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Everything posted by nicksaviking
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Resolving the Apparent Infield Logjam
nicksaviking replied to stringer bell's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
#1 if you remove Lewis from that list. As much as I like the other two, he's clearly in a different class of player. The other two should still be excellent equity to headline a trade. And I love Julien, I'm not dismissing how talented he and Lee are.- 133 replies
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- brooks lee
- edouard julien
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I'd go with the 'stretch' reliever, knowing that most of the successful Twins relievers of the past were 'stretch' relievers until they found that extra gear and became high leverage relievers. Duran, Jax, Duffey, May, Rogers, Perkins. They were all converted starters by the Twins, like Stewart was previously with the Dodgers. Developing one of those guys each year seems to be a great way of keeping your bullpen stocked. But it's the last spot in the pen so I expect it to be fluid. Just don't give much of a leash to the guys with control problems. I know every team thinks they have some special magic to fix that, but no one ever does.
- 77 replies
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- josh staumont
- josh winder
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I just don't buy the 'floor' argument for pitching prospects. Every single one of them has the same floor, that being a complete bust. Raya certainly has both benefited and been hurt by small sample sizes. While his first 13 innings in AA were a disaster, his last 16 were nearly flawless. One run and three walks in those last five outings. And outside of those first 13 innings in AA, his control has been decent, something Festa can't claim. And if there's one thing that torpedoes a good prospect's chances, it's giving up the free passes. Barring catastrophic injury, both of them have enough prospect equity to at least get their chance at the majors, but I honestly think Raya has a better chance of making it, even if he doesn't approach that high ceiling.
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Twins Daily 2024 Top Prospects: #1 Walker Jenkins, OF
nicksaviking replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
I can't imagine any of them are regretting their picks either. Well, maybe the stupid Tigers. Wrong high schooler suckers! Nope, not worried about that being a jinx, Jenkins' talents are superior to my sorcery. -
I had forgotten about the time Balazovic broke his jaw in a fight; it was really the only time I heard Baldelli talk about one of his players in a dismissive manner. Maybe it was overblown or maybe he's a new person, but maybe he has a personality that wasn't worth the trouble.
- 64 replies
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- jordan balazovic
- zack weiss
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I'd like to see Miranda, but only because I think he has a significantly higher chance to be a middle of the order bat. But signing Santana and trading Gordon pretty much eliminated that, save for injury.
- 92 replies
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- byron buxton
- edouard julien
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Yeah, I don't get it. Admittedly I don't know the landscape of all the men and women in charge of the operations side of all 30 teams, but how many of them have a local guy with zero other business experience running the show? Aren't the other teams plucking these guys from Fortune 500 companies or something?
- 92 replies
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- byron buxton
- edouard julien
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Julien and Lee have 3x the value of Arraez; they have exponentially higher ceilings. Arraez is a slap hitter and this is 2024, nobody cares about batting titles. If the Marlins wanted to trade Arraez back to the Twins for Julien, they'd have to include significant prospects. You want a different one? Jose Berrios for Simeon Woods-Richardson and Austin Martin. Happens all the time.
- 92 replies
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- byron buxton
- edouard julien
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Paulo Lopez for Luis Arraez? Sonny Gray for Chase Petty? And the Twins got the OTHER team to even throw in additional pieces in those deals.
- 92 replies
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- byron buxton
- edouard julien
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Twins Daily 2024 Top Prospects: #1 Walker Jenkins, OF
nicksaviking replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
12% strikeout rate, from a HS kid, in pro ball. Insane. When guys are delayed in the system, it's usually due to a number somewhere near 3x that rate. If he reaches AA before August, I hope they have one of those fancy new big money extensions waiting for him in his locker. -
Barring injury these guys all seem like locks based on how they preformed last year. As underwhelming as Winder and Sands have been, have they been any less underwhelming than Staumont? He hasn't had a good season in three years. I thought it was discussed when signed that he did have an option, which really was the only thing that made sense about that signing.
- 92 replies
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- byron buxton
- edouard julien
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And it was reported that the TV deal went from 50M to 40M last I heard. So TV revenue drops 10M and payroll drops 25M. Solid math St. Peter.
- 92 replies
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- byron buxton
- edouard julien
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No, you can do it without using Lewis. They got Lopez by trading Arraez. If Julien or Lee can't headline a trade for a better pitcher than Ober/Ryan/Paddock, than the rest of the league has gone insane. And I'm still on board with USING Ryan along with prospects to upgrade that spot in the rotation.
- 92 replies
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- byron buxton
- edouard julien
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Because they regularly go more than one inning. I think they'll need at least one of that kind of reliever in the pen, especially early in the year when it's cold and starters aren't going as deep into games. Plus, Staumont has a 13% walk rate, which is terrible.
- 92 replies
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- byron buxton
- edouard julien
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Even if he's ready to go, I don't think Staumont makes the team, I think he was mostly attractive due to his option. There's no multi-inning reliever listed, I think Winder or Sands gets Staumont's spot.
- 92 replies
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- byron buxton
- edouard julien
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That's great. But get me somebody that already is. Having Ober turn into that guy in September would be a great bonus.
- 92 replies
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- byron buxton
- edouard julien
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The Last Two Moves The Twins Should Make
nicksaviking replied to DocBauer's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
I am excited for the Twins prospects, but I'm not holding on to all of them when the team could use them to get top of the rotation pitching. And you're right about Sale's value. He was considered one of, if not the best pitcher in the league. I'd give up the commensurate prospects to get a pitcher to win in the playoffs. -
Twins Daily 2024 Top Prospects: #2 Brooks Lee, SS
nicksaviking replied to Steve Lein's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
I'm sure he'll play some DH (more than we'd want too) but Buxton and the Twins sound pretty confident he's going to be the primary CF this year. -
Twins still exploring starting pitching market
nicksaviking replied to Cory Engelhardt's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Not more bats. Better bats. And if anything, the Sonny Gray experience showed the opposite in the playoffs. They won playoff games 3-0, 2-0 and 6-2 while losing playoff games 6-4, 9-1 and 3-1. So they were 3 wins and 1 loss in the games they pitched well. They need a perennial MVP contending type bat for the middle of the lineup. They already paid Correa and Buxton, if they can't provide the offense, the bat will have to come from somewhere else internally. More bench filler free agents won't solve that problem. But, still more importantly, they need a second starter for the big games. -
Twins Daily 2024 Top Prospects: #2 Brooks Lee, SS
nicksaviking replied to Steve Lein's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
I'd do everything I could not to clog up the DH spot, especially for a 24 year old. I mean, having too many good young players is a good thing assuming the team would leverage them for an area of need. -
Twins Daily 2024 Top Prospects: #2 Brooks Lee, SS
nicksaviking replied to Steve Lein's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
The fact that he sounds willing is quite encouraging, even if he never plays another game off of 3B in his life. -
Twins Daily 2024 Top Prospects: #2 Brooks Lee, SS
nicksaviking replied to Steve Lein's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
I know I've been the low guy on Lee, but this really is biggest thing where I'm at with him because I still think he'll be a decent at worst MLB player. Planning on an injury for a guy to get regular playing time, isn't really much of a plan. -
Twins still exploring starting pitching market
nicksaviking replied to Cory Engelhardt's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Yeah, wait until spring training when these types start accepting MiLB deals. They can get an emergency vet for St. Paul like they did Keuchel or Sanchez, but they shouldn't be adding more Keuchel's or Sanchez's to the MLB roster. But before everyone gets upset about this, Bob Nightengale didn't list any of those starters in his article, that was all MLBTR conjecture based on what the Twins were looking at prior to both the TV deal and the DeSclafani deal. -
Yeah, and he's also going to lose out to the others as far as athletic testing goes at the pro days and combines. He is my least favorite of the group, but, if he has the right attitude (or wrong attitude if this was most other professions) the QBs who hold a grudge often are the ones that end up being later drafted gems.
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The more steam McCarthy, Nix and Penix get, the more likely one of the top three guys fall, even if the top guys don't fall behind McCarthy, Nix or Penix. I could see one team at the top, if not more than one team, start getting starry-eyed about paring Harrison, Nabers or Odunze with one of the 'lesser' rookie QBs and trading back into the 1st round if required. Or pairing the stud rookie receivers up with Cousins, Mayfield or even Wilson to be competitive ASAP.

