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Cory Engelhardt

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Blog Entries posted by Cory Engelhardt

  1. Cory Engelhardt
    Ok, I am curious what your individual hopes are for the rest of the offseason, prior to opening day. What other moves or changes are you still hoping for, if anything.
    *I will preface this by saying, hoping for a healthy roster doesn't need to be one of the ideas. That is one that everyone should hope for every player on every team, let alone your home team/favorite team that you cheer for.
     
    Ok, if I am going to pick a few things that I want to have happen prior to opening day, here is how I would play out the rest of the offseason. 
    1) Extend Tyler Mahle. I really do think he is an arm that you build with/build around. I'm hopeful for a 4 or 5 year extension. 
    2) Acquire at least one more reliever who is setup level good. Someone who can slot in at least as a 7th inning (historically) level good. Bringing Fulmer back would work, but I'd be open to any number of the relievers still on the free agent market or via trade. If they want to bring in more than one guy at this level, great!
    3) I still think they could use one more right-handed power bat. I will preface this by adding that I'm not truly in love with Voit or Gurriel on the free agent market, and I don't even truly have a name to go after via trade, but my hope would be it could be someone who could play either 1b/3b or a corner outfield spot occasionally. I'll also say that, I still believe there are too many guys on the 40 man who are left-handed hitters who would fit into this description, but I'd prefer someone with more of a track record. (IF you have a target on who this would work for, I'd love to hear it.) And no, Miguel Sano is not an option for me for this answer.
     
     
  2. Cory Engelhardt

    2022 Offseason Blueprint: Trades for Flaherty, Manaea

    By Cory Engelhardt,


    2022 Offseason Blueprint
    I wanted to create a blueprint that would be interesting. I hope you enjoy it! My goal was to have a flexible team (in terms of roster/lineup) and add a good amount of high end pitching via trade and free agency. Let me know what you think.
    1) Extend Byron Buxton. He is your cornerstone, and I don't see a way we trade him and are better for it, short or long term. 7/110 with incentives. I'll put him at 15 million for 2022
    2) Sign Chris Taylor, 4/60. Opening day ss, but can play anywhere and has turned into a good power threat. Great teammate. IF Royce can show he can be the guy, then Taylor is a HIGH END utility option later in 2022 or some point in 2023.
    3) Trade Luis Arraez to St. Louis for Jack Flaherty. Baseball Trade Values says this is a pretty major overpay on our part (Arraez 33.3 to Flaherty's 14.3) but I thought it would be good to take a chance on Flaherty's upside. He has 2 years team control remaining, and missed time last year with a fairly major oblique injury. IF he is healthy he has ace upside. I'd prefer the Twins to take a shot at someone with a ceiling like him, someone who ended the year in the Cardinals bullpen. Arraez would certainly help the Cardinals offense (anyone's really) and I don't know that I see a future defensive home here in MN. 4 years team control for Arraez looks good for St. Louis too.
    4) Trade Matt Canterino, Matt Wallner and Blayne Enlow to Oakland for Sean Manaea. Manaea has 1 year remaining, and Oakland is looking at a rebuild. They get 3 VERY quality prospects for a pitcher who will be a free agent after the 2022 season. Manaea should slot into the top of our rotation day 1.
    5) Trade Miguel Sano to Miami for a player to be named later. Include 4 million in the deal to get a better prospect. IF the universal DH is here to stay, then I can see someone wanting to take a chance on Miguel. The stretches he has where he is Babe Ruth are exciting, but the stretches where he he is hitting .150 and striking out 60% of the time isn't something that is overall as beneficial to our club. I slide Kirilloff into the full time 1B slot, and have the DH open for primarily Donaldson in 2022, as well as Garver.
    6) Sign Jon Gray, formerly of Colorado, 3/42. This might be low on the AAV, but I love his fastball/slider that he brings, which means that the Twins should too. Another healthy arm to pencil into the rotation day 1.
    7) Sign Corey Knebel, formerly of the Dodgers, to a 2/16 deal. 
     
    Here is the layout from twinspayroll.com, but payroll comes in at JUST shy of 130.
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12VX-aXpedY7YM2IwDcna724jnMFUMwTE0jBMP1DH_2A/edit?usp=sharing
     
    Couple of thoughts...
    1) I have Jax initially as my long reliever. I think he is a good option for a 2 inning guy, sometimes 3 innings, and he would just focus on his fastball/slider.
    2) I have Miranda making the team, as the starting 3B. Donaldson would play over there a lot too (and probably start opening day) but having Miranda be 3b, 2b, 1b and some left field is a good thing. I listed Larnach as the starter in left field, but if he needs time at AAA to start the year, maybe Rooker/Refsnyder make that combo for a time?
    3) When/if Austin Martin and Royce Lewis and Gilberto Celestino show they are ready, there are moves to be made to make room.
    4) When our pitching prospects are ready, there are moves to be made to get them up too. But, if they are NOT ready, I think the depth is solid. COULD we look at another relief pitcher signing? Sure. I think they'll do lots of minor league signings again (which is smart.) I also think Colome is back, which I am ok with.
  3. Cory Engelhardt
    Here is my first blueprint for the Twins offseason. I'm using baseballtradevalues.com to come up with the trade scenarios.
     
    1) Let CJ Cron walk.
    2) Re-sign Sergio Romo, 1 year 3 million. Re-sign Jason Castro, 1 years 6 million with an option.
    3) Keep Odorizzi, either through QO or work out a 3 year deal.
    4) Trade Eddie Rosario, Jordan Balazovic and Lewis Thorpe to Arizona for starter Zac Gallen. I REALLY like his upside, and he comes with 6 years of team control. His changeup and command would look great long term.
    5) Trade Trevor Larnach, Brent Rooker, Nick Gordon and Blayne Enlow to Miami for Brian Anderson. 4 years of team control, solid defensive 3rd baseman and can hit. This would move Miguel Sano to 1B. This might be an underpay in trade value, but I really think he would upgrade our infield defense.
    6) Sign Madison Bumgarner, 4 year deal, 88 million. I think he is up for a 2nd wind in his career, like Justin Verlander has had with Houston.
    7) Sign Jake Diekman, 1 year 8 million with an option.
    8) Sign Alex Gordon, 1 year 13 million with an option.
     
    C Mitch Garver 0.60
    1B Miguel Sano 5.50
    2B Luis Arraez 0.60
    SS Jorge Polanco 4.0
    3B Brian Anderson 0.60
    LF Alex Gordon 13.0
    CF Byron Buxton 3.50
    RF Max Kepler 6.3
    DH Nelson Cruz 12
     
    Starting lineup total cost = 46.10 million
     
    Bench
    Jason Castro 6.0
    Marwin Gonzalez 9.0
    Lamonte Wade 0.60
    Ehire Adrianza 3.0
     
    Bench total cost = 18.6
     
    Rotation
    Madison Bumgarner 22.0
    Jose Berrios 4.5
    Jake Odorizzi 17.8, or give or take 15
    Zac Gallen 0.60
    Randy Dobnak (or Devin Smeltzer, until Duran/Graterol/et al are ready) 0.60
     
    Rotation cost = 42.7 to 45.5, depending on Odorizzi signing a 3 year deal or taking the QO
     
    Bullpen
    Taylor Rogers 4.0
    Tyler Duffey 1.3
    Trevor May 2.5
    Jake Diekman 8.0
    Sergio Romo 3.0
    Zack Littell 0.60
    Cody Stashak 0.60
    Graterol/Alcala/Smeltzer/churn of guys between AAA and the majors 0.60
     
    Total bullpen cost = 20.6
     
    Total team cost
     
    Lineup = 46.1
    Bench = 18.6
    Rotation = 45.5 (I'm putting this in as if Odorizzi takes the QO)
    Bullpen = 20.6
    ________________
    Total = 130.8
     
     
    We traded away a lot of prospect capital for the guys coming back. But we also would still, potentially have 4-5 top 100 prospects, all who could make their debuts this year, not including Graterol who made his debut this year. But there would certainly be room for Kirilloff and Lewis to push to make the team at some point in 2020 ongoing.
     
     
    Thoughts?
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