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Let's take a look at what ESPN has the Twins Projected for stats wise. Jeffers- 68-280, 39 R, 13 2B, 1 3B, 13 HR, 40 RBI, 32 BB, 87 K, 1 SB, .243/.331/.436 Santana- 104-454, 58 R, 23 2B, 1 3B, 20 HR, 64 RBI, 65 BB, 94 K, 2 SB, .229/.324/.416 Julien- 123-494, 74 R, 25 2B, 1 3B, 17 HR, 52 RBI, 92 BB, 184 K, 12 SB, .249/.370/.407 Correa- 137-516, 70 R, 28 2B, 1 3B, 20 HR, 67 RBI, 61 BB, 116 K, 0 SB, .266/.345/.440 Lewis- 128-450, 73 R, 19 2B, 0 3B, 28 HR, 87 RBI, 45 BB, 107 K, 10 SB, .284/.353/.513 Wallner- 86-374, 55 R, 22 2B, 2 3B, 17 HR, 57 RBI, 59 BB, 150 K, 3 SB, .230/.356/.436 Buxton- 86-377, 66 R, 21 2B, 2 3B, 26 HR, 53 RBI, 39 BB, 121 K, 11 SB, .228/.308/.501 Kepler- 110-439, 71 R, 21 2B, 2 3B, 21 HR, 62 RBI, 49 BB, 103 K, 5 SB, .251/.330/.451 Kirilloff- 109-415, 55 R, 20 2B, 1 3B, 17 HR, 66 RBI, 39 BB, 113 K, 2 SB, .263/.338/.439 Castro- 90-369, 58 R, 17 2B, 3 3B, 9 HR, 34 RBI, 27 BB, 100 K, 25 SB, .244/.311/.379 Margot- 92-339, 43 R, 22 2B, 2 3B, 5 HR, 47 RBI, 22 BB, 56 K, 9 SB, .271/.319/.392 Farmer- 72-296, 36 R, 13 2B, 1 3B, 8 HR, 40 RBI, 18 BB, 62 K, 2 SB, .243/.304/.375 Vazquez- 66-280, 28 R, 13 2B, 0 3B, 5 HR, 30 RBI, 20 BB, 57 K, 2 SB, .236/.287/.336 Lopez- 14-8, 3.72 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 32 GS, 196 IP, 219 K, 54 BB Ryan- 11-7, 3.80 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 30 GS, 166 IP, 196 K, 39 BB Ober- 11-8, 3.78 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 30 GS, 169 IP, 170 K, 33 BB Paddack- 6-5, 3.94 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 20 GS, 96 IP, 86 K, 21 BB Varland- 9-7, 3.93 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 26 GS, 142 IP, 156 K, 39 BB ESPN still has DeSclafani projected for 10 starts. They also have starts going to Canterino, Woods Richardson, Festa, and Boushley. These projections don't list Games for Batters. These numbers also seem similar to the CBS Sports projections, which seem a bit unrealistic compared to Fan Graphs.

Career .255 hitter. Batting averages of .264 and .274 the past two seasons. Only played over 100 games once in 4 years with the Rays.

Better run and bet on the Red Sox, Nationals, Tigers, or Rockies to win the World Series then! Currently the only playoff teams from 2023 who have a winning record in Spring Training 2024 are the Orioles and Dodgers. But yeah, continue judging teams based on a bunch of guys who will be in the minors for the next few years, or judging teams who have their players split between two games at the same time, or judging teams based on road games that starters haven't been traveling to.

It amazes me every year how often people invest way too heavily into ST stats and W-L records. I'd love to know how many times the WS winner has had a losing record in ST. Or how many times the worst team in baseball had a winning record during ST. Or how many players have amazing springs and then do nothing in the regular season and vise versa. The Phillies blew 3 leads in the 9th inning back to back to back earlier this ST, what are the odds that happens during the regular season?

Let's take a look at where CBS Sports has the Twins Projected for stats wise. Jeffers- 91 G, 74-319, 42 R, 14 2B, 1 3B, 15 HR, 46 RBI, 34 BB, 101 K, 2 SB, .233/.317/.424 Santana- 107 G, 92-400, 53 R, 19 2B, 0 3B, 15 HR, 56 RBI, 56 BB, 84 K, 3 SB, .230/.326/.395 Julien- 120 G, 104-431, 68 R, 22 2B, 1 3B, 14 HR, 54 RBI, 76 BB, 155 K, 7 SB, .240/.358/.397 Correa- 138 G, 137-524, 76 R, 29 2B, 1 3B, 21 HR, 72 RBI, 61 BB, 125 K, 1 SB, .262/.341/.443 Lewis- 138 G, 144-537, 83 R, 30 2B, 2 3B, 26 HR, 92 RBI, 48 BB, 138 K, 13 SB, .268/.333/.478 Wallner- 100 G, 87-373, 53 R, 21 2B, 2 3B, 16 HR, 57 RBI, 47 BB, 145 K, 2 SB, .234/.335/.426 Buxton- 125 G, 114-482, 77 R, 28 2B, 3 3B, 29 HR, 78 RBI, 45 BB, 160 K, 11 SB, .237/.309/.488 Kepler- 133 G, 123-505, 74 R, 27 2B, 2 3B, 23 HR, 75 RBI, 58 BB, 116 K, 4 SB, .244/.326/.444 Kirilloff- 91 G, 90-351, 46 R, 17 2B, 1 3B, 13 HR, 51 RBI, 31 BB, 91 K, 2 SB, .256/.325/.421 Castro- 92 G, 90-362, 49 R, 17 2B, 3 3B, 9 HR, 43 RBI, 25 BB, 94 K, 18 SB, .248/.308/.389 Margot- 79 G, 84-313, 39 R, 18 2B, 2 3B, 6 HR, 37 RBI, 24 BB, 57 K, 9 SB, .269/.324/.398 Farmer- 62 G, 60-242, 28 R, 11 2B, 1 3B, 6 HR, 30 RBI, 15 BB, 55 K, 2 SB, .246/.304/.378 Vazquez- 81 G, 72-294, 32 R, 14 2B, 0 3B, 6 HR, 32 RBI, 21 BB, 65 K, 2 SB, .244/.296/.353 Lopez- 12-9, 3.59 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 32 GS, 192 IP, 210 K, 51 BB, 169 H, 77 ER Ryan- 11-11, 4.02 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 31 GS, 175 IP, 187 K, 47 BB, 156 H, 78 ER Ober- 9-8, 4.11 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 28 GS, 149 IP, 145 K, 36 BB, 144 H, 68 ER Paddack- 8-8, 4.29 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 23 GS(29 G), 124 IP, 115 K, 30 BB, 124 H, 59 ER Varland- 8-8. 4.18 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 21 GS (45 G), 142 IP, 134 K, 42 BB, 139 H, 66 ER By the looks of these, they think both Paddack and Varland will transition to the bullpen at some point. These projections leaves 101 starts up for grabs in the lineup, plus 27 starts up for grabs in the rotation. These seem a lot more realistic than the CBS Sports projections. Still interesting that both systems so far have Buxton at 125 or more games (He has only topped 100 games in a season once before). What do you think about these projections?

Some of them I could see happening. But that is maybe 5 out of 20 that seem realistic to me. I actually think Royce will outperform these numbers, IF he stays healthy. If Buxton plays 146 games we all need to buy a ton of lottery tickets haha.

Let's take a look at where CBS Sports has the Twins Projected for stats wise. Jeffers- 97 G, 99-366, 52 R, 21 2B, 3 3B, 14 HR, 53 RBI, 39 BB, 104 K, 4 SB, .271/.355/.459 Santana- 81 G, 82-315, 50 R, 19 2B, 1 2B, 19 HR, 56 RBI, 40 BB, 67 K, 3 SB, .260/.344/.508 Julien- 130 G, 127-462, 81 R, 25 2B, 2 3B, 20 HR, 57 RBI, 73 BB, 136 K, 6 SB, .275/.376/.468 Correa- 146 G, 148-539, 73 R, 31 2B, 3 3B, 22 HR, 77 TBI, 61 BB, 120 K, 1 SB, .275/.352/.466 Lewis- 130 G, 141-478, 84 R, 22 2B, 1 3B, 31 HR, 108 RBI, 50 BB, 117 K, 10 SB, .295/.368/.540 Wallner- 97 G, 100-359, 67 R, 22 2B, 2 3B, 20 HR, 65 RBI, 44 BB, 109 K, 6 SB, .279/.376/.518 Buxton- 146 G, 134-536, 103 R, 28 2B, 5 3B, 39 HR, 95 RBI, 66 BB, 173 K, 14 SB, .250/.343/.539 Kepler- 130 G, 131-481, 77 R, 28 2B, 2 3B, 23 HR, 69 RBI, 47 BB, 118 K, 4 SB, .272/.340/.482 Kirilloff- 97 G, 106-371, 55 R, 20 2B, 2 3B, 16 HR, 56 RBI, 42 BB, 97 K, 2 SB, .286/.366/.480 Castro- 81 G, 86-309, 53 R, 17 2B, 4 3B, 10 HR, 38 RBI, 32 BB, 79 K, 25 SB, .278/,361/.456 Margot- 97 G, 104-380, 53 R, 25 2B, 2 3B, 8 HR, 54 RBI, 31 BB, 84 K, 9 SB, .274/.337/.413 Farmer- 65 G, 69-254, 40 R, 11 2B, 2 3B, 10 HR, 41 RBI, 18 BB, 56 K, 2 SB, .272/.333/.449 Vazquez- 65 G, 67-254, 31 R, 12 2B, 0 3B, 6 HR, 34 RBI, 20 BB, 57 K, 1 SB, .264/.321/.382 Lopez- 12-7, 3.27 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 30 GS, 176 IP, 191 K, 43 BB, 160 H, 64 ER Ryan- 14-8, 3.88 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 30 GS, 167 IP, 186 K, 41 BB, 156 H, 72 ER Ober- 9-7, 3.69 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 29 GS, 156 IP, 152 K, 32 BB, 140 H, 64 ER Paddack- 10-8, 3.77 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 29 GS, 148 IP, 158 K, 35 BB, 147 H, 62 ER Varland- 8-3, 15 GS(25 G), 4.44 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 69 IP, 69 K, 18 BB, 68 H, 34 ER Not sure if projections have been adjusted for Louie starting the season in the rotation, or how much they take injury history into things (Buxton at 146 Games seems interesting? We can hope though). These projections leaves 96 starts up for grabs in the lineup, plus 29 starts up for grabs in the rotation. What do you think about these projections?

Definitely sucks for DeSclafani, however I think it gives the Twins a chance to let Louie Varland loose and see what they have. Louie has been awesome this Spring. DeSclafani has been in the majors for 9 years, has only stayed mostly healthy for 3 of those, and has only had an ERA under 4.00 3 times as well. Nothing consistent about him, and I doubt any of us are shocked that he has more injury problems at this point in his career. Definitely a talented guy, whose body is 100% getting in the way of his career. Hope we get some good news, but maybe Louie being the 5th starter is the best news possible.

2024 Spring Training Stats- Alcala - 2.16 ERA, 7 G, 8.1 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 3 BB, 10 SO, 0.96 WHIP Funderburk - 5.19 ERA, 6 G, 8.2 IP, 6 H, 9 R, 5 ER, 8 BB, 12 SO, 1.62 WHIP Staumont - 3.86 ERA, 5 G, 4.2 IP, 4 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 5 BB, 4 SO, 1.93 WHIP Sands - 6.75 ERA, 4 G, 5.1 IP, 6 H, 4 R, 4 ER, 2 BB, 5 SO, 1.50 WHIP 2023 MLB Stats- Alcala - 6.23 ERA, 11 G, 17.1 IP, 14 H, 13 R, 12 ER, 10 BB, 16 SO, 1.38 WHIP Funderburk - 0.75 ERA, 11 G, 12 IP, 6 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 5 BB, 19 SO, 0.92 WHIP Staumont - 5.40 ERA, 21 G, 20 IP, 16 H, 12 R, 12 ER, 13 BB, 24 SO, 1.45 WHIP Sands - 3.74 ERA, 15 G, 21.2 IP, 20 H, 10 R, 9 ER, 13 BB, 21 SO, 1.52 WHIP I think Alcala has been phenomenal this spring. I would have to agree with some others posts that Sands is probably going to be the one to go down to start the year, although we could see these and others rotate out based on who the hot hand is.

If Brooks Lee makes the roster, a backup IF has to either be traded, cut, or sent down. That would be Farmer or Castro. If you start the season with Santana, Julien, Correa, Lewis, and Lee in the majors, you have to start eliminating somebody. Obvious choices become Farmer, Castro or Wallner (If you want to split LF between Castro, Farmer and Margot). If you decide to trade someone, the most valuable one is Castro due to the reasons you mentioned for not demoting him and his contract is half that of Farmers. Other option would be to trade Margot (Not sure they would do that 3 weeks after trading for him) and then you have to be really sure about Castro being your starter in CF is god forbid something happens to Buxton. So there are some things that could happen but I can't see them running with 14 fielders and 12 pitchers to start the season. Especially with Duran and Thielbar out. Another thing to note. Options remaining: Wallner-2, Castro-1, Farmer-0. However Rocco is big on defense so it would probably lead to Castro staying unless the Front Office is overwhelmed with a Trade Offer for him. I assume Brooks starts the year in AAA. Saves them some Service Time and pushes his Free Agency back, and then he can be the first one called up if an injury occurs.

I definitely feel like it's a case of not wanting to give up on him and see him go to a team like Tampa Bay and suddenly turn into a Cy Young contender haha. Wish him all the best, he was super nice any time I had an interaction with him this Spring, but that doesn't keep you around if you can't stay healthy and put up results.

I would say this is dependent on him coming in and starting the year at AAA on a MiLB deal. Career 3.45 ERA would be nice to add to the mix, but I would rather see what Louie can do to start the season (I wanted Louie over DeSclafani to begin with). But if Clevinger can be added purely as depth it would be a no brainer in my opinion. But there are quite a few guys out there who would fit that profile.

St Paul is going to have a lineup that should be able to win a lot of games this year. Trevor Larnach (.271/.284/.504- 14 2B/15 HR/47 RBI/ 50 BB in 72 AAA games in 2023) Jose Miranda (.344/.401/.572- 32 2B/30 HR/94 RBI/42 BB in 127 MiLB games in 2021-His last full MiLB season) Austin Martin (.260/.381/.398- 11 2B/7 HR/30 RBI/39 BB/19 SB in 67 MiLB games in 2023) DaShawn Keirsey (.294/.366/.455-18 2B/83B/15 HR/61 RBI/39 SB in 130 MiLB games in 2023) Yunior Severino (.272/.352/.546- 17 2B/35 HR/84 RBI/51 BB in 120 MiLB games in 2023) Jair Camargo (..259/.323/.503- 16 2B/21 HR/63 RBI/29 BB in 90 AAA games in 2023) Brooks Lee-IF he doesn't make the MLB club, and if he does it would probably be Willi Castro in AAA to start the year (.275/.347/.461- 39 2B/16 HR/ 84 RBI/56 BB in 125 MiLB games in 2023) Niko Goodrum (.280/.448/.440- 9 2B/8 HR/36 RBI/66 BB in 65 AAA games in 2023) There is quickly going to be a logjam at AA and AAA in 2024. With all of these players and eventually adding in players like Walker Jenkins, Emmanuel Rodriguez, Gabriel Gonzalez, Kala'i Rosario, Andrew Cosetti etc. I definitely see some guys being packaged for some MLB SP talent at some point this year.