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Hunter McCall

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Everything posted by Hunter McCall

  1. Ironically, those are three of the bottom four teams in ballpark attendance over the last 15 years. I hear where you're coming from, but I personally think refusing to spend money comes at a cost. I like the way the Twins operate as more of a mid market style that isn't afraid to stick their nose in there every once in a while.
  2. I mean I get it. I see where you're coming from, but there are many ways to build success. While I understand the Rays have sustained some level of success through their very low budget strategy, they have been unable to put fans in the seats or win a World Series. Ultimately, I get it and there's a lot of reasons to dislike trading for a rental player, but I personally think making this trade would make the Twins real contenders in the AL. Burnes and Lopez at the top would be really hard to beat in October and with all the money invested in guys like Correa and Buxton mixed with blossoming stars like Lewis and Julien, it feels like the time to make a deal like this at a relatively low cost. Festa is good, but I don't think he's someone who will change the fate of the franchise if he's traded. Prielipp has insane upside but who knows if he ever reaches it. Personally, I would take a chance on one year with the stud and hope you can play your way into the ALCS or beyond. Just my opinion, but I think it's silly to try to completely replicate what other teams do mostly because the Twins' FO doesn't operate under the same principles as the Ray's at all.
  3. I don't really think it ruins their pitching depth for the future. Lopez, Paddack, Ryan, Ober, and Varland will all be back the following year. By that time you'll have Marco Raya, CJ Culpepper, and Cory Lewis will all be in the same spot Festa is right now. That's why I think the Twins could afford a deal like this one.
  4. I tried to make a deal that would help both sides and provide extra value for Milwaukee since Burnes is a more valuable asset than Polanco. I agree it may be light on the Twins' side, but any heavier would be hard to justify for a one-year rental. This is one that was close in value overall I think. I also am still really high on Prielipp though.
  5. If the Brewers would do it for just Prielipp obviously that would be better, but I doubt they would. I don't this trade blows up the farm by any means. The starting rotation at this point is all under team control beyond this year and relatively young. It's not like the Twins have a dire need for Festa in the next two seasons. I could see why you would want to hold onto the prospects, but personally I would do it.
  6. This is where I'm at. At some point when you're trying to build a championship team you have to take some risks. I personally would do this trade even if it's only for one year.
  7. I actually think this price may be low on the Twins' side. I personally would do it if I was the Twins, but I could understand why one would say no. I think Burnes is a good enough renal to make it worth it.
  8. The 2022-23 offseason saw the Minnesota Twins make one of the most polarizing trades in franchise history, when they dealt reigning batting champion Luis Arraez to the Miami Marlins to bolster their rotation by adding Pablo Lopez. Arráez and López each went on to have great success for their new teams in 2023, leading each to the playoffs. This style of immediate win/win trade is uncommon in MLB, but could the Twins and Brewers pull off a similar swap to improve both major-league rosters? The Trade Brewers Receive: INF Jorge Polanco, RHP David Festa, LHP Connor Prielipp Twins Receive: RHP Corbin Burnes Why It Makes Sense for the Brewers Burnes is in his last year of team control, and will likely leave via free agency after this coming season. He will require a massive contract that would be out of character for the Brewers to pony up and pay. This is the reason for the trade rumors, in the first place. In multiple appearances online this winter, Burnes has been forthright about his intention to become a free agent and his disinterest in almost any deal that would head off that eventuality. Burnes is a stud, but the Brewers could fill his spot with Aaron Ashby and potentially Robert Gasser, who came to the team in the Josh Hader trade. Freddy Peralta has ace-level stuff and could replace Burnes as the team’s Opening Day and Game 1 playoff starter. Where the Brewers lack is in the infield. Their potential Opening Day options for second and third base are Brice Turang, who produced a .585 OPS; Andruw Monasterio, who posted a .678; and Owen Miller, who had a .674 in 2023. Two of those three are likely to be everyday starters for a returning playoff team. By adding Polanco, the Brewers would add an impact bat to the middle of their lineup. In 80 games in 2023, Polanco hit 14 home runs and had a .789 OPS. To add to his value, Polanco is a switch-hitter who hits well enough from both sides of the plate to avoid any need for a platoon. On top of that, he is under team control on a team-friendly contract ($10 million in 2024, with a club option at $12 million in 2025) for the next two seasons. Polanco has been a consistent hitter since arriving with the Twins in 2016, and has never produced below a .723 OPS in any non-shortened season. On top of adding Polanco, the Brewers would receive two top-10 organizational prospects from the Twins, who both happen to be pitchers. Festa is a 6-foot-6 righthander, close to making his major-league debut. Since being drafted out of Seton Hall in 2021, he has seen his fastball tick up several miles per hour; it now touches 98-99. Finishing 2023 in Triple A, Festa could be an option to replace Burnes in the Brewers rotation, at least by the end of the season. This deal would also send Connor Prielipp to the Brewers. At one point in his college career, it looked like Prielipp would be a surefire top-10 pick in the draft. However, that never came to fruition, as he went on to miss his entire sophomore season at Alabama following Tommy John surgery. The Twins scooped the lefty in the second round of the 2022 draft with hopes his injuries were behind him, and that after a rehab year in 2022, he could display his top-of-the-line stuff in 2023. Unfortunately, Prielipp threw just 6 2/3 innings before injuring his arm and needing another UCL surgery. Injuries aside, there’s a lot to like about Prielipp, most notably his double-plus slider that some scouts classified as the best pitch in his draft class. He’s a left-handed 22-year-old with as much upside as anyone in the Twins organization. If Prielipp can return from injury and stay healthy, he’s the type of lottery-ticket prospect who could become a future star. Why It Makes Sense for the Twins The Twins are in a good spot with their infield depth. With Royce Lewis, Carlos Correa, Willi Castro, Kyle Farmer, and Edouard Julien returning as reliable infield options and Yunior Severino, Brooks Lee, and Austin Martin set to make their debuts in 2024, the Twins have the depth to offset the loss of trading Polanco. The lineup, bullpen, and most of the starting rotation appear good and deep enough to make another playoff run. The only glaring downgrade from last season to 2024 is at the top of the rotation, due to the loss of Sonny Gray. Burnes is more than capable of filling that hole. The former Cy Young winner has been lights-out since his breakout 2020 season, being selected to the All-Star Game in the past three seasons and receiving Cy Young votes in the last four. He won the award in 2021. He’s been impressively durable (167, 202, 193 2/3 innings, respectively, in the last three seasons), and his Baseball Savant metrics are top-notch. While he’s in the last year of team control, Burnes would immediately step in and give the Twins one of the best one-two starting pitching punches in the entire league. The Twins could work on extending Burnes, as they did with López, or thank him for his service at the end of the season and look to replace him for 2025, pocketing yet another compensatory draft pick after extending him the qualifying offer. Losing Festa and Prielipp would hurt, but adding Burnes for an entire season could lift the Twins to contender status. Is that enough to offset losing two of their most coveted pitching prospects? What do you think? Twins fans? Brewers fans? Would you consider this deal? Let me know in the comments! Go, Twins!
  9. With Jorge Polanco and Corbin Burnes being the talking point of trade rumors for their respected teams, how could the Twins and Brewers pull off a swap? Burnes is a stud, but the Brewers could fill his spot with Aaron Ashby and potentially Robert Gasser, who came to the team in the Josh Hader trade. Freddy Peralta has ace-level stuff and could replace Burnes as the team’s Opening Day and Game 1 playoff starter. Where the Brewers lack is in the infield. Their potential Opening Day options for second and third base are Brice Turang, who produced a .585 OPS; Andruw Monasterio, who posted a .678; and Owen Miller, who had a .674 in 2023. Two of those three are likely to be everyday starters for a returning playoff team. By adding Polanco, the Brewers would add an impact bat to the middle of their lineup. In 80 games in 2023, Polanco hit 14 home runs and had a .789 OPS. To add to his value, Polanco is a switch-hitter who hits well enough from both sides of the plate to avoid any need for a platoon. On top of that, he is under team control on a team-friendly contract ($10 million in 2024, with a club option at $12 million in 2025) for the next two seasons. Polanco has been a consistent hitter since arriving with the Twins in 2016, and has never produced below a .723 OPS in any non-shortened season. On top of adding Polanco, the Brewers would receive two top-10 organizational prospects from the Twins, who both happen to be pitchers. Festa is a 6-foot-6 righthander, close to making his major-league debut. Since being drafted out of Seton Hall in 2021, he has seen his fastball tick up several miles per hour; it now touches 98-99. Finishing 2023 in Triple A, Festa could be an option to replace Burnes in the Brewers rotation, at least by the end of the season. This deal would also send Connor Prielipp to the Brewers. At one point in his college career, it looked like Prielipp would be a surefire top-10 pick in the draft. However, that never came to fruition, as he went on to miss his entire sophomore season at Alabama following Tommy John surgery. The Twins scooped the lefty in the second round of the 2022 draft with hopes his injuries were behind him, and that after a rehab year in 2022, he could display his top-of-the-line stuff in 2023. Unfortunately, Prielipp threw just 6 2/3 innings before injuring his arm and needing another UCL surgery. Injuries aside, there’s a lot to like about Prielipp, most notably his double-plus slider that some scouts classified as the best pitch in his draft class. He’s a left-handed 22-year-old with as much upside as anyone in the Twins organization. If Prielipp can return from injury and stay healthy, he’s the type of lottery-ticket prospect who could become a future star. Why It Makes Sense for the Twins The Twins are in a good spot with their infield depth. With Royce Lewis, Carlos Correa, Willi Castro, Kyle Farmer, and Edouard Julien returning as reliable infield options and Yunior Severino, Brooks Lee, and Austin Martin set to make their debuts in 2024, the Twins have the depth to offset the loss of trading Polanco. The lineup, bullpen, and most of the starting rotation appear good and deep enough to make another playoff run. The only glaring downgrade from last season to 2024 is at the top of the rotation, due to the loss of Sonny Gray. Burnes is more than capable of filling that hole. The former Cy Young winner has been lights-out since his breakout 2020 season, being selected to the All-Star Game in the past three seasons and receiving Cy Young votes in the last four. He won the award in 2021. He’s been impressively durable (167, 202, 193 2/3 innings, respectively, in the last three seasons), and his Baseball Savant metrics are top-notch. While he’s in the last year of team control, Burnes would immediately step in and give the Twins one of the best one-two starting pitching punches in the entire league. The Twins could work on extending Burnes, as they did with López, or thank him for his service at the end of the season and look to replace him for 2025, pocketing yet another compensatory draft pick after extending him the qualifying offer. Losing Festa and Prielipp would hurt, but adding Burnes for an entire season could lift the Twins to contender status. Is that enough to offset losing two of their most coveted pitching prospects? What do you think? Twins fans? Brewers fans? Would you consider this deal? Let me know in the comments! Go, Twins! View full article
  10. Hit the nail right on the head. And just to add to it something that has been said many times... Kepler only costs 10M! Unless they package him for a starter, there's no point in moving him just to move him. He's a very necessary part of the lineup.
  11. This is exactly right. The Twins have the bodies to replace Polanco. They don't have the same bodies to replace Kepler. I also think Yunior Severino is a much better bet to contribute to the Twins in 2024 than Brooks Lee. Lee's time will come, but like you mentioned and I have mentioned before, he's not ready.
  12. This is a good point. $10M doesn't get you a ton. Kenta Maeda just signed for $12M per year for two years. Max Kepler is a steal at $10M. You want to talk about cutting salary and getting value for your money? You do it by not cutting ties with reliable, cheap players who you won't be able to replace in-house.
  13. We don't have the depth to cover his bat though. Someone has to play the outfield and it will be Trevor Larnach if the Twins trade Kepler. That would be a disastrous result and for what? A mid-level prospect? A mid-level bullpen guy? An extra $10M? Unless you package Kepler for a large return trading him just doesn't make sense.
  14. I'm not attached to Max Kepler. However, I'm confident the Twins can't replace him. The numbers, metrics, and eyes all support that. Going into the season with Trevor Larnach slated as an everyday starter would be a complete failure to Twins fans. As I mentioned, there's not enough value in a one-year rental of Kepler to make trading him worth it. If the Twins were to trade him it would be a salary dump. My point is that there are other more replaceable players they can dump the salaries of without experiencing the extreme drop off that would come from moving from Kepler to Larnach. On his own, the Twins just won't get that much of a return for Kepler which is why his value lies in Minnesota.
  15. Also well said. Lewis will play third base for the foreseeable future. When Correa ages out at shortstop, I think they'll swap places, but Lewis will always be an infielder and there is zero chance they move him to a corner outfield spot.
  16. This explained what I was trying to explain but probably in a better way lol... Thank you!
  17. But why can't Kepler help in 2024? Obviously he's not in the long term plans but he's a valuable starter. According to FanGraphs, Kepler has outplayed his $10M salary in every single season.
  18. Personally I think Lee is further away than most people believe. I wouldn't be surprised at all if we don't see much Lee this year. Martin is likely closer but I doubt they want to play him as a permanent corner outfielder. Plus turning two starting positions over to unproven rookies is beyond risky. (Yes I understand that three rookies ended up starting in 2023 but none of them were given the starting job on opening day and all of them earned those jobs. None of them were expected to start right off the bat with the exception of maybe Royce Lewis after he returned from his ACL injury.)
  19. Even when he's been bad he's been fine. You won't find a starting caliber power outfielder for less than the $10M that he's making and I personally heading into 2024 with Larnach as a locked in starter is not wise for a team coming off a division title.
  20. Are you arguing that Trevor Larnach is better than Kepler? Are you arguing that the Twins will improve by trading Kepler for scraps? If you're a huge believer in Trevor Larnach then your stance makes sense but if you don't think he'll be good then it's just odd.
  21. Kepler has produced 2 plus WAR every full year of his career. He's provided value even when he doesn't hit.
  22. Who plays the second corner spot if you trade Kepler? What return are you getting for Kepler? Two very valuable questions to answer.
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