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drjim

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Everything posted by drjim

  1. drjim
    I would temper the bombs and steals a bit but the rest is probably within range in a couple of years.
  2. drjim
    Why bother? Buxton will clearly bust and is only a product of a weak draft.
  3. drjim
    8 at bats eh?
  4. drjim
    I just don't see the point of Rochester if he is ready to go. He is 20 months from surgery he doesn't need to be babied at the beginning of the year. Yes he needs to be protected from a big jump in innings over the entire season but worry about that later. He has limited innings no need to waste them in AAA. He might have a DL stint or they can get creative in skipping starts or extra rest to extend him through the season. If he is good in spring training let him start with the Twins.
  5. drjim
    Sure. But he might have to get back quick to secure a job.
  6. drjim
    I also thought in the offseason when there was a clamoring for another middle infielder that whoever they brought in would have to be clearly better than Carroll to make it worth it. Based on who was available as FAs I'm not so sure there was a clear upgrade available. Carroll is solid in the role he has and is an acceptable stopgap if Florimon and others flop.
  7. drjim
    Do you have anything to back up a statement like this? For instance, a summary of abuse or comparison of injuries for Twins relievers compared to other teams? Joe Nathan was babied as much as any reliever and he still blew out his elbow. Pitchers get hurt, it is an unnatural and violent act propagated on the arm. I would argue the Twins are as conservative and cautious as any team when it comes to protecting pitchers - the problem is that there is only so much you can do. I wholeheartedly agree with the first part of your statement - the Mets drove him into the ground the first couple of years of the deal, which is an interesting strategy for a guy you just signed to a massive six year deal. On the flip side, the injury might have been inevitable.
  8. drjim
    I think it starts with Dozier at 2b, Florimon at ss, Carroll as utility and Escobar in aaa. I don't understand why a few people would want Dozier back in aaa, he has had enough at bats down there, and with the low expectations for the team it is a perfect time to see if he can handle an everyday job. He is already 25 and almost 26. Even with a decent glove I don't see how Florimon lasts very long. Carroll will be a nice steady backup to have. I also agree with Seth that Escobar will probably end up as a solid utility guy but he could probably use some everyday at bats at aaa to see if he might be able to squeeze out a little more. I also wouldn't sleep on Daniel Santana this year. Both Ryan and Antony mentioned him unsolicited in recent interviews as someone they are high on, and that he is a little more put together than people might think and can stick at ss. He'll start in aa but could be a September callup and might be ready to step in next year as an everyday player.
  9. drjim
    I find it hard to believe that any big market team or clear contender would want him after the season. With relative health if could make sense for him to return to the Twins, after another mediocre season the Twins might need the marketing boost and I can't think of another fan base that would get nearly as excited for him (if that matters to him).
  10. drjim
    I'll add one more thing. The section by the bullpen are under an overhang so you will be protected in case of rain/drizzle. I had partial season tickets in the section and quite enjoyed it overall. Good access to concessions, but you are blocked from the main scoreboard.
  11. drjim
    Yes, there are always misses. The Revere pick, though panned at the time, actually ended up as a pretty good value relative to other picks in the area. Of course, about 15-20 picks later the Marlins took Gioncarlo Stanton...
  12. drjim
    I really like this thread. I played through my freshman year in high school and then quit to focus on football and basketball (both of which I played at a D3 college). Probably the biggest mistake I ever made in my life, I was a decent baseball player, was a 1B/OF type and could hit a little at that point. I still really enjoy playing softball, though it obviously isn't the same. I like to play pickup basketball but I have become a bigger and bigger advocate for people not playing football. I have two wrecked shoulders and a couple of concussions to try and make my point.
  13. drjim
    I'll agree with this and my initial response was unnecessarily snarky. It is baseless to pin it solely on drafting later in the first round. There were several other factors that contributed.
  14. drjim
    I agree that a study like this would require some context of how other teams did in their draft. What is actually more interesting to me is to look at who was drafted in the 10-15 picks immediately following a Twins draft pick and to see who they could have had instead. I don't want to go back and list all the names, but my general feeling is that the Twins do an acceptable job in this regard. There are obviously guys they could have drafted instead, but there are rarely large misses with large amounts of players that were clearly better. It truly is amazing what the miss rate is for draft picks once you get into the second half of the first round. However, once Hicks and Gibson make their debuts this year the only first round pick between 2000-2009 that won't make the majors in some capacity will be Matt Moses from 2003, and most of those picks will actually be quite productive. This hasn't necessarily led to high rankings in prospect lists, but it is a pretty impressive performance overall.
  15. drjim
    If the counter argument to low draft choices is that other teams are able to get good players later in the draft as evidence that is a poor example. The Twins have done that as well. I would suggest the main reasons were (in no particular order): lower draft choices, few comp picks, minimal established player for prospect trades (because they were usually competing), lower budgets on international signings, general reluctance to go over slot in the draft. It is interesting that once Target Field started getting constructed and the promise of future revenues was secure that the last two became less of an issue and the farm system started to improve. Perhaps the better lesson is that Terry Ryan and co. did OK as a small market team in the early part of the 2000s and that once the revenues of Target Field started to come in it allowed them to compete on more levels. There is more to Target Field than just major league payroll.
  16. drjim
    I'll make another point in this hypothetical. While the trade won't happen I think it does highlight why you always draft the best player available and let things sort out later. If the Twins get lucky and top prospects pan out they could potentially have Hicks and Buxton as good defensive CFs which have significant value (as we saw with Revere and Span) and can be moved for more value then would have been gained by reaching for a need position in the first round.
  17. drjim
    This is one area the Twins can't be criticized. They have players from everywhere - including the most total players in the WBC.
  18. drjim
    Great movie and I generally dislike most movies. I really enjoyed the inside look at life in the Dominican Republic as much as anything. I have done a handful of mission trips there and have seen the way much of the population lives. I thought the film captured that well.
  19. drjim
    This is true. Can't really blame ownership for the entire cut, Ryan had money to work with and chose not to use it.
  20. drjim
    So do the Twins. Whats your point?
  21. drjim
    Arcia's bat is not without flaws either. He ks more than you would like and has some struggles with lefties (unsurprisingly). His bat is ahead of Buxton right now but Buxton has a legit shot to close that gap. Plus, while Arcia is a decent athlete and legit rf profile, his speed, arm, and overall defense are not in the same league as Buxton. This is a significant factor in prospect rankings as well.
  22. drjim
    Or he has had a nice run of elite starting pitching. That makes most managers look competent.
  23. drjim
    This is probably why you wouldn't want most fans anywhere near the front office.
  24. drjim
    But the problem is that you seem to imply that looking at boxscores is superior to the opinions of every expert and scout in the game.
  25. drjim
    Awesome.
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