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    Examining Pre-Arbitration Players


    Jeremy Nygaard

    We’ve examined the potential 40-man additions and we’ve looked at the arbitration-eligible players.

    Today, we’re going to take a look at the 26 players who have not yet reached arbitration. To be removed from the roster, these players are typically sent through outright waivers.

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    40-MAN SITUATION

    The Twins have 38 players on their 40-man roster currently. They will need to reinstate both Phil Hughes and Glen Perkins. Kurt Suzuki will be a free agent and I suggested the Twins non-tender Trevor Plouffe (if he isn’t traded) and Tommy Milone. That leaves three spots.

    A YEAR FROM ARBITRATION

    Danny Santana, Util.; Robbie Grossman, OF; Trevor May, P; Michael Tonkin, RP. None of these players are going to go into the winter in jeopardy of losing their roster spots. You could argue Santana could be, but I’d be surprised to see him not make it to spring training.

    ONE-PLUS

    Eddie Rosario, OF; Miguel Sano, 3B; Juan Centeno, C; Kennys Vargas, 1B; Tyler Duffey, SP; Byron Buxton, CF; John Ryan Murphy, C. Vargas is in the process of doing enough to save his winter roster spot. (Has he done enough to push Byungho Park from the 40-man? I don’t think so.) The other names that pop out are Juan Centeno and John Ryan Murphy. 40-man spots are valuable; catchers are valuable. When Suzuki leaves via trade or free agency, that leaves only Centeno and Murphy on the 40-man. Can you risk exposing them to waivers? Centeno would clear (and I’d take that risk). Murphy has been atrocious, but he had some success in New York and has some name recognition. I’d keep him around.

    LESS THAN ONE YEAR OF SERVICE

    Buddy Boshers, LRP; Ryan O'Rourke, LRP; Max Kepler, OF; Taylor Rogers, LP; Jorge Polanco, INF; Pat Dean, LSP; Jose Berrios, SP; J.T. Chargois, RP; Andrew Albers, LP; Pat Light, RP. O’Rourke and Albers have already cleared waivers once and they should again. Pat Dean, a surprise addition last year, hasn’t proven that he deserves to stay on the roster and would likely clear waivers as well. Boshers strikes me as the next most-expendable player in the organization, but he’s left-handed, gets some swings-and-misses and is super cheap, so unless I need his spot, he’s staying on the roster.

    SERVICE-LESS

    Yorman Landa, RP; Mason Melotakis, LRP; Randy Rosario, LP; Adam Brett Walker, OF; Adalberto Mejia, LSP. Unless a guy really backs up in the minor-leagues after being added to the 40-man, they’re not typically in danger of being removed. I don’t see any of these guys being sent through waivers.

    CONCLUSION

    Coming in with three spots, we’ve made room for four more (Albers, Centeno, Dean, O’Rourke) to give enough room to add all six of my suggested players from last month: Daniel Palka and Zach Granite (OF), Engelb Vielma (SS), Mitch Garver © and Felix Jorge and Fernando Romero (P). There would still be one more spot going into free agency and/or the Rule 5 draft.

    How would you handle the 26 pre-arb players?

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    At any rate, if I was Vargas, I would be filing a grievance or doing something in order to not play overseas at this point.  He may not have any huge trade value, but he could play everyday for SOMEBODY.  Or at least get a chance to.

     

    To my understanding no one gets sold overseas without their permission. Vargas wouldn't sign off on it last year, so it didn't happen.

    The toughest call is always on guys like Landa, Rosario, Walker and such. We have ahd Kepler and Polanco in similar situations (as well as Wheeler in the season past). They weren't ready for the majors and you know you may have to carry them on the 40-man for one, two or even three years before getting them up and seeing any results. But if you cut them loose, another team COULD grab them (not a Rule 5 situation) and stash them at the back of their 40-man roster, having one less year to worry about their development. That is the situation I see with Walker and Melotakis. I doubt either will make an impact in 2017. Landa and Rosario are even further out, and could see cutting ties with Rosario for now. But, we'll see. How important is that extra spot.

     

    The kicker is that the Twins may be adding still more guys like the above to the 40-man, who won't make a call-up or impact in 2017 and possibly not see much action until 2018. Suddenly, you have 6-7 "prospects" on your 40-man roster doing little for your team. The evils of being a loser and getting high draftpicks, or having a farm system that is developing players in the low minors and getting a stack-up on talent depth.

     




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