Look at the past decade of the Twins. Every year that people have doubted them, they have done well. But when the media and the fans think that they are gonna have a good year(2007 and 2011 most notably), they don't do very well. The Twins respond to the doubters with wins. I'm not saying we are a great team, but at the end of the year people will be surprised at how well they played. I agree with what you said, but don't be surprised if we end up making a run at the playoffs.
On a side note, this blog kicks major ass. I am absolutely loving it. Keep up with the good work.