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Kwak

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Everything posted by Kwak

  1. Kwak

    Haren

    How much? Too much. The Twins are a last place team and Haren's interest in Minnesota will definately be less than other teams--the Twins would have to overpay like KC did with Gil Meche.
  2. Wouldn't Baker count as a retread? It seems to me that he will likely start at AAA for whoever signs him.
  3. Delmon has one of the best throwing arms in MLB. So yes he does have skills outside of hitting.
  4. Has he been invited to ST for possible consideration for promotion--or is this the end-of-the-line for Deduno?
  5. I have to agree! To sign a set-up guy (irrespective of how strongly qualified) to more money (a lot more!) than the closer (Perkins), would "upset the apple cart" and cause considerable friction. Perkins would be demanding a contract renogiation and threaten to never re-sign. I think Ryan stated that the bullpen was the #2 need because it's far easier (and much cheaper) to obtain two quality RPs than one quality starter. Three new SPs is a daunting task--especially for a last place team! But, two starters and two RPs is easier, less expensive, and likely to result in exactly the same increase in wins, given that the Twins would not be attracting three "front of the rotation" SPs--at least one of them will be a #4/#5 type SP.
  6. No need to beat a dead horse. If Ryan intends to sign three SPs, and stay within budget, some salary has to be shed. By admitting the need for three new SPs that implies the team is nearly in complete rebuild mode, especially with other statements concerning 3B and SS. The Morneau issue has yet to reach the "comment stage", but it must and will reach it.
  7. Twins are flush with CF. I must agree that it is virtually a cinch Hicks starts at Rochester in 2013.
  8. This is a pretty poor argument and article imo. None of these pitchers will cost 14M for ONE YEAR. They will all get 12-15M for 3-5 years. As far as the Twins payroll is concerned they can keep Morneau and add one of these pitchers w/o coming close to 100M next season. So the argument really becomes trading Morneau and signing two of these pitchers which ties up 75-125M of payroll for the next 4-5 seasons. I'm all for trading Morneau if a legimately good offer comes along but I wouldn't hold my breath considering that he makes 14M, looks average and he has injury concerns. tbh I think Morneau will be as productive as Willingham next season and Willingham carries far more trade value. Fair enough. Based on your assumption of Morneau's projected 2013 performance, what should the Twins do after the season and Morneau's contract ends? Compete in the open market to retain his services? Make a qualifying offer and hope he declines and signs elsewhere to obtain a supplemental draft choice?--and what if he does accept said qualifying offer? Any team that has Morneau for the entire season can obtain compensation under the above mentioned conditions. A trade after the season starts--and no compensation if he signs elsewhere. In short, I'm asking is a supplemental draft choice and his services for next season worth more than trading him (personnel recieved and personnel that can be added due to his $14M salary)?
  9. I think Morneau should be traded. But I firmly believe that he is worth major league talent. While the thread mentioned that even receiving nothing serves as a fine "salary dump", that sort of trade (cf Young or Hardy) is downright foolish. Morneau is highly likely to receive a qualifying offer from any team the Twins trade him to--that's a compensation round selection (high 2nd rounder if you please) as well as his services for 2013. I think that the Twins should focus on teams that want to make a splash either now--or soon. Texas is one, but Seattle is an even better choice. Seattle has been a cellar-dweller for too long, they have lots of young pitching, have a huge need for offense, and have performed their own "salary surgery" by trading Ichiro. Also, note that Morneau is a native of BC might be more inclined to sign a contract extention with Seattle which provides a higher measure of assurance to SEA that they will have Morneau for several years. I think the Twins could fetch a tidier sum from Seattle than from Texas.
  10. Why is everybody so convinced of this, despite the fact a lot of pretty knowledgeable baseball people aren't? I get giving him a chance, he does deserve it, but all these proclamations of guaranteed success is a little presumptuous. I venture this guess--the same reason why people buy metal detectors and roam the beaches and fields.
  11. Most in the Twins organization believe a the team must have a defined closer, 8th inning guy, 7th inning guy, LOOGY, long guy, then they think about flexibility. This set-up is fine for teams with lots of money and believes it is in serious contention for the Series. But it is wasteful for those not in that position. Bullpen by committee has worked before and can work again.
  12. Colby Lewis got a 1 year deal for $2 million with up to an additional $4 million in incentives. That's about the same range I expect for Baker. I just hope they add a second year option. Baker and the Twins are a good fit--and both know it. Baker will have a savvy agent and will have "sniffed around" to gauge Baker's market value. The Twins will assuredly have a codicile in the contract to allow them to extend it beyond 2013--the need for pitching goes beyond 2013 and they won't want to lose Baker without compensation should he have a strong season.
  13. I am convinced Baker will be back--and will count as one of three "new" pitchers referenced. Let's face quality pitchers will not be eager to play for the Twins next season and it appears that Baker is interested (at least) to stay.
  14. Seriously, don't the Twins have a half dozen Marcums in the organization already? There seems to be no need to commit years to a pitcher that doesn't represent a meaningful change for the future? It's better to commit to one excellent pitcher than two "decent" veterans.
  15. A risk of a long contract (4+ years) on a pitcher makes sense. The Twins will need someone to serve as an anchor in the rotation to demonstrate that there is stability and that the team is actually rebuilding as opposed to just "plugging holes". Consider what DET did after their debacle of a 43 win season. They way overpaid for Ordonez, but that showed that management was building a foundation to win consistently. True, they did get extremely lucky to land Verlander, but many teams have made a great leap forward by adding one player--maybe the Twins will (someday)? But, they need to start building a foundation for the rotation--Now!
  16. I'll take lead by example for $1000 Alex Mauer- .319/.416/.861, all just off his career average, a year after missing 80 games. Grienke- 8K/9, 3.51 K/BB ratio, career. I'll take that over some guy throwing cliches at me about how we have to "win one for the Gipper" and doing jumping jacks. Am I to infer that if Mauer were to say "We gotta win for Gardy", would not suffice to motivate all and turn things around?
  17. If Glynn were a coach with the Twins wouldn't he undermine Gardenhire as the losses mount (and they will lose early and often!). Others might look to Glynn for what "he thinks" as the season unfolds--that type of organization is unhealthy.
  18. Plenty of examples that the Twins did not start the best 5 out of Spring Training in recent seasons... 2006: Liriano had to start the season in the pen. 2007: (the year of Sir Sidney and Ramon Ortiz) Garza had to start the season in Rochester to pay his dues; 2008 (the year of Livan). Liriano has to stay in AAA forever so the super 2 clock will not click; 2011: Slowey was much better than Blackburn in ST, Blackburn gets to be in the rotation (because of the scholarship) . 2012: Marquis has an atrocious ST, he is not ready and he still wins a spot. So it is the norm vs the exception in Twinsland.... Liriano did start 2008 with the Twins despite a poor ST. He pitched three games (Twins lost all three) when he "accepted reassignment" to Rochester. Perhaps if he had actually started in Rochester, a "replacement-quality" SP could have salvaged one of those three games and the Twins win the Division?
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