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Everything posted by Seth Stohs
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Twins 40-Man Roster Crunch? Perhaps Not
Seth Stohs replied to Lucas Seehafer PT's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
That one game in 2019 really scared people away, apparently. It was a bad game, but still. He's got good K numbers. He's good vs Lefties. He just gets himself in trouble when he doesn't throw strikes. But, definitely worth considering.- 63 replies
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- jose miranda
- josh winder
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Twins 40-Man Roster Crunch? Perhaps Not
Seth Stohs replied to Lucas Seehafer PT's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
That is correct.- 63 replies
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- jose miranda
- josh winder
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Twins 40-Man Roster Crunch? Perhaps Not
Seth Stohs replied to Lucas Seehafer PT's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The 60 Day IL can't be used until Spring Training. Also, if Enlow was taken and on the 60 Day IL all year, he would have to be on the 2023 roster all season or be offered back to the Twins.- 63 replies
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- jose miranda
- josh winder
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Fun Fact from today's postgame notes: JT Chargois appeared in his first game at Target Field since September 23, 2016, when he was a member of the Twins. In that outing, he faced only one batter and threw only one pitch. It was hit for a two-rn double by Nelson Cruz, who played for Seattle at that time.
- 22 replies
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- charlie barnes
- jorge polanco
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Charlie Barnes's third start was the best of his career. Caleb Thielbar came in and got some huge outs after the middle relief coughed up the lead, but as they had all day, Max Kepler and Jorge Polanco came up clutch in the bottom of the ninth. Box Score (add link) SP: Charlie Barnes: 5.0 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 3 K (73 pitches, 44 strikes (60.3%)) Home Runs: None Top 3 WPA: Max Kepler (.327), Caleb Thielbar (.232), Charlie Barnes (.200) Win Probability Chart (via FanGraphs) Patience is a Virtue Luis Patino was the key piece the Rays received in return for former Cy Young winner Blake Snell from the Padres in the offseason. A top pitching prospect, he has certainly shown well for the Rays in 2020. Fortunately for the Twins, he was a bit wild on Sunday and the team took advantage. Patino walked Max Kepler and Jorge Polanco in the first inning, and Josh Donaldon singled in Kepler for the game’s first run. After a walk to Luis Arraez, Polanco scored on a Trevor Larnach fielder’s choice. The Twins went scoreless in the second innings, although Kepler had a double and Polanco walked again. There was one more walk in the third inning. Ryan Sherriff came on in the fourth inning. After getting the first two batters out, Kepler and Polanco walked. All Star Andrew Kittredge came on and Donaldson came through again with a big, two-run double to give the Twins a 4-0 lead. Barnes at his Best Lefty Charlie Barnes made his third MLB start on Sunday afternoon, and it’s fair to say that it was his best start to date. The southpaw was generally in control of the game for five innings. He gave up just three hits and only allowed one run, on a solo homer off the bat of Mike Zunino. Overall, his strike percentage was not real good, but instead of just missing over the middle of the plate, he was missing just outside the strike zone. This is definitely a start to build on. Middle Relief Struggles Edgar Garcia came on for the sixth inning. He quickly got the first two outs of the inning, but then issued a walk and a home run off to star rookie Wander Franco. That cut the Twins lead to 4-3. Tyler Duffey got the 7th inning. He started the inning with a walk. Then after a pop-out, he coaxed a potential ground ball double play. However, due to an error, no outs were recorded. Duffey walked another batter to load the bases. Randy Arozarena hit a little infield single to tie the game at four. Duffey did come up big by striking out Nelson Cruz, but bases were still loaded with one out yet to get. Clutch Caleb (Thielbar) Caleb Thielbar came in and, after falling behind 3-0, got All Star Austin Meadows to pop out to end the inning. He has now stranded his last seven inherited runners, a streak that began on June 21. With the game still tied in the top of the eight, Thielbar gave up a leadoff double to Franco. However, after a sacrifice bunt moved Franco to third, Thielbar got an infield pop out and a ground out to first base to keep the game tied. When you take a look below at the names available to Rocco Baldelli and Wes Johnson in the chart below, is Thielbar the team’s best, most-reliable bullpen arm right now? Well, another option for that title right now might be Alexander Colome who pitched a scoreless inning in the ninth. It was his eighth straight scoreless appearance. In that stretch (7 1/3 innings), he is 1-0 with five saves. Klutch Kepler (and Polanco) Max Kepler reached base four times on Sunday. As mentioned above, he walked twice. He also had two doubles including an opposite-field double down the left field line to lead off the ninth inning. Bobbled by Austin Meadows, Kepler scampered to third base. Two pitches later, Jorge Polanco hit a fly ball deep enough to easily score Kepler from third and give the Twins the 5-4 win, and a third-straight series win. It was his fifth career walk-off plate appearance and third this season. The Twins are clearly playing their best baseball of the season as they have reached arguably the toughest part of their season. Postgame Interview Bullpen Usage Spreadsheet WED THU FRI SAT SUN TOT Barnes 0 0 0 0 73 73 García 0 0 27 0 21 48 Gant 0 0 41 0 0 41 Vincent 0 0 37 0 0 37 Colomé 14 0 0 0 13 27 Thielbar 20 0 0 0 15 35 Garza Jr. 0 0 0 16 0 16 Duffey 0 0 0 0 27 27 Minaya 15 0 0 0 0 15 Coulombe 0 0 0 10 0 10 View full article
- 22 replies
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- charlie barnes
- jorge polanco
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Box Score (add link) SP: Charlie Barnes: 5.0 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 3 K (73 pitches, 44 strikes (60.3%)) Home Runs: None Top 3 WPA: Max Kepler (.327), Caleb Thielbar (.232), Charlie Barnes (.200) Win Probability Chart (via FanGraphs) Patience is a Virtue Luis Patino was the key piece the Rays received in return for former Cy Young winner Blake Snell from the Padres in the offseason. A top pitching prospect, he has certainly shown well for the Rays in 2020. Fortunately for the Twins, he was a bit wild on Sunday and the team took advantage. Patino walked Max Kepler and Jorge Polanco in the first inning, and Josh Donaldon singled in Kepler for the game’s first run. After a walk to Luis Arraez, Polanco scored on a Trevor Larnach fielder’s choice. The Twins went scoreless in the second innings, although Kepler had a double and Polanco walked again. There was one more walk in the third inning. Ryan Sherriff came on in the fourth inning. After getting the first two batters out, Kepler and Polanco walked. All Star Andrew Kittredge came on and Donaldson came through again with a big, two-run double to give the Twins a 4-0 lead. Barnes at his Best Lefty Charlie Barnes made his third MLB start on Sunday afternoon, and it’s fair to say that it was his best start to date. The southpaw was generally in control of the game for five innings. He gave up just three hits and only allowed one run, on a solo homer off the bat of Mike Zunino. Overall, his strike percentage was not real good, but instead of just missing over the middle of the plate, he was missing just outside the strike zone. This is definitely a start to build on. Middle Relief Struggles Edgar Garcia came on for the sixth inning. He quickly got the first two outs of the inning, but then issued a walk and a home run off to star rookie Wander Franco. That cut the Twins lead to 4-3. Tyler Duffey got the 7th inning. He started the inning with a walk. Then after a pop-out, he coaxed a potential ground ball double play. However, due to an error, no outs were recorded. Duffey walked another batter to load the bases. Randy Arozarena hit a little infield single to tie the game at four. Duffey did come up big by striking out Nelson Cruz, but bases were still loaded with one out yet to get. Clutch Caleb (Thielbar) Caleb Thielbar came in and, after falling behind 3-0, got All Star Austin Meadows to pop out to end the inning. He has now stranded his last seven inherited runners, a streak that began on June 21. With the game still tied in the top of the eight, Thielbar gave up a leadoff double to Franco. However, after a sacrifice bunt moved Franco to third, Thielbar got an infield pop out and a ground out to first base to keep the game tied. When you take a look below at the names available to Rocco Baldelli and Wes Johnson in the chart below, is Thielbar the team’s best, most-reliable bullpen arm right now? Well, another option for that title right now might be Alexander Colome who pitched a scoreless inning in the ninth. It was his eighth straight scoreless appearance. In that stretch (7 1/3 innings), he is 1-0 with five saves. Klutch Kepler (and Polanco) Max Kepler reached base four times on Sunday. As mentioned above, he walked twice. He also had two doubles including an opposite-field double down the left field line to lead off the ninth inning. Bobbled by Austin Meadows, Kepler scampered to third base. Two pitches later, Jorge Polanco hit a fly ball deep enough to easily score Kepler from third and give the Twins the 5-4 win, and a third-straight series win. It was his fifth career walk-off plate appearance and third this season. The Twins are clearly playing their best baseball of the season as they have reached arguably the toughest part of their season. Postgame Interview Bullpen Usage Spreadsheet WED THU FRI SAT SUN TOT Barnes 0 0 0 0 73 73 García 0 0 27 0 21 48 Gant 0 0 41 0 0 41 Vincent 0 0 37 0 0 37 Colomé 14 0 0 0 13 27 Thielbar 20 0 0 0 15 35 Garza Jr. 0 0 0 16 0 16 Duffey 0 0 0 0 27 27 Minaya 15 0 0 0 0 15 Coulombe 0 0 0 10 0 10
- 22 comments
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- charlie barnes
- jorge polanco
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I'm sure the team control/service time stuff has nothing to do with anything relative to Ryan.
- 38 replies
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- jose miranda
- keoni cavaco
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I think it's as simple as Birdsell fell due to some injury concerns. He was there. The Twins knew they had a little over-slot money, so they were hoping to get a potential "million dollar" arm for $200,000 (or whatever they could offer over-slot. Didn't pan out. Worth the shot.
- 38 replies
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- jose miranda
- keoni cavaco
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But with prospect rankings, I'd have to ask... "Pick one for what'?" Ceiling? Potential? Likelihood to meet ceiling? Age? Readiness for the big leagues? Who has better 'stuff'? Makeup? A lot more goes into it than which one is more ready right now.
- 38 replies
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- jose miranda
- keoni cavaco
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Updated... that was his OPS... I've updated i above.
- 38 replies
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- jose miranda
- keoni cavaco
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I should invest in an editor, huh?
- 24 replies
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- aaron sabato
- jordan balazovic
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And the Rays still put him on their 40-man roster... I think that says a lot too.
- 20 replies
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- drew strotman
- noah miller
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As noted in the previous message, we have ten voters included here, and I'm guessing we all have our own opinions and criteria. So, I can really only speak to mine... Age-to-level-of-competition is a factor in prospect rankings. That said, this year I don't know how much that factors. There was a full missed year. Winder didn't pitch at all last year. Strotman had Tommy John surgery in 2018 and has been working his way back. I'd also add that age-to-level may be a slightly lesser criteria for me this year than normal years, and certainly less now that a few years ago. Guys are ready when they're ready. Guys that go to college for 3 or 4 years are naturally going to be a little older. And frankly, if they come up at 26 and stay up, the Twins have control of them (if they're good or great) through their Age 31 or 32 season)... and frankly, the risk over 31-32 is high anyway. But, that doesn't play into it as much as much wanting them to be ready when they get up there. So many other factors or circumstances come into play for me. Tools. Somewhat performance. Injuries... and now a missed season.
- 20 replies
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- drew strotman
- noah miller
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Fair question... In total, it was the votes of 10 Twins Daily Minor League Writers... those that do the minor league reports or who have written several minor league-related articles/videos...
- 20 replies
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- drew strotman
- noah miller
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Winder has struggled with the Saints, and a lot of that may be tiring down after, as you say, he did NOT participate in the alternate site last year. Owen Miller was drafted out of college though, not high school, so his advancement should be faster.
- 20 replies
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- drew strotman
- noah miller
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I couldn't leave this one alone... Noah Miller throws 89 mph... and that's a "mediocre" arm?? I don't know how many shortstops in the majors throw 89!
- 33 replies
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- chris vallimont
- louis varland
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I think that Henry Sanchez (RIP) is a better comp, potentially. Both Harrison and Sanchez were highly-touted high school hitters. Harrison was a decent athlete and was able to move around the field a bit and contribute in other ways. Sanchez was a bat only, like Sabato.
- 33 replies
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- chris vallimont
- louis varland
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I think that Jermaine Palacios and Wander Javier are guys that can play short defensively. I think Royce Lewis can be a better defensive shortstop than Polanco. I haven't seen enough of Martin at SS, but they've already moved him mostly to CF. Cavaco, like Lewis, played 3B mostly in high school. Lewis did because Chase Strumpf was there. Lewis just played SS his senior year. Cavaco played 3B because of Marcelo Mayer (top 5 pick this year), but people talk about his hands, range and arm too. Lots to still be figured out... and again, for all these guys, they need to keep getting innings.
- 33 replies
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- chris vallimont
- louis varland
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Well, that was uplifting. How do we know Gordon is depressed? Because of 3 games?
- 10 replies
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- jermaine palacios
- austin martin
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Game Score: White Sox 11, Twins 1
Seth Stohs replied to Nate Palmer's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
but up until then... It was tight!!- 25 replies
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- beau burrows
- miguel sano
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Top 50 Prospects (29-20) - Aug 21 Update
Seth Stohs commented on Danchat's blog entry in Danchat's Aggregated Prospect Rankings
You may be right on Strotman ending up in the bullpen (of course you can say that for any pitcher)... but his innings count is due to 2018 Tommy John surgery, and control is often the last piece to come back from that.

