still not buying as anything more than a 4th or 5th starter. His BABIP with men on base is .226, and with men in scoring position, it's .206. The ground ball % is encouraging, but ground ball pitchers actually tend to have higher BABIPs, since ground balls end up as hits more than fly balls. Another BABIP red flag. He's 136th out of 137 pitchers (70 innings min) for infield fly balls, which is a pretty key component of predicting future BABIP.