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Everything posted by Seth Stohs
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It's not so much theory, it's about prospect rankings, and that's always something I am quick to argue. Kyle Gibson's first full year, he went straight to Ft. Myers and got to Rochester. That's really quick. DJ Baxendale's first full year, he started at Ft. Myers and quickly go to New Britain. He has really struggled there with results, injury, etc. He was a 10th round pick. I wouldn't rank him as high as Gibson would rank, but that doesn't mean that he can't get there. Just because he's from Arkansas doesn't mean he'll fly. Taylor Rogers was an 11th round pick. He's moved up quickly. Jason Wheeler, a 7th or 8th round pick, needed to spend all of last year in Ft. Myers and spent half of this year in Ft. Myers, but he got something out of repeating that level and it served him well in AA. And JO Berrios got to AA before Wheeler which means they aren't slow to promote when guys are ready... even pitchers. As for the Berrios/Stewart argument, I really agree with what Brock said above. Arguments can be made both ways on who was better in Cedar Rapids. I would add, however, that Berrios has been all-baseball all the time whereas Stewart had limited baseball time because he put so much time into football. We will likely need to be more patient with him because of it. It really speaks to the meaning in low minors numbers too. They can mean something, but not necessarily. And, I generally don't factor injuries too much in prospect rankings. At least not until they become a multi-year, continual thing. But if they're 19, 20, 21, it's just lost development time.
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This is another topic that keeps coming up that I hate. So, you think Walker should have jumped straight to Ft. Myers after being drafted as a 20 year old... he struggled there enough this year as a 22 year old... you think it would have made sense to start him there two years ago? I don't get that thinking. We saw what happened when the Twins started Levi Michael in High-A. Like Walker, he was young for his college draft class too. It doesn't mean that it shouldn't be part of his evaluation as a prospect. It's just that it would be silly to put a player in positions ahead of where they should be just because of some date of birth or background. They all need to be handled differently.
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AJ Achter – 46th round pick in 2010, Achter was my choice for Twins minor league reliever of the year in 2012. He reached AAA in 2013 and debuted with the Twins in September of 2014. Patriots 28-20 Jason Adam – 23 year old righty came to the Twins in August for Josh Willingham. He had made eight appearances in AAA for the Royals, but the Twins wanted him to start in AA. He pitched in the AFL. Seahawks 26-16 Luke Bard – Twins supplemental first round pick in 2012 out of Georgia Tech. He had surgery in May and missed all of the 2014 season. Patriots 27-24 Jack Barrie – The 6-4, 250 pound, 18-year-old first baseman from Australia played in the GCL in 2014. Go Patriots! Mat Batts – Twins 17th round pick in 2014 out of UNC-Wilmington. Following the long college season, he threw another 60.2 innings between the GCL, E-Town and Cedar Rapids. Combined, he went 4-1 with a 1.78 ERA. Seahawks 17-9 David Bromberg – Twins 32nd round pick in 2005 reached AAA in 2012. Twins minor league pitcher of the year in 2009 when he went 13-4 with a 2.70 ERA and struck out 148 in 153.1 innings. Seahawks 34-21 Nick Burdi – Twins 2nd round pick this season out of Louisville. Pitched a combined 20.1 innings in 20 games between Cedar Rapids and Ft. Myers. He walked 10 (four in his first game) and struck out 38. Seahawks 31-23 Chad Christenson – Cedar Rapids native played for the Kernels in 2014. 25th round pick in 2013. He hit 24 doubles, seven triples and nine home runs while stealing 30 bases in 2014. Patriots 42-34 Chris Colabello – Claimed by the Blue Jays in December. Twins signed out of independent leagues. American League player of the month in April 2014. Patriots 27-21, “can’t go against my guys!” Jack Cressend – Pitched in 78 games out of the Twins bullpen from 2000 through 2002. The Twins had signed him after the Red Sox waived him three starts into the 1999 season. Seahawks 26-20 Andro Cutura – Twins 7th round pick in 2014 out of Southeastern Louisiana University. He will make his professional debut in 2015. Patriots Logan Darnell – Twins sixth round pick in 2010 out of Kentucky. Debuted for the Twins in May. Posted a 3.60 ERA in 115 innings at Rochester. Won Rochester’s Harmon Killebrew Award for Community Service. Seahawks 28, Patriots 27. “Hawks will take it with Russell Wilson winning drive.” Pat Dean – Twins 2nd round pick in 2010 out of Boston College. Has pitched in AAA, though he spent all of the 2014 season in New Britain. Patriots 21-17 Austin Diemer – Twins 28th round pick in 2014 from Cal State-Fullerton. Played in Elizabethton this year. Patriots “They aren’t going to let Seattle get two in a row.” Onas Farfan – Twins 21st round pick in 2014 from Ridgewater Community College in Wilmar, MN. Graduate of Robbinsdale Cooper. Seahawks Dallas Gallant – Twins 23rd round pick in 2010 out of Sam Houston State. Posted a 0.64 ERA, a 0.75 WHIP and struck out 46 in 28 innings in Cedar Rapids in 2014. Patriots 35-20 Mitch Garver – Twins 9th round pick in 2013 out of New Mexico. My choice for Twins Minor League Hitter of the Year in 2014 when he hit .298/.399/.481 (.880) with 29 doubles and 16 homers in Cedar Rapids. “Tom Brady will deflate enough balls to win 21-17” Kyle Gibson – Twins 1st round pick in 2009 out of Missouri, he debuted in 2013 and won 13 games in 2014 for the Twins. Seahawks 27-17 Stephen Gonsalves – Twins 4th round pick in 2013 out of high school in California. Spent time in Elizabethton and Cedar Rapids in 2014. Patriots 31, Seahawks 21 Zach Granite – Twins 14th round pick in 2013 out of Seton Hall. Spent much of an injury-filled 2014 in Cedar Rapids. ( )Patriots 27-20 Bryan Haar – Twins 34th round pick in 2012 out of the University of San Diego. He knocked 20 doubles, five triples and 14 home runs for the Kernels in 2014 before moving up to Ft. Myers for the final few weeks. Seahawks win 35-30. Nate Hanson – Twins 28th round pick in 2008 out of the University of Minnesota after playing at Eden Prairie High School. Split 2014 between New Britain and Rochester. “I’ll take the Patriots 31-28. Seattle’s D is banged up and Tom Brady will isolate the guys on Seattle’s D that are banged up.” Zach Hayden – Twins 23rd round pick in 2013 out of South Carolina-Aiken, he pitched in the GCL in 2014. Patriots by 10 Will Hurt – Twins 16th round pick in 2012 out of high school in Kentucky, Hurt played in Elizabethton in 2014. Seahawks by at least 14 CK Irby - Twins 10th round pick in 2013 out of Samford University. In 33.1 innings at Elizabethton, he struck out 51 in 2014. Patriots 27-21. Jacque Jones – Twins 2nd round pick in 1996, he played for the Twins from 1999-2005. He hit 189 doubles and 132 home runs for the Twins. Here are the Top 5 Moments of his career. Seahawks 33-17 Zack Jones – 4th round pick in 2012 out of San Jose State. Pitched late in the year for Ft. Myers and then in the AFL. Patriots 27-17 Jason Kanzler – Twins 20th round pick in 2013 out of the University of Buffalo. Split 2014 between Cedar Rapids and Ft. Myers and posted a .788 OPS with 11 doubles, nine triples, 12 homers and 27 steals. His heroics, and maybe his mustache, helped the Miracle to the FSL Championship. Patriots by 149 (no, that is not a typo) Pat Kelly - Twins 12th round pick in 2014 after three years at Nebraska. The Red Wing (MN) native played second base in Elizabethton after signing. Patriots 35-21 Max Kepler – Signed in 2009 out of Germany, Kepler spent the entire 2014 with the Miracle where he posted a .726 OPS with 31 extra base hits. He then hit .307 with an .808 OPS in the AFL. “Marshawn Lynch is winning it all. #BeastMode” Kyle Knudson – Twins 9th round pick in 2009 out of the University of Minnesota, Knudson spent the entire 2014 season with the New Britain Rock Cats. “Tom Brady ain’t going to lose. Patriots 27-13” Zach Larson – Twins 20th round pick in 2012, Larson hit .265 with 11 doubles in 41 games with Cedar Rapids before a hamstring injury. Patriots 28, Seahawks 20 Randy LeBlanc – Twins 10th round pick in 2014 out of Tulane, he posted a 2.70 ERA in Elizabethton. Patriots 27-24 Brett Lee – Twins 10th round pick in 2011 out of St. Petersburg College, he was a Florida State League All Star in 2014. He went 10-5 with a 2.46 ERA for the Miracle. Patriots 35, Seahawks 24 Jeff Manship -Twins 14th round pick in 2006 out of Notre Dame. He debuted with the Twins in 2009. He pitched for the Twins in parts of four seasons. The last two years, he has pitched for Colorado and Philadelphia. He has signed with Cleveland for 2015. Seahawks 24-20 Dustin Martin – Came to the Twins in 2007 in the Luis Castillo trade. Was in the organization through 2011. Spent parts of last two seasons playing for Gary Gaetti in Sugar Land. Patriots 28-17 Tyler Mautner – Twins 14th round pick in 2014 out of the University of Buffalo. He spent the season with Elizabethton. Patriots 28, Seahawks 24 Chris Mazza – Twins 27th round pick in 2011 out of Menlo College. Posted a 2.79 ERA and struck out 62 in 48.1 innings in Cedar Rapids this year. Patriots 23-20 Alex Meyer – Came to the Twins after the 2012 season from the Nationals in exchange for Denard Span. He spent 2014 in AAA where he posted a 3.52 ERA and struck out 153 batters in 130.1 innings. Recently, he reflected on his 2014 and looked to 2015. “I’m going with the Legion of Boom (Seattle), and the score being 24-19.” Ethan Mildren – Twins 12th round pick in 2013 out of the University of Pittsburgh. Split 2014 between Cedar Rapids and Ft. Myers. Patriots by 10 Eric Milton – Came to the Twins before the 1998 season in the Chuck Knoblauch deal. Pitched for the team from 1998 through 2003. In six years, won 57 games, was an All Star and threw a no-hitter. Patriots 23-17 Miles Nordgren – Twins 23rd round pick in 2014 out of Birmingham Southern College. Threw 44.1 innings in the GCL this season. Patriots Ryan O’Rourke – Twins 13th round pick in 2010 out of Merrimack College. Pitched primarily at New Britain though pitched a game in Rochester in their final weekend. The Massachusetts native dominates left-handed hitters and was recently invited to Twins spring training. Patriots 28-17 Dan Osterbrock – Twins 7th round pick in 2008 out of the University of Cincinnati. Pitched in the Twins system in 2011. Last two seasons have been in independent ball. Went 11-4 in Atlantic League in 2014. Patriots 28-17 Callan Pearce – Signed out of South Africa, Pearce debuted in the States in 2014 as an 18-year-old in the GCL. Seahawks 36, Patriots 33 Greg Peavey – The Twins selected Peavey in the minor league portion of the Rule 5 draft in December. He spent 2014 between AA and AAA with the Mets. Seahawks 24-17 Brandon Peterson – The Savage, MN, native was the Twins 13th round pick in 2013 out of Wichita State. After a month in Cedar Rapids, he was promoted to Ft. Myers. He was my choice for Twins minor league relief pitcher of the year in 2014. “Patriots by 8, Got to go with Belichick” AJ Pettersen – Twins 25th round pick in 2011 from the University of Minnesota. Got to AA before retiring in June of 2014. New varsity coach baseball at Chanhassen High School. Seahawks 31-17 Jeff Reboulet – Twins 10th round pick in 1986. He debuted with the Twins as a 28 year old in 1992 and stayed with the Twins, playing all over the diamond, through the 1996 season. Spent seven more seasons in the big leagues. Patriots 24-17 Taylor Rogers – Twins 11th round pick in 2012 out of the University of Kentucky. My choice for Twins minor league starting pitcher of the year in 2013. In 2014, went 11-6 with a 3.29 ERA in New Britain. Pitched in the AFL. Seahawks 31-27 Blake Schmit – Twins 26th round pick in 2014 out of the University of Maryland. The Eden Prairie native played in Elizabethton after signing. Seahawks 31-27 Tim Shibuya – Twins 23rd round pick in 2011 out of UC-San Diego. Went 7-4 with a 3.64 ERA in Ft. Myers. He was awarded a Harmon Killebrew Award for Community Service. Seahawks 20-17 Steve Singleton – Twins 11th round pick in 2006 out of the University of San Diego. Split the 2011 season between New Britain and Rochester, his final season in pro ball. Now a college hitting coach. Seahawks 37-27 Aaron Slegers – Twins 5th round pick in 2013 out of Indiana. Made 20 starts for Cedar Rapids before ending the season with three starts in Ft. Myers. Seahawks 27-20 Kevin Slowey – Twins 2nd round pick in 2005 out of Winthrop. Less than two years later he was pitching for the Twins. He remained with the Twins through the 2011 season. In five seasons with the Twins, won 39 games. Spent last two years with the Marlins. Going to spring training with Phillies this year. “I see the Patriots winning 24-21… no deflation.” Tony Thomas – Cubs 3rd round pick in 2007, he came to the Twins on a minor league deal last year and spent the season in New Britain. He was an Eastern League All-Star and returns for the Twins for the 2015 season. Harmon Killebrew Award for Community Service winner in 2014. Seahawks 28-24 Stuart Turner – Twins 3rd round pick out of the University of Mississippi in 2013. After big league camp last spring, he spent 2014 with the Ft. Myers Miracle. Seahawks 27-24 – “Shout out to Tharald Simon, 2010 class at Eunice High. It was fun throwing passes to him back in the day!” Lewis Thorpe – As an 18-year-old in 2014, he made 16 starts in Cedar Rapids, posting a 3.52 ERA. He struck out 80 in 71.2 innings. Seahawks by 14 Matt Tomshaw – Twins 42nd round pick in 2011 out of Jacksonville University. He won 11 games and posted a 3.50 ERA in 136.1 innings for Ft. Myers in 2014. Selected by the Marlins in minor league Rule 5 draft in December. Seahawks Todd Van Steensel – The Australian returned to the Twins before the 2014 season and posted a 1.39 ERA in 58.1 innings between Cedar Rapids and Ft. Myers. Struck out 71 in 58.1 innings. Patriots by 10, Love me some Tom Brady Tanner Vavra – Twins 30th round pick in 2013 out of Valparaiso University. Hit .258 with 18 extra base hits in 81 games for Cedar Rapids in 2014. He was the Kernels winner of the Harmon Killebrew Award for Community Service. Seahawks 24-20 Trey Vavra – Twins 33rd round pick in 2014 out of Florida Southern College where he played for Lance Niekro, the son of former Twins pitcher Joe Niekro. Hit .319/.392/.454 (.846) with 20 doubles in 50 games at Elizabethton. Patriots 27, Seahawks 24 Adam Brett Walker – Twins 3rd round pick in 2012 out of Jacksonville University. After hitting 27 homers in Cedar Rapids in 2013, he hit 25 homers in Ft. Myers in 2014. Patriots 24-17 Ryan Walker – Twins 18th round pick in 2013 out of Texas-Arlington. He spent the 2014 season playing primarily second base for the Cedar Rapids Kernels. “I’ve got the Seahawks 31-27. I think their defense will be able to contain the Pats enough to win.” Tommy Watkins – Twins 38th round pick in 1998 out of high school in Ft. Myers, Watkins toiled slowly through the team’s farm system. In August of 2007, at 27, he made his big league debut. He hit .357 in his nine game stint with the Twins. He retired following the 2009 season. He will begin his third season as the hitting coach with the Cedar Rapids Kernels. Patriots 35-17 Jason Wheeler – The Twins 8th round pick in 2011 out of Loyola Marymount. In 2014, he began at Ft. Myers before being promoted to New Britain. He made one start in Rochester. Following the season, he was named to the Twins 40-man roster. Patriots 24-21 Stephen Wickens – Twins 33rd round pick in 2011 out of Florida Gulf Coast University. He spent most of 2014 with the New Britain Rock Cats though he missed a lot of time with injury. Was the Miracle’s Harmon Killebrew Award winner in 2013. Patriots 24, Seahawks 23 Corey Williams – Twins 3rd round pick in 2011 out of Vanderbilt, he missed all of 2014 with Tommy John surgery. The left-hander should return early in the 2015 season. Patriots 35-28 We've got 69 predictions so far. 40 are picking the Patriots while 29 are picking the Seahawks. I'm sure what we all want is a good, enjoyable game to watch. Now, feel free to add your Super Bowl predictions here.
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Agree on Berrios, but a couple of things: 1.) Stewart was better at Cedar Rapids than Berrios was a year earlier and definitely profiles (from a scout's perspective) higher. 2.) KLaw also likes Michael a lot. I believe before the 2011 draft, he ranked Michael as the 13th or 15th best player available in the entire draft. So, he's sticking by that too.
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Twins Ft. Myers Baseball Academy
Seth Stohs replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
I talked to many players last weekend at Twins Fest. I know that Minor League camp opens March 10, that's the date they are to report. However, several of the minor leaguers I talked to said they were going down there March 1 and that they would be staying at the academy. What a great opportunity for those guys! And, more important, it's one more thing these guys don't have to pay for. Their salaries are ridiculously low, and they don't get paid at all for spring training. Having a place to stay is a good thing!- 11 replies
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De San Miguel is not going to be around for his bat. That just can't be the one thing that people look at when talking about catchers. Also, the odds are that he won't get out of spring training. There are a lot of catchers in that same boat this spring, but they do need catchers. I don't think it's an Australia thing,though that doesn't hurt. He's just a superior glove guy and very knowledgeable. He will help out young pitchers.
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Article: Get to Know: OF Max Murphy
Seth Stohs replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Really looking foward to seeing him play in spring training this year. Should start the season back in Cedar Rapids, but possible promotion to Ft. Myers mid-year. -
6 in the top 36 is pretty awesome. I wish there were one or two between 37 and 100, but it's hard to argue since I know nothing about the other organizations. Six in the Top 6, three hitters and three pitchers... and four of the players have at least some chance of playing in the big leagues in 2015. Kohl Stewart was probably better at Cedar Rapids in 2014 than JO Berrios was at the same level in 2013. There are some things to be very excited about! And as others have mentioned, guys like Polanco, Rosario, Burdi were probably close. May, Vargas and Santana all showed well in 2014. Lots of reason for optimism at some point soon!
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Miller: Vargas has everyone with Twins smiling
Seth Stohs replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
I've said for a year or two already that Miguel Sano and Kennys Vargas can become superstars. They both have such big personalities and great charisma. I think Byron Buxton will be more like Joe Mauer. He'll be the best of the group, but he will be much more quiet and reserved. Obviously either way is OK, but Sano and Vargas, with their personalities, could be beloved. -
On MLB Network right now, they are posting their choices for the Top 50 prospects in baseball. Their Top 100 list will be posted soon after the show is complete. Twins on the list: Kohl Stewart - 36 Nick Gordon - 33 JO Berrios - 32 Alex Meyer - 29 Miguel Sano - 11 Byron Buxton - 1 The general comments on why Buxton remains #1? The tools are still the tools. He's the fastest guy on the list. May be the best hitter. Best outfield defender. Best outfield arm. Could be a 20-25 HR hitter and that's his worst tool. When asked if they thought he would be in the big leagues in 2015, Jonathan Mayo said "No" and Jim Callis said, "Probably late in the year." Here is their complete Top 100 list... No Twins were between 36 and 100. Orlando Arcia (Oswaldo's brother) was the #88 prospect. He's a SS in the Brewers organization.
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Article: Twins Bite-Sized History: A Rocky Start
Seth Stohs replied to John Bonnes's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Great baseball name... there aren't great names/nicknames in baseball anymore... It's fun reading these comments from those who remember this era of Twins baseball. Keep 'em coming!- 29 replies
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Article: Catching Up With Nick Gordon
Seth Stohs replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Jake and Tommy are tremendous and will really help Gordon. there are plenty other prospects in Cedar Rapids this year as well. I think Gordon spends the whole year there, but I said the same thing about Buxton.- 8 replies
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Saw that Josh Whetzel, Rochester's radio guy, tweeted the following from Keith Law's rankings. 6 Twins in the top 100. If someone can add the link, that would be great.
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Phil Miller has a tremendous article on Twins DH Kennys Vargas in the Star Tribune. I know that Miller had a one-on-one interview with Vargas on Saturday and it was more than 1/2 hour long. Though we couldn't hear the conversation in the hallway outside the door, you frequently could hear hearty chuckles from Vargas. He has made an impression on and off the field for the Twins. This Miller article is terrific.
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Article: Center Of Attention
Seth Stohs replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I've brought up the fact that Kepler's AFL OPS was better than Rosario's several times. I think Rosario is closer to big league ready than Kepler. Both have plenty to prove yet before they really are ready. And yes, we want Rosario to be better than he was last year. He's not going to walk, so he'll have to hit for average. I think he's natural-enough of a hitter to be able to do that. I'll give him some benefit of the doubt for the missed time and some of the stuff that he was doing to himself. 2015 can be a do-over, at least for me, and I think he can move up and succeed. Kepler's problems have been injury-related. He also was a lot more raw when he signed, so patience was more important with him. I definitely believe in his bat. He can (and has) played centerfield, but I don't think he'd cover nearly the ground that Rosario could.- 98 replies
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Article: Center Of Attention
Seth Stohs replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I believe more and more that Plan A is the preferred way by the front office, and I think Hicks will be given every opportunity to earn the gig. That said, the past struggles will mean that if they see something that isn't right, they won't be afraid to or hesitate to go with Plan B or even C. Rosario keeps getting mentioned. As I wrote, I think that things would totally have to break just "right" for him to get a shot.- 98 replies
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At the beginning of this month, I projected the Twins Opening Day roster. When spring training begins, I’ll update that list. There are few questions marks in the roster. The fifth starter job will be up for grabs as well as a couple of bullpen spots. However, the centerfield job will certainly be one to watch.We know that Torii Hunter will be starting in right field. Oswaldo Arcia will make the move over to left field, but centerfield remains a question. The Twins did not address the position in the offseason, at least not in a big, obvious way. This leads me to what I believe to be Plan A. Plan A: Third Time’s The Charm I am of the belief that the Twins brass wants Aaron Hicks to have a strong spring training and take the reins on the starting job. That’s what he did in 2013. In 2014, he beat out Alex Presley for the starting centerfield job. In fact, the Twins DFA'd Presley near the end of spring training, meaning that there really wasn’t a backup plan for 2014. In fact, when Hicks was sent back to the minor leagues, the Twins tried Eduardo Escobar in centerfield for a game before the job was given to Danny Santana, who ran with it. Hicks will be just 25 years old throughout the 2014 season. That isn’t necessarily young, but I wonder if some think he might be older after being given the opportunity the last two seasons. He has never been a great hitter in the minor leagues, but in a good year, he can fill a stat sheet. He has all the tools to be good. Even in a poor 2014 season, he posted a .341 on-base percentage. It’s possible, so the team does have to have a Plan B, too. Plan B: Fourth Outfielder Platoon Jordan Schafer is going to be on the roster. If Aaron Hicks is the starter, Schafer is the fourth outfielder. If Aaron Hicks is sent to the minor leagues, Schafer gets a lot more playing time. The 28 year old was DFA'd last year after hitting just .163 in 80 at bats over 63 games for Atlanta. The Twins swooped in and claimed him. He was given regular playing time and showed what he could do. He hit .285/.345/.362 (.707) with seven extra base hits. The speedster combined to steal 30 bases over the course of the season. Schafer would be the primary starter. As a left-handed hitter, there would likely be a right-hand hitting option to play centerfield against southpaws. This offseason, the Twins signed 30-year-old outfielder Shane Robinson to a minor league contract. In parts of five seasons with the St. Louis Cardinals, he hit .231/.303/.308 in 452 plate appearances. The biggest tool that Schafer and Robinson have is their speed. Both play very good defense which will be important because of the perceived lack of range in the corners. There may not be much offense, but these two could play very solid defense in the outfield. Plan C: The Long-Shot 2014 was a rough season for Eddie Rosario. It began late due to a 50-game suspension for a second positive test for a drug of abuse. After eight games with the Miracle, he was quickly moved up to New Britain. He hit just .243/.286/.387 (.674) with 20 doubles, three homers and eight RBI with the Rock Cats. However, he was sent back to the Arizona Fall League and was one of the league’s best hitters. He hit .330 with four doubles and two triples. He had four hits including a home run in the AFL championship game. He played left field most of the season, but he is fully capable of playing center field. If Hicks struggles in spring training, and Rosario tears it up and looks and acts ready, this could happen. As mentioned in this section's header, it would be a long shot, but it is worth watching. Plan D: The Fall Back Plan If the Twins coaches, manager and front office feel that what is best for Aaron Hicks (and Eddie Rosario) is to go back to the minor leagues, and the Twins aren’t comfortable with giving regular at bats to Jordan Schafer, there is one other plan. If the team wants to start the season with their best lineup (and they don’t feel that Hicks gives them that right away), we could see Danny Santana return to centerfield with Eduardo Escobar remaining the primary shortstop. Although he had played very little outfield in the minor leagues, Danny Santana came up with the Twins and ended up playing doing an adequate job in the outfield and hit far better than his minor league track record indicated that he should have. At the same time, Eduardo Escobar put together a very solid season. In 133 total games, he hit .275/.315/.406 (.721) with 37 doubles, a triple and a home run. He played very good defense as well, something that isn’t certain with Santana. Escobar has been basically pigeon-holed into the idea that he is “just” a utility infielder. Obviously that role is very important to a team, and yet we forget that he just turned 26 years old. He could possibly be a legit starting shortstop in the big leagues. Center field will be a center of attention throughout spring training. It is an important position defensively, and any offense will be a bonus from the position. Byron Buxton needs more time to shake off the rust from last season and perform in the upper levels of the minor leagues. He could be up by July, or it could be in 2016. So the questions for you are: 1.) What do you think should happen at the position? 2.) What do you think will happen at the position? Click here to view the article
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We know that Torii Hunter will be starting in right field. Oswaldo Arcia will make the move over to left field, but centerfield remains a question. The Twins did not address the position in the offseason, at least not in a big, obvious way. This leads me to what I believe to be Plan A. Plan A: Third Time’s The Charm I am of the belief that the Twins brass wants Aaron Hicks to have a strong spring training and take the reins on the starting job. That’s what he did in 2013. In 2014, he beat out Alex Presley for the starting centerfield job. In fact, the Twins DFA'd Presley near the end of spring training, meaning that there really wasn’t a backup plan for 2014. In fact, when Hicks was sent back to the minor leagues, the Twins tried Eduardo Escobar in centerfield for a game before the job was given to Danny Santana, who ran with it. Hicks will be just 25 years old throughout the 2014 season. That isn’t necessarily young, but I wonder if some think he might be older after being given the opportunity the last two seasons. He has never been a great hitter in the minor leagues, but in a good year, he can fill a stat sheet. He has all the tools to be good. Even in a poor 2014 season, he posted a .341 on-base percentage. It’s possible, so the team does have to have a Plan B, too. Plan B: Fourth Outfielder Platoon Jordan Schafer is going to be on the roster. If Aaron Hicks is the starter, Schafer is the fourth outfielder. If Aaron Hicks is sent to the minor leagues, Schafer gets a lot more playing time. The 28 year old was DFA'd last year after hitting just .163 in 80 at bats over 63 games for Atlanta. The Twins swooped in and claimed him. He was given regular playing time and showed what he could do. He hit .285/.345/.362 (.707) with seven extra base hits. The speedster combined to steal 30 bases over the course of the season. Schafer would be the primary starter. As a left-handed hitter, there would likely be a right-hand hitting option to play centerfield against southpaws. This offseason, the Twins signed 30-year-old outfielder Shane Robinson to a minor league contract. In parts of five seasons with the St. Louis Cardinals, he hit .231/.303/.308 in 452 plate appearances. The biggest tool that Schafer and Robinson have is their speed. Both play very good defense which will be important because of the perceived lack of range in the corners. There may not be much offense, but these two could play very solid defense in the outfield. Plan C: The Long-Shot 2014 was a rough season for Eddie Rosario. It began late due to a 50-game suspension for a second positive test for a drug of abuse. After eight games with the Miracle, he was quickly moved up to New Britain. He hit just .243/.286/.387 (.674) with 20 doubles, three homers and eight RBI with the Rock Cats. However, he was sent back to the Arizona Fall League and was one of the league’s best hitters. He hit .330 with four doubles and two triples. He had four hits including a home run in the AFL championship game. He played left field most of the season, but he is fully capable of playing center field. If Hicks struggles in spring training, and Rosario tears it up and looks and acts ready, this could happen. As mentioned in this section's header, it would be a long shot, but it is worth watching. Plan D: The Fall Back Plan If the Twins coaches, manager and front office feel that what is best for Aaron Hicks (and Eddie Rosario) is to go back to the minor leagues, and the Twins aren’t comfortable with giving regular at bats to Jordan Schafer, there is one other plan. If the team wants to start the season with their best lineup (and they don’t feel that Hicks gives them that right away), we could see Danny Santana return to centerfield with Eduardo Escobar remaining the primary shortstop. Although he had played very little outfield in the minor leagues, Danny Santana came up with the Twins and ended up playing doing an adequate job in the outfield and hit far better than his minor league track record indicated that he should have. At the same time, Eduardo Escobar put together a very solid season. In 133 total games, he hit .275/.315/.406 (.721) with 37 doubles, a triple and a home run. He played very good defense as well, something that isn’t certain with Santana. Escobar has been basically pigeon-holed into the idea that he is “just” a utility infielder. Obviously that role is very important to a team, and yet we forget that he just turned 26 years old. He could possibly be a legit starting shortstop in the big leagues. Center field will be a center of attention throughout spring training. It is an important position defensively, and any offense will be a bonus from the position. Byron Buxton needs more time to shake off the rust from last season and perform in the upper levels of the minor leagues. He could be up by July, or it could be in 2016. So the questions for you are: 1.) What do you think should happen at the position? 2.) What do you think will happen at the position?
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Scouting Book's Top 750 prospects for 2015
Seth Stohs replied to jimmer's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Yeah, it's fun to read all the various lists, and then people can determine if it gives them any value. As for who I include in "Prospect" lists... I go by whether or not he has retained his rookie status in MLB. MIchael Tonkin, Stephen Pryor, kennys vargas and danny santana are no longer rookies starting in 2015, so they would not be included in my rankings. I believe Thrylos removes guys as soon as they hit the big leagues, maybe? Baseball America goes by the -
Article: First Round Busts?
Seth Stohs replied to Parker Hageman's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I'm pretty sure that isn't the case. Not in the first several rounds. Of course "Best Player Available" means different things to different organizations when you're talking about a bunch of high school and college players. Scout A - who saw Alex Wimmers throughout high school and college in Ohio said that he may top out at 91, but he's polished, has good control, has great work ethic and has a changeup that is nearly big league ready. Scout B - who saw him just once in person and once on TV saw two average performances. Evaluator C - sees that he only hits 91 and says no thank you. Evaluator D - sees the stats and thinks he's worth the risk. And that can all be inside of one organization. It's not a science, that's for sure. -
Article: First Round Busts?
Seth Stohs replied to Parker Hageman's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Twins Fans would have been IRATE at the Twins Scouting staff for drafting yet another toolsy outfielder... ha! -
Scouting Book's Top 750 prospects for 2015
Seth Stohs replied to jimmer's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
This list is crazy.... other than the Top 100... Byron Buxton 5 Miguel Sano 13 Nick Gordon 39 JO Berrios 40 Alex Meyer 44 Kohl Stewart 48 Eddie Rosario 96 Nick Burdi 139 JR Graham 144 Stephen Pryor 147 Kennys Vargas 166 Trevor May 199 Jason Adam at 242 Lewis Thorpe - 252 Jorge Polanco - 284 Joe Benson - 323 Mason Melotakis - 390 Danny Santana - 401 Luke Bard 423 Brandon Poulson 508 Yohan Pino 520 Adam Walker 521 Max Kepler 529 Travis Harrison 541 Levi Michael 564 JT Chargois 599 Stuart Turner 601 Zach Jones 631 Ryan Eades 648 Niko Goodrum 680 Stephen Gonsalves 715 Aaron Slegers 727 Michael Tonkin 749 I know I might be a little higher than most on Taylor Rogers, but he should be in the top 300. Yohan Pino ahead of Walker and Kepler. Joe Benson hasn't been with the Twins in forever. Danny Santana at 401?! -
Scouting Book's Top 750 prospects for 2015
Seth Stohs replied to jimmer's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Stephen Pryor listed at 147. Kennys Vargas listed at 166. Both of these guys are no longer "rookies" and haven't been on my list. They're still here though. Also, JR Graham at 144 still listed with the Braves. -
Scouting Book's Top 750 prospects for 2015
Seth Stohs replied to jimmer's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
I like this ranking! I figure there'd be 6 in the top 50 or close to it!

