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IndianaTwin

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Everything posted by IndianaTwin

  1. IndianaTwin
    Winner, winner, S’mores Blizzard dinner!
  2. IndianaTwin
    With what you’ve got to go, you may be able to knock off several of them on a single trip.
  3. IndianaTwin
    I see a Randball’s Stu article about the anxiety in the bowels of TD’s World Headquarters, wondering how they are going to fill space if Buxton plays defense… 😄
  4. IndianaTwin
    Wait. If Buxton plays CF, what will we have to argue and speculate about?
  5. IndianaTwin
    After re-checking off Texas’s new park last summer, I’m back in the club. Much more impressive is that Mrs. IT (“I don’t like baseball, but I like some people who like baseball.”) is only missing seven. It’s not a goal for her to finish them off, but fortunately most of them are in cities that she wouldn’t mind visiting.
  6. IndianaTwin
    Don’t forget that it’s also a pain to get to if you’re driving. And expensive for parking. Even as an out-of-towner, I’ve taken to driving to a Park-N-Ride and catching the El. Two of my most miserable games: 1. When I was back in college, I went to a game in June and wasn’t yet familiar with the notion of the wind off the lake and how cold it can be under the overhang. 2. A few years ago when the Twins were there, it was over 100 degrees and I was stuck in one of the back rows of the middle level, where there was no air movement.
  7. IndianaTwin
    What I make of it is, “Stay home on nights he pitches. Sounds like you were the jinx!” 😄
  8. IndianaTwin
    Now up to a five-day All-Star Break.
  9. IndianaTwin
    Make it a priority. And get a seat in the lower bowl behind home. Preferably in the evening. If it’s sunny, the “golden hour” will give you the most beautiful view in Major League Baseball.
  10. IndianaTwin
    To clarify, any of my comments above aren’t to say that I think he’ll retire. I don’t. But heck, Michael Jordan walked away from a bigger paycheck (comparably, don’t know the actual dollars from 19whatever) than Gray would. I’m just saying that these comments don’t really mean a lot in the context. They certainly don’t affect my willingness to trade him.
  11. IndianaTwin
    "I'm content," my mom says, each time I ask how she's doing. She's in a retirement home with early stage Alzheimer's. May I have the grace to say the same when I'm in her position. (And today, for that matter.)
  12. IndianaTwin
    Mrs. IT might suggest I should have added a similar statement about myself in my previous parenthetical comment. 🤣
  13. IndianaTwin
    Sounds like a middle-aged guy (which he is, in baseball terms) who reached a significant goal (10 years service) and is in a reflective mood. I don't read much more into than that. (And I appreciate hearing the musings of middle-aged guys in reflective moods, since I'm one of the former and try to be the latter occasionally.)
  14. IndianaTwin
    "Biggest Disappointment" is way different than "Least Valuable." It's true Correa has underperformed expectations, which has been a disappointment. But even so, I don't think I'd argue for him as the "biggest" disappointment. No way has he been the "Least Valuable."
  15. IndianaTwin
    Do we actually know Keuchel's opt-out date? That's an honest question that I'm curious about. My rhetorical response is that if it's more than a week or so out, it feels like a pretty pointless conversation at this time. These things often resolve themselves and many of our opinions will change by then, whether from his continued or loss of effectiveness, his health, the health of others in the rotation and the results of games between now and then.
  16. IndianaTwin
    It's a pretty small sample size, just 56 plate appearances. I'm assuming that his 14 GIDP in those situations is well above the average, but again, SSS. It's SSS on this too, but the same splits page lists his sOPS+ as 98, which means that his OPS within 2 percent of league average in this situation. For what it's worth, his tOPS+ is 115 in that situation, which means that he's hitting 15 percent better in those situations than he is in his plate appearances as a whole. I agree that Correa is woefully underperforming expectations. I just don't find GIDP a particularly helpful stat.
  17. IndianaTwin
  18. IndianaTwin
    Then how about saying, "For starters, Correa leads the AL in double plays grounded into, and he's already approaching his career high"? That actually tells me that he's underperforming his expectations. Saying that he's leading the league while batting in the middle of the order doesn't tell me that -- the league leader is almost always in the middle of the order.
  19. IndianaTwin
    From the OP: ...For starters, Correa leads the American League in double plays grounded into. That is a brutal stat for a player to have in the middle of the lineup.... ------------------------------------ Actually, it's not. The league leaders in GIDP almost always match Correa's profile. Guys with a lot of at bats, who aren't particularly fast, who hit the ball hard enough for the infield to turn two, who aren't the biggest strikeout offenders... And the thing is, if you do all those things, a lot of the balls those guys hit go through the infield and over the infielders as line drives. Here's your list of career leaders in GIDP. I'll be glad if Correa ends up on this list:
  20. IndianaTwin
    Betteridge (and thus, probably @ashbury) and I say no.
  21. IndianaTwin
    People have been comparing Arraez to Lopez in arguing that that was a bad trade. As I see it, the trade is really about, "Have the Twins gained more by having 15 starts of Lopez compared to 15 starts of someone else (which would have been someone like three starts of Ober before he was called up, but then 12 starts of Dobnak/Rodriguez/Sanchez, etc.) or would they have gained more by having 300 plate appearances from Arraez at the expense of 300 at bats from others (some combination of Kirilloff, Solano, Gallo, Larnach, Buxton)? With how Arraez has been hitting, it's probably accurate that the offense would have been better with 300 plate appearances of him compared to those guys. But I think the gain from Dobnak, et al., to Lopez is much more significant than the loss from Arraez to others. All of which to say is that it's never as simple as comparing the players who were traded. Every player has a context. I'd love to have Arraez, but in the context of what the Twins also had, I think he was among the most tradeable chips to fill in a need. (And also, of course, that we're talking about a bit less than a half season. I'm not a betting person, but I will bet anyone on TD a buck that Arraez doesn't finish the year with a .400 batting average or a .940 OPS.)
  22. IndianaTwin
    Saints already made their trip to Rochester in April. They’d probably save expenses and do the shuttle from St. Paul… 😃
  23. IndianaTwin
    I don't follow the minors that closely -- just remembered that Salas was somewhere on the TD rankings (12, as it turns out). Byron Chourio is the other. Mainly just noting that it wasn't a one-for-one. (Also, have you been hanging out with my dad? He was often offering to bet a nickel as well. Haven't heard that phrase for a while. Timely, coming two days after Father's Day.)
  24. IndianaTwin
    @Ted Schwerzler, how did you decide which trades to include? What about... Sisk and Cruz for MAT a half-season of Escobar for a package including Duran a half-season of Nelly and a body for six (we hope) seasons of Ryan and a body, etc. Also, Salas as a part of the Lopez/Arraez trade... This seems like a bit of picking and choosing.
  25. IndianaTwin
    Correa has a full no-trade clause.
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