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Seth Stohs

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Everything posted by Seth Stohs

  1. Correct... unless he is added to the 40 man roster before the completion of the World Series.
  2. And that's why he's in the high-20s instead of the high-teens. Very well explained.
  3. To be frank, I'm sure I would flip-flop a few of them already based on good comments and discussion, but I've also received more scouting reports and have more information. A prospect list should always be in flux, in my opinion. Maybe not drastic change based on new information, but all information should be considered.
  4. Yeah, I know some fans don't like cliches like downward plane, but it's an important piece to pitching, for sure. Gonsalves will show up on the list soon.
  5. I think people make far too big of a deal about this stats stuff. Obviously they know what it is, and they know how to use it. It isn't Terry Ryan's or Rob Antony's job to dive headlong into the numbers, they just need to understand them, and they are getting that information. And yes, it is just one piece to the decision-making matrix, but it's not a piece that is overlooked. Scouting and Stats both matter. I just think people worry too much about what is said publicly when we know that they know and are doing much more internally (and keeping it internal) than we know. What benefit is it for them to start spouting off about what stats they like and dislike and what specifics go into it. Yes, I want to know as a fan, but I wouldn't want that information out if I was the GM!
  6. Yeah, I think that the Twins will rank a bit higher, though when the "real" rankings come out, don't forget that Hicks, Gibson and Arcia (all Top 100 guys) 'graduated' from the realms of "prospects." So, don't be surprised if it's not as high. I have to think that Houston will be #1, but I think the Twins could be anywhere from 2-6.
  7. According to the Twins transaction page (at TwinsBaseball.com), the Twins have outrighted Pedro Hernandez to AAA Rochester. It says that the transaction occurred on Friday, though the Twins have not issued any formal press release on it. The timing may or may not be interesting. With the World Series nearly complete, players can become free agents right after the final game's final out. That includes minor league free agents. I can't help but wonder if the Twins will announce that a player (maybe Edgar Ibarra?) will be added to the 40 man roster so that he can't become a free agent. Could be others, possibly, or it could be just to clear space. Speculation is fun.
  8. His actual name is Jorge Felix (according to multiple source, himself included). He is said to have a little better stuff than the other two. He's also a little taller which right-or-wrong often means potential for more velocity.
  9. The changeup is certainly interesting, and Santana wasn't a big guy either. Santana hit 94 earlier in his career, but a great changeup can make you a solid big leaguer.
  10. You can view the page at http://twinsdaily.com/content.php?r=2435-Minnesota-Twins-Top-50-Prospects-21-25
  11. After yesterday's prospects were revealed, we have now reached the halfway point of the Top 50 Minnesota Twins Prospect rankings. Today I am presenting my choices for Twins prospects 21 through 25. The discussions of these rankings so far have been fun, and I anticipate the debates growing as we roll closer to Number One. If you want to look into some of the things that go into my personal rankings, click on the previous parts of this series at the bottom of today’s group. [PRBREAK][/PRBREAK] Part 6: 21-25 Again today I think this is an interesting collection of prospects. There are two relievers, one that Twins fans have already seen in the big leagues and one who could be there quickly. The other three are not yet 20 years old and have high ceilings, but a long ways to go. #25 – Michael Tonkin – RH RP (23) I often hear about how the Twins promote guys too slowly, and there are a some instances where that may be true. However, when you consider the early stages of Tonkin’s career, you have to appreciate that sometimes patience is a very good thing. Drafted in the 30th round in 2008 out of high school, Tonkin spent parts of the 2010, 2011 and 2012 seasons in Beloit (Low A). The first year, he made a dozen starts. The second year, he pitched adequately out of the bullpen and improvement was clear. He then spent the first half of the 2012 season in Beloit before finishing the season in Ft. Myers. He began 2013 in New Britain, was promoted to Rochester fairly quickly and arrived with the Twins in July. He struggled with Rochester, but he made his Major League debut just 13 months after leaving Low-A. A mid-90s fastball and a slider make him a potential back-end of the bullpen guy. #24 – Miguel Sulburan – LH SP (19) The fact that he is just 5'-10" creates concern in the minds of some, but to this point in his career, Sulburan has pitched like he’s much bigger. The Twins plucked this left-hander from the Dodgers in exchange for Drew Butera at the July deadline. For the Kernels, he went 3-0 with a 2.70 ERA in four starts. Combined in 2013 in the Midwest League, he posted a 2.96 ERA in 112.2 innings and struck out 8.1 per nine innings while walking just 2.6 per nine. He has a solid four-pitch mix. His best pitch, to this point, is a devastating changeup. He’ll need to get some movement on his fastball to be successful as he moves up. #23 – Amaurys Minier – 3B (17) Minier was the Twins big international free agent signing in 2012 when he signed as a 16-year-old for about $1.5 million. The third baseman has tremendous power and will likely be a good hitter but he is very young. As you might expect, he was quite streaky in his US/GCL debut. He showed power rarely seen in the GCL with six home runs in 119 plate appearances. However, he fought injury much of the season and hit just .214/.252/.455 (.707) in this small sample in a league where the stats matter very little. His power is legit and he is one who could jump quickly up this list. #22 – Zack Jones – RH RP (22) Listening to several Miracle games throughout the season, it was hard not to get excited when play-by-play men Brice Zimmerman and Adam MacDonald spoke of Jones and his 96-100 mph fastball. He also has an improving slider. Jones was the Twins 4th round pick in 2012 out of college, where he also was a hitter. Very exciting is his 12.9 K/9 (70 strikeouts in 48.2 innings), but he’ll have to throw more strikes (28 walks) if he wants to move quickly. #21 – Jorge Felix – RH SP (19) Felix is another very exciting young arm in the Twins farm system. To this point, he has moved up one level each year. He posted a 2.67 ERA in the DSL in 2011. In 2012 in the GCL, he posted a 2.34 ERA in 34.2 innings. With the E-Twins this year, he posted a 2.95 ERA in 61 innings (12 starts). His strikeout rate has increased each of those seasons, from 8.7 to 9.6 to 10.6 K/9. He’s 6-2 and wiry. He throws hard and has a solid breaking ball. The combination of Felix, Landa and Rosario gave the E-Twins some great pitching, and along with a couple guys that are a little higher on this list, they give the Twins and their fans reason to be excited for the future. So there's Part 6 of my Top 50 Twins Prospect list. We'll be back soon with Part 7, prospects 16-20. Part 1: 46-50 Part 2: 41-45 Part 3: 36-40 Part 4: 31-35 Part 5: 26-30
  12. To me, that is the big question with Hicks. Having seen him play 6 games this year, it certainly stood out. But, that's why he's in A ball... hopefully he can quicken it up a bit.
  13. I found this to be a strange question. First, this isn't realistic. How would TR know who the #6 stat guy is for the Rays? Who would know that? I get it. Bring in an outside voice, but there is more than one way to win and develop.
  14. I think he's right though. There are always these early signings and people gasp around wondering if it'll set the market, but then things come back down. Even with the economic gain (the $25M in additional revenues - of which $13M would equal about 52%, I don't think that Lincecum sets it. It was a crazy deal by the Giants, and teams know it.
  15. My thought is it means that both could be trade possibilities and he doesn't want to give away too much. If he says, "No, we're going to non-tender them." why would anyone trade for them? I'm more surprised with his response about Plouffe, not that it is a surprise (it's obvious to tender him), just that he actually said it.
  16. I agree with Ryan when he says basically that the Twins don't, won't and shouldn't just copy what other teams are doing. There is more than one way to build an organization. I liked how Aaron clarified the bit too by saying that the Rays and A's are winning in spite of the low payroll, not because of the low payroll. I agree with Ryan that it isn't the payroll that determines an organization's success. It's how that money is allocated. Hopefully they find a good way to allocate their money this year.
  17. According to Angels beat reporter Mike DiGiovanna, Jerry Dipoto's Assistant GM, Larry Corrigan, has left the Angels and will return to the Twins organization. Will be interesting to see what his role might be, maybe similar to Wayne Krivsky?
  18. I would argue that 2014 is the big year to determine his prospect value. It's "normal" for successful college pitchers to struggle for the first time at AA. What he learned in his time there, his health, and how he adjusts will say a lot about what he will become. Most say 4th/5th starter upside, and that's likely true.
  19. I mean, I could toss a coin. Reports I've got seen to make me lean slightly toward Landa, though obviously he'll have to improve his control. Generally, his stuff is said to be a little bit better. You guys make good points. Both have a long way to go and a lot of development to have a shot, but both have very good upside.
  20. Only thing I'd point out is that you've got guys jumping up from league minimum too quickly. Unless the minimum salary increases, guys will be closer to $0.5M.
  21. In a perfect world, look for information in 5-6 weeks... Typically, however, it has been right after the holidays.
  22. isn't "arguing against Seth" kind of the purpose of creating a Top 50 prospects list? Hopefully it will get people thinking and everyone will want to make their own personal Top 20 or Top 30 or Top 50 list!
  23. He hurt his non-throwing shoulder in a batting practice. Took a week off. Came back with a HR in his first AB.
  24. Well, League Average is an ERA right around 4, so I would think a #5 starter would have an ERA around 4.50 and eating a lot of innings would be great. So, I guess that would be my hope. Now, the Tigers top four are better than that, but I think that Porcello is closer to the latter. The Twins 3s and 4s and 5s have been closer to that 5+ ERA you reference, but obviously that's not some sort of guideline that they have for themselves. It's not what they're lookign for.
  25. I'm told that Baxendale's 4-seamer is as high as 93. His two-seamer is probably 89-90. That's pretty normal. I am sure that Landa is playing, though he'll likely pitch more in the Parallel league. Not sure on Rosario.
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