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KGB

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Everything posted by KGB

  1. KGB
    You really can't compare it that way because Mauer played during that total time period and most of the players you are comparing him to didn't play all the years. If you want to look at a comparison for the years 2004-15 for individual years, here would be his individual year ranks: Qualifed Years Season Name Team WAR rank 2009 Joe Mauer Twins 7.60 39 2006 Joe Mauer Twins 5.80 155 2008 Joe Mauer Twins 5.70 168 2013 Joe Mauer Twins 5.20 233 2010 Joe Mauer Twins 5.00 262 2012 Joe Mauer Twins 4.50 356 2005 Joe Mauer Twins 3.40 651 2014 Joe Mauer Twins 1.70 1279 2015 Joe Mauer Twins 0.30 1627 http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=y&type=8&season=2016&month=0&season1=2004&ind=1&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&page=1_30
  2. KGB
    I think the difference in opinion on Mauer is easy to see when you see he has a 7 year period of hitting .330 with a .900 OPS and a 6 year (probably 8 when his career ends) with a .280 average and a .750 OPS. You really have to be a Mauer fan to see just the productive 7 years and put him in the HOF. Probably not a 75% national fan base in the HOF votes to make that happen. I admit I'm not a believer in the decline based on a concussion injury, but that discussion has been beaten to death. So I don't believe people have a dislike of Mauer, just a disappointment that a HOF talent isn't going to has a HOF career.
  3. KGB
    Defense metrics seem to be very strange. Last year's top two AL first baseman were Mike Napoli and Albert Pujols. Neither would be consider a gold glove candidate.
  4. KGB
    That is not true - from the link in my prior post: "But that difference doesn’t mean that OBP>SLG is an iron rule. Take 2015, for example. The correlation coefficient between on-base percentage and runs per game for the 30 teams last year was just 0.644, compared to 0.875 for slugging percentage. Slugging won in 2014 too, 0.857-0.797. And 2013, 0.896-0.894. And 2012, and 2011, and 2010, and 2009, and every single year starting in the Moneyball season of 2002. Slugging percentage, not on-base percentage, is on a 14-year run as the best predictor of offense."
  5. KGB
    During Mauer's entire career, slugging percentage has been move valuable than OBP. Along with playing a position where you look for slugging and a team that should be building for the future, it's time to see less playing time for Mauer. http://www.fangraphs.com/community/when-slugging-percentage-beats-on-base-percentage/
  6. KGB
    No one is stupid, but when was the owners "vote of confidence" ever a guarantee they will not make a change. What benefit do you get for hanging out your Manager and having him now have to answer that question for the rest of the year. It probably smart not to believe everything said at a press conference.
  7. KGB
    Unless you were firing Molitor today, you have to say he coming back. Two months ago, they said Ryan's job was safe. If a new GM wants to make a change, I'm sure they will be allowed to make a change.
  8. KGB
    Let's give Ryan some credit, at least he learned not to give Jepsen a Suzuki/Hughes type extension after last year. Relief pitchers seem to be up one year and down another. That why I was okay with not signing a FA relief pitcher. Of the big dollar signing this offseason of relief pitchers, it's about 50/50 on success. The Twins minor league signing have been just as good as many of the FA signing. But I hope they plan on giving some of the minor league relief pitchers a shot for the remaining of the season. With the bullpen, I a fan of going young and 1 year contracts.
  9. KGB
    The all star game isn't a career achievement award and if you have the 6th best league average, you have earned a spot. Nunez is deserving of the all star selection. If Mauer was hitting .320, we would be upset that he wasn't voted in.
  10. KGB
    Meanwhile, Joe Mauer's reduced distance and exit velocity are due to...? Age, player decline?
  11. KGB
    Agree, Kepler had just the one breakout year in 2015 where Rosario had just the one bad year in 2014. But Kepler is out of options this year, so I think giving him a long look this year will be beneficial. Let Rosario continue to do well in AAA, hopefully they open some roster spots around the trade deadline. Next year hopefully Buxton is an solid option and you can have Grossman, Rosario and Kepler battle it out for the other 2 spots and the 4th outfield position.
  12. KGB
    Must be part of the metric system.
  13. KGB
    Agree, Mauer averaged 90 games behind the plate for his 10 year catching career and it looks like it took a toll on him after he moved. But Bryce Harper was a catcher before the draft and immediately switched positions. So if he the best hitter in the draft, hopefully they look at the long term value not just a quick fix.
  14. KGB
    Park's perceived value is why you should listen to offers, just like Josh Willingham, he might not get more valuable than this. Nobody is saying you should give him away. You wouldn't be trading Park to keep Plouffe, you would be trading Park to have a place to play Sano. Sano history in the minors doesn't show he going to be a much better fielder at third than he is in right field. If you trade Plouffe and find out Sano can't play third, you have not made anything better and you have put yourself in a bad trade position because you again have to trade a player to get Sano to DH. Other than trading the young players, all options should be considered.
  15. KGB
    That also the reason given to not trading Josh Willingham at peak value - hope they still don't believe that. I'm not sure what value Park has in the trade market, but he should not be off the table because you are worried about future signings.
  16. KGB
    Agree, also at Sano's size, I don't think this is going to be a quick recovery. So it's more likely he comes back at DH not at third. No reason to look to just dump Plouffe. If you can get better value for Park, move him instead since Sano future is at first or DH.
  17. KGB
    Moving a starting pitcher to relief is a pretty common. I don't see how that would ruin May. Hopefully like many relief pitchers, he just going through a bad stretch. If that not the case, than it's more likely he been overrated not ruined by the move.
  18. KGB
    How do you figure that? Are you making a correlation because you want to believe it and excluding the Hunter correlation because you don't want to believe it. Just because more people want to believe in a correlation, doesn't make it a fact. Remember the world was flat at one time Wouldn't a more reasonable explanation for Mauer reduction in 2014 was his BABIP went back to his career normal?
  19. KGB
    According to the JR Graham forum, keeping him on the roster last year cost us the playoffs. Hunter provided a value last year to the team and was important for the increase in wins, but his present alone would not make this years team a winning team. Making the jump that losing Hunter is the sole or major reason for the decline is like making the jump that Mauers production drop is solely due to his concussion. No doubt these things play a part, but making it the sole reason misses a lot of other valid explanations.
  20. KGB
    I agree, the main problem is that they never went into a total rebuild. Two years ago when the should have been in the rebuild mode, they were signing long term deal with FA pitchers over the age of 30 and signing Kendrys Morales because they thought they could contend. I think ownership understands that contending would bring in a million more in attendance and probably $50-$100 in additional revenue. So I think they would be willing to add payroll, but that really not what Ryan does well. We are never going to be at the Cubs payroll level, but I think they would add payroll. The difficult decision they need to make is this now a total rebuild. Should they trade veterans, cut back salaries and go with the young players. Then we'll hear more complaining about ownership not spending money but it might be the smart move. See what the young players can actually do, then start supplementing that with FA as needed.
  21. KGB
    A lot of player have talent and never make it. I'm not saying the Twins management is faultless in developing players, just that most of the responsibility falls on the player. I don't think the coaches can take a lot of credit for Mauer's turnaround this year, do you?. I give Mauer credit for what he's done. But we seem to blame management for everything bad - if a player comes up at 22 and fails, they rushed him, if we player fails at 26, we waited too long to bring him up and didn't show confidence in him. It's not the Twins fault if he has an ugly girlfriend
  22. KGB
    One inning doesn't make a starter, it makes a relief pitcher. He'll get a chance to show us what kind of starter he is in AAA, last year that didn't work so well.
  23. KGB
    Or he realizes that his future is not as a starter likes many top relief pitchers. Nothing wrong with that, just back Perkins, Nathan, Rivera, etc. The Twins are giving him the opportunity to start in AAA, so if everyone here is right, he will dominate and be up later this year. If he doesn't dominate, he probably not as good as the hype.
  24. KGB
    Not only do you think it's a good idea, Meyer's agrees with you. http://www.1500espn.com/twins-2/2016/03/wetmore-twins-are-making-a-mistake-moving-alex-meyer-out-of-the-bullpen/ “I loved it,” Meyer said recently on last year’s move to relief. “Obviously I was open for it because the way that things were going I knew I was either going to go down to Double-A or get moved to the bullpen.” I think starting him in AAA is good to get him more innings, but at the majors, his future is in the bullpen.
  25. KGB
    I think it's good to have Mauer batting in front of Sano so you don't want him batting first. Sano is heating up so Mauer should start getting pitched to more with less walks. To fix the top of the order,Dozier needs to start hitting or get moved out of the lineup instead of moving Mauer to the top.
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