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Everything posted by Seth Stohs
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The Minnesota Twins selected JR Graham, a RHP from the Braves. A former top prospect in the pitching-strong Braves organization, he was able to throw 100 mph. However, shoulder problems the last two years greatly reduced his fastball, but he did pitch some in 2014. A good risk for a high-ceiling pitcher. The question is, will his velocity come back? Later in the draft, the Twins lost LHP Sean Gilmartin to the New York Mets. He came to the Twins from the Braves a year ago in exchange for Ryan Doumit. He split the 2014 season between New Britain and Rochester. He was the player most were concerned about the Twins not protecting. The former first-round pick lost some of his velocity and rarely reached 92 on the radar gun, but he does have a good four-pitch mix. It will be interesting to see if the Twins keep Graham through the 2015 season or if he is returned to the Braves. Likewise, will the Mets choose to keep Gilmartin on their active roster? In the AAA portion of the Rule 5 draft, the Twins added RHP Greg Peavey from the New York Mets organization and lost LHP Matt Tomshaw to the Marlins. These players do not have to be offered back. Peavey went 11-3 with a 2.90 ERA in 18 starts in AA last year. In 115 innings, he walked 26 and struck out 99. In six starts in AAA, he posted an ERA of 11.62. Tomshaw heads to the Miami Marlins organization. He went 11-6 with a 3.50 ERA for the Ft. Myers Miracle in 2014. No draft picks were made in the AA portion of the Rule 5 draft.
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And Porcello has now been traded to the Red Sox for Yoenis Cespedes.
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He had to miss about 3-5 days around the all star break to go back to see his doctor for an update/review, but that came through clean. It'll always be there, but this story speaks more to all of the on-field type of injuries that top Twins prospects endured.
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I think you answered your own question... by paying them quite a bit! It appears that the Twins are going against teams including the Yankees and Giants for Santana. They're going to have to pay. And again, regarding your last sentence and it's follow-up... Ryan spent almost $50 million on Nolasco last year.
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Correct... by definition, signing a free agent means that you went above what other teams were willing to do. Lumping some other comments from above, it's funny that the idea of signing a picture to a 4 year, $50ish million contract now is a bad thing in some people's minds. When the Twins signed Nolasco to the 4 year, $49 million deal a year ago, it was a great thing, a sign of the Twins changing their ways. He earned the contract he got... then he had a bad, injury-plagued 2014 season. Let's all just hope he rebounds. But Santana has generally put up just as good, if not better, numbers than Nolasco did, and he did them in the American League most of his career. He's worth the contract he will get too. But it also speaks to what free agency is. There are no sure things in expensive contracts. Also notice that everyone loved Joe Mauer until he got paid too. Right now, everyone loves Brian Dozier, but when he gets paid, a certain population of fandom will turn on him too.
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Article: Rule 5 Draft: What To Expect?
Seth Stohs replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
He's in there... second one on the list.- 26 replies
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Just now, Jon Heyman tweeted about interest being shown in two Twins middle infielders: Understandably, the Twins would ask a lot for Dozier who already has produced, power, speed and defense, plus intangible leadership kinds of things. Escobar showed that he could be a full-time middle infielder if needed, and though he will likely enter 2015 as the Twins utility infielder, he provides a very good option should Danny Santana struggle at shortstop or be put back in centerfield. That said, Escobar's value may never be higher.
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Thursday is the final day of the 2014 Winter Meetings. The big event of the final day each year is the Rule 5 draft. The Minnesota Twins roster is currently at 39, so they will be able to participate in the Rule 5 draft. The Twins may have interest in several players from other organizations who are available. It is also possible that the Twins could lose a player or two if selected by other teams.It should be also pointed out that the MLB Rule 5 draft is just the first of three Rule 5 drafts. There is a AAA portion of the Rule 5 draft. Each organization can put up to 39 players on their AAA roster. The Twins have 38 players on their roster, according to GM Terry Ryan on the Twins Hot Stove Show last night, so they will likely make a selection in that phase. Finally, there is a AA portion of the draft, though very few players are selected in it. There are several differences between these drafts. To make an MLB selection, a team must pay $50,000. That player needs to be on the drafting team’s 25-man roster all season or be offered back to the original team for $25,000. The other option is that the teams can work out a trade. The Twins have examples of what can happen with their three most recent picks. Scott Diamond – Twins selected him from the Braves. He did not make the opening day roster, but the Twins and Braves were able to work out a trade. Diamond was taken off of the 40-man roster and the Twins sent RHP Billy Bullock to Atlanta.Terry Doyle – The Twins selected Doyle from the White Sox organization. He was returned to Chicago late in spring training.Ryan Pressly – The Twins drafted Pressly from the Red Sox organization. He remained on the Twins roster the entire 2013 season. He was able to be sent back to AAA during the 2014 season and pitched well enough to be called up during the season’s second half.To select a player in the AAA portion, the cost to the team is $12,000. For a player selected in the AA portion, the cost is $5,000. In both cases, the player remains with the new organization. It has become a lot more difficult to find high-level talent in the Rule 5. The rules changed a few years ago so that teams would have an extra year to determine whether or not to add a player to the 40 man roster. The Twins have had some success in the Rule 5 draft in their past. Diamond certainly had one very good season. Shane Mack came to the Twins in the Rule 5 draft in 1989 and was a big contributor to the Twins for five seasons. PLAYERS THE TWINS COULD LOSE We don’t know who is or isn’t on the AAA or AA roster, so it’s really hard to determine who could be lost. A year ago, the Twins lost Tim Atherton to the A’s in the AAA draft. We do know who is on the Twins roster and who is eligible to be lost by the team. We like to assume that first-round picks will be easy choices to add to the 40-man roster when that time comes. However, the Twins have several former first round picks who could be lost. There are several other players who could be taken. Alex Wimmers has been eligible to be selected the last two years and hasn’t been taken. He could be again this year. He got back to AA this year, but now he is out of the bullpen.This is the first year that Levi Michael needed to be added. The 2011 top pick was left vulnerable to be selected and could be taken as a second utility infielder for a team. He played well in Ft. Myers and then hit well over .300 in his 15 games at AA.He was the Braves first round pick in 2011, but Sean Gilmartin came to the Twins last offseason in exchange for Ryan Doumit. He pitched in AA and AAA this year and is left-handed, so he could be taken as a long-reliever or stashed away.Niko Goodrum was the Twins second round pick in 2010 out of high school in Georgia. He was moved from shortstop to third base in 2014. He didn’t hit for average or power, but he does take a lot of walks and runs well. Could a team stash him on their big league roster and use him as a pinch runner?Jason Adam came to the Twins last August in exchange for Josh Willingham. He reached AAA with the Royals organization as a 23-year-old last year. He pitched in the Arizona Fall League.Adrian Salcedo was a top starting pitching prospect in the Twins minor league system just three years ago. Then elbow and shoulder problems hit and he spent more than a season rehabbing. He’s back to throwing hard and was a solid contributor to the New Britain bullpen. He struck out 76 in 73 innings. He could have been a minor league free agent this offseason but signed with the Twins last month.Ryan O’Rourke pitched at AA New Britain in 2014. He is already 26 and the left-hander has some crazy splits. Right-handers hit .326/.398/.573 (.971), but left-handers hit just .114/.162/.129 (.291) against him. He has a good fastball and a sharp-breaking slider. He is a LOOGY who could be used in the big leagues in that role.SO, WHO COULD THE TWINS PICK? It’s impossible to know what the Twins and their decision-makers are thinking as it relates to the Rule 5 draft. It can’t be just about their stats. It can’t be just about their tools. It has to be about whether or not the player can be a contributor to the organization long-term. Here are some names that I find interesting. There may be more that you like. We’ll find out later this morning. Delino DeShields (OF/2B – Houston Astros) – We know how the Twins (and probably all scouts) like genetics. We also heard that the Twins offered DeShields’ father, a former big leaguer with the same name, their first base coaching job – which he declined to be the AAA manager for the Reds. DeShields, Jr. is a terrific athlete. He was the eighth overall pick in the 2010 draft out of high school in Georgia. In 2012 in Low A ball, he stole 100 bases. He moved up to AA for the 2014 season and hit .236/.346/.360 (.706) with 14 doubles, 11 home runs and 54 stolen bases. Is he ready for the big leagues? Probably not. Could he stick on the big league roster? He could be the #5 outfielder, a pinch runner and play from time to time.JR Graham (RHP – Atlanta Braves) – Graham was the Braves fourth round pick in 2011 out of Santa Clara. He became a top 100 prospect just two years ago. However, he has struggled with shoulder issues the last couple of seasons which has taken away some of his velocity. However, if healthy, he could still regain what he had two years ago. He could be a steal.Edgar de la Rosa (RHP – Detroit Tigers) – He is 6-8, 235 pounds and throws a triple-digit fastball. He has been a starter in the minor leagues though most believe his future will be in the bullpen. That is obviously the role he would have if the Twins selected him. He went 7-9 with a 3.01 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. In 139 innings, he walked 53 and struck out 91 for High-A Lakeland. He’s also already 24 years old.Jarlin Garcia (LHP – Miami Marlins) – He won’t turn 22 until June. The 6-1, 170 pound left-hander features a fastball reaching 94 with a good curveball. He pitched in Low-A in 2014 and went 10-5 with a 4.38 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. He gave up 152 hits in 133.2 innings, but he walked just 21 and struck out 111. He has big upside, but he’s not close to ready and would need to be stashed and rarely pitch if he were taken.Jed Bradley (RHP – Milwaukee Brewers) – The 6-4, 225 lefty was the 15th overall pick in the 2011 draft out of Georgia Tech where he was a teammate of Luke Bard. He is already 24 and split the season between High-A and AA. Overall, he went 10-10 with a 3.91 ERA (2.98 in High-A, 4.55 in AA) and a 1.40 WHIP. He’s left-handed. He is advanced enough to handle a back-of-the-bullpen role and could eventually develop into a solid lefty reliever.John Stilson (RHP – Toronto Blue Jays) – Twins fans seem to “enjoy” when the team brings back players or coaches with any sort of connection to the organization. Well, Stilson was the Twins 19th round draft pick in 2009 out of junior college. He strongly considered signing at that time, but he was also playing in the American Legion World Series in Fargo. A day after not signing, he pitched in the championship game. He went to Texas A&M and in 2011 was the Jays third round pick. He is a very talented reliever, capable of hitting 97 with the fastball and also has a good changeup and breaking ball. Why is he left unprotected? He had shoulder surgery late this season and there is a chance he will miss most of the 2015 season. The Twins could put him on the 60 day disabled list for the entire season and then they would need to keep him on the active 25-man roster for at least the first 90 days of the 2016 season or be sent back to Toronto.Jake Esch (RHP – Miami Marlins) – Another guy with a mid-90s fastball, Esch is a 24-year-old who was drafted out of Georgia Tech in the 11th round in 2011. His fastball sits 91 to 95 mph. He also has a good slider and a good curveball. In High-A in 2014, he went 6-6 with a 4.05 ERA. In 135.2 innings, he gave up 147 hits, 34 walks and struck out 105 batters.There are some very interesting names out there, available for the Twins to take with the fifth pick on Thursday morning. What would you do? What will the Twins do? Check back shortly after the Rule 5 draft and we’ll have an article on Twins players affected by the Major League and Minor League portions. Click here to view the article
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It should be also pointed out that the MLB Rule 5 draft is just the first of three Rule 5 drafts. There is a AAA portion of the Rule 5 draft. Each organization can put up to 39 players on their AAA roster. The Twins have 38 players on their roster, according to GM Terry Ryan on the Twins Hot Stove Show last night, so they will likely make a selection in that phase. Finally, there is a AA portion of the draft, though very few players are selected in it. There are several differences between these drafts. To make an MLB selection, a team must pay $50,000. That player needs to be on the drafting team’s 25-man roster all season or be offered back to the original team for $25,000. The other option is that the teams can work out a trade. The Twins have examples of what can happen with their three most recent picks. Scott Diamond – Twins selected him from the Braves. He did not make the opening day roster, but the Twins and Braves were able to work out a trade. Diamond was taken off of the 40-man roster and the Twins sent RHP Billy Bullock to Atlanta. Terry Doyle – The Twins selected Doyle from the White Sox organization. He was returned to Chicago late in spring training. Ryan Pressly – The Twins drafted Pressly from the Red Sox organization. He remained on the Twins roster the entire 2013 season. He was able to be sent back to AAA during the 2014 season and pitched well enough to be called up during the season’s second half. To select a player in the AAA portion, the cost to the team is $12,000. For a player selected in the AA portion, the cost is $5,000. In both cases, the player remains with the new organization. It has become a lot more difficult to find high-level talent in the Rule 5. The rules changed a few years ago so that teams would have an extra year to determine whether or not to add a player to the 40 man roster. The Twins have had some success in the Rule 5 draft in their past. Diamond certainly had one very good season. Shane Mack came to the Twins in the Rule 5 draft in 1989 and was a big contributor to the Twins for five seasons. PLAYERS THE TWINS COULD LOSE We don’t know who is or isn’t on the AAA or AA roster, so it’s really hard to determine who could be lost. A year ago, the Twins lost Tim Atherton to the A’s in the AAA draft. We do know who is on the Twins roster and who is eligible to be lost by the team. We like to assume that first-round picks will be easy choices to add to the 40-man roster when that time comes. However, the Twins have several former first round picks who could be lost. There are several other players who could be taken. Alex Wimmers has been eligible to be selected the last two years and hasn’t been taken. He could be again this year. He got back to AA this year, but now he is out of the bullpen. This is the first year that Levi Michael needed to be added. The 2011 top pick was left vulnerable to be selected and could be taken as a second utility infielder for a team. He played well in Ft. Myers and then hit well over .300 in his 15 games at AA. He was the Braves first round pick in 2011, but Sean Gilmartin came to the Twins last offseason in exchange for Ryan Doumit. He pitched in AA and AAA this year and is left-handed, so he could be taken as a long-reliever or stashed away. Niko Goodrum was the Twins second round pick in 2010 out of high school in Georgia. He was moved from shortstop to third base in 2014. He didn’t hit for average or power, but he does take a lot of walks and runs well. Could a team stash him on their big league roster and use him as a pinch runner? Jason Adam came to the Twins last August in exchange for Josh Willingham. He reached AAA with the Royals organization as a 23-year-old last year. He pitched in the Arizona Fall League. Adrian Salcedo was a top starting pitching prospect in the Twins minor league system just three years ago. Then elbow and shoulder problems hit and he spent more than a season rehabbing. He’s back to throwing hard and was a solid contributor to the New Britain bullpen. He struck out 76 in 73 innings. He could have been a minor league free agent this offseason but signed with the Twins last month. Ryan O’Rourke pitched at AA New Britain in 2014. He is already 26 and the left-hander has some crazy splits. Right-handers hit .326/.398/.573 (.971), but left-handers hit just .114/.162/.129 (.291) against him. He has a good fastball and a sharp-breaking slider. He is a LOOGY who could be used in the big leagues in that role. SO, WHO COULD THE TWINS PICK? It’s impossible to know what the Twins and their decision-makers are thinking as it relates to the Rule 5 draft. It can’t be just about their stats. It can’t be just about their tools. It has to be about whether or not the player can be a contributor to the organization long-term. Here are some names that I find interesting. There may be more that you like. We’ll find out later this morning. Delino DeShields (OF/2B – Houston Astros) – We know how the Twins (and probably all scouts) like genetics. We also heard that the Twins offered DeShields’ father, a former big leaguer with the same name, their first base coaching job – which he declined to be the AAA manager for the Reds. DeShields, Jr. is a terrific athlete. He was the eighth overall pick in the 2010 draft out of high school in Georgia. In 2012 in Low A ball, he stole 100 bases. He moved up to AA for the 2014 season and hit .236/.346/.360 (.706) with 14 doubles, 11 home runs and 54 stolen bases. Is he ready for the big leagues? Probably not. Could he stick on the big league roster? He could be the #5 outfielder, a pinch runner and play from time to time. JR Graham (RHP – Atlanta Braves) – Graham was the Braves fourth round pick in 2011 out of Santa Clara. He became a top 100 prospect just two years ago. However, he has struggled with shoulder issues the last couple of seasons which has taken away some of his velocity. However, if healthy, he could still regain what he had two years ago. He could be a steal. Edgar de la Rosa (RHP – Detroit Tigers) – He is 6-8, 235 pounds and throws a triple-digit fastball. He has been a starter in the minor leagues though most believe his future will be in the bullpen. That is obviously the role he would have if the Twins selected him. He went 7-9 with a 3.01 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. In 139 innings, he walked 53 and struck out 91 for High-A Lakeland. He’s also already 24 years old. Jarlin Garcia (LHP – Miami Marlins) – He won’t turn 22 until June. The 6-1, 170 pound left-hander features a fastball reaching 94 with a good curveball. He pitched in Low-A in 2014 and went 10-5 with a 4.38 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. He gave up 152 hits in 133.2 innings, but he walked just 21 and struck out 111. He has big upside, but he’s not close to ready and would need to be stashed and rarely pitch if he were taken. Jed Bradley (RHP – Milwaukee Brewers) – The 6-4, 225 lefty was the 15th overall pick in the 2011 draft out of Georgia Tech where he was a teammate of Luke Bard. He is already 24 and split the season between High-A and AA. Overall, he went 10-10 with a 3.91 ERA (2.98 in High-A, 4.55 in AA) and a 1.40 WHIP. He’s left-handed. He is advanced enough to handle a back-of-the-bullpen role and could eventually develop into a solid lefty reliever. John Stilson (RHP – Toronto Blue Jays) – Twins fans seem to “enjoy” when the team brings back players or coaches with any sort of connection to the organization. Well, Stilson was the Twins 19th round draft pick in 2009 out of junior college. He strongly considered signing at that time, but he was also playing in the American Legion World Series in Fargo. A day after not signing, he pitched in the championship game. He went to Texas A&M and in 2011 was the Jays third round pick. He is a very talented reliever, capable of hitting 97 with the fastball and also has a good changeup and breaking ball. Why is he left unprotected? He had shoulder surgery late this season and there is a chance he will miss most of the 2015 season. The Twins could put him on the 60 day disabled list for the entire season and then they would need to keep him on the active 25-man roster for at least the first 90 days of the 2016 season or be sent back to Toronto. Jake Esch (RHP – Miami Marlins) – Another guy with a mid-90s fastball, Esch is a 24-year-old who was drafted out of Georgia Tech in the 11th round in 2011. His fastball sits 91 to 95 mph. He also has a good slider and a good curveball. In High-A in 2014, he went 6-6 with a 4.05 ERA. In 135.2 innings, he gave up 147 hits, 34 walks and struck out 105 batters. There are some very interesting names out there, available for the Twins to take with the fifth pick on Thursday morning. What would you do? What will the Twins do? Check back shortly after the Rule 5 draft and we’ll have an article on Twins players affected by the Major League and Minor League portions.
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UPDATE: Terry Ryan says that nothing is done yet with Ervin Santana. Says the Twins are interested in right-handed pitching, including Santana and they have talked to him. Ken Rosenthal said that the Twins have now made an offer. Details are coming in quickly from the Winter Meetings in San Diego, but it appears that the Minnesota Twins may be about to make a big splash in the free agent market after all. There have been several tweets that have said that the Twins are making a very strong push right now to sign Ervin Santana.Joel Sherman first tweeted that Ervin Santana was hearing to the Twins. Later Sherman took a step back, tweeting "Going to rephrase on Ervin Santana: Hearing #Twins pushing to get deal with Santana." The Twins went after Santana really hard a year ago before he decided to sign a one-year contract with the Atlanta Braves. In 196 innings, he went 14-10 with a 3.95 ERA, a 1.31 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 2013, Santana played with the Royals. He went 9-10 but posted a 3.24 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP. He struck out 6.9 per nine innings over 211 innings. The veteran right-hander will turn 32 on Friday. More information will be shared when available. Keep checking back. Click here to view the article
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Joel Sherman first tweeted that Ervin Santana was hearing to the Twins. Later Sherman took a step back, tweeting "Going to rephrase on Ervin Santana: Hearing #Twins pushing to get deal with Santana." The Twins went after Santana really hard a year ago before he decided to sign a one-year contract with the Atlanta Braves. In 196 innings, he went 14-10 with a 3.95 ERA, a 1.31 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 2013, Santana played with the Royals. He went 9-10 but posted a 3.24 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP. He struck out 6.9 per nine innings over 211 innings. The veteran right-hander will turn 32 on Friday. More information will be shared when available. Keep checking back.
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Twins have intereset in Kyle Kendrick
Seth Stohs replied to gunnarthor's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
As I tweeted earlier in the day... I have no problem with the Twins talking to Kyle Kendrick... I'll just be annoyed if (when?) they actually sign him. -
Article: Molitor's Management Style
Seth Stohs replied to Parker Hageman's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Yeah, I agree with the whole sentiment of who cares if the players know or understand the stats. I want Hunter to play with confidence and not worry about the numbers. It's cool that Perkins looks into it, but that on the mound, he isn't thinking about it at all. I want the manager to know the numbers and if he sees something that can give the team an edge (whether shifting or lineup construction, etc.), he try to use it. But I don't want it to be the be all end all. The manager has to go by his gut sometimes. They're there and see the human element that goes into it. And then just have the confidence to go with whatever decision he makes. I do want the front office to make decisions based largely on the numbers, but again, in a human game the other stuff does matter too. I definitely think that the advanced stats should matter most in the offseason when constructing a roster and making payroll decisions.- 20 replies
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Official Winter Meetings Day 3 Thread
Seth Stohs replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Sounds like old friend Pat Neshek will also be signing with the Astros this morning. Busy bullpen morning. -
Official Winter Meetings Day 3 Thread
Seth Stohs replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
RP Luke Gregorson agreed to a 3 year, $18.5 million deal with the Houston Astros. -
Jon Lester agreed to sign last night at about 12:30 central time. The thought is that once he signed, then that secondary market of starting pitchers would start to sign. Liriano stayed with the Pirates, as expected. Day 2 was pretty quiet in terms of transactions. Day 2 was incredibly quiet in terms of news coming out of Twins camp. This isn't a surprise. We went into the offseason and into the Winter Meetings knowing that there were just a few needs that the team wanted to address and then rely on some of the young players and guys they have. Rumors included discussions on Edinson Volquez and several relief pitchers. Will the team do anything on Day 3, or just continue to meet with agents and other teams to discuss potential deals down the line? I guess we'll find out. Use this thread to discuss several rumors or thoughts.
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Remember that the Cubs are also going to have a lot of young guys who aren't even arbitration eligible for the next three or four years. It will be interesting to see if Lester can be well above average for a starting pitcher for the next 2-3 years while they are developing and if he can still be a solid starter the last 3-4 years of the contract when they will be competing.
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It was a short and sweet tweet from Ken Rosenthal... It makes the most sense. The Cubs have built a potentially great offense, but they needed pitching. Yesterday it was Jason Hammel. Today, it's Jon Lester. Believed to be 6 years, $155 Million.
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Minnesota Twins' Drew Butera Transaction Tree
Seth Stohs replied to Parker Hageman's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Yet respected, winning teams like the Dodgers and Angels continue to acquire him... -
Minnesota Twins' Drew Butera Transaction Tree
Seth Stohs replied to Parker Hageman's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Embiggen doesn't make it very big... -
Official Winter Meetings Day 2 Thread
Seth Stohs replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Via several sources, Drew Butera has been traded from the Dodgers to the Angels. -
Official Winter Meetings Day 2 Thread
Seth Stohs replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Robert Murray is reporting from a Source that Francisco Liriano will stay with the Pirates for 3 years and $39 million. -
Official Winter Meetings Day 2 Thread
Seth Stohs replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Jim Bowden is reporting that the Braves are close to signing Alberto Callaspo. -
Official Winter Meetings Day 2 Thread
Seth Stohs replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
From A's beat writer, Jane Lee:

