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Everything posted by Seth Stohs
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I believe I will be there March 17-24...
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Do The Twins Need To Add a Right-Handed Bat?
Seth Stohs replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I would say opportunity hasn't been consistent, and that's part of what's led the play to be pretty inconsistent. You are right in that three of his four years look pretty consistent, but even within those seasons, he was inconsistent from month to month. He's fun to watch when things are going well, and then he'll have a three-week stretch that is tough to watch. I would rather go with him, at 27, than the 35+ crowd.- 81 replies
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Do The Twins Need To Add a Right-Handed Bat?
Seth Stohs replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I mentioned that he had reverse splits his first four seasons as a pro. In 2016, he did slug a bit more against right-handers, but let's be honest, Granite's slugging percentage isn't as important to the type of player he is as his BA and OBP. I should have maybe written that out in the article a little more. As for the value of the numbers in A ball, the same can be said of right-handers. So yeah, it's not a perfect illustration, but when combining his defense, speed and other intangibles, he makes as much sense as any of the veteran types.- 81 replies
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As we approach pitchers and catchers reporting for spring training in about two weeks, there are a ton of remaining free agents. The pitchers are understandably getting all of the headlines, but throughout the offseason, there have been a few rumblings about the Twins also looking for a right-handed hitter. Today, let’s take a look at which candidates are out there, and which internal options could flit the bill. Should the Twins target a right-handed hitting fourth outfielder type? Should they go after a right-handed designated hitter type to come off of the bench? Image courtesy of Troy Taormina, USA Today As we approach pitchers and catchers reporting for spring training in about two weeks, there are a ton of remaining free agents. The pitchers are understandably getting all of the headlines, but throughout the offseason, there have been a few rumblings about the Twins also looking for a right-handed hitter. Today, let’s take a look at which candidates are out there, and which internal options could flit the bill. Should the Twins target a right-handed hitting fourth outfielder type? Should they go after a right-handed designated hitter type to come off of the bench? There were rumors last offseason about the Twins interest in Mike Napoli. The Twins reportedly offered Napoli more money, but he chose to sign with the Texas Rangers, believing that he would have a better opportunity to get to the playoffs. Napoli, who could DH and play a little first base, is 36 years old and coming off a season in which he hit just .193/.285/.428 (.713), though he still hit 29 home runs. Could he be an option for the Twins in 2018, and if so, can he be more productive given less playing time? Napoli doesn’t need to be the lone right-handed DH. For instance, Jose Bautista remains a free agent. Like Napoli, Bautista is coming off of a disappointing 2017 season with the Blue Jays. He hit .203/.308/.366 (.674) with 23 home runs. Of course, Twins fans know his track record against the Twins, particularly at Target Field. In 62 career games against the Twins, he has hit .302/.393/.699 (1.092) with 17 doubles and 24 home runs. In 25 games at Target Field, he has hit .324/.410/.794 (.1.204) with six doubles and 14 home runs. The 37-year-old has accumulated over $100 million in his long career, but he’d probably be looking at a one-year, $6-8 million deal from someone in hopes of improving on his 2017 season. Matt Holliday is another veteran with a ton of experience. He played in 103 games in 2017 for the Yankees, primarily as a DH and pinch hitter. The 38-year-old hit 19 homers and hit .231/.316/.432 (.748). He made $13 million in 2017, but he should be available, like Bautista, for something in the $6-8 million range for one season. Another $100 million man, Jayson Werth is coming off of a long-term contract with the Nationals. While he was a very good player from 2007 through 2014. He missed about half of the season in 2015 and 2017, and his OPS has dropped. Could he be convinced to sign and primarily get time as a DH and pinch hitter? He’ll likely get a one year deal in that same $6-8 million range. While he’s not a strong outfielder, he could get some time in the corner outfield positions. Those four veteran options certainly have experience. Napoli is known as a very good teammate and leader. Bautista… isn’t. Holliday and Werth are probably somewhere in between. While they don’t have the name recognition, the Twins currently have Robbie Grossman and Kennys Vargas available internally. Grossman isn’t a great defensive outfielder, though he’s better defensively than the options above. He primarily DHd in 2017 and did well. He traditionally has hit better against left-handed pitching. And, in his first year of arbitration eligibility, he’ll make $2 million (25-40% of what those free agents would cost). And, most likely, while he won’t hit as many home runs, his ability to get on base, play some defense and be accepting of a role on the roster. Vargas has struggled mightily with consistency, but he’s also shown an ability to hit the ball really hard and really far. He is a DH who is capable of playing some first base, if not well. But he’s posted OPS of .833 and .758 the last two seasons. He hit 10 homers in 47 games in 2016, and he had 11 homers last year in 78 games a year ago. And, he will cost somewhere around $600,000 in 2018. In addition, Zack Granite is fully capable of playing all three outfield positions well, including center field. While he bats left-handed, it’s important to note that he had reverse splits in each of his first four seasons of professional baseball. In 2016 in AA, hit hit .296/.348 versus right-handers and .291/.345 against left-handers. In 2017, he hit .312/.379/.443 (.822) against right-handers and .325/.369/.412 (.781) against left-handers between AAA and the big leagues. In fact, his OPS against southpaws in the big leagues last year was .979. His first MLB home came off of lefty Blaine Hardy of the Tigers. In last night’s podcast, Granite said, ““I don’t want to say I focus harder, but I feel like I have to stay in there longer. Honestly, when I face a lefty, I’m always scared that if they open up too soon, they’ll hit me in the head. But I know whenever I face a lefty that I have to stay in there longer. I think it helps me that I don’t try to do too much when I face a lefty. I just try to hit line drives right up the middle or the other way, wherever it’s pitched. I think that helps me because I literally try to be as simple as possible. With lefties, I can keep my game as simple as possible.” There are several other free agent outfielders who are still out there. For instance, JD Martinez is still out there. Then again, he turned down (reportedly) a five-year, $100 million deal from the Red Sox, so I don’t think he makes much sense for the Twins. Andre Ethier’s long, huge contract with the Dodgers is finally complete. He’s a free agent, but he’s struggled for years, and he’s left-handed. Carlos Gomez and Carlos Gonzalez are both likely to get $10 million per year or more. Two other free agent outfielders may make some sense.34-year-old Chris Young has played about half the time, maybe a little less, for the Red Sox the last couple of years. He’s mostly played left field. After posting an .850 OPS in 76 games in 2016, he posted a .709 OPS in 90 games in 2017. He could be available for about $4 million. Cameron Maybin will turn 31 years old shortly after Opening Day. He began last year with the Angels before going to the Astros at the trade deadline and winning a World Series title. He posted an .801 OPS in 2016 in Detroit, but that was way above his career OPS of .693. His value comes from strong defense around the outfield. After making $9 million last year, he should be more in the $5-6 million range in 2018. SUMMARY So, if the Twins feel they need a DH type, there are several options, the most realistic of which are upper-30s guys coming off of long-term contracts and tough seasons. Are those guys better than Kennys Vargas (who is 27). If you want a fourth/fifth outfielder, the decision is whether to add a defensive option like Cameron Maybin who hits right handed, or stand by Zack Granite who has had reverse splits in his career and plays terrific defense at all three outfield positions too. And Robbie Grossman can play the corner outfield spots adequately and DH and pinch hit. How does it all play together? Is signing a veteran hitter important? Should it be? And, how do we value that veteran-ness over giving guys like Vargas and Granite an opportunity? Share your thoughts. In my opinion, I think I’d rather just go with the youth and give a shot to Granite, Grossman and Vargas. You’ll probably get equal production for just $3.25 million. And then spend the money not spent on a bat to a package for Alex Cobb or Lance Lynn (or Yu Darvish, if that works).. What do you think? View full article
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There were rumors last offseason about the Twins interest in Mike Napoli. The Twins reportedly offered Napoli more money, but he chose to sign with the Texas Rangers, believing that he would have a better opportunity to get to the playoffs. Napoli, who could DH and play a little first base, is 36 years old and coming off a season in which he hit just .193/.285/.428 (.713), though he still hit 29 home runs. Could he be an option for the Twins in 2018, and if so, can he be more productive given less playing time? Napoli doesn’t need to be the lone right-handed DH. For instance, Jose Bautista remains a free agent. Like Napoli, Bautista is coming off of a disappointing 2017 season with the Blue Jays. He hit .203/.308/.366 (.674) with 23 home runs. Of course, Twins fans know his track record against the Twins, particularly at Target Field. In 62 career games against the Twins, he has hit .302/.393/.699 (1.092) with 17 doubles and 24 home runs. In 25 games at Target Field, he has hit .324/.410/.794 (.1.204) with six doubles and 14 home runs. The 37-year-old has accumulated over $100 million in his long career, but he’d probably be looking at a one-year, $6-8 million deal from someone in hopes of improving on his 2017 season. Matt Holliday is another veteran with a ton of experience. He played in 103 games in 2017 for the Yankees, primarily as a DH and pinch hitter. The 38-year-old hit 19 homers and hit .231/.316/.432 (.748). He made $13 million in 2017, but he should be available, like Bautista, for something in the $6-8 million range for one season. Another $100 million man, Jayson Werth is coming off of a long-term contract with the Nationals. While he was a very good player from 2007 through 2014. He missed about half of the season in 2015 and 2017, and his OPS has dropped. Could he be convinced to sign and primarily get time as a DH and pinch hitter? He’ll likely get a one year deal in that same $6-8 million range. While he’s not a strong outfielder, he could get some time in the corner outfield positions. Those four veteran options certainly have experience. Napoli is known as a very good teammate and leader. Bautista… isn’t. Holliday and Werth are probably somewhere in between. While they don’t have the name recognition, the Twins currently have Robbie Grossman and Kennys Vargas available internally. Grossman isn’t a great defensive outfielder, though he’s better defensively than the options above. He primarily DHd in 2017 and did well. He traditionally has hit better against left-handed pitching. And, in his first year of arbitration eligibility, he’ll make $2 million (25-40% of what those free agents would cost). And, most likely, while he won’t hit as many home runs, his ability to get on base, play some defense and be accepting of a role on the roster. Vargas has struggled mightily with consistency, but he’s also shown an ability to hit the ball really hard and really far. He is a DH who is capable of playing some first base, if not well. But he’s posted OPS of .833 and .758 the last two seasons. He hit 10 homers in 47 games in 2016, and he had 11 homers last year in 78 games a year ago. And, he will cost somewhere around $600,000 in 2018. In addition, Zack Granite is fully capable of playing all three outfield positions well, including center field. While he bats left-handed, it’s important to note that he had reverse splits in each of his first four seasons of professional baseball. In 2016 in AA, hit hit .296/.348 versus right-handers and .291/.345 against left-handers. In 2017, he hit .312/.379/.443 (.822) against right-handers and .325/.369/.412 (.781) against left-handers between AAA and the big leagues. In fact, his OPS against southpaws in the big leagues last year was .979. His first MLB home came off of lefty Blaine Hardy of the Tigers. In last night’s podcast, Granite said, ““I don’t want to say I focus harder, but I feel like I have to stay in there longer. Honestly, when I face a lefty, I’m always scared that if they open up too soon, they’ll hit me in the head. But I know whenever I face a lefty that I have to stay in there longer. I think it helps me that I don’t try to do too much when I face a lefty. I just try to hit line drives right up the middle or the other way, wherever it’s pitched. I think that helps me because I literally try to be as simple as possible. With lefties, I can keep my game as simple as possible.” There are several other free agent outfielders who are still out there. For instance, JD Martinez is still out there. Then again, he turned down (reportedly) a five-year, $100 million deal from the Red Sox, so I don’t think he makes much sense for the Twins. Andre Ethier’s long, huge contract with the Dodgers is finally complete. He’s a free agent, but he’s struggled for years, and he’s left-handed. Carlos Gomez and Carlos Gonzalez are both likely to get $10 million per year or more. Two other free agent outfielders may make some sense.34-year-old Chris Young has played about half the time, maybe a little less, for the Red Sox the last couple of years. He’s mostly played left field. After posting an .850 OPS in 76 games in 2016, he posted a .709 OPS in 90 games in 2017. He could be available for about $4 million. Cameron Maybin will turn 31 years old shortly after Opening Day. He began last year with the Angels before going to the Astros at the trade deadline and winning a World Series title. He posted an .801 OPS in 2016 in Detroit, but that was way above his career OPS of .693. His value comes from strong defense around the outfield. After making $9 million last year, he should be more in the $5-6 million range in 2018. SUMMARY So, if the Twins feel they need a DH type, there are several options, the most realistic of which are upper-30s guys coming off of long-term contracts and tough seasons. Are those guys better than Kennys Vargas (who is 27). If you want a fourth/fifth outfielder, the decision is whether to add a defensive option like Cameron Maybin who hits right handed, or stand by Zack Granite who has had reverse splits in his career and plays terrific defense at all three outfield positions too. And Robbie Grossman can play the corner outfield spots adequately and DH and pinch hit. How does it all play together? Is signing a veteran hitter important? Should it be? And, how do we value that veteran-ness over giving guys like Vargas and Granite an opportunity? Share your thoughts. In my opinion, I think I’d rather just go with the youth and give a shot to Granite, Grossman and Vargas. You’ll probably get equal production for just $3.25 million. And then spend the money not spent on a bat to a package for Alex Cobb or Lance Lynn (or Yu Darvish, if that works).. What do you think?
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Get To Know Twins RHP Prospect Bailey Ober
Seth Stohs replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I think he was talking more about learning about what 1.) going through spring training will be , and 2.) how to get through a first full season of minor league ball. Both really need to be done before you can really know. They didn't really have Instructs for pitchers. That usually gives the guys some idea of what spring training will be like. -
Tonight at 8:00 (central time), Episode 4 of Seth's Twins On Deck Podcast will go live. Tonight, he'll be joined by three Minnesota Twins prospects, including one with a strong opportunity to start the season with the big league club, and another senior on the Minnesota Gophers roster. Tonight, he'll also be joined by a gentleman who scouted a lot of Chattanooga Lookouts games in 2017. Tune in at 8:00 tonight to listen live. If you can't listen live, it will be available at the same link shortly following the show's completion. You can also search iTunes and subscribe to it. (search Minnesota Sports Weekly) Image courtesy of Daniel Mick Creative Tonight at 8:00 (central time), Episode 4 of Seth's Twins On Deck Podcast will go live. Tonight, he'll be joined by three Minnesota Twins prospects, including one with a strong opportunity to start the season with the big league club, and another senior on the Minnesota Gophers roster. Tonight, he'll also be joined by a gentleman who scouted a lot of Chattanooga Lookouts games in 2017. Tune in at 8:00 tonight to listen live. If you can't listen live, it will be available at the same link shortly following the show's completion. You can also search iTunes and subscribe to it. (search Minnesota Sports Weekly) Tune in live at 8:00 central time tonight when Seth will again be joined by five guests. Leading off will be a guy who could be in the Twins leadoff position at times throughout the 2018 season, Zack Granite. He burst onto the prospect scene when he was the Twins Minor League Player of the Year in 2016. He built upon that success with another strong 2017 which included his MLB debut and a spot on the Twins playoff roster. Baseball in Puerto Rico continues to be very strong. On this show, we'll be joined by infielder Nelson Molina who spent most of the 2017 season in Ft. Myers with the Miracle, though he also got some games in Chattanooga. Lewis Thorpe missed two seasons due to Tommy John surgery and illness, but he made his return in 2017 and pitched very well with the Miracle. Following the season, he was added to the Twins 40-man roster and recently participated in his first Twins Fest. Chris Blessing is a prospect writer for Baseball HQ and USA Today Sports Media. One of the teams he saw most frequently was the Chattanooga Lookouts. We'll discuss some Lookouts players for his thoughts, but also about the art and science of scouting a ballplayer. Finally, we will be joined by another member of the Minnesota Gophers baseball program. (Still awaiting verification and will update with a name at that time. If you have any questions for any of these guests, please feel free to leave them in the comments below. I'll ask them during the show. If you are listening during the live show, I will also ask for questions on my Twitter feed, so you can ask questions there as well. You can listen live, or you can listen later. Either way, you'll want to listen and learn more about some Twins minor leaguers and more. PREVIOUS EPISODES Episode 1: Twins (LaMonte Wade, Stephen Gonsalves, Tyler Wells), Gophers (Luke Pettersen), MLB.com's prospect guru Jonathan Mayo. Episode 2: Twins (Aaron Slegers, Alex Kirilloff, Brent Rooker, Royce Lewis), Gophers (Toby Hanson) Episode 3: Twins (Bryan Sammons, Ryley Widell, Zack Littell, Travis Blankenhorn), Gophers (Alex Boxwell) View full article
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Tune in live at 8:00 central time tonight when Seth will again be joined by five guests. Leading off will be a guy who could be in the Twins leadoff position at times throughout the 2018 season, Zack Granite. He burst onto the prospect scene when he was the Twins Minor League Player of the Year in 2016. He built upon that success with another strong 2017 which included his MLB debut and a spot on the Twins playoff roster. Baseball in Puerto Rico continues to be very strong. On this show, we'll be joined by infielder Nelson Molina who spent most of the 2017 season in Ft. Myers with the Miracle, though he also got some games in Chattanooga. Lewis Thorpe missed two seasons due to Tommy John surgery and illness, but he made his return in 2017 and pitched very well with the Miracle. Following the season, he was added to the Twins 40-man roster and recently participated in his first Twins Fest. Chris Blessing is a prospect writer for Baseball HQ and USA Today Sports Media. One of the teams he saw most frequently was the Chattanooga Lookouts. We'll discuss some Lookouts players for his thoughts, but also about the art and science of scouting a ballplayer. Finally, we will be joined by another member of the Minnesota Gophers baseball program. (Still awaiting verification and will update with a name at that time. If you have any questions for any of these guests, please feel free to leave them in the comments below. I'll ask them during the show. If you are listening during the live show, I will also ask for questions on my Twitter feed, so you can ask questions there as well. You can listen live, or you can listen later. Either way, you'll want to listen and learn more about some Twins minor leaguers and more. PREVIOUS EPISODES Episode 1: Twins (LaMonte Wade, Stephen Gonsalves, Tyler Wells), Gophers (Luke Pettersen), MLB.com's prospect guru Jonathan Mayo. Episode 2: Twins (Aaron Slegers, Alex Kirilloff, Brent Rooker, Royce Lewis), Gophers (Toby Hanson) Episode 3: Twins (Bryan Sammons, Ryley Widell, Zack Littell, Travis Blankenhorn), Gophers (Alex Boxwell)
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Here's How The Experts Are Viewing Twins Prospects
Seth Stohs replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I disagree that his 'ceiling' is 4th outfielder. With his approach at the plate, ability to get on base, how he uses the whole field and his defense, he can be a solid MLB starting left fielder. If the power - which I fully believe he has - shows up in games, he can be a little more than that. Maybe 4th outfielder is what is most likely, and with the Rosario, Buxton, Kepler group starting ahead of him (and Wade also batting left-handed), he may wind up being a 4th OF/backup 1B, but I don't think that's his ceiling.- 34 replies
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Here's How The Experts Are Viewing Twins Prospects
Seth Stohs replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
While I agree that Romero (and Graterol) have bigger fastballs, I often think that Gonsalves's "stuff" is often underappreciated. While those righties throw 95-99, Gonsalves is 90-94 with his fastball, certainly enough, particularly when he has a plus changeup. I think his addition of the cutter a couple of offseasons ago could be a huge pitch for him that will play up. I was also encouraged when he said on my podcast a few weeks ago that he's working with David Wells this offseason, and Wells had one of those big, loopy curveballs that worked out pretty well for him. Is his stuff as overwhelming as Romero's? Probably not, but there is a reason that Gonsalves is generally ranked higher in most rankings.- 34 replies
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Bailey Ober was sidelined with a couple of injuries that cost him time during his second year of college in 2015 as well as his red-shirt junior year in 2017. So after the Twins made him their 12th round selection in June, he missed a little extra time before reporting to Ft. Myers. He had a better, or at least more exciting, reason for missing time. Before reporting to Elizabethton, Bailey Ober got married. Soon after, he reported to Elizabethton where he went 2-2 with a 3.21 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP in 28 innings.He played a part in the E-Twins Appalachian League Championship. Recently, Seth was able to catch up with the lanky right-hander. Continue reading to get to know more about him. Image courtesy of David McQueen (photo of Bailey Ober) Bailey Ober was sidelined with a couple of injuries that cost him time during his second year of college in 2015 as well as his red-shirt junior year in 2017. So after the Twins made him their 12th round selection in June, he missed a little extra time before reporting to Ft. Myers. He had a better, or at least more exciting, reason for missing time. Before reporting to Elizabethton, Bailey Ober got married. Soon after, he reported to Elizabethton where he went 2-2 with a 3.21 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP in 28 innings.He played a part in the E-Twins Appalachian League Championship. Recently, Seth was able to catch up with the lanky right-hander. Continue reading to get to know more about him. Bailey Ober grew up in Charlotte, North Carolina. Charlotte doesn’t have a major league team nearby. The Charlotte Knights are the AAA affiliate of the White Sox. In 2014, they moved into a new downtown stadium. So for Ober, he didn’t have a favorite team. Instead, he had favorite players. “I enjoyed watching a lot of college baseball and pro ball. I just grew up watching and loving the game. There were a couple of guys, but they’re everyone’s favorites. Guys like Chipper Jones or Ken Griffey, Jr. I liked Randy Johnson because of how tall he was. I kind of emulated him, trying to throw like him because I knew I was taller than everybody else. Now that I’ve got to where I’m at, I realize that’s a little out there considering he was a lefty throwing 100.” Ober stands 6-8 now. Sure, he played high school basketball through his sophomore season, but he knew when he was very young what he wanted to be when he grew up. Ober said, “I knew what I wanted to be by first grade. I wrote a letter to my teacher saying I wanted to be a professional baseball player.” During his high school summers, Ober played on the travel circuit, spending time in Florida and Georgia for “a couple weeks at a time.” Ober spent the final two years of his high school career at Charlotte Christian, the same school that the Bard brothers attended. Over those two seasons, he went a combined 20-1 and helped the team to two state championships. Upon graduation, he got something memorable in the mail. His first grade teacher mailed him the letter he wrote. “That was pretty cool. Obviously it hadn’t yet come true, but I was going to play college baseball, so there was something there.” Bailey Ober said he talked to a few scouts while in high school, but knew that college was the right decision for him and let it be known. “I wasn’t really physically mature at that time, so I chose to go to college.” Matt Heath was the pitching coach at the College of Charleston and happened to see Ober pitch a few times. “He wanted me to come down to Charleston as soon as I could. I went down there the next week and committed on the spot.” He continued, “It’s hard, when you come down to Charleston, to not want to go to school there. The city is unbelievable.” He arrived the next fall in Charleston and didn’t pitch much because of “a tiny little fracture.” He wasn’t sure what kind of freshman season he might have, but when the spring season began, he made a quick first impression. “In my first college game, against Chapel Hill, the starter went just four innings due to pitch count. Coach Heath went to me, and I went the final five innings, scoreless. I got the win in my first ever college baseball game. From there, it just kind of took off.” In that freshman season, Ober went 10-3 with a 1.52 ERA in 106.2 innings. He was the Conference Player of the Year and he was also the national Freshman of the Year. That summer, he pitched for a Team USA roster that also included Tyler Jay. But in the fall, he started experiencing some arm issues. As he notes, “I was throwing, and after a curveball, I felt a little pull in my forearm. It wasn’t technically my elbow, but it wasn’t right. I just walked off. I had an MRI, and it just showed some inflammation in my flexor tendon.” He took a few months off and started throwing again in January. “My first bullpen back, the same thing happened. I felt a pull. This time it was a little worse. It still wasn’t technically in the elbow. I was told to be cautious, but no surgery. I started rehabbing and just as the season was about to start… Again.” This time, it was a little worse. He went to get a second opinion. He said, “The doctor said that I could keep rehabbing and returning, or you can go ahead and get surgery done.” So that’s what he did. He missed the entire 2015 season. He received a redshirt. He went through the long process of rehabbing following the surgery and says that the elbow has been perfect the last couple of years. He returned to the mound in 2016. He went 7-4 with a 3.53 ERA in 15 starts. In 97 innings, he struck out 96 batters. As a red-shirt sophomore, he was draft-eligible, and he was selected by the Dodgers in the 23rd round. “After Tommy John, it was a big up and down year. I didn’t feel 100% until the last month where I had four starts that I felt I was back. They (teams/scouts) didn’t have a lot to go on with me. The cross-checkers didn’t really get to see me pitch the first half of the year, I knew it was going to take a lot for me to come out because I was a red-shirt sophomore. I would have two years of eligibility left. I was 20 years old, still young.” So he went back for his fourth college season. He went 7-2 with a 4.50 ERA in just ten starts due to a back injury. As it relates to the draft, simply put, he was ready to make the move to pro ball. “This past year, I was ready to come out, ready to start my career. I knew this was the time for me to come out.” He wasn’t sure where he would go in the draft, and he understood that it was really out of his control. The Twins took him in the 12th round, and he was happy about it. “When I heard that the Twins drafted me, I was so excited. I knew this is where I was supposed to be. I knew this was supposed to happen, and I’m just excited to be a part of it.” As we mentioned, Ober got married shortly after signing and then reported to Elizabethton. Playing there was something that Ober really enjoyed, and it wasn’t too terribly far from home. “To me, it was a great experience. It was the first time I was really just focusing on baseball and that’s it. Doing your job everyday. Going to the field early every day. Making sure you’re getting your workouts in. I just love the daily routine. The town is small, but it works. It has a great feel to it, and we had a great group of guys that played together and really came together.” A quick scouting report on Ober tells us that he has four pitches. His fastball reached up to 92 and 93 mph. He is said to have a plus changeup and both a curveball and a slider. At 6-8, he’s got that downhill plane that Bert Blyleven likes to talk about as well. According to Ober himself, “I’m able to command all of my pitches and really just work in and out with my fastball, up and down. I primarily pitch off my fastball. It’s one of my strengths. Keep hitters off balance, mixing my speeds. I’d say my changeup is probably my best offspeed.” Ober is enjoying his first offseason as a pro ball player. He says he’s spending time on the links. “I’m a big golfer. I like to golf.” Ober’s family is close and he spends a lot of time in Charlotte with them. His brother plays baseball and UNC-Charlotte. Ober says, “Whenever I go home, it’s good to hang out with my family, and to hang out with my brother.” He and his wife, who is finishing up her schooling, also have spent time in Charleston with some college buddies. “There’s lots of stuff to do down here. We go to the beach. Or we find a good restaurant that we haven’t discovered yet.” As for the baseball in his first offseason, it has been a little challenging. He notes, “It’s challenging because you don’t know what the Twins are looking for. This spring training will definitely be an eye opener. Next offseason, I’ll know more what to do during the offseason. The stuff that I’ve been working on is the mechanical issues. Not really any big ones, but just trying to make them cleaner. Also, I’m just working on spinning the ball and staying healthy.” His goals as he approaches his first spring training are pretty simple, at least in theory. “The main thing is just to stay healthy and adjust to a 5-man rotation. I just want to stay healthy and prove to myself and other people that I can get through a full season.” And that is the key. There is a lot of upside in Bailey Ober. Consider his size and projectability. Consider what he did in his first year of college, before the Tommy John surgery. If he can stay healthy, Ober has a real chance to be a steal in the draft in the 12th round. You can follow Bailey Ober on Twitter and Instagram. View full article
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Bailey Ober grew up in Charlotte, North Carolina. Charlotte doesn’t have a major league team nearby. The Charlotte Knights are the AAA affiliate of the White Sox. In 2014, they moved into a new downtown stadium. So for Ober, he didn’t have a favorite team. Instead, he had favorite players. “I enjoyed watching a lot of college baseball and pro ball. I just grew up watching and loving the game. There were a couple of guys, but they’re everyone’s favorites. Guys like Chipper Jones or Ken Griffey, Jr. I liked Randy Johnson because of how tall he was. I kind of emulated him, trying to throw like him because I knew I was taller than everybody else. Now that I’ve got to where I’m at, I realize that’s a little out there considering he was a lefty throwing 100.” Ober stands 6-8 now. Sure, he played high school basketball through his sophomore season, but he knew when he was very young what he wanted to be when he grew up. Ober said, “I knew what I wanted to be by first grade. I wrote a letter to my teacher saying I wanted to be a professional baseball player.” During his high school summers, Ober played on the travel circuit, spending time in Florida and Georgia for “a couple weeks at a time.” Ober spent the final two years of his high school career at Charlotte Christian, the same school that the Bard brothers attended. Over those two seasons, he went a combined 20-1 and helped the team to two state championships. Upon graduation, he got something memorable in the mail. His first grade teacher mailed him the letter he wrote. “That was pretty cool. Obviously it hadn’t yet come true, but I was going to play college baseball, so there was something there.” Bailey Ober said he talked to a few scouts while in high school, but knew that college was the right decision for him and let it be known. “I wasn’t really physically mature at that time, so I chose to go to college.” Matt Heath was the pitching coach at the College of Charleston and happened to see Ober pitch a few times. “He wanted me to come down to Charleston as soon as I could. I went down there the next week and committed on the spot.” He continued, “It’s hard, when you come down to Charleston, to not want to go to school there. The city is unbelievable.” He arrived the next fall in Charleston and didn’t pitch much because of “a tiny little fracture.” He wasn’t sure what kind of freshman season he might have, but when the spring season began, he made a quick first impression. “In my first college game, against Chapel Hill, the starter went just four innings due to pitch count. Coach Heath went to me, and I went the final five innings, scoreless. I got the win in my first ever college baseball game. From there, it just kind of took off.” In that freshman season, Ober went 10-3 with a 1.52 ERA in 106.2 innings. He was the Conference Player of the Year and he was also the national Freshman of the Year. That summer, he pitched for a Team USA roster that also included Tyler Jay. But in the fall, he started experiencing some arm issues. As he notes, “I was throwing, and after a curveball, I felt a little pull in my forearm. It wasn’t technically my elbow, but it wasn’t right. I just walked off. I had an MRI, and it just showed some inflammation in my flexor tendon.” He took a few months off and started throwing again in January. “My first bullpen back, the same thing happened. I felt a pull. This time it was a little worse. It still wasn’t technically in the elbow. I was told to be cautious, but no surgery. I started rehabbing and just as the season was about to start… Again.” This time, it was a little worse. He went to get a second opinion. He said, “The doctor said that I could keep rehabbing and returning, or you can go ahead and get surgery done.” So that’s what he did. He missed the entire 2015 season. He received a redshirt. He went through the long process of rehabbing following the surgery and says that the elbow has been perfect the last couple of years. He returned to the mound in 2016. He went 7-4 with a 3.53 ERA in 15 starts. In 97 innings, he struck out 96 batters. As a red-shirt sophomore, he was draft-eligible, and he was selected by the Dodgers in the 23rd round. “After Tommy John, it was a big up and down year. I didn’t feel 100% until the last month where I had four starts that I felt I was back. They (teams/scouts) didn’t have a lot to go on with me. The cross-checkers didn’t really get to see me pitch the first half of the year, I knew it was going to take a lot for me to come out because I was a red-shirt sophomore. I would have two years of eligibility left. I was 20 years old, still young.” So he went back for his fourth college season. He went 7-2 with a 4.50 ERA in just ten starts due to a back injury. As it relates to the draft, simply put, he was ready to make the move to pro ball. “This past year, I was ready to come out, ready to start my career. I knew this was the time for me to come out.” He wasn’t sure where he would go in the draft, and he understood that it was really out of his control. The Twins took him in the 12th round, and he was happy about it. “When I heard that the Twins drafted me, I was so excited. I knew this is where I was supposed to be. I knew this was supposed to happen, and I’m just excited to be a part of it.” As we mentioned, Ober got married shortly after signing and then reported to Elizabethton. Playing there was something that Ober really enjoyed, and it wasn’t too terribly far from home. “To me, it was a great experience. It was the first time I was really just focusing on baseball and that’s it. Doing your job everyday. Going to the field early every day. Making sure you’re getting your workouts in. I just love the daily routine. The town is small, but it works. It has a great feel to it, and we had a great group of guys that played together and really came together.” A quick scouting report on Ober tells us that he has four pitches. His fastball reached up to 92 and 93 mph. He is said to have a plus changeup and both a curveball and a slider. At 6-8, he’s got that downhill plane that Bert Blyleven likes to talk about as well. According to Ober himself, “I’m able to command all of my pitches and really just work in and out with my fastball, up and down. I primarily pitch off my fastball. It’s one of my strengths. Keep hitters off balance, mixing my speeds. I’d say my changeup is probably my best offspeed.” Ober is enjoying his first offseason as a pro ball player. He says he’s spending time on the links. “I’m a big golfer. I like to golf.” Ober’s family is close and he spends a lot of time in Charlotte with them. His brother plays baseball and UNC-Charlotte. Ober says, “Whenever I go home, it’s good to hang out with my family, and to hang out with my brother.” He and his wife, who is finishing up her schooling, also have spent time in Charleston with some college buddies. “There’s lots of stuff to do down here. We go to the beach. Or we find a good restaurant that we haven’t discovered yet.” As for the baseball in his first offseason, it has been a little challenging. He notes, “It’s challenging because you don’t know what the Twins are looking for. This spring training will definitely be an eye opener. Next offseason, I’ll know more what to do during the offseason. The stuff that I’ve been working on is the mechanical issues. Not really any big ones, but just trying to make them cleaner. Also, I’m just working on spinning the ball and staying healthy.” His goals as he approaches his first spring training are pretty simple, at least in theory. “The main thing is just to stay healthy and adjust to a 5-man rotation. I just want to stay healthy and prove to myself and other people that I can get through a full season.” And that is the key. There is a lot of upside in Bailey Ober. Consider his size and projectability. Consider what he did in his first year of college, before the Tommy John surgery. If he can stay healthy, Ober has a real chance to be a steal in the draft in the 12th round. You can follow Bailey Ober on Twitter and Instagram.
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I mean, this is the reality of free agent pitcher contracts of more than 4 years... They very rarely pan out. It's generally the same with hitters too. I'm all for the Twins signing Darvish. 4 years, $110 million works for me... Odds are it won't pan out for whoever signs it. Also, it'll likely take 5 years to sign him, which of course makes the likelihood of it panning out less likely. But, the Twins time frame to win could be the next three years, and hopefully he'd be at least a 2-3 for those three years.
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The final days of the Winter Meetings is highlighted by the annual Rule 5 draft. The Twins lost hard-throwing relievers Nick Burdi and Luke Bard, but when their pick came up, they selected a pitcher with a similar profile to the two players they’d lost. The Twins selected right-hander Tyler Kinley from the Miami Marlins. At Twins Fest, Kinley talked to a few assembled media about being selected and what he hopes he can be as a member of the Twins, if he’s able to make the team and stick with them through the season. Image courtesy of Jim Brady The final days of the Winter Meetings is highlighted by the annual Rule 5 draft. The Twins lost hard-throwing relievers Nick Burdi and Luke Bard, but when their pick came up, they selected a pitcher with a similar profile to the two players they’d lost. The Twins selected right-hander Tyler Kinley from the Miami Marlins. At Twins Fest, Kinley talked to a few assembled media about being selected and what he hopes he can be as a member of the Twins, if he’s able to make the team and stick with them through the season. Why would the Twins have interest in Kinley, who will turn 27 at the end of this month? He split 2017 between High-A Jupiter and AA Jacksonville. He dominated the Florida State League, but he posted a 5.19 ERA in the Southern League. However, he has a couple of pitches that do make him intriguing, do make him worthy of a strong look during spring training. Here is the Scouting Report on Kinley that you can find in the 2018 Minnesota Twins Prospect Handbook: Scouting Report: Kinley is a big lad. He stands 6-4 and a little over 200 pounds. His potential is to be a power arm out of the bullpen. He has a fastball that sits between 96 and 98 mph. He’s got a slider that can be a dominant pitch. It sits in the upper-80s and hits 90. Both pitches can miss bats. Control has been a struggle for him throughout his career, but he has been able to stay healthy for the most part. That’s right. He can throw gas, and that slider has the ability to miss bats when he’s sharp. Kinley describes his pitch mix as “a hard fastball, typically 95 and above. A hard slider typically in the low 90s, high 80s. A good changeup.” Kinley got the news that he had been selected by the Twins while in his hotel room in the Dominican Republic where he was dominating the Winter League. “I was in the hotel room in the Dominican Republic and my agent had the Rule 5 playing live. He’s the one that kept me informed because we had heard some positive feedback from teams, but you know how drafts are, you never know until it happens. And then Minnesota happened, and Thad called me and some other guys called me, and it was awesome.” At the time of the Rule 5 draft, he hadn’t allowed a run in his first 18 innings. He ended his time in the Winter League having given up just one run in 19 innings. He struck out 32 batters, but he also did walk 11 hitters. In the Marlins organization, Kinley has been a teammate in recent years of former Twins minor league pitchers Matthew Tomshaw and Chris Mazza. Upon being drafted, he heard from both of those players. Kinley noted, “They both called me right after and told me that I was in good hands and what a good spot I would be in here in Minnesota.” Right-hander Chris Mazza, who recently received his first invitation to big league spring training for the Marlins, had a lot of good things to say about Kinley. “This is definitely a guy that Twins fans should get excited about. Other than being a good pitcher and baseball player he’s an even better person. He definitely a guy that you want to be friends with and get to know. He’s a great teammate and great guy to have in your clubhouse. I’ve been fortunate enough to get to know and become friends with Tyler or “TK” as most of his teammates call him, for over three years now. I can’t say enough about the guy. He’s truly a great person and an awesome friend and wish nothing but the best for him as he starts this new journey in his career with the Twins.” Another connection is former Twins minor league starter David Hurlbut who he played with in the Dominican Winter League this year. Hurlbut recently signed a minor league contract with the Texas Rangers after pitching in the Twins organization from 2011 through 2017. Kinley noted, “I’d also played with David Hurlbut down in winter ball, and he only had the highest things to say about the Twins.” Of Kinley, Hurlbut said, “He's a guy I can't speak highly enough about. Just from the time I was with him in the Dominican, I could already tell he was one of the more driven guys that I've come across. He was super easy to get along with, and throughout winter ball was focused on honing his craft. I think that him being picked up in the Rule 5 draft speaks enough for his talent and I'm just glad that he is going to be able to get a shot at the big league level this spring. Obviously fans and coaches need to see he can compete, but i have no doubt he will do just that. Definitely someone fans can get excited about.” The Twins have added three veterans to the bullpen so far this offseason. Fernando Rodney will begin the season as the team’s closer. Addison Reed and Zack Duke will set him up, along with the likes of Trevor Hildenberger, Taylor Rogers, and Ryan Pressly. Kinley will compete with the likes of Alan Busenitz, Tyler Duffey, JT Chargois, John Curtiss and others for one or two spots in the bullpen. It certainly will not be an easy task, particularly since the Twins should be very competitive in the AL Central and in a potential Wild Card race in 2018. So what are Tyler Kinley’s goals now as spring training fast approaches? “I’d say I’m trying not to put too much pressure on myself because it’s the same game. So my goal is to go in there and build relationships with the guys in the clubhouse, and try to fit in with them and be part of their unity. On the field, I’m going to put my best foot forward always and let the rest take care of itself.” View full article
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Why would the Twins have interest in Kinley, who will turn 27 at the end of this month? He split 2017 between High-A Jupiter and AA Jacksonville. He dominated the Florida State League, but he posted a 5.19 ERA in the Southern League. However, he has a couple of pitches that do make him intriguing, do make him worthy of a strong look during spring training. Here is the Scouting Report on Kinley that you can find in the 2018 Minnesota Twins Prospect Handbook: Scouting Report: Kinley is a big lad. He stands 6-4 and a little over 200 pounds. His potential is to be a power arm out of the bullpen. He has a fastball that sits between 96 and 98 mph. He’s got a slider that can be a dominant pitch. It sits in the upper-80s and hits 90. Both pitches can miss bats. Control has been a struggle for him throughout his career, but he has been able to stay healthy for the most part. That’s right. He can throw gas, and that slider has the ability to miss bats when he’s sharp. Kinley describes his pitch mix as “a hard fastball, typically 95 and above. A hard slider typically in the low 90s, high 80s. A good changeup.” Kinley got the news that he had been selected by the Twins while in his hotel room in the Dominican Republic where he was dominating the Winter League. “I was in the hotel room in the Dominican Republic and my agent had the Rule 5 playing live. He’s the one that kept me informed because we had heard some positive feedback from teams, but you know how drafts are, you never know until it happens. And then Minnesota happened, and Thad called me and some other guys called me, and it was awesome.” At the time of the Rule 5 draft, he hadn’t allowed a run in his first 18 innings. He ended his time in the Winter League having given up just one run in 19 innings. He struck out 32 batters, but he also did walk 11 hitters. In the Marlins organization, Kinley has been a teammate in recent years of former Twins minor league pitchers Matthew Tomshaw and Chris Mazza. Upon being drafted, he heard from both of those players. Kinley noted, “They both called me right after and told me that I was in good hands and what a good spot I would be in here in Minnesota.” Right-hander Chris Mazza, who recently received his first invitation to big league spring training for the Marlins, had a lot of good things to say about Kinley. “This is definitely a guy that Twins fans should get excited about. Other than being a good pitcher and baseball player he’s an even better person. He definitely a guy that you want to be friends with and get to know. He’s a great teammate and great guy to have in your clubhouse. I’ve been fortunate enough to get to know and become friends with Tyler or “TK” as most of his teammates call him, for over three years now. I can’t say enough about the guy. He’s truly a great person and an awesome friend and wish nothing but the best for him as he starts this new journey in his career with the Twins.” Another connection is former Twins minor league starter David Hurlbut who he played with in the Dominican Winter League this year. Hurlbut recently signed a minor league contract with the Texas Rangers after pitching in the Twins organization from 2011 through 2017. Kinley noted, “I’d also played with David Hurlbut down in winter ball, and he only had the highest things to say about the Twins.” Of Kinley, Hurlbut said, “He's a guy I can't speak highly enough about. Just from the time I was with him in the Dominican, I could already tell he was one of the more driven guys that I've come across. He was super easy to get along with, and throughout winter ball was focused on honing his craft. I think that him being picked up in the Rule 5 draft speaks enough for his talent and I'm just glad that he is going to be able to get a shot at the big league level this spring. Obviously fans and coaches need to see he can compete, but i have no doubt he will do just that. Definitely someone fans can get excited about.” The Twins have added three veterans to the bullpen so far this offseason. Fernando Rodney will begin the season as the team’s closer. Addison Reed and Zack Duke will set him up, along with the likes of Trevor Hildenberger, Taylor Rogers, and Ryan Pressly. Kinley will compete with the likes of Alan Busenitz, Tyler Duffey, JT Chargois, John Curtiss and others for one or two spots in the bullpen. It certainly will not be an easy task, particularly since the Twins should be very competitive in the AL Central and in a potential Wild Card race in 2018. So what are Tyler Kinley’s goals now as spring training fast approaches? “I’d say I’m trying not to put too much pressure on myself because it’s the same game. So my goal is to go in there and build relationships with the guys in the clubhouse, and try to fit in with them and be part of their unity. On the field, I’m going to put my best foot forward always and let the rest take care of itself.”
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Glen Perkins: Tribute To A Twins Daily Hall Of Famer
Seth Stohs replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Glen Perkins tweeted the below this morning: -
Lewis and Gordon make pipeline's top 10 short stop
Seth Stohs replied to gunnarthor's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
The bold part is funny since he's #10 and Royce Lewis is #5 on their list... -
Bullish - The Upside of the 2018 Bullpen
Seth Stohs commented on Jamie Cameron's blog entry in Curveball Blog
Ohhhh... Mean ASIATA joke!!- 6 comments
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In a follow up tweet, he said that it may have been "will retire" but commented that he is choosing to spend more time with his family now. This is consistent with what he told me in the clubhouse at spring training two years ago. He noted that he really admired what Brad Radke did. He could have had a shoulder surgery and worked his way back. He as only 32 when he retired, but he Radke was clear that he really wanted to spend time with his then-young kids. Perkins said that was important to him. I'm not exactly certain, but I feel like Perkins' daughters are now 8 and 10, or 9 and 11, or something like that. He said he just wanted to finish out that contract, and if the Twins had picked up his 2018 option, he would have stayed for that year. But he was consistent in saying that it would be his final contract.
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According to this tweet from Granite City Sports (am1390 in St. Cloud, a station I'm on weekly during the season), Glen Perkins is retiring. Thad Levine told a group in St. Cloud today that the Twins closer will be welcomed back with a front office role if and when he wants.
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http://www.espn.com/mlb/insider/story/_/id/22181590/keith-law-2018-top-100-prospects-nos-50-1-introducing-tomorrow-superstars Subscription needed, but three Minnesota Twins prospects make Keith Law's Top 50 prospect ranking on ESPN.com. Interesting as well that no Twins were in his 51-100 range. Royce Lewis was #25. Nick Gordon was #37. Fernando Romero was #47.
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Get To Know Twins Third Base Prospect Andrew Bechtold
Seth Stohs replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Thank you... It's fun to do them and get to know the players... but doing the podcast has been huge to. I can get 5 guys interviewed in 90 minutes and then I don't have to transcribe. ha! -
I brought my daughter when she was 2 or 3 in the Metrodome. That's just work and she got nothing out of it, other than she enjoys looking at pictures of herself there. I took her with me again this year. She's 11, almost 12. We went to the Diamond Awards on Thursday night. She was probably one of 3-4 kids there, so not necessarily a great event for her, though as some of seen or read or heard, we got to talk and take pictures with Dozier, Mauer, Gibson, Hildenberger, etc. As for Twins Fest, we went Friday, and it was just for her. I don't do the autograph thing. I just don't feel it's right for me to do so, though I'm sure I could. But yeah, autographs aren't always cheap. Some were as high as $25-30. The $5-15 lines aren't quite so spendy and a lot of times those have 4-5 players in them. Target Field is pretty neat to be at, even in the winter. You do get to see areas of the building that most of us don't see. The clubhouse, the champions club, etc., are where there are fun events. I think the Twins do a great job of making the players accessible, and they all seem to enjoy Giant Foosball, Giant Connect 45, pop-a-shot, etc. This year there was a kids area where they could color and do other things like that. TC Bear was there a lot. I would say that if you have an 11-12 year old... it's pretty easy to spend money!!
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Fernando Romero Is Healthy, Ready To Compete
Seth Stohs replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
100% in English and he didn't even want a translator.

