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Jeremy Nygaard

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Blog Entries posted by Jeremy Nygaard

  2. Jeremy Nygaard
    As the Twins enter their second straight offseason following 90-plus-loss seasons, I find it really hard to write a "blueprint". There are many directions the club could go to improve their team. Without any real idea which (if any) of those "directions" are feasible, I'm going to break it down into a series that previews upcoming roster moves.
     
    So far this offseason - besides the news that a few coaches wouldn't be returning - the only news has been the re-signings of a handful of six-year free agents. While those announcements may continue to trickle in, I'm going to turn the page to the next (and first) significant moves of the offseason: The outrighting of 40-man flotsam.
     
    The roster plus the use of the 60-day DL means the Twins technically have 42 men on the 40-man roster. Semantics. Players 41 and 42 are both free agents-to-be (Scott Baker and Carl Pavano), so it's really only the other 40 we need to be concerned about.
     
    Each year, between the middle of October and when rosters have to be set in advance of the Rule V draft (mid- to late-November), teams will remove some players from their roster to create wiggle room to sign free agents, add players who will be Rule V eligible and allow for flexibility to add players through the Rule V draft.
     
    So what's next? The Twins taking a look at the guys on the 40-man roster and deciding which guys should stay and which guys should go. "Go" is a general term, though, because many of those guys will clear waivers and be sent outright to Rochester. They'll then be invited to Spring Training. The only difference is that they are not on the roster.
     
    Let's take a look:
     
    I think many will hope that Drew Butera will be removed from the roster. While I don't necessarily agree with that thought, his time wouldn't come until it's time to offer arbitration. Same as Alexi Casilla.
     
    It appears to me that all the other infielders and catchers are safe enough to make it through this first roster cleansing. The outfielders, though, are another story.
     
    There are two names here that I'm sure will be discussed thoroughly - Matt Carson and Darin Mastroianni. Neither player figures much into the Twins plan of 2013, but both offer benefits. Carson offers some pop from the right side of the plate and Mastroianni adds center field depth, solid defense and speed on the basepaths. Both still have options remaining, meaning they could stay on the roster, but play for Rochester - which is needed anyway.
     
    What's not working in their favor, however, is the number of outfielders currently on the 40-man (7) and the need to add Aaron Hicks. While Carson was signed as a minor-league free agent last year, Mastroianni was claimed off waivers from Toronto. To me, that is a suggestion that Carson might be easier to pass through waivers. I also value Mastro's speed and D over Carson's bat. Regardless, I fully believe that one of those outfielders (if not both) will be outrighted off of the roster.
     
    The pitching staff is a little more difficult to predict. Scott Diamond is obviously safe. Liam Hendriks still has room to grow. I feel that Samuel Deduno will get a chance and that P.J. Walters at least did enough to earn a look in Spring Training. Cole DeVries - the Minnesota native he is - probably gets a little more leash.
     
    That leaves Esmerling Vasquez. Vasquez adjusted well to being a starter, but since he's out of options it could benefit the Twins (and Red Wings) for him to be a non-roster invite. The hairy part is that he's been outrighted once before, so he would have the option of becoming a free agent. If the Twins get the feeling that he'd elect free agency - and they want to keep him around - that might be enough to keep him on the roster. Personally, I would take my chances. This opens up a spot for Kyle Gibson.
     
    The bullpen is a crapshoot. There are a lot of younger, newer arms that are taking up roster spots. It's just impossible to draw a clear line between who is worth keeping and who isn't.
     
    I've seen enough of Jeff Manship to risk losing him. Even though he's out of options, I think he'd clear waivers and stay in the organization (if the Twins want him).
     
    Luis Perdomo was a minor-league free agent that didn't exactly close the minor-league door behind him when he came up this year. Knowing what he offers, I'd rather give some other six-year free agents a shot.
     
    I'm not sure how it would work to make a move with Lester Oliveros (who is out recovering from Tommy John surgery), so I'll leave him on.
     
    Deolis Guerra and Carlos Gutierrez are both roster "bubble guys", but for now I'll leave them on as well.
     
    So what's the next bit of Twins news I expect to hear? I expect to read that the Twins are outrighting Matt Carson, Esmerling Vasquez, Jeff Manship and Luis Perdomo. I would imagine that all would clear waivers and head to Rochester with an invitation to Spring Training.
     
    After this happens, the Twins will start adding guys to their 40-man roster. Some guys that will definitely be added are Hicks and Gibson (who I previously mentioned). B.J. Hermsen should also be added. Adrian Salcedo (on his way down) and Josmil Pinto (stock up) are others that may have been in the discussion.
  9. Jeremy Nygaard
    One of my favorite days of the year is the day I open my mailbox and see a cardboard box just big enough to hold the Baseball America Prospect Handbook. The first thing I do is read each of the 30 capsules about the Twins prospects. Then I proceed to read each of the other 870 reports in the book, usually a few times.
     
    This year they added a new feature: the BA Grade along with the Risk Factor. Essentially, it makes it possible to compare all 900 prospects. If you want a general idea of where Miguel Sano would rank in the Rangers system, you take his grade (70/high) and find where that would fit (below all the other 70s – only Profar at #1 – and higher than all the other “high risks” – Leonys Martin at #4). He would slot in somewhere between Profar and Martin, most likely in between Martin Perez (65/medium) and Mike Olt (60/medium).
     
    They have an in-depth explanation of the BA Grades as well as the Risk Factors, but I’m going to tell you how I interpret it and how I use it to rank the Twins prospects. (Note these are my grades and risks, not BA’s.)
    All players are ranked on the 20-80 scale. This number would indicate a player’s ceiling.
     
    80 – Once-in-a-Lifetime prospects. These are your Bryce Harpers, Josh Hamiltons, Ken Griffey Jrs… and not much in between.
     
    75 – These are your franchise players and Ace starters. They’re out there… and the Twins have one (Joe Mauer) and traded one (Johan Santana), though Santana wouldn’t rank here anymore.
     
    70 – The guys you expect to hear named to the All-Star game every year. When Justin Morneau was in his prime, he fits here. Staff aces, but not necessarily true “aces”.
     
    65 – These would be your top-of-the-rotation starters and borderline all-stars. When Michael Cuddyer was keeping the Twins together last year, I would place him here; most of the time though, he’s a…
     
    60 – “First-division regulars” (Denard Span), “middle-of-the-rotation starters” (lacks a second plus-pitch), or stud closers.
     
    55 – Guys that look like they could be first-division regulars but lack a tool or two (Ben Revere) or a pitcher that doesn’t have it together all the time.
     
    50 – This is where most players fit – second-division regulars, 8th inning set-up guys or your best #4 pitchers.
     
    45 – These would be platoon or utility guys (Jamey Carroll) or #4/5 starters (who can eat innings), middle relievers.
     
    40 – This is where your #5 starters go, back-up position players or relief specialists.
     
    35 – Long-relief/low-leverage relief pitchers or situation position players (defensive replacement, pinch runner, pinch hitter).
     
    30 – AAA players and I hope not to rank any guys here.
     
    As far as the Risk Factor goes, it’s pretty simple.
     
    “Safe” means the player is at their ceiling and ready to contribute.
     
    “Low” means that the big leagues is in their future and they’re very close to their ceiling.
     
    “Medium” means that the tools are there, but this is an achievable gap between tools and MLB skills.
     
    “High” means there is still lots of projection.
     
    “Extreme” means professional baseball is new or there is a significant injury to overcome.
     
    Similar to how things are in the Prospect Handbook, not all players with the same number are ranked together. Likewise, players with the same risk aren’t necessarily ranked together. BA’s preseason #2 Twins prospect, Joe Benson, is a 55/medium. Max Kepler, also a 55, is ranked #20 due his risk being “extreme”. Their ceiling is similar, but their “floors” are much different. Kepler is also ranked below a number of players with a lower ceiling. Why? Because their risk factor is much less.
     
    The numbers mentioned above are purely for the purpose of examples. My rankings/grades may be much different, but at least you get the idea.
     
    I am not including players that won’t be considered a prospect at year’s end (or that I don’t think will), such as Chris Parmelee, Liam Hendriks, Brian Dozier and Eduardo Escobar.
     
    I’ve also included, in parenthesis, my pre-season ranking, if they were in the Top 10. Only Liam Hendriks, who ranked #6 on my preseason list, has graduated off.
     
    This is a Top 50 and I waited until after the deadline to include players that were acquired… but I wanted Albers at 50, so it’s going to be a Top 50 plus 1 to include Pedro Hernandez
     
    #41-50
    50. Andrew Albers, LP, 35/Medium, 10/6/85
    49. Josh Burris, P, 45/Extreme, 11/28/91
    48. Caleb Thielbar, LRP, 40/Medium, 1/31/87
    47. Evan Bigley, OF, 40/Medium, 3/9/87
    46. Deolis Guerra, RP, 40/High, 4/17/89
    45. Austin Malinowski, LSP, 45/Extreme, 11/30/92
    44. Romy Jimenez, OF, 45/Extreme, 5/14/91
    43. Jorge Polanco, SS, 45/Extreme, 7/5/93
    42. Angel Mata, SP, 45/Extreme, 12/3/92
    41. Nate Roberts, OF, 45/High, 2/25/89
     
    Of note: If Polanco shows he can hit, he will move back up prospect lists thanks to his defensive prowess. Jimenez has had a great month or so, but hasn't played much otherwise. Roberts has a knack for getting on base, but will have to stay healthy to show other tools are playable.
     
    #31-40
    40. Tyler Duffey, P, 45/High, 12/27/90
    39. Javier Pimentel, SS, 50/Extreme, 3/13/94
    38. Miguel Gonzalez, P, 50/Extreme, 10/12/94
    37. Angel Morales, OF, 45/High, 11/24/89
    36. Michael Tonkin, RP, 45/High, 11/19/89
    35. Daniel Ortiz, OF, 45/High, 1/5/90
    34. D.J. Baxendale, SP, 45/High, 12/8/90
    33. Daniel Santana, SS, 45/High, 11/7/90
    32. Carlos Gutierrez, RP, 45/High, 9/22/86
    31. J.D. Williams, OF, 50/Extreme, 11/20/91
     
    Of note: Morales and Gutierrez, both top-10 prospects once, need to get healthy and prove they belong. J.D. Williams, who is one of the fastest players in the system, needs to show he’s a baseball player, not just fast. Baxendale is a starting pitcher to keep your eye on.
     
    #21-30
    30. Zach Jones, P, 45/High, 12/4/90
    29. J.T. Chargois, RP, 45/High, 12/3/90
    28. Pedro Florimon, SS, 45/Medium, 12/10/86
    x. Pedro Hernandez, LP, 45/Medium, 4/12/89
    27. Dereck Rodriguez, OF, 50/Extreme, 6/5/92
    26. Amaurys Minier, SS, 50/Extreme, 1/30/96
    25. Kennys Vargas, 1B, 50/Extreme, 8/1/90
    24. Alex Wimmers, P, 50/High, 11/1/88
    23. Adam Walker, OF, 50/High, 10/18/91
    22 (7). Adrian Salcedo, P, 50/High, 4/24/91
    21. Mason Melotakis, LP, 50/High, 6/28/91
     
    Of note: All of these names are intriguing. The pitchers – especially Jones, Chargois and Melotakis who could be huge movers with more experience – all have potential. Minier will debut next year. Vargas has lots of raw power.
     
    #11-20
    20. Madison Boer, P, 50/High, 11/9/89
    Struggling in the hi-A rotation, may have to go to bullpen to succeed.
     
    19. Corey Williams, LRP, 50/High, 7/4/90
    Lefty has struggled with consistency, can still fill a back-of-bullpen role.
     
    18. Luke Bard, P, 50/High, 11/13/90
    Recently promoted to E-Town, should get a chance to start.
     
    17. Levi Michael, SS, 50/High, 2/9/91
    Young for his level, Michael hasn’t hit.
     
    16. Chris Herrmann, C/OF, 45/Medium, 11/24/87
    Versatile defender has shown he can hit a little bit.
     
    15. Jason Wheeler, P, 50/High, 10/27/90
    Big-body who has thrown a ton of innings.
     
    14. Matt Summers, P, 50/High, 8/17/89
    Now only focused on pitching, watching his profile rise.
     
    13. Hudson Boyd, P, 55/Extreme, 10/18/82
    Has pitched well over his short professional career.
     
    12. B.J. Hermsen, P, 45/Medium, 12/1/89
    Not what you’d expect from his frame, but throws strikes and gets outs.
     
    11 (9). Niko Goodrum, SS, 55/Extreme, 2/28/92
    Great athlete getting another shot in Appy League.
     
    #1-10
    10 (8). Joe Benson, OF, 50/Medium, 3/5/88
    Down year, but glove still profiles as plus.
     
    9. Max Kepler, OF, 55/High, 2/10/93
    Filling out, could make lots of noise in next couple of years.
     
    8 (4). Kyle Gibson, P, 55/Medium, 10/23/87
    Coming back from TJ surgery; hopes to fill a rotation spot when healthy.
     
    7 (10). Travis Harrison, 3B, 60/Extreme, 10/17/92
    Big power from right side of plate; struggles defensively and may move to 1B.
     
    6 (3). Aaron Hicks, OF, 55/Medium, 10/2/89
    Switch-hitting starting to take (finally); super arm/defender in CF.
     
    5. J.O. Berrios, P, 60/Extreme, 5/27/94
    Excelling in GCL; dominant stuff.
     
    4 (5). Eddie Rosario, 2B, 65/High, 9/28/91
    Learning 2B, but real offensive threat with “quick-through-the-zone” bat.
     
    3 (2). Oswaldo Arcia, OF, 60/Medium, 5/9/91
    Pure hitter that is better in the OF than he looks.
     
    2. Byron Buxton, OF, 70/Extreme, 12/18/93
    Fast, super athlete, cannon arm, who needs to hit. If he hits with power, look out.
     
    1 (1). Miguel Sano, 3B, 70/High, 5/11/93
    Strikeout/defensive questions remain. No question about raw power – best in minor leagues.
     
    What do you think? Who is too high? Who is too low? Who did I forget entirely?
     
    My next addition will come out sometime after the calendar turns.
  11. Jeremy Nygaard
    You can go read various threads and articles on this site if you want opinions on how the Twins did by trading Francisco Liriano to the division-leading Chicago White Sox.
     
    I'm going to break down what this trade does from an organization standpoint.
     
    SALARY:
     
    It appears that the White Sox will pick up the rest of Liriano's tab for the season. This saved the Twins $2,073,800. (Their payroll is now $97,775,800 before factoring in the 25th player they need to add.)
     
    Both Eduardo Escobar and Pedro Hernandez are slated to earn the minimum salary this year. At $2,600 per service day they could both spend the rest of the season with the big club and only make a combined $362,000. At this point, with both being assigned to Rochester, their earnings will not count towards the major-league payroll.
     
    40-MAN ROSTER:
     
    Removing Liriano only created one spot. The Twins moved P.J. Walters to the 60-day DL to create room for both Escobar and Hernandez.
     
    25-MAN ROSTER:
     
    Duensing is taking Liriano's place in the rotation, but the Twins are expected to make a move to fill his spot on the active roster today. One of Kyle Waldrop, Lester Oliveros or Deolis Guerra will be promoted to provide the Twins with another bullpen arm. When Liriano's spot comes up in the rotation next week, it would make sense for the Twins to promote Liam Hendriks.
     
    ROCHESTER ROSTER:
     
    Pedro Hernandez, who at 23, is extremely young for AAA. He ranks as the 16th youngest player on the International League circuit (only 5 days older than Deolis Guerra). Hernandez's scouting report reads very similar to Scott Diamond (great command, low strikeout rate) and he will be slotted into the Red Wings rotation. He is in his first option year and, as of today, has a grand total of 1 major league service day. Hernandez should get a shot at breaking spring training in the Twins rotation, but will more than likely start 2013 in Rochester's rotation where he can continue to work on his low-90s fastball, low-80's changeup and, most importantly, his 80mph slider/cutter.
     
    Eduardo Escobar, also 23, is a glove-first middle-infielder. He had previously spent all of 2012 with the White Sox, but still has only amassed 141 major league service days and will have one option year remaining after this year. Barring injury (or trade) to Dozier, Casilla or Carroll, it is expected that Escobar will spend a vast majority of the rest of the season in Rochester. Terry Ryan suggested the Escobar will get "everyday at-bats", which should help improve (or, possibly, verify) his below-average offensive numbers. Short-term, it should have an effect on both Florimon's and Nishioka's playing time; long-term, Escobar could become a cheaper version of Casilla or provide the Twins with additional flexibility should they decide to move Jamey Carroll.
     
    FINAL THOUGHTS:
     
    I wasn't going to do it, but... I think we all hoped that Liriano would net a high-ceiling, (decent) pitching prospect that we've heard of.
     
    Hernandez doesn't exactly fit that profile, but there is potential there. At the very least, he offers another arm that could take on some major-league innings over the next couple years, though he probably doesn't become much more than a back-of-the-rotation starter or possibly a left-handed reliever.
     
    Eduardo Escobar isn't going to hit (so that should eliminate Gardy batting him #2, right?), but their is value in his glove. Does he become their everyday SS? I highly doubt that. Could he become a valuable late-inning defensive replacement? Absolutely. Is there a need for one of those on a team that will struggle to win 70 games? Well, that's a different story. He will get a chance to break camp as a starting middle-infielder, whether that's at second or shortstop, and probably becomes a cheaper version of Alexi Casilla as early as 2013.
  12. Jeremy Nygaard
    The Twins were off today, but there was still plenty of action.
     
    Trevor Plouffe announced on Twitter this morning that he would be back tomorrow.
     
    And before their afternoon (or was it morning?) game, the Red Wings activated Deolis Guerra from the DL and placed Dan Sattler on the DL.
     
    Later this evening, the Twins announced they were placing Anthony Swarzak on the DL with a rotator cuff strain. To take his place, the Twins will purchase the contract of RP Luis Perdomo.
     
    Since the 40-man roster is full, Carl Pavano was transferred to the 60-day DL. Pavano last pitched on June 1, so he will be eligible to come off the DL well before he’s actually ready to be activated. (He's starting his rehab in Fort Myers, so who knows how long it will take for him to get ready.)
     
    Throughout the day, there were various trade rumors involving many current Twins. As the deadline approaches, Francisco Liriano (Orioles and Angels) appears almost certain to be moved. Denard Span (Reds) is mentioned prominently. Both Justin Morneau and Josh Willingham have had their names brandished about, though the Twins appear set (and rightfully so!) on keeping Willingham around. (Seriously, if he hits 40 HRs, stays healthy and has a decent first half next year... then let's talk about trading him.)
     
    And now today’s round-up:
     
    ROCHESTER 9, SYRACUSE 17
    Box score
     
    I’m not gonna lie: After reading up on newest addition, Eric Hurley, I was a little excited. Not because I thought he’d dominate AAA and be the answer for the Twins of 2013’s problems; but because he was once a highly-ranked, untouchable prospect. The Rangers wouldn’t trade him for anybody… and then he got hurt… and stayed hurt. He made a brief appearance for the Angels this year (so brief he didn’t even pitch) before eventually electing to become a free agent. The Twins/Red Wings picked him off the scrap heap and inserted him into their rotation to see if he had anything left in the tank.

    2 2/3 IP, 7 H, 7 ER, BB, K, 2 HR, HBP, 35 strikes on 55 pitches.


     
    His current 23.63 IL ERA makes his 5.81 PCL ERA look pretty good.
     
    The crazy thing about today’s game was that when Hurley left in the 3rd inning, the game was tied at 7. Obviously the Red Wings bats showed up to play.
     
    Unfortunately, the Syracuse Chiefs were a little more ready to play.
     
    The bullpen combined to finish the game, but not before yielding 15 more hits and 10 more earned runs. Caleb Thielbar (2 ER, 4 H, 4 outs), Kyle Waldrop (5 ER, 5 H, 5 outs) and Luke French (2 ER, 3 H, 4 outs) were all pretty brutal.
     
    The lone pitching bright spot was the return of Deolis Guerra who allowed only one run on three hits in two innings. He struck out two.
     
    For as bad as the pitching was today, the offense was exactly opposite. The offense contributed nine runs on nine hits.
     
    The three guys that stood out offensively were Brian Dinkelman (2-for-5, 3 R, 2B), Chris Parmelee (3-for-4, 2 R, 2 HR, 4 RBI, BB) and Tsuyoshi Nishioka (1-for-4, 2B, 3 RBI). It wasn’t enough however as the 3-6 hitters combined to go 2-for-15, including Danny Valencia’s 0-for-4 showing.
     
    The Red Wings hit the road to continue their pursuit of a playoff berth, playing a 4-game series in Columbus starting tomorrow.
     
    NEW BRITAIN vs READING - postponed
     
    FT. MYERS 4, BREVARD COUNTY 3
    Box score
     
    Tom Stuifbergen pitched his best game of the season, lasting into the eighth inning. He allowed only five hits and a walk, yielding two runs and striking out a season-high seven batters.
     
    Miguel Munoz recorded the last five outs (all groundouts) for his first save. He allowed one hit and one run.
     
    The Miracle scored all four of their runs in the 2nd inning. Josmil Pinto got the scoring started with a solo home run. Anderson Hidalgo knocked in a run with a sacrifice fly before Danny Santana plated two with a triple. No batter had more than one hit.
     
    BELOIT 1, BURLINGTON 4
    Box score
     
    The Snappers bats didn’t do much damage tonight, scoring only one run on six hits. Stephen Wickens led the offensive charge with two singles. He added a stolen base (but was caught stealing once too). Kennys Vargas continues hitting the ball, knocking a double to drive in the team’s lone run. Miguel Sano went 1-for-4 with a strikeout.
     
    David Hurlbut went five innings, allowing three runs on five hits. He walked three and struck out one.
     
    Tim Atherton allowed a hit in one inning. Steven Gruver made his fourth bullpen appearance of the season allowing a run in one inning.
     
    DJ Baxendale made his Snappers debut striking out one in an inning of work. Baxendale’s professional numbers are pretty sick so far: 7 G, 8 2/3 IP, 1 H, 1 BB, 18 K. Next year will be a better indication for Baxendale’s prospect status, as he will more-than-likely be moved to Beloit’s starting rotation.
     
    ELIZABETHTON 10, GREENEVILLE 2
    Box score
    The E-Twins did what the E-Twins do… pound the ball on offense and get great pitching from their staff.
     
    Adam Walker continues to show off his power, hitting two home runs and driving in three runs. Walker is a legitimate power prospect.
     
    Max Kepler hit his 6th home run (of the season and in his last ten games). Kepler recently said he wants to bulk up to about 240 and views himself in the “Josh Hamilton” mold.
     
    Rory Rhodes continues to hit since his demotion, going 3-for-5 with a double, two runs and an RBI. Niko Goodrum added his 7th double of the season.
     
    Ricardo Arevalo had another rough outing. He last 4 1/3 innings giving up two runs on four hits. He allowed two walks and struck out five. While not a terrible stat line, He’s now given up multiple earned runs in his last six starts. This is his 4th year in rookie ball and he has a career record of 1-14… not exactly awe-inspiring numbers.
     
    Brett Lee continued his stellar season in relief. He pitched 2 2/3 innings of one-hit ball.
     
    Luis Nunez, who’s been hot-and-cold all year, pitched the last two innings. He allowed no hits and struck out three. When Nunez is on – which he was today – he is nearly unhittable.
     
     
    GCL TWINS 7, GCL RAYS 2
    Box score
     
    The GCL affiliate was powered by a 6-run 5th inning. Three of those runs came on one swing of Byron Buxton’s bat, a home run to left field. (Buxton improved his BA to .190.) Bryan Haar (3-for-4) also doubled in the innings.
     
    Brian Compton, son of Twins scout Ken Compton, went 2-for-4 with a run and RBI in his professional debut. Compton was an undrafted free agent out of Cal State – L.A.
     
    Sam Gibbons had his best outing since the beginning of the month, allowing two hits in five innings. He struck out two. Gibbons will try to continue the trend of unearthly successful players from Down Under.
     
    Andre Martinez, of the “signed, unsigned, signed again” fame, made his pro debut by walking two and allowing a hit in 1 1/3 innings. He allowed two runs (one earned). Martinez was signed at a much-discounted rate after his physical showed some shoulder issues.
     
    Hung Yi Chen allowed one hit in 2 2/3 innings.
    ---
    Players of the Day for Thursday, July 26, 2012
     
    Pitcher of the Day – Tom Stuifbergen
    [ATTACH=CONFIG]1676[/ATTACH]
     
    Hitters of the Day – Chris Parmelee
    [ATTACH=CONFIG]1677[/ATTACH]
     
    ---
    A Look Ahead – Friday, July 27, 2012 Schedule
     
    Rochester vs Syracuse – RHP Jeff Manship (6-1, 2.29)
     
    New Britain at Reading – LHP Logan Darnell (8-7, 4.47)
     
    Ft. Myers vs Brevard County – RHP Madison Boer (4-9, 6.69)
     
    Beloit at Burlington – RHP Tyler Jones (1-3, 5.06)
     
    Elizabethton vs Greenefield – RHP Hudson Boyd (2-3, 1.32)
     
    GCL Twins vsGCL Red Sox – TBA
     
    ---
    If you have any questions on the Twins minor league system, players, teams, etc., leave them in the Comments and we’ll try to answer them! Comments also welcome.
  15. Jeremy Nygaard
    I used to subscribe to BA's Top Performers email, but after looking at it - seeing batting and pitching lines for hundreds of prospects - and not getting much out of it, I unsubscribed.
     
    While browsing their website today, I found a link to "Yesterday's Top Performers". I clicked on it and expected to see the same format I saw with the emails. I was wrong.
     
    Instead what I saw where the top 10 daily performers based on Runs Created (for batters) and Game Score (for pitchers). I went through each day (through 7/6) and compiled the Twins Top 10 daily performances for hitters and pitchers.
     
    Date/Player/Runs Created
    6/20 Niko Goodrum 4.09
    4/22 Oswaldo Arcia 4.03
    5/10 Oswaldo Arcia 3.76
    4/9 Miguel Sano 3.69
    5/20 Oswaldo Arcia 3.62
    6/28 Rory Rhodes 3.56
    7/2 Romy Jimenez 3.46
    6/2 Oswaldo Arcia 3.42
    6/28 Romy Jimenez 3.42
    4/20 Miguel Sano 3.25
     
    Date/Player/Game Score
    6/9 Liam Hendriks 87
    6/26 Matt Summers 84
    6/4 Liam Hendriks 76
    5/7 Matt Summers 74
    5/24 Liam Hendriks 72
    7/2 Kuo Hua Lo 72
    6/10 BJ Hermsen 71
    5/1 BJ Hermsen 69
    4/13 BJ Hermsen 68
    4/19 BJ Hermsen 68
    6/3 Madison Boer 68
    6/23 Taylor Rogers 68
    7/5 BJ Hermsen 68
     
    The conclusions that I drew from compiling these lists:
     
    Oswaldo Arcia has been even better than I realized. He made the Top 10 for the Twins a bunch, but his name also appeared a bunch more times on the daily report.
     
    Miguel Sano hasn't shown up on the daily report since April 30th.
     
    Chris Parmelee, Chris Herrmann, Max Kepler and Aaron Hicks all showed up multiple times.
     
    BJ Hermsen's name appeared nearly every time he started for Fort Myers. He also made the list pitching for New Britain. He's got to be moving up Twins prospect lists.
     
    Liam Hendriks dominates AAA like he sucks for the Twins.
     
    Matt Summers has had a few excellent games for Beloit and will continue to get better with experience.
     
    Logan Darnell was the only other player to be mentioned multiple times.
     
    Many lower-level pitchers made the Top 10 daily report list once.
     
    (There have been some games in the last couple of nights that will probably change the lists a little bit; unfortunately, those days aren't posted yet.)
  22. Jeremy Nygaard
    With the deadline being moved up by a month, we've seen many draft picks come to terms and report. I usually take the week following the draft to gather information and then make a (somewhat educated) guess at what draft picks will sign and which will return or go to college. (Going to have to shorten that time frame up in the future.)
     
    Now that the draft has been shortened by 10 rounds, it is hard to use precedence to set a number on how many players the team will sign. I'm guessing it's going to be around 26.
     
    I break the draftees into four tiers: Will sign, probable sign, doubtful sign, won't sign. Last year, the Twins signed a "doubtful sign" (Torres) and a "won't sign" (Malinowski). All of the players I thought would sign, eventually did. In 2010, the Twins didn't sign one player I thought they would (a senior - Gregg), one that I thought they might (Kuresa) and signed four that I didn't see coming.
     
    Here are this year's draftees, broken into the four tiers. (Boldfaced names are those that have already signed/agreed to terms).
     
    Will sign (19; 16 have signed): Byron Buxton , J.O. Berrios , Luke Bard, Mason Melotakis (signed for $68.5K under value), J.T. Chargois , Adam Brett Wa lker , Zach Jones, Ty ler Duffey, Jorge Fernandez, Christian Powell, D.J. Baxendale*, Taylor Rogers, Alex Muren, Erich Knab, Jarret Leverett, D.J. Hicks, Jonathan Murphy, B.K. Santy, Brian Haar.
     
    *Baxendale is still pitching in the College World Series, so it's impossible to know/guess what his intentions are.
     
    Probably sign (7; 3 have signed): Andre Martinez (signed for $60K over value), L.J. Mazzilli, Jake Proctor, Zach Larson, Bo Altobelli, Travis Huber, Jerad Grundy.
     
    Doubtful sign (11; 2 have signed): Will Hurt, William LaMarche, Josh Graham, Jose Favela, Joel Licon, Justin Jones, Carson Goldsmith, Sean Hagan, Jared Wilson, Brandon Bayardi, Brad Schreiber.
     
    Won't sign (6): Timmy Robinson, Andrew Farreira, Kaleb Merck, James Marvel, Austin Rel, Alex Liquori.
     
    ---
     
    Buxton's signing bonus will be the next domino to fall. If they are able to bank some of their pool (as of now, they have only banked $8,500), I think that improves the team's chances of signing Timmy Robinson and/or Josh Graham. James Marvel, who is heading to Duke, is a huge Twins fan... so he remains a darkhorse.
     
    Regardless, this is me putting it out there for the whole world to see.
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