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snepp

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Everything posted by snepp

  1. snepp
    I meant to ask, but forgot. (warning, about to veer waaaaay off-topic) Where does "get real" rank in the list of point-proving accentuations? Above or below 'Period.'? How about 'book it'? 'So there'? I would probably go with... Period > Get real > Book it > That's that > So there Am I missing any?
  2. snepp
    Leaving him in there to face the toughest bat for a righty to handle, with runners on base (and struggling to boot), wasn't exactly a case of hindsight. There's no way Pelfrey comes out for the 7th regardless if he gets Fielder or not, so you lose nothing by removing him at that point.
  3. snepp
    If anyone else is interested in win probability stuff, Fangraphs provides all the dirty work for every game in near real time, as well as providing some glossary info and links to articles discussing it. Here's the link to last night's game.
  4. snepp
    Oh yeah, don't forget your blood pressure meds.
  5. snepp
    I 'let' my dad hear that same rant on the phone earlier. He agreed. Chief logic = my dad logic = me logic > Jeff Gray > Gardenhire logic
  6. snepp
    I was under the impression that the +/- system was put together in cooperation with BIS's video scouting and their defensive tracking data.
  7. snepp
    The drunken rambling thread is over this way....
  8. snepp
    And 10% on J-dog. What can I say, they gave 110% tonight.
  9. snepp
    I don't think we have to worry about seeing Mastro any time soon.
  10. snepp
    Oh Smalley, their offense is already plenty offensive.
  11. snepp
    /edit^3 neither do I.
  12. snepp
    5, 7, whatever.
  13. snepp
    I re-officially re-blame you.
  14. snepp
    I officially blame you. Bad dog, bad.
  15. snepp
    0-2 double. Chief, you're up!
  16. snepp
    B-ref doesn't have it? I count have sworn it was listed under one of those additional pitching views. Maybe I'm thinking of ESPN.
  17. snepp
    I didn't expect 14 total on the season, already halfway there.
  18. snepp
    What you're referring is the "range factor" stat. Which not only has its own problems with sample size, but it compounds them by including the ginormous problem of pitching staff composition. Low-k staff = more balls in play = more outs for the fielders = better fielders? Just my guess, but that would be dramatically worse. I'd even bet on it.
  19. snepp
    Is this some Jedi mind-trick?
  20. snepp
    The xFIP in the low 4's is better to look at in his case, assuming we expect his home run rate to go back to normal at some point. [/nitpick]
  21. snepp
    Thus the use of the "particularly" part for his personal history. The league rate is relevant for context, as even the stingiest at allowing home runs are going to be within 2-3% of that mark. When the expected league rate is 10-11%, and the best at allowing home runs are around 8%, Kevin Correia giving them up at 5% is certainly more than just "the ballpark."
  22. snepp
    I'm curious to hear why. For fun, Correia's LOB% rates the last 4+ years (since becoming a full-time starter). 2009 - 71.4% 2010 - 68.4% 2011 - 69.1% 2012 - 69.0% 2013 - 82.9% Or, more likely, he's bound to start giving up home runs at the same rate as the league history, and particularly his own history, suggests. A ballpark isn't going to magically cut his home run rate in more than half.
  23. snepp
    Well that only took 10 years, impressive. Give it another 20 and they may even have those ridiculously archaic blackout restrictions taken care of.
  24. snepp
    Let's go with "reasonably cautious."
  25. snepp
    I couldn't even begin to count how many hundreds of seasons I've run through OOTP, in dozens of leagues in all sorts of configurations. I never play with the MLB setup though, the structure, the teams, or the players, it's all about the fictional setup for me.
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