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cmathewson

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Everything posted by cmathewson

  1. cmathewson
    Get well soon, Terry.
  2. cmathewson
    Yeah, I chose Turner because I couldn't see the shortstop of the future within the organization. I've seen mock drafts with him slipping as far as sixth. Fingers crossed.
  3. cmathewson
    I think he ends up in LF at some point. Here's a hypothetical lineup in 2017: 1. Buxton (8) 2. Rosario (7) 3. Mauer (3) 4. Sano (5) 5. Arcia (DH) 6. Pinto (2) 7. Polanco (4) 8. Turner (6) 9. Hicks (9)
  4. cmathewson
    I think it's weed. He says it was painkillers.
  5. cmathewson
    I guess I need to revisit my ranking on Sulbaran. If Berrios is at #10 on my list, he should be in the low teens based on his 19-year-old numbers and his handedness. Also, we got him for Drew Butera? What a steal.
  6. cmathewson
    Those players were roster fillers pressed into service because of injuries and ineffectiveness. It was a symptom of a very bad year that all of them played in the majors last year. This year, the hope is more players like Meyer and Sano will make their debuts than Albers and Fryer. Fryer turned out to be a find. But the others, not so much.
  7. cmathewson
    Let's play player A and B. Player A 2012: 186 PAs .252/.328/.350/.678 21 SB, 3 CS Player B 2012: 274 PAs .258/.330/.316/.645 30 SB 3 CS Player A is Mastroianni. Player B is Bonifacio. I chose 2012 because Mastro broke his leg at the end of spring training in 2013 and they made him play on it, resulting in mostly a lost year of surgeries and trying to play with a hunk of metal in his leg. Mastro has more power, as much speed and is a better defender in all outfield spots. He's also a year younger. It's not clear to me that Bonifacio is the better option. Escobar, on the other hand, does not have the offensive or baserunning resume of Bonifacio. If they are comparable defenders in the infield, it might be worth doing something.
  8. cmathewson
    Glad someone checked that. It just didn't seem right that ZIPS would project a 29 year old veteran to his career high in OBP. Check that, he did have one good year, when he had an OBP of .360 at age 26. That was his only year with an OPS+ over 100. Otherwise, he's had one year at .330 and a bunch of years hovering around .300.
  9. cmathewson
    I disagree. I would put Revere somewhere in the teens on this list. I compare Ramos to Pinto, whom I have at #12. I'm not comparing prospects to current players. I'm comparing prospects to prospects when they were prospects. Whatever. It's just an opinion.
  10. cmathewson
    Another look at my (new) top 10 reveals something interesting: 1. Buxton 2. Sano 3. Meyer 4. Stewart 5. Rosario 6. Thorpe 7. Polanco 8. May 9. Kepler 10. Berrios Compare this to the BA top 10 from 2008 [TABLE=class: small, width: 100%] 1. Nick Blackburn, rhp 2. Joe Benson, of 3. Wilson Ramos, c 4. Tyler Robertson, lhp 5. Anthony Swarzak, rhp 6. Ben Revere, of 7. Jason Pridie, of 8. Brian Duensing, lhp 9. Jeff Manship, rhp 10. Trevor Plouffe, ss [/TABLE] IMHO, every one of the 2014 prospects is better than every one of the guys on the 2008 BA list.
  11. cmathewson
    Good history lesson. The common thread in all his misfortune is mediocrity on teams that are looking to build rosters with above average players. That is a good description of the Twins. Perhaps he's a better fit for a team looking for a veteran on the bench and not in development mode, as the Nats, Marlins and Royals were in, and the Twins are in. The goal is development first and respectability second. Bono adds nothing to the development discussion, unless he's purely a sign and trade target. Those guys are best signed to minor league deals, Like Matt Guerrier and Jason Bartlett. So, my new position is get him on a minor league deal and make him beat out Escobar in ST. If another team offers him a major league deal, take a pass.
  12. cmathewson
    There are no 16 year olds in the Appy league. It's an advanced rookie league with an average age of 21. It's primarily for college guys coming off a long college season. There's a handful of teenagers on every team, but they're the exception to the rule. You base much of your discounting on stuff outside of his control. The Twins have only sent two infielders to A ball out of college in the last 20 years (Knoblauch and Michaels). They typically send you to the Appy league and make you earn your way up. That's what Dozier has done. With the exception of 2012, when he was given the Aaron Hicks treatment and struggled in similar ways, he has earned his way at every level. It's way too early to give up on him, as you seem determined to do. I'm with Brock. Once he learned the MLB strike zone, he took off. I think he turned a corner. He might regress from his lofty September. But something like the average of June through September is a reasonable projection.
  13. cmathewson
    I think ink you undervalue Hicks by a lot. I do think they'll start the year with Presley. But, if he struggles, I expect Hicks to take over for the rest of the year. Then you've got Mastro and Presley vying for fourth outfielder. We have one more viable center fielder than we had last year. I can't say Bonny is any better in center than those two, all things considered. His value is as a replacement for Escobar. Being able to play in the outfield is what makes him potentially a better fit than Escobar. But it isn't the reason you sign him.
  14. cmathewson
    I'll be ther around the 21st.
  15. cmathewson
    For me, the jury is out. But there weren't a lot of 19 year olds in the MWL last year. The fact that he was a solid and occasionally spectacular starter against guys two years older than him means he has a high ceiling. Whether that ceiling is as a starter or reliever is the big question for me. The doubt about starting is why I don't rank him this high. I have him behind Thorpe and May. Still, he's a top 10 prospect in the system in my book. Even if he becomes a reliever, he has closer upside.
  16. cmathewson
    This makes sense only if it allows the team to carry an extra bat because he can play all over the diamond. Reports of whether he can play center as well as Mastro and short as well as Escobar are all over the map. I don't have enough data to say one way or the other. But if having him means we can bring one fewer utility guy than we normally need, I'm for it. BTW, this is the problem with relying exclusively on stats. When guys are primarily bench guys, it is really hard to judge how much luck is involved with their numbers. I have not seen enough of him to judge him. Punto I know was not as good as his defensive numbers. I'm confident in that assessment after watching him play in hundreds of games. I don't have anything on this guy. So I'll gladly defer to the professional scouts. If they sign him, they determine that he's good enough. If not, no big loss.
  17. cmathewson
    I hate to hog the conversation but, one other thing: As a utility guy, it's highly unlikely that he would ever lead off. Since when is OBP the only offensive stat we should consider for anything but the leadoff spot? His OPS is pathetic, especially since he can't play short or center. If I'm going to live with an 80 OPS+ guy, he better bring a better glove and play short. I'd rather have Escobar and Mastro.
  18. cmathewson
    But this guy can't play short or center. And are you honestly suggesting this guy is better than Dozier?
  19. cmathewson
    Most of that was at second base. He's poor everywhere else.
  20. cmathewson
    Cherry picking. He was terrible for the Jays over most of the season. He clicked with the Royals over fewer that 100 PAs. It's wishful thinking that we'd get that guy rather than the guy the Jays had. His ceiling is an average OBP. His floor is a .250 OBP. That's a waste of a roster spot unless he signs a minor league deal.
  21. cmathewson
    Meh. One season out of 10 with an OPS+ above 100. Eight seasons out of 10 with an OPS+ below 80. You can't steal first base. Pass.
  22. cmathewson
    I saw Eades in the College World Series and I was not impressed. But I have to believe his arm was out of gas after a long season of pitching on Friday nights and sometimes on Sundays. I'd like to see him make it to Fort Myers this year and see what he can do with a fresh arm.
  23. cmathewson
    Great lists: Mine is not that different 1. Buxton 2. Sano 3. Meyer 4. Stewart 5. Thorpe 6. Rosario 7. May 8. Polanco 9. Kepler 10. Berrios 11. Pinto 12. Gonsalves 13. Santana 14. Harrison 15. Walker 16. Felix 17. Turner 18. Melotakis 19. Jones 20. Tonkin 21. Eades 22. Minier 23. Vargas 24. Darnell 25. Gilmartin
  24. cmathewson
    '91 1. The catch 2. The homer 3. The shutout 4. Hrbek takedown 5. The deke '87 1. Gladden homer 2. Hrbek homer '65 1. Sandy vs. Kitty 2. The other catch
  25. cmathewson
    Wondering if his stature and delivery make him a reliever long term. Guys who rely on hiding the ball and 3/4 deliveries tend to have better success as relievers. Once the opposition starts picking up the ball out of the hand, it gets tougher for guys like Berrios. If he can come in for a couple of innings at a time, they never get used to his release point. The exceptions are guys who have a good sinker, like Masterson, which Berrios does not, judging by his GB rates.
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