, but then he'll be back, just as smiley and promising as before (with a shiny replacement ligament that we can name and use as a mascot, if we want to). Ligaments suck, but what can you do? I hope that Sano's surgery and recovery go well and that he'll be ready to hit some dingers in 2015. Click here to view the article
  7. Buyers or Sellers The Rockies are sitting just below .500, but they are actually closer to the NL West lead than a Wild Card berth. They haven't made the playoffs since 2009 and their best offensive players are approaching 30. Their farm system is not impressive either, so the future might be now. After finishing with the third worst record in all Major League Baseball in 2012, hovering just below .500 is a large improvement and might make it worth seeing what they can buy with savvy trades. Although, mortgaging the farm system they do have does not seem to be in the cards. [PRBREAK][/PRBREAK] A recent report from Danny Knobler indicates that they may use this weekend's series against Los Angeles to determine if they are buyers or sellers. Seems like a good idea to hinge that decision on one series. Download attachment: colorado-rockies.jpg What They Need The Rockies were linked to Ricky Nolasco until he was dealt to their division rival Dodgers, so you know they want starting pitching. Their rotation is surprisingly solid, as they have three starters with an ERA+ above 124. However, Roy Oswalt went on the disabled list this week; he had been pretty awful prior. The Rockies bullpen isn't filled with big names, but they are getting big performances from their closer Rafael Betancourt and their left-handed set-up man Rex Brothers. The rest of the bullpen is less impressive, although they did recently acquire Mitchell Boggs from the Cardinals. Boggs has been atrocious this season, but has had success in previous seasons. Surprisingly, the Rockies may have their greatest need on offense. They are using Todd Helton at first base. That's right, the same Todd Helton who shook Thomas Edison's hand when Edison invented the phonograph. He has been with the Rockies since the Hoover administration, so they might be hesitant to replace him. What Might Work The Rockies haven't been linked to any offensive players via trade rumors, so unless the Rockies are tired of eating dinner at 4:30, they may not be a Morneau match. Morneau is nearly 100 years younger than Helton (actually 7) and has been much more productive this season, with an OPS+ of 101 compared to Helton's 83. The Rockies aren't in the market for a closer, but could use a bullpen arm, most likely from the right side. Casey Fien might seem like a good fit, but his fly ball rate in Colorado could lead to sadness. Of course, that's the Rockies' problem, right? Brian Duensing would become their third best lefty reliever, behind Brothers and Josh Outman. He's probably out. The Rockies could still be in the market for a fifth starter, to replace the ineffective and injured Oswalt. Kevin Correia's a fifth starter and he has NL experience. Win win! Short of a fifth starter or a replacement for Zombie Todd Helton, the Twins and Rockies don't seem like a great match on paper. Sleeper Targets Earlier, I mentioned the Rockies poor farm system. That doesn't mean there aren't a few intriguing names to consider. Here are a few that caught my fancy. Eddie Butler - RHP - High A - 22 years old Butler is rapidly rising through the Rockies' system and rapidly elevating his profile as a prospect along the way. He breezed through low A Asheville posting a sub-2 ERA and sub-1 WHIP before earning a promotion to High A Modesto. At Modesto, he has struck out 55 batters in 52.2 innings pitched, while issuing only 17 walks. Butler has lovely stuff and might top out as a number 3 starter, but he's far from there right now. Jayson Aquino - LHP - Low A - 20 years old 20 years old? Left-handed? Already moved a level this season? Sounds good to me! Aquino is a guile lefty, with a low 90s fastball, projectable changeup and developing curve. In 28 innings this season, he has struck out 21 batters and issued only 6 walks. He just moved up to Low A Asheville and made his debut last Sunday. I don't see any reports of added velocity, so he might be who he is, but a guile lefty can easily slot as a 4th or 5th starter. Juan Nicasio - RHP - MLB - 26 years old You may remember Nicasio from the time he tried to catch a ball with his face. After suffering that extremely scary injury, Nicasio has been far from impressive. However, there's always a chance that getting a pitcher out of Colorado can help turn a career around. Nicasio has really struggled in 2013, but prior to this season he had posted solid strikeout numbers and decent walk rates. As a minor leaguer, he appeared to be capable of even better than that. He's a low risk, high reward target and likely could be had as a reclamation project. Dream Target Trevor Story - SS - High A - 20 years old A top 100 prospect prior to the season, Story is having a dreadful time at the plate. His .212/.285/.358 triple slash hardly screams "dream target." However, a little perspective is in order. He's 20 and playing in High A. He's coming off a 2012 season when he slugged over .500 in full season ball. He's a pure shortstop with a strong arm and good range. He doesn't have a loud tool, but each of the five is average or better. He's going through an adjustment period and now might be the time to pounce. If the Twins traded Glen Perkins for Trevor Story, I would be elated. He could be the Twins' shortstop for a lot of years. Click here to view the article
  8. Does MLB offer their teams refunds for entire series? Can an MLB team get a "do over" on the first series out of a break? If a tree falls in the woods, could it possibly join the Twins' lineup and produce a few hits? Is suckatude a word? Oswaldo Arcia Arcia went 0-4 on Friday night, sat against a tough lefty on Saturday and then returned on Sunday with another 0-3, this time with two strikeouts and he was pinch hit for in the 8th inning. Arcia is clearly not producing as many had hoped. I predicted 55 extra-base hits from him in 2014! Instead, he has 13 and the way he's been hitting, I wonder if he reaches 25 by the end of the season. I still believe that there are reasons to be optimistic about Arica. His walk rate has improved, his strikeout rate is slightly down. He's hitting more line drives and fewer ground balls. I would hope that he's in the lineup just about every single day going forward. I don't think sending him to AAA does him any good at this point. He has a .999 OPS in AAA. The Twins have sent him down with the hope that he'll mash AAA and bring that confidence or whatever with him to Minnesota. It hasn't worked. For now, they need to brute force this slump. He needs to play until he breaks out of it. He's too talented to slump forever. Phil Hughes Hughes had another rough start on Saturday, giving up five earned runs over seven innings, picking up his sixth loss on the season. Over his last six starts, Hughes has a 6.34 ERA. In 38.1 innings over those six starts, he has 31 strikeouts to just 4 walks. Not bad. Unfortunately, he's given up a shocking 56 hits over those starts. Even in his one good start during this stretch he gave up eight hits. His BABIP during those six starts is .421, both incredibly high and highly unsustainable. Basically, Hughes is going through a rough patch, but he should be able to ride it out. Back on April 20, when his ERA was 6.43, his BABIP was .394. In the ten starts in the middle, his BABIP was .286 and his ERA was 2.08. It sucks that his ERA has spiked by nearly a run over his last six starts, but I wouldn't be too surprised to see it down in the low 3s again by the end of the season, especially if he keeps his strikeout and walk rates where they've basically been all year. Optimism Fading I try hard to be optimistic with the Twins. I predicted (read: hoped for) a 75-win season. I'm willing to concede that they are highly unlikely to reach that win total. The offense goes cold for weeks at a time, the starting pitching is very inconsistent and what does a bullpen matter when the score is 5-1 after 4 innings? I greatly hope that the Twins don't completely fall apart in August and September again. While I don't think they have the talent to reach 75 wins, I really don't want to sit through another 4-25 April. I'd like to see some young players get time later in the season, but hopefully the few veterans who will remain can keep things together and win some games. I'm tired of being in the "draft slot derby" in September. I'd like to see the team finish respectably. Former Twin Update - Alexi Casilla If you're wondering why we haven't heard much about Sexi Lexi this season, it's because he's spent his season with Baltimore's AAA team. Well, at least the parts of the season when he's been healthy. It's been a rough year for Casilla, as he hyperextended his knee in May and missed a bunch of time and now he's pretty much out for the season with a broken hamate bone. It's a shame because I always liked Casilla, even if his performance didn't merit my affection. I'll likely always gravitate toward the short middle infielders because that was who I was when I played ball once upon a time. Plus, we both have spaces in the middle of our front teeth. Also, he was awesome. Just ignore his 73 OPS+ in seven seasons with the Twins; he was awesome. Fun Stat - 4th Starters Did you know that teams who have paid more than $100,000 per start to their fourth starter have a collective winning percentage of .481? Did you know that teams who have paid less than $100,000 per start to their fourth starter have a collective winning percentage of .528? Why is this important? Well, the Twins happen to have a young pitcher who many have predicted for the fourth starter role. This particular pitcher is nearly MLB-ready (or already MLB-ready, depending on who you ask) and has been very durable in his minor league career. In addition, by way of being young, he will be very cheap and should easily make less than $100,000 per start when he hits the Majors. I'm going to expand on this in a post on Wednesday, as I have a whole mess of data and analysis related to Trevor May to share. Check back on Wednesday! Cliffhanger! Baseball Card from the Past Download attachment: medium.jpg Yep, Rickey Henderson often batted while sitting on six stolen bases. You probably forgot about that. All-Star Game Recap! As I mentioned roughly 4 million times, I attended the All-Star Game on Tuesday. In my American League midseason award and predictions column (click here if you missed it), I wrote about how I reacted to a fan who said Mike Trout was overrated. In addition to that blow-up, I also became irate when I dropped my turkey sandwich. Seriously, I traversed roughly 30,000 people and 10,000 people looking backward in complete confusion to get to my seat, then I dropped my tantalizing sandwich. Make no mistake, I went back and got another one. It had cajun seasoning and sweet and spicy BBQ sauce. I made the right choice. Oh, the game was fun too. I think Derek Jeter won. Poll Results Last month, I posted a poll with a simple question - When will the Twins make the playoffs next? Here are the results: 2014 - 2 votes2015 - 20 votes2016 - 17 votes2017 - 4 votes2018 - 3 votesA depressingly long time from now - 10 votesTo be fair, the last one could overlap with a couple of the other options. I voted for 2016, a year later than my original projection from before this season. The two who voted for 2014 are incredible. I would like to be their friend. I did post a new poll, so check out my blog and vote. It's what cool kids do. Plugging My Way Well, I already plugged my AL midseason award post, so for the sake of symmetry, here's my NL post as well: click here! If you're curious, I did not predict any awards correctly before the season and I did gutlessly change all of my predictions when given the chance. You should read it, it's fun! Parting Thought The second half of the season is not off to a great start. However, the Twins still have seven games at home to try to pull things together. Of course, they'd almost have to win six of seven to really have a successful homestand. I'm just going to assume that won't happen. At the end of the homestand, the trading deadline will be nearly upon us. The sweep from the Rays to start the second half might have been the best thing for the "fire sale" crowd and the worst thing for the "buy it now" crowd. I'm in neither camp, so I'll just chill. Have a nice week, everyone! Originally posted at Kevin Slowey was Framed! Click here to view the article
  9. You can view the page at http://twinsdaily.com/content.php/3256-Monday-Morning-Madness-July-21-2014
  10. Does MLB offer their teams refunds for entire series? Can an MLB team get a "do over" on the first series out of a break? If a tree falls in the woods, could it possibly join the Twins' lineup and produce a few hits? Is suckatude a word? Oswaldo Arcia Arcia went 0-4 on Friday night, sat against a tough lefty on Saturday and then returned on Sunday with another 0-3, this time with two strikeouts and he was pinch hit for in the 8th inning. Arcia is clearly not producing as many had hoped. I predicted 55 extra-base hits from him in 2014! Instead, he has 13 and the way he's been hitting, I wonder if he reaches 25 by the end of the season. I still believe that there are reasons to be optimistic about Arica. His walk rate has improved, his strikeout rate is slightly down. He's hitting more line drives and fewer ground balls. I would hope that he's in the lineup just about every single day going forward. I don't think sending him to AAA does him any good at this point. He has a .999 OPS in AAA. The Twins have sent him down with the hope that he'll mash AAA and bring that confidence or whatever with him to Minnesota. It hasn't worked. For now, they need to brute force this slump. He needs to play until he breaks out of it. He's too talented to slump forever. Phil Hughes Hughes had another rough start on Saturday, giving up five earned runs over seven innings, picking up his sixth loss on the season. Over his last six starts, Hughes has a 6.34 ERA. In 38.1 innings over those six starts, he has 31 strikeouts to just 4 walks. Not bad. Unfortunately, he's given up a shocking 56 hits over those starts. Even in his one good start during this stretch he gave up eight hits. His BABIP during those six starts is .421, both incredibly high and highly unsustainable. Basically, Hughes is going through a rough patch, but he should be able to ride it out. Back on April 20, when his ERA was 6.43, his BABIP was .394. In the ten starts in the middle, his BABIP was .286 and his ERA was 2.08. It sucks that his ERA has spiked by nearly a run over his last six starts, but I wouldn't be too surprised to see it down in the low 3s again by the end of the season, especially if he keeps his strikeout and walk rates where they've basically been all year. Optimism Fading I try hard to be optimistic with the Twins. I predicted (read: hoped for) a 75-win season. I'm willing to concede that they are highly unlikely to reach that win total. The offense goes cold for weeks at a time, the starting pitching is very inconsistent and what does a bullpen matter when the score is 5-1 after 4 innings? I greatly hope that the Twins don't completely fall apart in August and September again. While I don't think they have the talent to reach 75 wins, I really don't want to sit through another 4-25 April. I'd like to see some young players get time later in the season, but hopefully the few veterans who will remain can keep things together and win some games. I'm tired of being in the "draft slot derby" in September. I'd like to see the team finish respectably. Former Twin Update - Alexi Casilla If you're wondering why we haven't heard much about Sexi Lexi this season, it's because he's spent his season with Baltimore's AAA team. Well, at least the parts of the season when he's been healthy. It's been a rough year for Casilla, as he hyperextended his knee in May and missed a bunch of time and now he's pretty much out for the season with a broken hamate bone. It's a shame because I always liked Casilla, even if his performance didn't merit my affection. I'll likely always gravitate toward the short middle infielders because that was who I was when I played ball once upon a time. Plus, we both have spaces in the middle of our front teeth. Also, he was awesome. Just ignore his 73 OPS+ in seven seasons with the Twins; he was awesome. Fun Stat - 4th Starters Did you know that teams who have paid more than $100,000 per start to their fourth starter have a collective winning percentage of .481? Did you know that teams who have paid less than $100,000 per start to their fourth starter have a collective winning percentage of .528? Why is this important? Well, the Twins happen to have a young pitcher who many have predicted for the fourth starter role. This particular pitcher is nearly MLB-ready (or already MLB-ready, depending on who you ask) and has been very durable in his minor league career. In addition, by way of being young, he will be very cheap and should easily make less than $100,000 per start when he hits the Majors. I'm going to expand on this in a post on Wednesday, as I have a whole mess of data and analysis related to Trevor May to share. Check back on Wednesday! Cliffhanger! Baseball Card from the Past Yep, Rickey Henderson often batted while sitting on six stolen bases. You probably forgot about that. All-Star Game Recap! As I mentioned roughly 4 million times, I attended the All-Star Game on Tuesday. In my American League midseason award and predictions column (click here if you missed it), I wrote about how I reacted to a fan who said Mike Trout was overrated. In addition to that blow-up, I also became irate when I dropped my turkey sandwich. Seriously, I traversed roughly 30,000 people and 10,000 people looking backward in complete confusion to get to my seat, then I dropped my tantalizing sandwich. Make no mistake, I went back and got another one. It had cajun seasoning and sweet and spicy BBQ sauce. I made the right choice. Oh, the game was fun too. I think Derek Jeter won. Poll Results Last month, I posted a poll with a simple question - When will the Twins make the playoffs next? Here are the results: 2014 - 2 votes 2015 - 20 votes 2016 - 17 votes 2017 - 4 votes 2018 - 3 votes A depressingly long time from now - 10 votes To be fair, the last one could overlap with a couple of the other options. I voted for 2016, a year later than my original projection from before this season. The two who voted for 2014 are incredible. I would like to be their friend. I did post a new poll, so check out my blog and vote. It's what cool kids do. Plugging My Way Well, I already plugged my AL midseason award post, so for the sake of symmetry, here's my NL post as well: click here! If you're curious, I did not predict any awards correctly before the season and I did gutlessly change all of my predictions when given the chance. You should read it, it's fun! Parting Thought The second half of the season is not off to a great start. However, the Twins still have seven games at home to try to pull things together. Of course, they'd almost have to win six of seven to really have a successful homestand. I'm just going to assume that won't happen. At the end of the homestand, the trading deadline will be nearly upon us. The sweep from the Rays to start the second half might have been the best thing for the "fire sale" crowd and the worst thing for the "buy it now" crowd. I'm in neither camp, so I'll just chill. Have a nice week, everyone! Originally posted at Kevin Slowey was Framed!
  11. Oh, I'd trade Correia for the right deal too. I'd be pretty surprised if Pino, Darnell or Johnson have better MLB careers than Correia. Although, they are younger, so you never know.
  12. You can view the page at http://twinsdaily.com/content.php/3233-Monday-Morning-Madness-July-14-2014
  13. Weekend Recap Hey, two series wins in a row. The Twins out-slugged the slugging Rockies over the weekend, pulling to within six games of .500 with a ten-game homestand on the other end of the All-Star Break. They received a pretty balanced attack from their offense as just about every player contributed in some way. The offense has been so poor recently, perhaps this is a glimpse of what is to come in the second half. We can hope, right? Kevin Correia I'm starting to wonder if the Twins should hang on to Correia for the rest of the season. With Ricky Nolasco out indefinitely, Sam Deduno better suited for the bullpen, Yohan Pino and Kris Johnson mediocre at best and Mike Pelfrey donated to Derek Jeter, the Twins might need Correia for the remainder of the season. This is counter to basically everything I have written about Correia this season, but I can't argue with his results over the last two months. Since his poor start against Boston on May 14, Correia has made eleven very solid starts, posting a 3.22 ERA and averaging just over six innings per start. It's easy to dismiss a couple good starts, but eleven? Even if the Twins decide to promote Alex Meyer and Trevor May, they still have room for Correia. When you consider that Meyer might pass his innings limit by September, Correia may be needed even if Nolasco returns in August. I'm all for giving younger players opportunity, but I'm not convinced that Pino, Johnson or Logan Darnell can out-produce Correia for the remainder of 2014. Of course, my entire perspective changes if the Twins are offered a good prospect for Correia. Then, I'll finally get my Yohan Pino shirsey. Even with Correia's improved performance, I'm not sure that a team will offer a good prospect. Jared Burton Burton's ERA is down to 4.82. That's pretty good. Since May 1, Burton has an ERA of 3.49 and his strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.33. He hasn't been dominant like he was in 2012, but he's been steady like he was in 2013. I'm not on the "release Burton" bandwagon, as I think he might be the Twins' second most talented right-handed reliever on the roster. Releasing Burton would hurt the bullpen, so the Twins should hang on to him. I'd still like to see Michael Tonkin join the Twins very soon, but I don't feel Burton is the player to swap him out for. Josh Willingham In 2013 and 2014, Willingham has batted .209/.347/.381, good for a 102 OPS+. Willingham has been better in 2014, getting on base more and providing more power. His batting average is insanely low, but his BABIP is freakishly low too. His line drive rate is about four percentage points below his career-average and his ground ball rate is nearly nine percentage points below his average. Willingham's bad luck is going to become the Twins' bad luck if they are serious about trading him. It would be fantastic if Willingham could receive some positive baseball karma. He's been injured a lot recently, his luck stats are all going against him and he might get traded from a place that he really likes. Hopefully, he'll start to get some good luck, mash for a few weeks, get traded to a contender for a good prospect and then win a World Series. He seems like a legitimately good guy, so that would be the best-case scenario for all parties. Former Twin Update - Justin Morneau We failed. Morneau lost the Final Vote to Anthony Rizzo and will not be in the All-Star Game on Tuesday. As a result, I ripped up my tickets, baked them into a cherry pie and fed it to anyone in Minnesota who voted against Morneau. Congratulations! The better player defeated the better story. Whoopie! By the way, morons, you still got it wrong. If we were really going to take the best player, you got the wrong Anthony. Anthony Rendon has been better than Rizzo. Regardless, Morneau was cool enough to compete in the Home Run Derby and hopefully he wins. When he wins, I hope he melts down the trophy, bakes it into a cherry pie and feeds it to anyone in Minnesota who voted against him. Adieu Scott Diamond The Twins released Scott Diamond over the weekend, ending his Twins career. In a perfect world, he latches on with another team and puts together another MLB run. It's shocking how quickly his career fell apart. He was so good in 2012 but he couldn't sustain the one thing that he did at an elite level that season. When Diamond was able to Maddux everyone, he was great. When he was just simply "good" at limiting walks, he didn't have the same level of success. Alas, 2012 was fun and we'll always remember his flash of dominance. Random Top Five List - Fewest First Half Walks I am obsessed with Phil Hughes' ability to limit walks. While he has been getting hit around a bit lately, his elite walk rate should help him turn things around when the hits stop falling in. Here are the top five fewest walks in a first half in Twins' history (minimum 75 innings pitched): Carlos Silva - 2005 - 5 walks Brad Radke - 2005 - 10 walks Brad Radke - 2004 - 10 walks Bob Tewksbury - 1998 - 11 walks Phil Hughes - 2014 - 11 walks 2005 - "The Year of the No Walk." I have a way with words. Baseball Card from the Past This was my favorite baseball card as a kid. I started collecting around 1988, when I was five or six. I got the 1988 Topps complete set for Christmas and I opened it up and started sorting like a madman. The fact that there were two Kirby Puckett cards in the set blew my mind. I liked this card better because it was an All Star card. I always wanted to get this specific card signed, which sadly did not happen. However, I did accumulate about 25 copies of this card via trades, so at least I have a bunch of them somewhere. Futures Game Recap! Can Jose Berrios start the first game after the All-Star Break? Can he start every game? Seriously, that inning was impressive. It was one inning, but it was super impressive. Alex Meyer was impressive as well and he might actually be ready for the Majors in the near future. Before the 2013 season, the Twins had exactly zero impressive starting pitching prospects. Now, they have Meyer, Berrios, Kohl Stewart, Lewis Thorpe and Trevor May. Each seems likely to contribute and impress at some point in the future. This wasn't really a recap of the game, but the other players in the game aren't on my favorite team so I loathe them and hope their hair turns to snakes. That is, unless the Twins trade for one of them, then I hope for reverse hair snakes. Oh, Joey Gallo seems strong. All-Star Fan Fest Recap! My wife, daughter and I went to Fan Fest on Saturday. We arrived shortly before 7pm, right about when all the fun was beginning. It was an impressive display. There looked to be a lot of activities that a younger version of myself would have really enjoyed. There were batting cages, fielding drills, men writing their names on things, etc. My daughter isn't old enough to partake, although we did take her picture with the World's Largest Baseball. My wife also went 3 for 3 at trivia kiosks and won a couple prizes. She really wants me to give them away on the blog. Maybe in a few years when they hold absolutely zero value. Celebrity Softball Game Recap! Oh wait, I did not watch this. Parting Thoughts I am very excited for the All-Star Game on Tuesday. I feel fortunate to have the opportunity to attend in person. I have admitted in the past that the player intros are my favorite part, but if the game is exciting, I might enjoy the actual baseball just as much. Even if the game isn't exciting, I'll be very happy that I shelled out hard-earned dollars for tickets. It's the experience! I am also excited that the Twins enter the break having won 5 of 6. They might not make the playoffs in 2014, but they might play reasonably relevant games in September for the first time since 2010. It's funny how low my standards have fallen, but what can you do? Have a great week, everyone! Originally posted at Kevin Slowey was Framed!
  14. I agree with this statement, don't get me wrong. However, this is where the culture comes into play. If Gardy, as the manager, has established a culture where players do not feel comfortable communicating injuries and even soreness, then that is a major problem. As a manager, shouldn't he want to know even the slightest discomfort/soreness, if only for his own knowledge? Gardy loves to give players days off and keep his entire lineup fresh, so can't he maximize how he does that very thing by knowing who is indeed fresh and who is sore? In addition, if a player has gone to their manager with reports of soreness and been told to "suck it up" or even "thanks for letting me know, but let's get back out there," then aren't they a lot less likely to report something in the future? It doesn't really matter the tone, if players are reinforced one way, they'll continue to do things that same way. "I told the manager my elbow was sore and he seemed okay with it, so I'm going to go out and play ball, because that's what I do." It's not even a macho thing, it's more just "well, it must be fine if they aren't concerned." If that's the case, it doesn't take long for players (who likely have little to no medical background) to simply stop reporting soreness, then they stop reporting minor damage and then they don't report major damage. It's a slippery slope, no doubt, but it seems like one that could occur rather naturally. Personally, I don't feel this is an offense that requires the removal of the manager, at least not for this alone. However, these cultural movements start at the top and if the Twins have an issue with injury reporting, Gardenhire has to make a conscious effort to help change that culture. As the manager, he should be clamoring for information, including injury information about his players, no matter how minor it may seem at the time.
  15. 5 Twins on the list. 1. Buxton 12. Meyer 16. Sano 27. Stewart 41. Berrios The article states that if Berrios doesn't tire at the end of this season, he'll be higher on their 101 in the offseason. Gordon is listed as one to watch on this list as well. They are very high on Meyer, noting that he's throwing more strikes and locating them lower in the zone. Sorry for the concurrent info as well.
  16. And loving every second of it!
  17. You can view the page at http://twinsdaily.com/content.php/3190-July-Mailbag
  18. Brad Swanson

    July Mailbag

    A mailbag on a Saturday? WHAAAAAAA? I know, I know, mailbags are for Fridays, but yesterday was Independence Day and that day deserves to be free from fake mailbags. In this installment, I have TWO actual questions! One is from a family member, but it still counts. Enough dilly-dallying, let's answer some questions. Escobar has been one of the most consistent bats in the lineup and boasts the 3rd highest OPS on the team. If Oswaldo Arcia can't find a way to produce by the time Plouffe returns from the DL, should Gardy consider playing Eddie in RF to keep his bat in the lineup? -Duncan An actual question! Send me something and I'll answer it. Thank you for your question, Duncan and thank you for being a big supporter of this blog! This question was sent about two weeks ago, and Escobar has cooled significantly since then. He is batting just .143/.163/.190 over the last 14 days. Even before that, I would have probably tried to keep Arcia in the lineup, just because I like his power potential and hairstyle. But so much has happened since I received this question! Plouffe and Eduardo Nunez are back. Danny Santana is hurt. Jorge Polanco was here and gone. Chris Parmelee is suddenly hitting. With Parmelee hitting, he fits nicely in right if Arcia doesn't start to produce. If Parmelee cools, Santana returns and Arcia isn't producing, I could see trying Escobar in right, provided he's hitting again. I like when managers try to move people around to see how it works. It never hurts to try to make your players and roster more versatile. Worst case, you put an infielder in the outfield and he can't find the warning track and the team loses. But, really, how often does that happen? The Twins have had a plethora of shortstops on the roster this year. Please rank the many shortstops in the order of your preference. Thank you, I really enjoy your 3:1 puns-to-analysis ratio. Brad S., St. Paul, MN 3:1 seems low, but thanks for the compliment! It's actually crazy to think that the Twins have had 6 different shortstop this year. That position has been a problem for the Twins for almost two decades and now they have some pretty impressive organizational depth. Here are my rankings for this year: Eduardo Escobar - The Eddie 400 has been a rousing success, even if Escobar has cooled off in recent weeks. Danny Santana - Would probably be number one if I wasn't so connected to the powerful Eddie 400 movement. Very exciting player to watch. Jorge Polanco - Would probably be number one if he wasn't still two years from regular MLB duty. Very exciting player to watch. Eduardo Nunez - Would probably be number one if he was better than the first three guys on the list. He seems like a nice guy. Pedro Florimon - What a disaster. A loyal reader suggested we create the "Florimon Abyss" for players who the "Mendoza Line" doesn't do justice. I love it. I'm in. Jason Bartlett - Yeah, remember this? All your anger about scholarships and country clubs is just rushing back! Derek Jeter is in town this week and I really want to get him something nice to celebrate his retirement. Can you suggest a gift or 10 for me? Thanks! Brad S., St. Paul, MN Wow, you are in luck! I literally wrote on this very subject yesterday! What a wonderful coincidence! Here's the link to that piece, complete with images of Jeter enjoying his new stuff. For the record, I would give him the 25 hand-drawn pictures. It would be an amazing spectacle. Hey Brad you think you're so smart about what the Twins need & how to build their team. What about all those rotten softball teams you played for & all along you knew someone close to you that was a career .700 hitter & classic #3 guy for his teams for 20 plus years. Yeah maybe he pulled his hammies often, usually both at the same time, but I still say I'm good for 5 runs a game. Dad S., St Paul, MN Another real question, from my actual Dad! I'm going to address this in a few parts: 1. One of those "rotten" teams won the Shoreview Slow-Pitch Co-Red D Softball League in 2010. I have the shirt to prove it; I got bleach on it. We won the championship game 2-0. A 2-0 shutout in slow-pitch! What a team! 2. I regret my decision to keep you off the team. What we really needed was veteran presence and I was too brash to know it at the time. There's a reason we moved to that Fall League and completely self-destructed. There's a reason we haven't played in that Shoreview League since winning the title. We didn't even defend! I couldn't get a team back together. That was on me. I was riding high after our title. I started referring to myself as "Rickey," I recorded that bluegrass album with one of the guys in Steely Dan, and I bought so many gold chains. My neck still hurts. I should have focused on our dynasty. What a monster. I have a follow-up to your Dad's question. Since you're such a super baseball genius who can't even plant a tree, what is the first thing you would you do if some moron decided to actually put you in charge of their baseball team? By the way, there's still a bunch of your lame stuff in our basement. Mom S., St. Paul MN Ok, that question might not be real. It is an excellent question, however. My very first move would be somewhat minor, but very impactful. I'd take a look around the proverbial room, see what I see, take it all in. Then I would get to work on organizing and designing my office. I always envisioned an entire wall of bookshelves, filled with all kinds of different books. I'd have a bunch of Vonnegut novels that I'd never finish, some baseball books that make me look smart, some books from other sports to give the appearance that I'm looking for new ideas and a whole mess of childrens' books to show that I have a playful/confusing side. You know what, let's just line three walls with bookshelves. I do need one wall for something else. Once the books are in place, a good desk is really important. L-shaped desks are popular because they add space, so I'd push two L-shaped desks into a square for maximum space. Sure, I'd have to crawl under by desk square every day, but that would be a fun thing for reporters to witness and hopefully comment on. Again, the playful/confusing side. Finally, I'd need something to write with and write on. That fourth wall would just be a giant chalkboard, a call-back to my previous position as a teacher where I never once used any chalk. I could get a bunch of that colored sidewalk chalk to write with. That way, every time I shake hands with someone, I would literally leave my mark in pink and purple chalk dust. Once my office is set, I'd probably DFA Mike Pelfrey just for kicks. The Twins are currently significantly below .500, but they're also within "striking distance" of the second (and first) Wild Card. With this being their reality, how should the team determine when they are buyers or sellers? Brad S., St. Paul, MN This requires a nuanced perspective, something I am not known for. The additional Wild Card basically keeps all non-Cubs teams in the race for much longer than they probably should be. Hypothetical scenario: The Twins tread water for the next week and enter the All-Star Break seven games under .500 and eight games back in the Wild Card standings. Technically, they're still in it, but does that mean they should start buying? I don't think they should. I mean, a couple of minor moves would be fine, but they shouldn't trade anyone of any prospect significance. The move they made for Eduardo Nunez earlier in the season would be a good barometer. Trading a low-level prospect for someone of value is always a good move. However, trading a top ten, or even top twenty prospect to upgrade the bullpen or outfield would be unwise. When it comes to selling, they don't have to go full "fire sale" mode. If the right deal comes along, they should take it. Most importantly, they shouldn't turn down a trade for one of their players because they're "still in it." Seven games under .500 is not really in it, even if they are only eight games back. I don't think this team is capable of playing 10-15 games over .500 in the second half, which is likely what they would need to do to actually win a Wild Card spot. Simply put, they aren't in a position to sacrifice the future for the present, even if it hurts for a few more months. Next year, they might be sitting at .500 in mid-July, just five games out. At that point, I'd be interested in doing some serious buying. Follow-up to that previous question. If the Twins do become sellers, who do you hope they trade? Thanks, I'm psychic. Mr. Magic, St. Paul, MN Wow, two follow-ups within something printed! History! My feeling is that no one should be untouchable. It really depends on who is being offered. For instance, I don't want the Twins to trade Phil Hughes. However, if the Nationals call and say "we're goin' fer it." and offer Lucas Giolito, the Twins have to take that offer. So while the Twins should keep players like Hughes, Glen Perkins and Brian Dozier to build around, you can't turn down the so-called "Godfather" offer. Of the more reasonable trade chips, I would be willing to part with everyone for the right price. Kurt Suzuki? Thanks for the surprising season! Josh Willingham? I enjoyed your home runs and outfield runs. Kendrys Morales? Maybe we can be pen pals. Kevin Correia? I hope the nightclub scene is great wherever you land. http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-IHxe91CxyP8/U7MDQdMo_3I/AAAAAAAABjQ/9eNFSBvADcI/s1600/CorreiaDanceLights.gif That's all I have time for today, thank you so much for all the wonderful and intelligent questions! I'll be back next month, ON A FRIDAY, to answer more questions. Have a nice long weekend, everyone! Originally posted at Kevin Slowey was Framed!
  19. Originally posted at Kevin Slowey was Framed! A mailbag on a Thursday? WHAAAAAAA? I know, I know, mailbags are for Fridays, but tomorrow is Independence Day and that day deserves to be free from fake mailbags. In this installment, I have TWO actual questions! One is from a family member, but it still counts. Enough dilly-dallying, let's answer some questions. Escobar has been one of the most consistent bats in the lineup and boasts the 3rd highest OPS on the team. If Oswaldo Arcia can't find a way to produce by the time Plouffe returns from the DL, should Gardy consider playing Eddie in RF to keep his bat in the lineup? -Duncan An actual question! Send me something and I'll answer it. Thank you for your question, Duncan and thank you for being a big supporter of this blog! This question was sent about two weeks ago, and Escobar has cooled significantly since then. He is batting just .143/.163/.190 over the last 14 days. Even before that, I would have probably tried to keep Arcia in the lineup, just because I like his power potential and hairstyle. But so much has happened since I received this question! Plouffe and Eduardo Nunez are back. Danny Santana is hurt. Jorge Polanco was here and gone. Chris Parmelee is suddenly hitting. With Parmelee hitting, he fits nicely in right if Arcia doesn't start to produce. If Parmelee cools, Santana returns and Arcia isn't producing, I could see trying Escobar in right, provided he's hitting again. I like when managers try to move people around to see how it works. It never hurts to try to make your players and roster more versatile. Worst case, you put an infielder in the outfield and he can't find the warning track and the team loses. But, really, how often does that happen? The Twins have had a plethora of shortstops on the roster this year. Please rank the many shortstops in the order of your preference. Thank you, I really enjoy your 3:1 puns-to-analysis ratio. Brad S., St. Paul, MN 3:1 seems low, but thanks for the compliment! It's actually crazy to think that the Twins have had 6 different shortstop this year. That position has been a problem for the Twins for almost two decades and now they have some pretty impressive organizational depth. Here are my rankings for this year: Eduardo Escobar - The Eddie 400 has been a rousing success, even if Escobar has cooled off in recent weeks. Danny Santana - Would probably be number one if I wasn't so connected to the powerful Eddie 400 movement. Very exciting player to watch. Jorge Polanco - Would probably be number one if he wasn't still two years from regular MLB duty. Very exciting player to watch. Eduardo Nunez - Would probably be number one if he was better than the first three guys on the list. He seems like a nice guy. Pedro Florimon - What a disaster. A loyal reader suggested we create the "Florimon Abyss" for players who the "Mendoza Line" doesn't do justice. I love it. I'm in. Jason Bartlett - Yeah, remember this? All your anger about scholarships and country clubs is just rushing back! Derek Jeter is in town this week and I really want to get him something nice to celebrate his retirement. Can you suggest a gift or 10 for me? Thanks! Brad S., St. Paul, MN Wow, you are in luck! I literally wrote on this very subject yesterday! What a wonderful coincidence! Here's the link to that piece, complete with images of Jeter enjoying his new stuff. For the record, I would give him the 25 hand-drawn pictures. It would be an amazing spectacle. Hey Brad you think you're so smart about what the Twins need & how to build their team. What about all those rotten softball teams you played for & all along you knew someone close to you that was a career .700 hitter & classic #3 guy for his teams for 20 plus years. Yeah maybe he pulled his hammies often, usually both at the same time, but I still say I'm good for 5 runs a game. Dad S., St Paul, MN Another real question, from my actual Dad! I'm going to address this in a few parts: 1. One of those "rotten" teams won the Shoreview Slow-Pitch Co-Red D Softball League in 2010. I have the shirt to prove it; I got bleach on it. We won the championship game 2-0. A 2-0 shutout in slow-pitch! What a team! 2. I regret my decision to keep you off the team. What we really needed was veteran presence and I was too brash to know it at the time. There's a reason we moved to that Fall League and completely self-destructed. There's a reason we haven't played in that Shoreview League since winning the title. We didn't even defend! I couldn't get a team back together. That was on me. I was riding high after our title. I started referring to myself as "Rickey," I recorded that bluegrass album with one of the guys in Steely Dan, and I bought so many gold chains. My neck still hurts. I should have focused on our dynasty. What a monster. I have a follow-up to your Dad's question. Since you're such a super baseball genius who can't even plant a tree, what is the first thing you would you do if some moron decided to actually put you in charge of their baseball team? By the way, there's still a bunch of your lame stuff in our basement. Mom S., St. Paul MN Ok, that question might not be real. It is an excellent question, however. My very first move would be somewhat minor, but very impactful. I'd take a look around the proverbial room, see what I see, take it all in. Then I would get to work on organizing and designing my office. I always envisioned an entire wall of bookshelves, filled with all kinds of different books. I'd have a bunch of Vonnegut novels that I'd never finish, some baseball books that make me look smart, some books from other sports to give the appearance that I'm looking for new ideas and a whole mess of childrens' books to show that I have a playful/confusing side. You know what, let's just line three walls with bookshelves. I do need one wall for something else. Once the books are in place, a good desk is really important. L-shaped desks are popular because they add space, so I'd push two L-shaped desks into a square for maximum space. Sure, I'd have to crawl under by desk square every day, but that would be a fun thing for reporters to witness and hopefully comment on. Again, the playful/confusing side. Finally, I'd need something to write with and write on. That fourth wall would just be a giant chalkboard, a call-back to my previous position as a teacher where I never once used any chalk. I could get a bunch of that colored sidewalk chalk to write with. That way, every time I shake hands with someone, I would literally leave my mark in pink and purple chalk dust. Once my office is set, I'd probably DFA Mike Pelfrey just for kicks. The Twins are currently significantly below .500, but they're also within "striking distance" of the second (and first) Wild Card. With this being their reality, how should the team determine when they are buyers or sellers? Brad S., St. Paul, MN This requires a nuanced perspective, something I am not known for. The additional Wild Card basically keeps all non-Cubs teams in the race for much longer than they probably should be. Hypothetical scenario: The Twins tread water for the next week and enter the All-Star Break seven games under .500 and eight games back in the Wild Card standings. Technically, they're still in it, but does that mean they should start buying? I don't think they should. I mean, a couple of minor moves would be fine, but they shouldn't trade anyone of any prospect significance. The move they made for Eduardo Nunez earlier in the season would be a good barometer. Trading a low-level prospect for someone of value is always a good move. However, trading a top ten, or even top twenty prospect to upgrade the bullpen or outfield would be unwise. When it comes to selling, they don't have to go full "fire sale" mode. If the right deal comes along, they should take it. Most importantly, they shouldn't turn down a trade for one of their players because they're "still in it." Seven games under .500 is not really in it, even if they are only eight games back. I don't think this team is capable of playing 10-15 games over .500 in the second half, which is likely what they would need to do to actually win a Wild Card spot. Simply put, they aren't in a position to sacrifice the future for the present, even if it hurts for a few more months. Next year, they might be sitting at .500 in mid-July, just five games out. At that point, I'd be interested in doing some serious buying. Follow-up to that previous question. If the Twins do become sellers, who do you hope they trade? Thanks, I'm psychic. Mr. Magic, St. Paul, MN Wow, two follow-ups within something printed! History! My feeling is that no one should be untouchable. It really depends on who is being offered. For instance, I don't want the Twins to trade Phil Hughes. However, if the Nationals call and say "we're goin' fer it." and offer Lucas Giolito, the Twins have to take that offer. So while the Twins should keep players like Hughes, Glen Perkins and Brian Dozier to build around, you can't turn down the so-called "Godfather" offer. Of the more reasonable trade chips, I would be willing to part with everyone for the right price. Kurt Suzuki? Thanks for the surprising season! Josh Willingham? I enjoyed your home runs and outfield runs. Kendrys Morales? Maybe we can be pen pals. Kevin Correia? I hope the nightclub scene is great wherever you land. http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-IHxe91CxyP8/U7MDQdMo_3I/AAAAAAAABjQ/9eNFSBvADcI/s1600/CorreiaDanceLights.gif That's all I have time for today, thank you so much for all the wonderful and intelligent questions! I'll be back next month, ON A FRIDAY, to answer more questions. Have a nice long weekend, everyone!
  20. I do what I can. Unfortunately, Pickles is now in Rochester.
  21. You're welcome. Although, he left last night's game early so I hope I didn't jinx him.
  22. You can view the page at http://twinsdaily.com/content.php/3174-Monday-Morning-Madness-June-30-2014
  23. I wrote about Kyle Gibson's road struggles on Friday and then he totally redeemed himself by breaking the Twins' five-game losing streak with an excellent road effort. The rest of the series was a real drag, although Jorge Polanco's triple in the ninth on Friday was pretty exciting. In fact, Jorge Polanco's everything is pretty exciting. Joe Mauer Over the last ten games, Mauer has raised his average about 15 points. If he maintains that pace, he'll be hitting over .400. So yeah, pretty good. That's probably not realistic, but it does seem that Mauer is getting his proverbial stuff together. His line drive rate has been slowly climbing and it seems that he has been finding more holes on the field. Maybe he is figuring out the "Mauer shift" or maybe his luck is evening out or maybe nothing is different at all. No one is happy that Mauer is having a bad season (even if it seems like some revel in it at times) and a productive Mauer is extremely important to the success of the Twins. It seems that he could be on the path back to his old self. I hope so. Sam Fuld So you know when you join a new website and you have to create a password? If you don't set up a proper password, you get that red "x" next to your choice and you have to enter a new password. I think baseball lineups should be entered in the same manner. http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-ro5KLD8Qqgs/U6-ISV8QEpI/AAAAAAAABhc/quzgLxGk0Jo/s1600/fuldleadoff.png There are literally 11 better options than Fuld. Fuld's OPS is better than only Kendrys Morales and Pedro Florimon. One of those is a fluke and the other is a from a guy who probably shouldn't have a Major League job (more on that shortly!). Fuld plays center, runs fast and is short. Those three things alone should not overshadow that Fuld plays poorly, can't run when he isn't on base, and, well...I can't think of something that pairs with his height. It's almost as if the Twins are on a runaway bus that is set to explode if anyone thinks outside of the box. Pop quiz hot shot: Isn't it bad enough that the lineup options are so limited that Sam Fuld has to simply be in the lineup every day? It doesn't mean he needs to be put in a position where he could bat upwards of five times in one game. How's that for a 20-year-old reference? Pickles Dillhoefer Oh my goodness. I hate when people say "it was better in my day" or "they don't make things like they used to" because there's some serious confirmation bias working there. However, it's a scientific fact that nicknames were better in the early 1900s. I found Ol' Pickles up there because I was doing some Pedro Florimon research. Florimon is currently hitting under .100. His OPS is just barely above .300. If Florimon can somehow get to 100 plate appearances this season (and I think we all hope he doesn't), he'll be the first player since 1931 to hit under .100 and have an OPS under .300 with 100 or more PAs. Unreal. It wasn't Pickles, it was Ed Connolly, but Pickles did hit .126/.144/.158 in 104 plate appearances in 1917. He's also went by "Pickles." If Florimon starts going by "Pickles" Florimon, he'll become my favorite player, even with a .100 BA. Former Twin Update - Ryan Doumit I think it's safe to say the Twins sold Doumit at the right time. When they originally signed Doumit, I thought it was a safe, smart signing. He performed well for the Twins to start the 2012 season and earned an extension. However, he was always a comedy act in the field and his value as a batter was tied up in his power. The Twins unloaded Doumit for Sean Gilmartin this past December and if Gilmartin can simply perform as a sign post, he'll provide more value than Doumit has in 2014. Doumit isn't playing very often, shocking considering his defense and the lack of a DH in the NL. He currently has a strikeout-to-walk ratio over ten. TEN!!! He wore number 9 in his final season with the Twins, so I'd like to see that ratio dip just a tad in honor of his Twins' career. Random Top Ten List - BB/9 in a season since 1961 [TABLE=class: grid, width: 500] [TH=align: center]Rk[/TH] [TH=align: left]Player[/TH] [TH=align: center]BB9 ▴[/TH] [TH=align: left]Year[/TH] [TH=align: center]Age[/TH] [TH=align: center]Tm[/TH] [TH=align: center]GS[/TH] [TH=align: center]W[/TH] [TH=align: center]L[/TH] [TH=align: center]IP[/TH] [TH=align: center]H[/TH] [TH=align: center]ER[/TH] [TH=align: center]BB[/TH] [TH=align: center]SO[/TH] [TH=align: center]ERA[/TH] [TH=align: center]FIP[/TH] [TH=align: center]ERA+[/TH] [TH=align: center]BA[/TH] [TH=align: center]OBP[/TH] [TH=align: center]SLG[/TH] [TH=align: center]OPS[/TH] [TH=align: center]OPS+[/TH] [TD=align: right]1[/TD] [TD=align: left]Carlos Silva[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.43[/TD] [TD=align: left]2005[/TD] [TD=align: right]26[/TD] [TD=align: left]MIN[/TD] [TD=align: right]27[/TD] [TD=align: right]9[/TD] [TD=align: right]8[/TD] [TD=align: right]188.1[/TD] [TD=align: right]212[/TD] [TD=align: right]72[/TD] [TD=align: right]9[/TD] [TD=align: right]71[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.44[/TD] [TD=align: right]4.18[/TD] [TD=align: right]130[/TD] [TD=align: right].290[/TD] [TD=align: right].300[/TD] [TD=align: right].441[/TD] [TD=align: right].741[/TD] [TD=align: right]93[/TD] [TD=align: right]2[/TD] [TD=align: left]Bret Saberhagen[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.66[/TD] [TD=align: left]1994[/TD] [TD=align: right]30[/TD] [TD=align: left]NYM[/TD] [TD=align: right]24[/TD] [TD=align: right]14[/TD] [TD=align: right]4[/TD] [TD=align: right]177.1[/TD] [TD=align: right]169[/TD] [TD=align: right]54[/TD] [TD=align: right]13[/TD] [TD=align: right]143[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.74[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.76[/TD] [TD=align: right]153[/TD] [TD=align: right].254[/TD] [TD=align: right].271[/TD] [TD=align: right].389[/TD] [TD=align: right].660[/TD] [TD=align: right]75[/TD] [TD=align: right]3[/TD] [TD=align: left]Cliff Lee[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.76[/TD] [TD=align: left]2010[/TD] [TD=align: right]31[/TD] [TD=align: left]TOT[/TD] [TD=align: right]28[/TD] [TD=align: right]12[/TD] [TD=align: right]9[/TD] [TD=align: right]212.1[/TD] [TD=align: right]195[/TD] [TD=align: right]75[/TD] [TD=align: right]18[/TD] [TD=align: right]185[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.18[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.58[/TD] [TD=align: right]133[/TD] [TD=align: right].240[/TD] [TD=align: right].255[/TD] [TD=align: right].363[/TD] [TD=align: right].618[/TD] [TD=align: right]66[/TD] [TD=align: right]4[/TD] [TD=align: left]Bob Tewksbury[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.77[/TD] [TD=align: left]1992[/TD] [TD=align: right]31[/TD] [TD=align: left]STL[/TD] [TD=align: right]32[/TD] [TD=align: right]16[/TD] [TD=align: right]5[/TD] [TD=align: right]233.0[/TD] [TD=align: right]217[/TD] [TD=align: right]56[/TD] [TD=align: right]20[/TD] [TD=align: right]91[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.16[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.13[/TD] [TD=align: right]158[/TD] [TD=align: right].248[/TD] [TD=align: right].265[/TD] [TD=align: right].353[/TD] [TD=align: right].618[/TD] [TD=align: right]81[/TD] [TD=align: right]5[/TD] [TD=align: left]Greg Maddux[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.77[/TD] [TD=align: left]1997[/TD] [TD=align: right]31[/TD] [TD=align: left]ATL[/TD] [TD=align: right]33[/TD] [TD=align: right]19[/TD] [TD=align: right]4[/TD] [TD=align: right]232.2[/TD] [TD=align: right]200[/TD] [TD=align: right]57[/TD] [TD=align: right]20[/TD] [TD=align: right]177[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.20[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.43[/TD] [TD=align: right]189[/TD] [TD=align: right].236[/TD] [TD=align: right].256[/TD] [TD=align: right].311[/TD] [TD=align: right].567[/TD] [TD=align: right]50[/TD] [TD=align: right]6[/TD] [TD=align: left]Bob Tewksbury[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.84[/TD] [TD=align: left]1993[/TD] [TD=align: right]32[/TD] [TD=align: left]STL[/TD] [TD=align: right]32[/TD] [TD=align: right]17[/TD] [TD=align: right]10[/TD] [TD=align: right]213.2[/TD] [TD=align: right]258[/TD] [TD=align: right]91[/TD] [TD=align: right]20[/TD] [TD=align: right]97[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.83[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.36[/TD] [TD=align: right]103[/TD] [TD=align: right].301[/TD] [TD=align: right].318[/TD] [TD=align: right].412[/TD] [TD=align: right].730[/TD] [TD=align: right]102[/TD] [TD=align: right]7[/TD] [TD=align: left]David Wells[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.85[/TD] [TD=align: left]2003[/TD] [TD=align: right]40[/TD] [TD=align: left]NYY[/TD] [TD=align: right]30[/TD] [TD=align: right]15[/TD] [TD=align: right]7[/TD] [TD=align: right]213.0[/TD] [TD=align: right]242[/TD] [TD=align: right]98[/TD] [TD=align: right]20[/TD] [TD=align: right]101[/TD] [TD=align: right]4.14[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.94[/TD] [TD=align: right]106[/TD] [TD=align: right].286[/TD] [TD=align: right].306[/TD] [TD=align: right].442[/TD] [TD=align: right].749[/TD] [TD=align: right]96[/TD] [TD=align: right]8[/TD] [TD=align: left]LaMarr Hoyt[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.86[/TD] [TD=align: left]1985[/TD] [TD=align: right]30[/TD] [TD=align: left]SDP[/TD] [TD=align: right]31[/TD] [TD=align: right]16[/TD] [TD=align: right]8[/TD] [TD=align: right]210.1[/TD] [TD=align: right]210[/TD] [TD=align: right]81[/TD] [TD=align: right]20[/TD] [TD=align: right]83[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.47[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.44[/TD] [TD=align: right]102[/TD] [TD=align: right].261[/TD] [TD=align: right].280[/TD] [TD=align: right].386[/TD] [TD=align: right].666[/TD] [TD=align: right]91[/TD] [TD=align: right]9[/TD] [TD=align: left]Phil Hughes[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.87[/TD] [TD=align: left]2014[/TD] [TD=align: right]28[/TD] [TD=align: left]MIN[/TD] [TD=align: right]16[/TD] [TD=align: right]8[/TD] [TD=align: right]4[/TD] [TD=align: right]103.0[/TD] [TD=align: right]110[/TD] [TD=align: right]41[/TD] [TD=align: right]10[/TD] [TD=align: right]88[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.58[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.60[/TD] [TD=align: right]112[/TD] [TD=align: right].273[/TD] [TD=align: right].289[/TD] [TD=align: right].397[/TD] [TD=align: right].686[/TD] [TD=align: right]91[/TD] [TD=align: right]10[/TD] [TD=align: left]Jon Lieber[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.92[/TD] [TD=align: left]2004[/TD] [TD=align: right]34[/TD] [TD=align: left]NYY[/TD] [TD=align: right]27[/TD] [TD=align: right]14[/TD] [TD=align: right]8[/TD] [TD=align: right]176.2[/TD] [TD=align: right]216[/TD] [TD=align: right]85[/TD] [TD=align: right]18[/TD] [TD=align: right]102[/TD] [TD=align: right]4.33[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.71[/TD] [TD=align: right]104[/TD] [TD=align: right].301[/TD] [TD=align: right].317[/TD] [TD=align: right].442[/TD] [TD=align: right].758[/TD] [TD=align: right]97[/TD] [TD=align: right]11[/TD] [TD=align: left]David Wells[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.92[/TD] [TD=align: left]2004[/TD] [TD=align: right]41[/TD] [TD=align: left]SDP[/TD] [TD=align: right]31[/TD] [TD=align: right]12[/TD] [TD=align: right]8[/TD] [TD=align: right]195.2[/TD] [TD=align: right]203[/TD] [TD=align: right]81[/TD] [TD=align: right]20[/TD] [TD=align: right]101[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.73[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.88[/TD] [TD=align: right]104[/TD] [TD=align: right].266[/TD] [TD=align: right].285[/TD] [TD=align: right].410[/TD] [TD=align: right].694[/TD] [TD=align: right]89[/TD] [TD=align: right]12[/TD] [TD=align: left]Greg Maddux[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.99[/TD] [TD=align: left]1995[/TD] [TD=align: right]29[/TD] [TD=align: left]ATL[/TD] [TD=align: right]28[/TD] [TD=align: right]19[/TD] [TD=align: right]2[/TD] [TD=align: right]209.2[/TD] [TD=align: right]147[/TD] [TD=align: right]38[/TD] [TD=align: right]23[/TD] [TD=align: right]181[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.63[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.26[/TD] [TD=align: right]260[/TD] [TD=align: right].197[/TD] [TD=align: right].224[/TD] [TD=align: right].258[/TD] [TD=align: right].482[/TD] [TD=align: right]29[/TD] [/TABLE] Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used Generated 6/29/2014. Phil Hughes is doing something borderline historic this season. Only eight pitchers have qualified for the ERA title and posted a lower BB/9 in a season (since 1961). Obviously, this season is only roughly halfway over and Hughes has a lot of innings left to throw, but it's still crazy just how great he has been at limiting walks. It's still shocking to see Carlos Silva at the top of that list. Hughes already has more strikeouts this season than Silva had that season. Wild. Wait, no, not wild. In control, but wild. The other wild. Get Excited About a Prospect - Nate Roberts Roberts is not a household name, like say, Coke or Tide, but he is a very intriguing baseball player. He returned to action last week after missing roughly 45 seasons due to injury. Roberts is so interesting because he's an absolute Minor League OBP Machine. His career OBP is over .440, just a ridiculous number even for an older guy at lower levels. Baseball karma owes this guy some good fortune, so I'm just going to hop headfirst onto his bandwagon. Even if he makes his MLB debut at 50, I bet he'll walk in his first plate appearance. AIM Chat with 12-Year-Old Brad http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-jLn2X8agM74/U6-IBFxK91I/AAAAAAAABhU/Kyp1hjtG5_0/s1600/aimtop.png KPuckFan34123456: Hey Future Brad. BSwanson0928: Oh hey, I don't have a lot of time, I have to go to the Twins game. KPuckFan34123456: Oh fun, lucky! BSwanson0928: Eh, I guess. KPuckFan34123456: You aren't excited? BSwanson0928: Well, it's a work night and traffic is awful and I'll have to walk from the ramp or pay a lot. KPuckFan34123456: But you get to go to the game. BSwanson0928: Well, yeah, but it's not that great. KPuckFan34123456: Why not? I love going to the Dome. BSwanson0928: Well, the Dome is gone, it was replaced with Target Field, an outdoor stadium. KPuckFan34123456: Oh, even better! Isn't it really nice outside in June? BSwanson0928: Eh, it's a little hot, sometimes buggy. It might be a little too sunny too. KPuckFan34123456: Sounds rough... BSwanson0928: Are you being sarcastic? Do 12-year-olds use sarcasm? KPuckFan34123456: It's just lame that you're being lame about going to a baseball game. I wish I was going to a game tonight. BSwanson0928: You'll learn new adjectives soon. Well, it's different when you're older. KPuckFan34123456: Why? Do I start to not like baseball? BSwanson0928: No, I still like baseball a lot. I write about it like three times a week. KPuckFan34123456: You'd rather write about it than go to a game. You're weird. I'm going to be weird. BSwanson0928: I'm probably being a baby. It will be fun once I get there. It always is. KPuckFan34123456: Always, how often do you go? BSwanson0928: 4-5 games a year, although in college I went to like 15-20 games a year. KPuckFan34123456: College sounds fun. We had a math test today. It was easy. BSwanson0928: Math is cool. KPuckFan34123456: No it isn't. I'm going to go now. Have fun at the game. BSwanson0928: Thanks, I will. http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-d6WkUdiwjpg/U6-H52vC6oI/AAAAAAAABhM/mUBxOa0S3wg/s1600/aimbottom.png Random Baseball Card from the Past - David Arias I think I figured out why David Ortiz didn't become Big Papi with the Twins. http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-Jl4LFDWicms/U6-OrjenDeI/AAAAAAAABhs/jR-Z1PZbSt0/s1600/david+arias.jpg It's one thing to keep the bat on your shoulder, it's another thing to keep the bat near both shoulders. Plus, that's a great way to break a finger. This card is either shockingly expensive (like $30!), or I don't know how much cards are worth. For the record, I have no clue how to re-size a photo here. I wish I could make this bigger. Plugging My Way - Brian Dozier is interesting Last week, I wrote about Brian Dozier and what a handso...I mean interesting man he is. Statistically, he's having a good, but super weird season. If you want more details, just click here. Also, I may have uncovered the fact that Brian Dozier is Mike Schmidt. This would be a pretty big discovery. Parting Thought The Twins are awful on the road lately. They return home for this week and I hope they can pick up a lot of wins. The Royals have cooled off and the Yankees are hardly scary, but it's still two winning teams coming to town. If the Twins have any ambition of being in the Wild Card race, they need to have a great week. I hope you have a great week too! Originally posted at Kevin Slowey was Framed! Twins ended their losing streak yesterday so celebrate with a half-price L or XL pizza from PapaJohns.com by using the promo code 'TWINSWIN'!
×
×
  • Create New...