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Doomtints

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Everything posted by Doomtints

  1. Doomtints
    Suzuki leaving after the season ends would get them back down to 3 catchers if Garver were added before the end of the season. But they won't want to go back up to 4 catchers to bring in someone new. The only option would be Garver, Murphy, and Centeno on the roster. That's a huge commitment just to "get a look" at a guy in the fall. And when would Garver even play in September with two or three other catchers with the team? Garver is untested above AA and Murphy looks like he should be in AA. This is the perfect setup for a classic Twins roster blunder. If the Twins are at all thinking about their next catcher, Garver should be in AAA so they can see if he can hit against better competition. Centeno, of course, could be cut if required but with how Murphy has looked that seems like a terrible idea. it doesn't seem likely that they will give up on Murphy within the next year. So what do they do?
  2. Doomtints
    This doesn't change the fact that there would then be 4 catchers on the 40-man. This would block the possibility of signing a catcher over the offseason. The Twins could still very well do that -- they have been rather masterful at painting themselves into corners. This doesn't mean they should.
  3. Doomtints
    The problem with bringing up Garver after the rosters expand in September is that he is not on the 40 man. To put him on the 40-man would mean they would have 4 catchers on the roster and it would mean releasing someone else just to get a look at a catcher from AA. The Twins won't do that. No team would. Although Garver is the best internal choice, we won't see him this year unless one of the other catchers ends up on the 60-day DL or gets released. Unfortunately this means that next year the problem is still not particularly easy to solve. If the Twins sign a free agent or re-sign Suzuki, Garver is still blocked by seemingly worse options. Centeno could be sent packing too, but then the team is still stuck with the apparently very raw Murphy on the roster. One move the Twins can do is swap Murphy and Garver at the AA/AAA levels so that the Twins can get a better look at Garver and make a smart decision about the catching position next year. I'm guessing the Twins will re-sign Suzuki at a cheaper rate and the logjam of mediocre to bad options blocking a promising option stays in place.
  4. Doomtints
    Not if it's this staff, that's for sure.
  5. Doomtints
    Some of you nailed it. This problem wasn't caused by not moving Plouffe. The problem was caused by signing Park. It's hard to see it now but Sano's 3B defense has an incredibly small chance of panning out. Moving him to the OF was the choice to make if the Twins did not want him to DH. Those moves are fine if in a bubble ... but then they signed Park and blocked Sano from moving back to DH if he could not play in the outfield. Now the Twins are truly stuck. Now the Twins will probably need to make multiple moves to accommodate Sano. I'm still a little surprised that some people don't see a superstar when they look at Polanco. I think that, sometimes, fans buy into it when a front office bounces a player around. But I'm not sure about putting him at 3rd as has been suggested. Good middle infielders don't grow on trees. Polanco will be an upgrade over Dozier and Dozier will probably make a nice return on the trade market.
  6. Doomtints
    Good point. Without Ryan leaving, Antony's chance of being the next full-time GM is even smaller. But the point is ... Which of these scenarios is the real one: is this Antony's job to lose, is he already a shoo-in, or is he facing very long odds? Your suggestion is that it's Antony's job to lose. And that might be true. In fact, I would hope that is true. If this team continues on this .600 winning clip why not keep him around a bit longer? There is no rule about shedding an interim title after just a couple of months. Give him an extended look next year. Unfortunately keeping Antony on for a full year as an interim GM would be unconventional and the Twins are not unconventional types. But I digress. I think your suggestion is closer to the mark than the other theories -- that either Antony has zero chance or he is guaranteed the job and this is all for show. Those are both pretty black and white options and Pohlad doesn't seem like a black and white thinker.
  7. Doomtints
    I disliked A-Rod right up until I read what he said at this press conference. He admits he made a lot of mistakes -- every mistake in the book. He is baffled that anyone would still like him or give him a chance. This is the first time I have seen him act even remotely human. I bet he understands that the only reason he will not hit that home run record is his own actions.
  8. Doomtints
    You're right. Most likely they hired this firm one of two ways: 1) The asked some other GMs how they did their job searches, 2) This firm reached out to the Twins. Nothing creative, nothing sinister.
  9. Doomtints
    Well ... some people are devious. Is the young Pohlad devious? I really doubt it. He all but admitted he wasn't paying attention to the club until the bottom fell out. Someone "devious" would probably have his hands all over the club. And as you said, it seems unlikely that someone in Pohlad's position would care about public relations at least as far as this is concerned. If Antony stays it could be more about the Pohlads not wanting to lay off an entire staff than it is about Antony -- that much is true. They are a big-hearted organization when it comes to their employees which has contributed to the problem.
  10. Doomtints
    I did not even consider that they hired the search firm just to make things look good, but you may be right. Even if it turns out to be Antony, I hope they truly consider the alternatives.
  11. Doomtints
    Interesting. The official word seems to be that Bartlett is a long shot, but maybe this message is meant to be motivation. "Good night, Jason. Good work. Sleep well. I'll most likely cut you in the morning." - Dread Pirate Ryan This is similar to how they treated Joe Nathan in spring training before giving him the closer's job.
  12. Doomtints
    This is the last I'll weigh in on this one: - Florimon does not really seem to be the 'SS of the future' -- so I completely understand looking at Drew. - Florimon's defense may have been overstated last year. But to the same token, his hitting may have been understated by an equal measure. - Drew would have been an exciting signing three years ago, but as it stands now a team would be lucky to get 1-1.5 good years from his bat. I would wager on more like around half a year, but I am on the more skeptical edge of the spectrum when it comes to Drew due to his recent injuries and overall decline. - We know that the Twins like to be patient with hitters, so Florimon is likely to get more time unless he really annoys somebody. - The Twins also have Escobar available, who is probably somewhere between Drew and Florimon in ability. Where exactly? No idea. - Danny Santana should be around should they both fail soon enough (end of 2014 or start of 2015). (Oh, and Jason Bartlett.)
  13. Doomtints
    If memory serves, both Hrbek and Puckett took smaller-dollar contracts to stay with the Twins. Puckett was the highest paid player in baseball for about a week (89?), but even by the standards of that era he was a great deal at about $3 million per. The big salary explosion started pretty soon after that and within about a year his salary wasn't even in the top 40. When he re-signed four years later his salary moved up to around 9th -- and Hrbek was around 90th.
  14. Doomtints
    Ryan was unusually forthcoming in this interview.
  15. Doomtints
    Seeing Buxton will be nice. I'm guessing Sano's workload will be light if he plays at all, so I'm not sure there. This implies his injury is healing well, at least. Does Oliveros still have a chance?
  16. Doomtints
    The guy who came up with UZR states pretty clearly that you need three years of data for UZR to be reliable, and goes on to say that small sample sizes come up with downright ridiculous views. Florimon's sample size is way too small to be using UZR. When you look at Florimon it is impossible to see the SS of the future. Drew just isn't exciting enough to me to be the answer -- though a lot of fans see this differently. Getting Drew now would simply prohibit the Twins from getting someone better later. If this was 2010 or 2011 I would say get Drew without hesitation. Be careful. The Red Sox also played Jose Iglesias at SS last year. They traded him off at midseason, but he had better offensive production than Drew.
  17. Doomtints
    I think the important question is, did the right guys get in? Yes. Who got one vote, who is boycotting PEDs, who didn't get in unanimously -- this is all noise. The system is working fine. Six people got in this year (including the three managers) -- this is a lot. Borderline too many, if you ask me.
  18. Doomtints
    Florimon played 134 games last year, which was more games than Drew. How skewed do you think the numbers are?
  19. Doomtints
    This sounds like a great philosophy. It's a great thing that we have other statistics available to compare the defensive abilities of Drew and Florimon.
  20. Doomtints
    To me, replacing Florimon with Drew does not make a net improvement to the team. It is trading defensive ability (which tends to be stable) for offensive ability (which has its ups and downs). In the end, I don't think this would improve the team. Drew would have to be far more productive offensively than anyone would expect for this to be worth it.
  21. Doomtints
    People are afraid that the rookies will get blocked, and as some of them are out of options they will have to be released. No one would trade for them, considering they would be known to be hitting the waiver wire soon enough. I agree with you, however. You put the best team you can on the field, and if someone gets cut to make the team better you are managing your team correctly.....
  22. Doomtints
    If R.A. Dickey can play without a UCL, Sano can too.
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