Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

jay

Provisional Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1,544

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

Minnesota Twins News, Rumors & Analysis

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospect Rankings

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Minnesota Twins Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Minnesota Twins Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by jay

  1. jay
    So we've moved from personal attacks to conspiracy theories about TR supporting profiteering? And I'm the one who might not be taken seriously... rrriiight.
  2. jay
    Brodin? Is that you?
  3. jay
    That might very well be the case, but then we have to reassess our previous assumptions. I went into the off-season expecting a $100M+ payroll this year based off those exact same factors, as I'm sure you did as well. When we didn't get anywhere near that, it tells me... hmmm, something must have been off in how I assumed we'd get there. Is greedy owners the answer? Maybe (perhaps even probably), but we also don't know the Twins' exact methodology to reach that 50% figure or what their revenue forecasts were for this year. If it is in fact the answer, then why are we blaming Terry Ryan anyway?
  4. jay
    None of your points support your argument. If the Twins steadfastly use 50% of revenues for payroll and had the payroll room you speak of, why didn't they spend the extra $18M/year to sign Sanchez? Or someone else for that matter? It would seem your math and infinitely superior knowledge was off somewhere. For the record, I would have loved for them to sign him. My earlier post simply stated "without significant commitments for the future". Clearly, the FO views a 5 yr/80M contract as significant. Yes, the overall picture tells us Mauer is the only other commitment out there right now, but neither of us know what the longer term plan looks like.
  5. jay
    LOL. That's cute, but I'm actually quite good at math and have a good knowledge of the Twins payroll. You don't know what the budget is. You don't know what the flexibility is. You don't know what the long-term plan is. I don't either, but don't paint me as some uneducated fool because you think you have the answers.
  6. jay
    Deserved or not, I'm sure you remember it just as well as I do. It's easy to make a list of partially factual, partially personal subjective failures, but the point I was trying to make is that praise for the FO seems to be completely fleeting based on recent success. This was illustrated by providing clear examples of GMs that are considered successful and were on the chopping block yesterday. In any form, I apologize and please resume blind hatred for most everything the organization has done.
  7. jay
    And we all could. However, I will say that we'd have to look pretty hard to find ways to efficiently spend that $40M last offseason without significant commitments for the future. I'm okay suffering these few years as long as we're extending most key players and filling a hole or two via FA over the next 5 years.
  8. jay
    No. Just no. I was hoping to find sarcasm here.
  9. jay
    Do we expect the Twins to have an official strategy announcement party? I think I could summarize my personal views on what the current strategy seems to be as: "Field a team that is more respectable than the last two years while continuing to build the farm system."
  10. jay
    Very true. It's not likely at all that the upcoming prospects will fill every hole. I'll be interested to see whether the Twins continue with their invest from within and go for contracts with their guys or reach out to the FA market to get some more immediate fixes. Let's hope for a little of both.
  11. jay
    While I would much rather prefer a GM that is known to be well versed in the statistical revolution, Terry Ryan has seen success in the past and took over in a down cycle. I guess I'd tend to give him a little more time to turn things around and, as you acknowledged, we don't truly know how it works behind the scenes. I think you're make some big jumps and assumptions in your conclusion. A rapidly developing farm system would seem to be one indicator that either something is changing or, at the least, working.
  12. jay
    I'm actually fine with how the Jays approached it. They built their farm but couldn't get over the hump, so they made some aggressive moves to turn some prospects into MLBers. Similar approach by KC this offseason, but the Jays were probably closer to contention and I liked their moves better.
  13. jay
    I'm not a Gardy fan by any stretch, but I'd have to agree with your insights. The FO will say Gardy's time is up if the incoming wave of prospects don't pan out, but I have to think he'll get a chance.
  14. jay
    Tis true! I was thinking there'd be some kind of financial limitations in place and nine would probably get us there. Then for the other 16 spots, we wouldn't consider anyone over 27 who isn't an all-star because they are AAAA filler. We'd definitely want that great prospect on the roster who could benefit next year from MLB time this year because service time (nor proper development) are even anywhere near a concern.
  15. jay
    Good point. The proposed men on-base factoring would probably need to subtract out that effect.
  16. jay
    Great post, Boone. Yes, or HBP for that matter.
  17. jay
    Plenty of folks here would vehemently disagree with you, as you can see by the majority of the previous 110+ posts.
  18. jay
    More like the Tigers, except with a better farm system?
  19. jay
    A number of those options are based off how the team has performed recently. Not far in the past, fans of those clubs were calling for their GMs to be fired. Sabean (2005-2008), Dombrowski (2005, 2008) in specific. It wasn't too long ago that the Twins were the model franchise and receiving praise from the front office on down.
  20. jay
    Our active roster would consist of 9 albatross contracts and 16 19-year-old prospects that we want to develop at the MLB level.
  21. jay
    Deduno's FIP is 3.98, but it seems he has that profile that can consistently outperform that figure given his 'effective wildness' and groundballs. His BABIP has also generally been below league average figures. Deduno seems to be one of those guys who can really confound the numbers. I'm glad he's getting a chance here. Hopefully he's figured out how to pitch with his 'stuff' and he can contribute here for a while.
  22. jay
    Agreed. Pelfrey - shooting inside, but all over. Buerhle - inside. Norris - inside and low. I think it's important to look at how Pelfrey is approaching it this year vs his career norm. Not a huge difference, but he's had too many pitches this year land middle and up. Hopefully his control continues to improve and he can keep the ball down.
  23. jay
    While I agree with the premise, we have to balance it with relative simplicity. I can find the inputs to calculate FIP for a pitcher quickly. It would take longer to track down those breakdowns.
  24. jay
    I've read the articles and unless my eyes are lying to me (again), I see a lot of "expects" and "expected". Let's maybe take a closer look at this quote you provided... Today is JUNE 18TH!
  25. jay
    You can certainly speculate ALL of that, but I'm sure you can find zero statisitically significant evidence to support it. Your statements paint the picture that there is only one way Kyle Gibson could possibly be successful next year and that's simply not true.
×
×
  • Create New...